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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Even matchup

Home Win Probability

Alcorn State 49%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Alcorn State -3

Edge: Southern +3 (3.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern
770721
Alcorn State
24107344

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284217-731-741-1441-21
Alcorn StateSouthern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASSOUSOUSOUSOUASSOUASSOUASASASSOUSOUSOUASASSOUSOUSOUASASSOUTD573ydTD176ydTO10ydPUNT412ydTD435ydFG1355ydPUNT3-4ydTD640ydPUNT3-4ydTD686ydTO732ydFG1274ydPUNT416ydTD345ydTD1232ydPUNT621ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT4-3ydTD880ydTO3-9ydFG955ydPUNT514ydTO315yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern and Alcorn State
StatisticSouthernAlcorn State
Passing12-2419-30
Pass Yards194263
Rush Yards69176
Total Yards263439
Turnovers52
3rd Down2-116-14
Penalties9-1156-57
Possession22:4337:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern
passing
Harold Blood
12/23, 194 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Kobe Dillon
7 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Chandler Whitfield
1 REC, 38 YDS, 1 TD
Alcorn State
passing
Aaron Allen
19/30, 263 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jarveon Howard
18 CAR, 128 YDS
receiving
Tavarious Griffin
3 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jacorian Sewell run for 4 yds to the ALCN 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.37

Aaron Allen pass complete to Akeem McNair for 21 yds to the SOU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Sewell,Jacorian rush middle (Williams,Derrick;Givens,Ckelby).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.79

Aaron Allen pass complete to Tevarrius Adams for 13 yds to the SOU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Aaron Allen pass complete to Monterio Hunt for 35 yds for a TD (Noah Kiani KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff for 46 yds , CJ Russell return for 5 yds to the SOU 24 CJ Russell fumbled, recovered by SOU Jailon Howard Kiani,Noah kickoff 46 yards to the SUB19, Russell,CJ return 5 yards to the SUB24, fumble by Russell,CJ recovered by SUB Howard,Jailon, Howard,Jailon return 0 yards to the SUB24. , return for no gain to the SOU 24

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+27 ydsPPA -7.85

Keenan Leachman 27 Yd Fumble Return (Noah Kiani Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff for 60 yds , CJ Russell return for 33 yds to the SOU 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Harold Blood pass incomplete, broken up by Jaquez Dew

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.06

Harold Blood pass complete to Ed Magee for 16 yds to the SOU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Kendric Rhymes run for 2 yds to the SOU 34

2nd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.08

Harold Blood sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the SOU 28

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

pass incomplete to Chandler Whitfield

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff for 49 yds , Jailon Howard return for no gain to the SOU 16

4th & 14Punt+5 yds

Robens Beauplan punt for 42 yds , Akeem McNair returns for 5 yds to the ALCN 35 Akeem McNair fumbled, recovered by SOU Dominique Hall Beauplan,Robens punt 42 yards to the ASU30, McNair,Akeem return 5 yards to the ASU35, fumble by McNair,Akeem recovered by SUB Hall,Dominique, Hall,Dominique return 0 yards to the ASU35. , return for no gain to the ALCN 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

CJ Russell run for 3 yds to the ALCN 32

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

CJ Russell run for 5 yds to the ALCN 27

3rd & 2Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.18

Harold Blood pass complete to Jermaine Minor Jr. for 26 yds to the ALCN 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kendric Rhymes run for 1 yd for a TD (Joshua Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Joshua Griffin kickoff for 42 yds , Anthony Williams Jr. return for 6 yds to the ALCN 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Aaron Allen pass complete to Akeem McNair for 11 yds to the ALCN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

pass incomplete to Tevarrius Adams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.41

Aaron Allen pass complete to Tevarrius Adams for 15 yds to the SOU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Jarveon Howard

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.57

Aaron Allen pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 12 yds to the SOU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Tevarrius Adams, broken up by Jordan Carter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Aaron Allen pass complete to Anthony Williams Jr. for 6 yds to the SOU 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Aaron Allen pass complete to Anthony Williams Jr. for 10 yds to the SOU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Aaron Allen run for 9 yds to the SOU 8

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -1.47

Aaron Allen pass incomplete Alcorn State Penalty, Offensive holding (Zyrus Craft) to the SOU 18

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, false start (Will Ready) to the SOU 23

2nd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Tyler Macon run for 7 yds to the SOU 16

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+34 yds

Noah Kiani 34 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff for 41 yds , Jailon Howard return for no gain to the SOU 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

pass incomplete to George Qualls Jr.

