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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southern by 0.9

Home Win Probability

Alabama State 46%

Market (Bovada)

Alabama State +2.5

Edge: Alabama State +2.5 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern
730010
Alabama State
707014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-1421-20
Alabama StateSouthern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SOUASSOUASSOUASSOUSOUASSOUASSOUASASSOUASASASSOUSOUSOUASTD1477ydTD975ydFG1057ydMISS1151ydPUNT516ydPUNT1041ydEND20ydTO67ydUncategorized41ydPUNT40ydDOWNS617ydUncategorized3-7ydTD217ydMISS1030ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT35ydPUNT33ydPUNT31ydTO10ydTO939ydDOWNS812ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern and Alabama State
StatisticSouthernAlabama State
Passing17-3515-21
Pass Yards166180
Rush Yards6986
Total Yards235266
Turnovers40
3rd Down4-145-13
Penalties6-504-20
Possession30:4429:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern
passing
Harold Blood
17/34, 166 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Gary Quarles
8 CAR, 30 YDS
receiving
Jailon Howard
3 REC, 42 YDS
Alabama State
passing
Dematrius Davis
15/21, 180 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Ja'Won Howell
15 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
Kisean Johnson
9 REC, 107 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.28

Kendric Rhymes 16 Yd pass from Harold Blood (Joshua Griffin Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

pass incomplete to Jailon Howard

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Harold Blood run for 9 yds to the SOU 32

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Harold Blood pass incomplete to Cassius Allen, broken up by James Burgess

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.44

Gary Quarles run for 1 yd to the SOU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Harold Blood pass complete to Jailon Howard for 13 yds to the SOU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.04

Gary Quarles run for 15 yds to the ALST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Gary Quarles run for 1 yd to the ALST 38

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Harold Blood run for 7 yds to the ALST 31

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92
4th & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.50

Harold Blood pass complete to Dupree Fuller for 4 yds to the ALST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Harold Blood pass complete to Dupree Fuller for 11 yds to the ALST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

pass incomplete to Kendric Rhymes

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

pass incomplete to Chandler Whitfield

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +4.97

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 43 yds for a TD (Jayden John KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Marcus Harris II run for 2 yds to the ALST 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Jaylen Sulton for 14 yds to the ALST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ja'Won Howell run for 5 yds to the ALST 46

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ja'Won Howell run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Jaylen Sulton run for 4 yds to the SOU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03
2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.93

Alabama State Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the ALST 49

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Dematrius Davis run for 8 yds to the SOU 43

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Gary Quarles run for 3 yds to the SOU 49

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Harold Blood run for 6 yds to the ALST 45

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.14

Kobe Dillon run for 3 yds to the ALST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.65

Harold Blood pass complete to Jailon Howard for 20 yds to the ALST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kobe Dillon run for 3 yds to the ALST 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.20

Harold Blood pass complete to Jr. George Qualls for 26 yds to the SOU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Jailon Howard

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Harold Blood run for 1 yd to the ALST 18

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

pass incomplete to Colbey Washington

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Southern Penalty, delay of game (Joshua Alexander) to the ALST 23

4th & 11Field Goal Good+40 yds

Joshua Griffin 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 9 yds to the ALST 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.28

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Kisean Johnson

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Ja'Won Howell run for 7 yds to the ALST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ja'Won Howell run for 5 yds to the ALST 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Demontrez Brown for 10 yds to the SOU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Jaylen Sulton run for 1 yd to the SOU 43

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.37

Dematrius Davis run for 14 yds to the SOU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 5 yds to the SOU 24

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Ja'Won Howell run for 3 yds to the SOU 21

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.12

Ja'Won Howell run for a loss of 3 yards to the SOU 24

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Jayden John 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Gary Quarles run for 8 yds to the SOU 32

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.01

Gary Quarles run for 3 yds to the SOU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Harold Blood pass complete to Kendric Rhymes for a loss of 4 yards to the SOU 31

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Harold Blood pass complete to Kendric Rhymes for 9 yds to the SOU 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

pass incomplete to Jordan Dupre

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Robens Beauplan punt for 42 yds

2nd & 13Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.16

Dematrius Davis sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the SOU 41

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

pass incomplete to Tyree Saunders

4th & 19Penalty0 yds

Alabama State Penalty, delay of game ( Yards) to the SOU 41

4th & 19Punt0 yds

G'Bril Wallace punt for 41 yds

1st & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 3 yds to the ALST 21

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Dematrius Davis run for 10 yds to the ALST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dematrius Davis run for 4 yds to the ALST 35

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Alabama State Penalty, personal foul (Kyler Akins) to the ALST 30

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42
3rd & 11Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.51

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Tyree Saunders for 24 yds to the SOU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03
2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.70

Jaylen Sulton run for 14 yds to the SOU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Dematrius Davis sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the SOU 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Colbey Washington

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kobe Dillon run for 3 yds to the SOU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Harold Blood pass complete to Ed Magee

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Harold Blood pass complete to Kobe Dillon for 11 yds to the SOU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.25

