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← Back to GamesNov 17, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama A&M by 17.4

Home Win Probability

Alabama A&M 84%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Alabama A&M -14

Edge: Alabama A&M -14 (3.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 17, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mississippi Valley State
707721
Alabama A&M
1476330

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142814-027-1427-21
Alabama A&MMississippi Valley State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MVSAAMVSAAMVSAAMVSAAMVSAAMVSAAMVSAAAAMVSAAMVSAAMVSAAMVSAAMVSMVSAAAAMVSAAPUNT411ydTD781ydTO634ydTD561ydTD368ydTO514ydPUNT31ydPUNT627ydPUNT33ydTO1024ydTO25ydPUNT35ydPUNT59ydEND32ydTD270ydPUNT36ydPUNT613ydTD331ydPUNT3-10ydTO35ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT34ydPUNT36ydTO10ydTD386ydFG1450ydMISS722ydDOWNS4-2ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mississippi Valley State and Alabama A&M
StatisticMississippi Valley StateAlabama A&M
Passing10-1812-22
Pass Yards223170
Rush Yards45264
Total Yards268434
Turnovers52
3rd Down2-108-17
Penalties4-216-45
Possession21:0438:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mississippi Valley State
passing
Ty'Jarian Williams
10/18, 223 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jared Wilson
9 CAR, 26 YDS
receiving
Kerrick Ross
3 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD
Alabama A&M
passing
Quincy Casey
12/20, 170 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Donovan Eaglin
27 CAR, 207 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jacolby Hewitt
4 REC, 115 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, false start (Kobe Chambers) to the MVSU 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.58

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 15 yds to the MVSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Kerrick Ross

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Luke Moffett kickoff for 63 yds , Kerrick Ross return for 23 yds to the MVSU 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jakobe Thomas run for 1 yd to the MVSU 36

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Cobie Bates

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Donovan Eaglin run for 2 yds to the AAMU 21

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Donovan Eaglin run for 2 yds to the AAMU 23

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.32

Quincy Casey run for 7 yds to the AAMU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Donovan Eaglin run for 3 yds to the AAMU 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.46

Quincy Casey pass complete to Jacolby Hewitt for 49 yds to the MVSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Donovan Eaglin run for 1 yd to the MVSU 17

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.86

Donovan Eaglin run for 17 yds for a TD (Victor Barbosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jakobe Thomas run for 7 yds to the MVSU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Rashad Eades for 12 yds to the MVSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jakobe Thomas run for 2 yds to the MVSU 46

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Jakobe Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 44

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.17

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 15 yds to the AAMU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -3.76

Jakobe Thomas run for 2 yds to the AAMU 39 Jakobe Thomas fumbled, recovered by AAMU Dorian Wesley Thomas,Jakobe rush middle for 2 yards to the A&M39, fumble by Thomas,Jakobe recovered by A&M Wesley,Dorian, Wesley,Dorian rush.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Donovan Eaglin run for 4 yds to the AAMU 43

2nd & 6Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.97

Donovan Eaglin run for 20 yds to the MVSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.43

Quincy Casey pass complete to Jacolby Hewitt for 17 yds to the MVSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Donovan Eaglin run for 6 yds to the MVSU 14

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.43

Quincy Casey pass complete to Cameron Young for 14 yds for a TD (Victor Barbosa KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Luke Moffett kickoff for 61 yds , Kerrick Ross return for 28 yds to the MVSU 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jared Wilson run for 1 yd to the MVSU 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Dontrell Green II for 3 yds to the MVSU 36

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Alexander Davis kickoff for 56 yds , Terrell Gardner return for 28 yds to the AAMU 37

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Ryan Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the AAMU 36

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Ryan Morrow run for 3 yds to the AAMU 39

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.62

Quincy Casey pass complete to Braxton Tolliver for 10 yds to the AAMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Ryan Morrow run for 2 yds to the MVSU 49

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -2.43

Devin Herring pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 3 yds to the MVSU 36

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.02

Dejuan Lacy run for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 34

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

pass incomplete to Jakobe Thomas

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 66 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alabama A&M Penalty, false start (Joe Hibbard) to the AAMU 15

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Donovan Eaglin run for 2 yds to the AAMU 17

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Quincy Casey pass complete to Donovan Eaglin for 11 yds to the AAMU 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.70