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.46

Kendric Rhymes run for a loss of 4 yards to the SOU 20

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Harold Blood pass incomplete to Jailon Howard, broken up by Gino Johnson

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Robens Beauplan punt for 52 yds , Akeem McNair returns for no gain to the ALCN 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete to Monterio Hunt

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.27

Aaron Allen pass complete to Monterio Hunt for 12 yds to the SOU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.23

Tyler Macon run for 15 yds to the SOU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Macon run for 5 yds to the SOU 8

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

pass incomplete to Akeem McNair

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.81

Malik Rodgers 8 Yd pass from Aaron Allen (Noah Kiani Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff for 50 yds , Jailon Howard return for 13 yds to the SOU 43

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.28

Harold Blood run for a loss of 7 yards to the SOU 36

2nd & 17Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.58

Harold Blood sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the SOU 28

3rd & 25Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Kobe Dillon run for 11 yds to the SOU 39

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Robens Beauplan punt for 47 yds , Akeem McNair returns for no gain to the ALCN 14

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Jarveon Howard run for 6 yds to the ALCN 20

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the ALCN 21

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.74

Aaron Allen pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 15 yds to the ALCN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Aaron Allen pass complete to Jarveon Howard for 10 yds to the ALCN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jarveon Howard run for 2 yds to the ALCN 48

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.86

Tavarious Griffin 52 Yd pass from Aaron Allen (Noah Kiani Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jacorian Sewell run for 3 yds to the ALCN 12

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Aaron Allen run for 3 yds to the ALCN 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Aaron Allen pass complete to Akeem McNair for 14 yds to the ALCN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Aaron Allen pass incomplete Southern Penalty, off-side (Davin Cotton) to the ALCN 34

1st & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.29

Aaron Allen pass complete to Monterio Hunt for 8 yds to the ALCN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Jarveon Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALCN 41

2nd & 11Interception+15 ydsPPA -1.08

Aaron Allen pass intercepted Southern Penalty, personal foul (Luke Rose) to the ALCN 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Aaron Allen pass complete to Jarveon Howard for 9 yds to the ALCN 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Aaron Allen pass complete to Anthony Williams Jr. for 8 yds to the ALCN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Monterio Hunt, broken up by Kriston Davis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

pass incomplete to Monterio Hunt

3rd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.24

Aaron Allen run for 1 yd to the SOU 43 for a 1ST down Southern Penalty, personal foul (Willie Matthews III) to the SOU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Southern Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Willie Matthews III) to the SOU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

pass incomplete to Akeem McNair

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Jarveon Howard run for 8 yds to the SOU 19

3rd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Jarveon Howard run for 15 yds to the SOU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Howard,Jarveon rush left (Yassine,Zac).

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Macon run for 3 yds to the SOU 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

pass incomplete to Tavarious Griffin

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff for 45 yds , CJ Russell return for 6 yds to the SOU 26

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Kendric Rhymes run for 10 yds to the SOU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Colbey Washington

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Harold Blood pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for 7 yds to the SOU 43

3rd & 3Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.97

Harold Blood sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the SOU 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Robens Beauplan punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Southern Penalty, personal foul (Darrius Harry) to the SOU 40

1st & 25Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.47

Kobe Dillon run for 17 yds to the ALCN 43

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kobe Dillon run for 5 yds to the ALCN 38

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.94

Harold Blood pass complete to Chandler Whitfield for 38 yds for a TD (Joshua Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Kobe Dillon run for 3 yds to the ALCN 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Harold Blood pass complete to Jailon Howard for 6 yds to the ALCN 23

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Kobe Dillon run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALCN 24

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.06

CJ Russell run for 3 yds to the ALCN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Southern Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Rodney Johnson) to the ALCN 36

1st & 25Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.30

Harold Blood pass complete to Jailon Howard for 14 yds to the ALCN 22

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kobe Dillon run for 4 yds to the ALCN 18

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Dillion,Kobe rush middle (Dawson,Devin;Edwards,Stemarion).