Southern Penalty, Offensive holding (Bernard Childs) to the SOU 29

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Kobe Dillon run for 3 yds to the SOU 32

2nd & 17Interception0 ydsPPA -0.09

Harold Blood pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ja'Won Howell run for 4 yds to the SOU 32

2nd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.03

Dematrius Davis sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the SOU 38

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Alabama State Penalty, false start (Kyler Akins) to the SOU 43

3rd & 17Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.12

Dematrius Davis run for 15 yds to the SOU 28

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.01

Jaylen Sulton run for a loss of 1 yard to the SOU 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ja'Won Howell run for 4 yds to the SOU 32

2nd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.03

Dematrius Davis sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the SOU 38

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Alabama State Penalty, false start (Kyler Akins) to the SOU 43

3rd & 17Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.12

Dematrius Davis run for 15 yds to the SOU 28

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Robens Beauplan punt for 20 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Kobe Dillon run for 6 yds to the SOU 35

2nd & 4Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.82

Southern Penalty, Offensive holding (Joshua Trask Jr.) to the SOU 25

2nd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Harold Blood pass complete to Marcus Borne for 4 yds to the SOU 29

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

pass incomplete to Jailon Howard

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.81

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Tyree Saunders for 12 yds to the SOU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Ja'Won Howell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SOU 38

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00
3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 9 yds to the SOU 29

4th & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -2.93

Dematrius Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the SOU 32

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.29

Gary Quarles run for a loss of 3 yards to the SOU 29

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Southern Penalty, delay of game (Harold Blood) to the SOU 24

2nd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Kobe Dillon run for 1 yd to the SOU 25

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.92

Kisean Johnson 17 Yd pass from Dematrius Davis (Jayden John Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

pass incomplete to Demontrez Brown

3rd & 5Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.85

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Adrian Maddox Alabama State Penalty, illegal motion (Adrian Maddox) to the SOU 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.92

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 14 yds to the SOU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ja'Won Howell run for 5 yds to the SOU 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dematrius Davis run for 4 yds to the ALST 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.16

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 7 yds to the SOU 49 for a 1ST down

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete to Kisean Johnson, broken up by Tyler Judson

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jaylen Sulton run for 3 yds to the SOU 32

2nd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.66

Dematrius Davis sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the SOU 41

3rd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Tyree Saunders for 11 yds to the SOU 30

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Jayden John 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Kobe Dillon run for a loss of 2 yards to the SOU 28

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

pass incomplete to Jailon Howard

3rd & 12Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.21

Harold Blood pass complete to Jr. George Qualls for a loss of 3 yards to the SOU 25

4th & 15Punt+31 yds

Robens Beauplan punt for 45 yds , Robert McMinn returns for 31 yds to the SOU 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Isaiah Scott for 2 yds to the SOU 37

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Ja'Won Howell run for 3 yds to the SOU 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

pass incomplete to Tyree Saunders

4th & 5Punt0 yds

G'Bril Wallace punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Ja'Won Howell run for 2 yds to the ALST 44

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Ja'Won Howell run for 1 yd to the ALST 45

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete to Kisean Johnson, broken up by Kriston Davis

4th & 7Punt0 yds

G'Bril Wallace punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Ja'Won Howell run for 1 yd to the SOU 38

2nd & 9Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.41

Jaylen Sulton run for a loss of 7 yards to the SOU 45

3rd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Jaylen Sulton run for 7 yds to the SOU 38

4th & 9Punt0 yds

G'Bril Wallace punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Harold Blood pass intercepted

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kobe Dillon run for 3 yds to the SOU 18

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Harold Blood pass incomplete to Jailon Howard, broken up by James Burgess

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.75

Harold Blood pass complete to Darren Morris for 14 yds to the SOU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

pass incomplete to Colbey Washington

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Harold Blood pass complete to Jailon Howard for 9 yds to the SOU 41

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Gary Quarles run for 2 yds to the SOU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Harold Blood run for 6 yds to the SOU 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Harold Blood pass complete to Jr. George Qualls for 10 yds to the ALST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -3.76

Kendric Rhymes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALST 42 Kendric Rhymes fumbled, recovered by ALST Stefon Young-Rolle

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Southern Penalty, false start (Kobe Dillon) to the SOU 15

4th & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.65

Harold Blood pass complete to Colbey Washington for 24 yds to the ALST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-19 ydsPPA -3.75

Harold Blood sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the SOU 48 Southern Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the SOU 37

2nd & 29Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

pass incomplete to Chandler Whitfield

3rd & 29Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Harold Blood pass complete to Gary Quarles for 2 yds to the SOU 39

4th & 27Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.34

Harold Blood pass incomplete to Colbey Washington, broken up by Mikey Victor

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Harold Blood pass incomplete to Colbey Washington, broken up by Cail Jackson Jr.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Dematrius Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SOU 36

Situational Analysis

Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
14%
7 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Alabama State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
23%
22 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
38%
8 plays
50%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
86%
7 plays
4th
0%
2 plays