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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama A&M by 3.1

Home Win Probability

Alabama State 40%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Alabama State -2.5

Edge: Alabama A&M +2.5 (5.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Alabama A&M
770216
Alabama State
7107731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-1014-1014-2414-3116-31
Alabama StateAlabama A&M

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AAASAAAAASAAASAAASAAASAAASASAAAAASAAASAAASAAASPUNT30ydPUNT2-9ydTD33ydPUNT413ydDOWNS4-29ydTD52ydPUNT35ydPUNT36ydDOWNS622ydPUNT34ydFG946ydTD870ydTD261ydTO313ydTD4-8ydTO829ydPUNT934ydDOWNS516ydMISS722ydTO1052ydTD872ydDOWNS1174ydSAF43yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama A&M and Alabama State
StatisticAlabama A&MAlabama State
Passing22-4017-24
Pass Yards231202
Rush Yards5985
Total Yards290287
Turnovers22
3rd Down3-165-14
Penalties6-429-63
Possession29:5730:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama A&M
passing
Xaiver Lankford
22/40, 231 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Xaiver Lankford
14 CAR, 26 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jacolby Hewitt
5 REC, 86 YDS
Alabama State
passing
Damon Stewart
17/23, 202 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Ja'Won Howell
9 CAR, 52 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kisean Johnson
4 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 yds

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Cameron Young for 7 yds to the AAMU 16

2nd & 3Penalty0 yds

Alabama A&M Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Yards) to the AAMU 6

3rd & 13Pass Reception+3 yds

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Cameron Young for 3 yds to the AAMU 9

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Austin McCready punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Damon Stewart pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Damon Stewart pass complete to AJ Gates for a loss of 4 yards to the AAMU 40

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

STEWART, Damon pass to the right complete for 14 yards to SPARKS, Will caught at the AAM26 and advanced to the AAM26, End of Play. PENALTY ASU Illegal Forward Pass on STEWART, Damon enforced 5 yards from the AAM40 to the AAM45, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 yds

Donovan Eaglin run for 2 yds to the AAMU 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Terrell Gardner for 5 yds to the AAMU 13

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Xavier Lankford run for 1 yd to the AAMU 14

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Alabama A&M Penalty, Delay Of Game (Austin McCready) to the AAMU 9

4th & 7Punt Return Touchdown+48 ydsPPA -10.72

Robert McMinn 48 Yd Punt Return (Jayden John Kick)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.17

Xavier Lankford run for 13 yds to the AAMU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Xavier Lankford run for 2 yds to the AAMU 40

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Alabama A&M Penalty, Delay Of Game (Xavier Lankford) to the AAMU 35

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Donovan Eaglin run for 3 yds to the AAMU 38

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Xavier Lankford pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Austin McCready punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alabama State Penalty, False Start (Colton Adams) to the ALST 26

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

run for no gain to the ALST 26

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Ja'Won Howell run for 1 yd to the ALST 27

3rd & 14Penalty-10 yds

STEWART, Damon pass to the right complete for 9 yards to JOHNSON, Kisean caught at the ASU36 and advanced to the ASU36 (CAMPBELL, Montrell). PENALTY ASU Holding on SHANNON, Jaheim enforced 10 yards from the ASU27 to the ASU17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 24Pass Reception+4 yds

Damon Stewart pass complete to AJ Gates for 4 yds to the ALST 21

4th & 20Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-11 ydsPPA -1.61

run for a loss of 11 yards to the ALST 2 Harrison Tuck fumbled, recovered by AAMU Nikobe Myers [NHPUNT] ASU fumbled snap, TUCK, Harrison rush to the left for a loss of 11 yards, TUCK, Harrison fumbled at ASU10 forced by GRIFFIN, Khalil, recovered by AAM MYERS, Kobe at the ASU10, returned 8 yards to the ASU2, End of Play; ASU turnover on downs, clock 05:33.

1st & 2Rush-6 yds

Xavier Lankford run for a loss of 6 yards to the ALST 8

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Ryan Morrow run for 1 yd to the ALST 7

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

LANKFORD, Xavier pass to the left incomplete intended for HAMBRICK, Keenan thrown to the ASU0. PENALTY ASU Pass Interference on VICTOR, Mikey enforced 5 yards to the ASU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Ryan Morrow run for no gain to the ALST 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Xavier Lankford run for 1 yd to the ALST 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +7.06

Xavier Lankford run for 1 yd for a TD (Victor Barbosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Ja'Won Howell run for 1 yd to the ALST 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Damon Stewart pass complete to Robert McMinn for 5 yds to the ALST 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Damon Stewart pass complete to Robert McMinn for a loss of 1 yard to the ALST 44

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 40 yds, downed at the AAMU 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Donovan Eaglin run for 2 yds to the AAMU 18

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Xavier Lankford run for 4 yds to the AAMU 22

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Xavier Lankford pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Austin McCready punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Marcus Harris II run for no gain to the ALST 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Damon Stewart pass complete to Isaiah Scott for 14 yds to the AAMU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Damon Stewart pass complete to Isaiah Scott for 6 yds to the AAMU 35

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Damon Stewart run for 2 yds to the AAMU 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Damon Stewart pass incomplete