Quincy Casey pass complete to Cameron Young for 11 yds to the AAMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Quincy Casey pass complete to Jacolby Hewitt for 6 yds to the AAMU 45

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Donovan Eaglin run for 2 yds to the AAMU 47

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

pass incomplete to Cameron Young

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Austin McCready punt for 42 yds , Kerrick Ross returns for no gain to the MVSU 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jakobe Thomas run for 1 yd to the MVSU 31

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jakobe Thomas run for 4 yds to the MVSU 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.61

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jaxson Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 33

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Cameron Young

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

DJ Moffett run for 9 yds to the AAMU 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

DJ Moffett run for 1 yd to the AAMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

DJ Moffett run for a loss of 1 yard to the AAMU 34

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Quincy Casey pass incomplete to Jacolby Hewitt, broken up by Omar Emmons

3rd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.85

DJ Moffett run for 13 yds to the AAMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Quincy Casey run for 10 yds to the MVSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.98

Casey,Quincy rush , out-of-bounds, PENALTY A&M holding (Lewis,Ramier) 10 yards to the MVS33. Alabama A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (Ramier Lewis) to the AAMU 47

1st & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Quincy Casey pass complete to Terrell Gardner for 2 yds to the AAMU 49

2nd & 18Interception0 ydsPPA -1.00

Quincy Casey pass intercepted Alabama A&M Penalty, Defensive holding (Yards) to the MVSU 47

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jared Wilson run for 5 yds to the AAMU 48

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line Ty'Jarian Williams fumbled, recovered by AAMU Jamarion Ellis , return to the 50 yard line Jamarion Ellis run to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Donovan Eaglin run for 5 yds to the MVSU 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Quincy Casey pass incomplete to Terrell Gardner, broken up by Caleb Canada

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Quincy Casey pass incomplete to Levar Gumms, broken up by Charlie Williams Jr.

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Quincy Casey punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 1 yd to the MVSU 2

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Alabama A&M Penalty, off-side (Rashad Colson) to the MVSU 7

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Jared Wilson run for 7 yds to the MVSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jared Wilson run for 2 yds to the MVSU 16

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 3 yds to the MVSU 19

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, false start (Markwan Perkins) to the MVSU 14

3rd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jared Wilson run for a loss of 4 yards to the MVSU 10

4th & 14Punt+10 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 55 yds , Terrell Gardner returns for 10 yds to the AAMU 45

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alabama A&M Penalty, false start (Cameron Williams) to the AAMU 40

1st & 15Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -1.49

Quincy Casey run for 5 yds to the AAMU 45 Quincy Casey fumbled, recovered by AAMU Quincy Casey Casey,Quincy rush middle for 5 yards to the A&M45, fumble by Casey,Quincy recovered by A&M Casey,Quincy, Casey,Quincy rush (Banks,Lucas). Casey,Quincy rush middle for 5 yards to the A&M45, fumble by Casey,Quincy recovered by A&M Casey,Quincy, Casey,Quincy rush (Banks,Lucas).

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Donovan Eaglin run for 2 yds to the AAMU 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Donovan Eaglin run for 3 yds to the AAMU 33

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Alexander Davis kickoff for 56 yds , DJ Moffett return for 21 yds to the AAMU 30

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +6.05

Donovan Eaglin 67 Yd Run (Victor Barbosa PAT failed)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Luke Moffett kickoff for 44 yds , Kerrick Ross return for 22 yds to the MVSU 43

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jakobe Thomas run for 4 yds to the MVSU 47

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jakobe Thomas run for 2 yds to the MVSU 49

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

pass incomplete to Kerrick Ross

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ryan Morrow run for 4 yds to the AAMU 23

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Ryan Morrow run for 2 yds to the AAMU 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Quincy Casey pass complete to Cameron Young for 8 yds to the AAMU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Morrow,Ryan rush middle (Fox,Jayren;Quinney,Ryan).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Quincy Casey pass incomplete to Terrell Gardner, broken up by Ryan Quinney

3rd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.30

Ryan Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the AAMU 32

4th & 11Punt+38 yds

Austin McCready punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AAMU 31 , Kerrick Ross returns for 38 yds to the AAMU 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.52

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jaxson Davis for 23 yds to the AAMU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Jared Wilson run for 7 yds to the AAMU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ty'Jarian Williams 1 Yd Run (Alexander Davis Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Alexander Davis kickoff for 57 yds , Terrell Gardner return for 17 yds to the AAMU 25

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Quincy Casey pass complete to Cameron Young

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Braxton Tolliver

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.26

Quincy Casey sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the AAMU 15

4th & 20Punt+10 yds

Austin McCready punt for 36 yds , Kerrick Ross returns for 10 yds to the AAMU 41

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jared Wilson run for 5 yds to the AAMU 36

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Wilson,Jared rush middle (Billingsly,Xavier;Ellis,Jamarion).