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.62

Harold Blood sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the ALCN 24

4th & 11Field Goal Good+53 yds

Joshua Griffin 41 yd FG GOOD for a 1ST down Alcorn State Penalty, personal foul (12 Yards) to the ALCN 12 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

pass incomplete to Ed Magee

3rd & 10Interception Return Touchdown+88 ydsPPA -10.86

Keenan Leachman 88 Yd Interception Return (Noah Kiani Kick)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Jarveon Howard run for 10 yds to the ALCN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.04

Jarveon Howard run for 16 yds to the SOU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jarveon Howard run for 4 yds to the SOU 33

2nd & 6Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.89

Sewell,Jacorian rush (Johnson,Horacio), PENALTY ASU holding (Turner,Ryan) 10 yards to the SUB23. Alcorn State Penalty, Offensive holding (Ryan Turner) to the SOU 43

2nd & 16Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.30

Tyler Macon run for a loss of 2 yards to the SOU 45

3rd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jacorian Sewell run for 3 yds to the SOU 42

4th & 15Penalty0 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, delay of game (Yards) to the SOU 42

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Caleb Darbone punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Aaron Allen pass complete to Monterio Hunt for 4 yds to the ALCN 29

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, false start (T.J. Yarbrough) to the ALCN 24

2nd & 11Sack-15 ydsPPA -0.51

Aaron Allen sacked for a loss of 15 yards to the ALCN 9

3rd & 26Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.04

Jarveon Howard run for 12 yds to the ALCN 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Caleb Darbone punt for 11 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff for 55 yds , Jailon Howard return for 11 yds to the SOU 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Harold Blood pass complete to Kendric Rhymes for 7 yds to the SOU 28

2nd & 3Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.49

Rhymes,Kendric rush (Melton,Wallace;Jones,Kee Wayne), PENALTY SUB holding 10 yards to the SUB38. Southern Penalty, Offensive holding (Rodney Johnson) to the SOU 18

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Harold Blood pass incomplete, broken up by Robert McDaniel

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Robens Beauplan punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.82

Harold Blood pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for 22 yds to the SOU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Harold Blood pass complete to Cassius Allen for 19 yds to the ALCN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Kendric Rhymes run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALCN 42

2nd & 13Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.92

Harold Blood run for 19 yds to the ALCN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.24

Harold Blood pass complete to Darren Morris for 14 yds to the ALCN 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception-15 ydsPPA -1.75

Harold Blood pass complete to Cassius Allen Southern Penalty, personal foul (Bryce McNair) to the ALCN 24

1st & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

pass incomplete to Kendric Rhymes

2nd & 24Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +4.17

Harold Blood pass complete to August Pitre III for 24 yds for a TD (Joshua Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff for 53 yds , CJ Russell return for 15 yds to the SOU 27

1st & 10Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -1.35

Harold Blood pass complete to Kobe Dillon Southern Penalty, Offensive holding (John Mitchell) to the SOU 17

1st & 20Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Harold Blood pass complete to Kendric Rhymes for 1 yd to the SOU 18

2nd & 19Interception0 ydsPPA +0.26

Harold Blood pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jarveon Howard run for 11 yds to the ALCN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.17

Jarveon Howard run for 29 yds to the SOU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.25

Jarveon Howard run for a loss of 3 yards to the SOU 38

2nd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.26

Jarveon Howard run for 12 yds to the SOU 26

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.28

Jarveon Howard run for 2 yds to the SOU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the SOU 23

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jarveon Howard run for 3 yds to the SOU 20

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.63

Aaron Allen pass complete to Tevarrius Adams

4th & 6Field Goal Good+37 yds

Noah Kiani 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jacorian Sewell run for 4 yds to the ALCN 44

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.24

Jacorian Sewell run for 8 yds to the SOU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jacorian Sewell run for 2 yds to the SOU 46

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Sewell,Jacorian rush middle (Williams,Derrick).

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Sewell,Jacorian rush middle (Monroe,Jordan).

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kenny Lee Pham punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dylan Mehrotra pass incomplete, broken up by Kayvon Henderson

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.63

Kendric Rhymes run for 15 yds to the SOU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dylan Mehrotra run for 4 yds to the SOU 15 Dylan Mehrotra fumbled, recovered by ALCN Cullan Scott Mehrotra,Dylan rush middle for 4 yards to the SUB38, fumble by Mehrotra,Dylan recovered by ASU Scott,Cullan, Scott,Cullan rush (Mitchell,John). Mehrotra,Dylan rush middle for 4 yards to the SUB38, fumble by Mehrotra,Dylan recovered by ASU Scott,Cullan, Scott,Cullan rush (Mitchell,John).

Situational Analysis

Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
19 plays
50%
4 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
63%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Alcorn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
43%
30 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
64%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th