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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama State by 7.4

Home Win Probability

Alabama State 67%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Alabama State -2

Edge: Alabama State -2 (5.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
Alcorn State
3773323
Alabama State
01307020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-313-1013-1720-1720-20
Alabama StateAlcorn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASASASASASASASASASASASASASASASASASASASASASASASPUNT39ydPUNT617ydPUNT36ydTO670ydPUNT37ydTO13ydFG633ydTD1075ydTD775ydTD763ydPUNT38ydMISS955ydPUNT31ydPUNT855ydPUNT33ydTD154ydPUNT1227ydTD1167ydTO423ydTO759ydFG1389ydFG712ydMISS65yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alcorn State and Alabama State
StatisticAlcorn StateAlabama State
Passing32-4612-18
Pass Yards37096
Rush Yards58257
Total Yards428353
Turnovers13
3rd Down4-136-15
Penalties7-604-45
Possession28:2231:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alcorn State
passing
Aaron Allen
32/46, 370 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jarveon Howard
5 CAR, 24 YDS
receiving
Monterio Hunt
6 REC, 109 YDS, 1 TD
Alabama State
passing
Damon Stewart
5/10, 68 YDS
rushing
Marcus II Harris
10 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dylan Creech
1 REC, 34 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Aaron Allen pass complete to Akeem McNair for 5 yds to the ALCN 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Aaron Allen pass complete to Tevarrius Adams for 4 yds to the ALCN 28

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the ALCN 28

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Caleb Darbone punt for 47 yds , returns for no gain to the ALST 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Ja'Won Howell run for 3 yds to the ALST 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Damon Stewart pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 1 yd to the ALST 41

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Marcus Harris II run for 5 yds to the ALST 46

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

TUCK, Harrison punt 4 yards to the ALS50 out of bounds. PENALTY ALC Running Into the kicker on RICE, Santonial enforced 5 yards from the ALS46 to the ALC49 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Damon Stewart pass complete to Damon Stewart for 7 yds to the ALCN 42

2nd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.07

Ja'Won Howell run for a loss of 4 yards to the ALCN 46

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Ja'Won Howell run for no gain to the ALCN 46

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Akeem McNair at the ALCN 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Aaron Allen pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 7 yds to the ALCN 20

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Niko Duffey run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALCN 19

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Aaron Allen pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Caleb Darbone punt for 51 yds, downed at the ALST 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Dematrius Davis run for 3 yds to the ALST 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Robert McMinn for 4 yds to the ALST 37

3rd & 3Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.59

Marcus Harris II run for 46 yds to the ALCN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ja'Won Howell run for 2 yds to the ALCN 15

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Dematrius Davis run for 3 yds to the ALCN 12 Dematrius Davis fumbled, recovered by ALST Ja'Won Howell

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -4.12

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Jaelyn Lay for 12 yds Jaelyn Lay fumbled, recovered by ALCN Jadarrion Kelly

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Aaron Allen sacked by Adrian Maddox for a loss of 4 yards to the ALCN 16

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Aaron Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Jarveon Howard run for 11 yds to the ALCN 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Caleb Darbone punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

SULTON, Jaylen rush up the middle for no gain to the ALC49 (DAWSON, Devin). PENALTY ALC Offsides on RICE, Santonial enforced 5 yards from the ALC49 to the ALC44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -4.39

Kisean Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALCN 46 Kisean Johnson fumbled, recovered by ALCN Terreance Ellis

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jarveon Howard run for 6 yds to the ALST 48

2nd & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.11

Tyler Macon run for 8 yds to the ALST 40 for a 1ST down Alabama State Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ALST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Anthony Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the ALST 24

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Macon run for 3 yds to the ALST 21

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Aaron Allen pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+39 yds

Noah Kiani 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ja'Won Howell run for 6 yds to the ALST 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Ja'Won Howell run for 3 yds to the ALST 34

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Marcus Harris II run for 8 yds to the ALST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.72