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jared Wilson run for 3 yds to the MVSU 44 Jared Wilson fumbled, recovered by AAMU Montrell Campbell Wilson,Jared rush right for 3 yards to the A&M33, fumble by Wilson,Jared recovered by A&M Campbell,Montrell, Campbell,Montrell rush (Williams,Ty'Jarian). Wilson,Jared rush right for 3 yards to the A&M33, fumble by Wilson,Jared recovered by A&M Campbell,Montrell, Campbell,Montrell rush (Williams,Ty'Jarian).

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Ryan Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the MVSU 45

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Alabama A&M Penalty, false start (Ramier Lewis) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Tervae Williams run for 8 yds to the MVSU 42

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.04

Tervae Williams sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the AAMU 49

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Austin McCready punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Williams,Ty'Jarian rush right (Billingsly,Xavier;Smith,Marvin).

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Jakobe Thomas run for 2 yds to the MVSU 5

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jakobe Thomas for 2 yds to the MVSU 7

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 44 yds , Terrell Gardner returns for no gain to the AAMU 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Tervae Williams run for 2 yds to the MVSU 49

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tervae Williams run for 4 yds to the MVSU 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Tervae Williams pass incomplete to Jacolby Hewitt, broken up by Charlie Williams Jr.

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Quincy Casey punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.76

Ty'Jarian Williams pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

pass incomplete to Rashad Eades

2nd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.61

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Rashad Eades for 29 yds to the MVSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, substitution infraction (Kobe Chambers) to the MVSU 38

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +5.69

Jaxson Davis 62 Yd pass from Ty'Jarian Williams (Alexander Davis Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Alexander Davis kickoff for 46 yds , DJ Moffett return for 11 yds to the AAMU 30

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Quincy Casey pass complete to Cameron Young for a loss of 1 yard to the AAMU 29

2nd & 11Interception+6 ydsPPA -0.32

Quincy Casey pass intercepted for a 1ST down Mississippi Valley State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Charlie Williams Jr.) to the AAMU 35 for a 1ST down

4th & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +3.41

Quincy Casey run for 10 yds to the MVSU 38 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.14

Donovan Eaglin run for 11 yds to the MVSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Donovan Eaglin run for 4 yds to the MVSU 23

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Ryan Morrow run for 3 yds to the MVSU 20

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Casey,Quincy rush middle (Emmons,Omar).

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Donovan Eaglin run for 7 yds to the AAMU 42

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Donovan Eaglin run for 9 yds to the MVSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Donovan Eaglin run for 4 yds to the MVSU 45

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Donovan Eaglin run for 1 yd to the MVSU 44

3rd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.72

Donovan Eaglin run for a loss of 4 yards to the MVSU 48

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Eaglin,Donovan rush middle (Smith ,Stefon).

4th & 3Field Goal Good+37 yds

Victor Barbosa 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Donovan Eaglin run for 3 yds to the MVSU 30

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Donovan Eaglin run for 5 yds to the MVSU 25

3rd & 2Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.56

Donovan Eaglin run for 22 yds to the MVSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Donovan Eaglin run for 1 yd to the MVSU 2

2nd & 2Penalty-15 yds

Alabama A&M Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Joshua Anderson) to the MVSU 17

2nd & 17Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Donovan Eaglin run for 8 yds to the MVSU 9

3rd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Quincy Casey run for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 11

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+28 yds

Victor Barbosa 28 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete to Dontrell Green II, broken up by Marvin Smith

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.43

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the MVSU 11

3rd & 19Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 7 yds to the MVSU 18

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.35

pass incomplete to Jaxson Davis

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Quincy Casey run for a loss of 1 yard to the MVSU 18

Situational Analysis

Mississippi Valley State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
18 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
11%
9 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Alabama A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
22%
27 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
29%
7 plays
50%
12 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play