Marcus Harris II run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALST 39

2nd & 13Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.18

Dematrius Davis run for 8 yds to the ALCN 47 for a 1ST down Alcorn State Penalty, Personal Foul (Santorial Rice) to the ALCN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Jaylen Sulton run for 9 yds to the ALCN 29

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaylen Sulton run for 12 yds to the ALCN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jaylen Sulton run for 7 yds to the ALCN 10

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Ja'Won Howell run for 8 yds to the ALCN 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jaylen Sulton run for 2 yds for a TD (Jayden John KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Aaron Allen pass complete to Jarveon Howard for 9 yds to the ALCN 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.73

Aaron Allen pass complete to Malik Rodgers for 13 yds to the ALCN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.95

Aaron Allen pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 14 yds to the ALST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.51

Aaron Allen pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 18 yds to the ALST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Aaron Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Aaron Allen run for 8 yds to the ALST 13

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.69

Aaron Allen pass complete to Akeem McNair for 13 yds for a TD (Noah Kiani KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ja'Won Howell run for 5 yds to the ALST 42

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.10

Dematrius Davis run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Jaylen Sulton for a loss of 1 yard to the ALST 49

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, Targeting on SMITH, Tyler enforced (Andrew Smith) to the ALCN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Marcus Harris II run for 2 yds to the ALCN 27

2nd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.56

Dematrius Davis run for 17 yds to the ALCN 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Marcus Harris II 10 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Aaron Allen sacked by Treqwan Thomas for a loss of 9 yards to the ALCN 16

2nd & 19Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Aaron Allen pass complete to Monterio Hunt for 7 yds to the ALCN 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Aaron Allen pass complete to Monterio Hunt for 10 yds to the ALCN 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Caleb Darbone punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.77

Ja'Won Howell run for 24 yds to the ALST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.71

Damon Stewart pass complete to Ja'Won Howell for 22 yds to the ALCN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Damon Stewart pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Damon Stewart run for 6 yds to the ALCN 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.90

Damon Stewart pass complete to Asa Gregg for 4 yds to the ALCN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Damon Stewart pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.75

Damon Stewart sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the ALCN 34

3rd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Damon Stewart run for 4 yds to the ALCN 30

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Jayden John 47 yd FG MISSED

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Ja'Won Howell run for 1 yd to the ALST 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Damon Stewart pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Damon Stewart pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 61 yds, downed at the ALCN 3

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jarveon Howard run for 4 yds to the ALCN 7

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Aaron Allen pass complete to Jarveon Howard for 7 yds to the ALCN 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Aaron Allen pass complete to Tevarrius Adams for 8 yds to the ALCN 22

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Aaron Allen pass complete to Tevarrius Adams for 11 yds to the ALCN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jarveon Howard run for 3 yds to the ALCN 36

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

ALLEN, Aaron pass to the right incomplete intended for GRIFFIN, Tavarious thrown to the ALS49. PENALTY ALS Pass Interference on BURGESS, James enforced 15 yards to the ALS49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Aaron Allen pass complete to Niko Duffey for 7 yds to the ALST 42

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Aaron Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Niko Duffey run for no gain to the ALST 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Caleb Darbone punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Robert McMinn at the ALST 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 7 yds to the ALST 23

2nd & 3Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.01

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Kisean Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the ALST 19

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 35 yds, downed at the ALCN 46

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +4.18

Aaron Allen pass complete to Monterio Hunt for 54 yds for a TD (Noah Kiani KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaylen Sulton run for 2 yds to the ALST 35

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.93

Dematrius Davis run for 12 yds to the ALST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Alabama State Penalty, Offensive Holding (AJ Lewis) to the ALST 40

2nd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaylen Sulton run for 1 yd to the ALST 41

3rd & 16Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Kisean Johnson run for 10 yds to the ALCN 49

4th & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +3.14

Dematrius Davis run for 9 yds to the ALCN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Dematrius Davis run for 3 yds to the ALCN 37

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ja'Won Howell run for 4 yds to the ALCN 33

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.75

Ja'Won Howell run for 3 yds to the ALCN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Ja'Won Howell run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALCN 32

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.51

Dematrius Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALCN 35

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Damon Stewart pass incomplete

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

Alabama State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Harrison Tuck) to the ALCN 40

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Akeem McNair at the ALCN 12

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.39

Aaron Allen run for 22 yds to the ALCN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Niko Duffey run for 4 yds to the ALCN 38

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Niko Duffey run for 1 yd to the ALCN 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.08

Aaron Allen pass complete to Malik Rodgers for 7 yds to the ALCN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.04

Aaron Allen pass complete to Jarveon Howard for 15 yds to the ALST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Aaron Allen pass complete to Akeem McNair for 4 yds to the ALST 35

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.44

Aaron Allen run for 6 yds to the ALST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Aaron Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Aaron Allen) to the ALST 34

2nd & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Aaron Allen pass complete to Monterio Hunt for 13 yds to the ALST 21

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Aaron Allen pass incomplete

4th & 2Blocked Field Goal Touchdown+75 ydsPPA -10.50

James Burgess 75 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Jayden John Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Aaron Allen pass complete to Monterio Hunt for 10 yds to the ALCN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Aaron Allen pass complete to Niko Duffey for 4 yds to the ALCN 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Aaron Allen pass complete to Malik Rodgers for 9 yds to the ALCN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.99

Aaron Allen pass intercepted

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Dematrius Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALST 35 Dematrius Davis fumbled, recovered by ALST

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ja'Won Howell run for 4 yds to the ALST 39

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.45

Ja'Won Howell run for 9 yds to the ALST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Marcus Harris II run for 3 yds to the ALCN 49

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Marcus Harris II run for 3 yds to the ALCN 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.30

Damon Stewart pass complete to Dylan Creech for 34 yds to the ALCN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -4.47

Ja'Won Howell run for 7 yds to the ALCN 5 Ja'Won Howell fumbled, recovered by ALCN Malachi Bailey

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Aaron Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.81

Aaron Allen pass complete to Jarveon Howard for 15 yds to the ALCN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Aaron Allen pass complete to Jarveon Howard for 5 yds to the ALCN 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.54

Aaron Allen pass complete to Monterio Hunt for 15 yds to the ALCN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ALLEN, Aaron pass short to the left complete for 3 yards to HOWARD, Jarveon caught at the ALC42 and advanced to the ALC43 (CUNNINGHAM, Demarkus). PENALTY ALC Holding on GORDON, Demarcus enforced 10 yards from the ALC40 to the ALC30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Aaron Allen pass complete to Niko Duffey for 3 yds to the ALCN 33

2nd & 17Penalty-5 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, False Start (Malik Rodgers) to the ALCN 28

2nd & 22Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.58

Aaron Allen pass complete to Tevarrius Adams for 18 yds to the ALCN 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Aaron Allen pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 2 yds to the ALCN 48

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.53

Aaron Allen pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 5 yds to the ALST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Aaron Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Aaron Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.67

Aaron Allen pass complete to Malik Rodgers for 41 yds to the ALST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Aaron Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Noah Kiani 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.45

Aaron Allen pass complete to Akeem McNair for no gain to the ALST 25

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.33

Aaron Allen sacked by Treqwan Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the ALST 29

3rd & 14Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.95

Aaron Allen pass complete to Malik Rodgers for 17 yds to the ALST 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Tavarious Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALST 13

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Aaron Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Aaron Allen pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+30 yds

Noah Kiani 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dematrius Davis run for 5 yds to the ALCN 20

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Marcus Harris II run for 6 yds to the ALCN 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Marcus Harris II run for no gain to the ALCN 14

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Dematrius Davis pass complete to AJ Lewis for 3 yds to the ALCN 11

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.88

Dematrius Davis sacked by Devin Dawson for a loss of 9 yards to the ALCN 20

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Jayden John 37 yd FG MISSED

Situational Analysis

Alcorn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
71%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Alabama State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
38%
26 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
27%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play