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Marcus Harris II run for no gain to the AAMU 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Xavier Lankford run for 1 yd to the AAMU 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Keenan Hambrick for 6 yds to the AAMU 40

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Ryan Morrow run for a loss of 3 yards to the AAMU 37

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Austin McCready punt for 18 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

AJ Gates run for 9 yds to the AAMU 46

2nd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.62

Marcus Harris II run for 17 yds to the AAMU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

AJ Gates run for no gain to the AAMU 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Damon Stewart pass complete to AJ Gates for a loss of 3 yards to the AAMU 32

3rd & 13Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.31

Damon Stewart pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 19 yds to the AAMU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Damon Stewart pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 5 yds to the AAMU 8

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Alabama State Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Colton Adams) to the AAMU 13

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Damon Stewart run for 4 yds to the AAMU 9

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Damon Stewart pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 yds

Jayden John 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Donovan Eaglin run for 2 yds to the AAMU 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.64

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Bryson Clark for 10 yds to the AAMU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Terrell Gardner for 1 yd to the AAMU 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.32

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Donovan Payne for 12 yds to the ALST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Xavier Lankford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-9 yds

(01:29) LANKFORD, Xavier pass to the left complete for 45 yards to YOUNG, Cameron caught at the ASU49 and advanced to the ASU0, TOUCHDOWN AAM, score nullified by penalty, clock 01:15 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY AAM Illegal Block in the Back enforced 9 yards from the ASU45 to the AAM46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.12

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Donovan Eaglin for 15 yds to the ALST 39

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Xavier Lankford pass incomplete

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +6.81

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Terrell Gardner for 39 yds for a TD (Victor Barbosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Damon Stewart pass complete to Ja'Won Howell for 14 yds to the AAMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +4.10

Damon Stewart pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 47 yds for a TD (Jayden John KICK)

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Marcus Harris II run for 3 yds to the ALST 32

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Damon Stewart run for no gain to the ALST 32

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -3.03

Damon Stewart pass complete to Isaiah Scott for 10 yds Isaiah Scott fumbled, recovered by AAMU Xavier Billingsley [NHSG] STEWART, Damon pass to the right complete for 10 yards to SCOTT, Isaiah caught at the ASU41, SCOTT, Isaiah fumbled at ASU42 forced by BILLINGSLY, Xavier, recovered by AAM BILLINGSLY, Xavier at the ASU42, returned 20 yards to the ASU22 (BOYD, Dominic;BILLINGSLY, Xavier), clock 13:29.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Xavier Lankford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Donovan Eaglin run for 4 yds to the ALST 18

3rd & 6Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.29

Xavier Lankford sacked by Stefon Young-Rolle for a loss of 12 yards to the ALST 30

4th & 18Blocked Field Goal Touchdown+60 ydsPPA -6.67

James Burgess 60 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Jayden John Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LANKFORD, Xavier pass to the right complete for -8 yards to LANKFORD, Xavier caught at the AAM26 and advanced to the AAM27, End of Play. PENALTY AAM Illegal Touch-Pass on LANKFORD, Xavier enforced 5 yards from the AAM35 to the AAM30, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 23Pass Reception+18 yds

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Levar Gumms for 18 yds to the AAMU 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.53

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Cameron Young for 8 yds to the AAMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Xavier Lankford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Xavier Lankford pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.87

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Jacolby Hewitt for 14 yds to the ALST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Donovan Eaglin run for 2 yds to the ALST 36

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Xavier Lankford pass incomplete

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.31

Xavier Lankford pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alabama State Penalty, False Start (Colton Adams) to the ALST 7

1st & 15Rush+3 yds

Ja'Won Howell run for 3 yds to the ALST 10

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 yds

Damon Stewart pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 11 yds to the ALST 21

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.17

Marcus Harris II run for 1 yd to the ALST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.83

Damon Stewart run for a loss of 4 yards to the ALST 18

2nd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Damon Stewart pass complete to Demontrez Brown for 8 yds to the ALST 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.94

Damon Stewart pass complete to AJ Gates for 15 yds to the ALST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

AJ Gates run for 1 yd to the ALST 42

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Marcus Harris II run for 4 yds to the ALST 46

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Damon Stewart pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Terrell Gardner at the AAMU 25

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Ryan Morrow run for 11 yds to the AAMU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Xavier Lankford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Ryan Morrow run for 3 yds to the AAMU 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Ryan Morrow for 2 yds to the AAMU 41

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Xavier Lankford pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(00:25) HOWELL, Ja'Won rush up the middle for a gain of 12 yards to the AAM29 (PAIT, Emari). PENALTY ASU Holding on LEWIS, AJ enforced 10 yards from the AAM41 to the ASU49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Damon Stewart pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Dematrius Davis run for 4 yds to the AAMU 47

3rd & 16Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.83

Damon Stewart pass complete to Dematrius Davis for 22 yds to the AAMU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

run for 6 yds to the AAMU 19

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Damon Stewart pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Ja'Won Howell pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Donovan Eaglin run for 6 yds to the AAMU 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.05

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Keenan Hambrick for 7 yds to the AAMU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Terrell Gardner for 11 yds to the AAMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Keenan Hambrick for 1 yd Keenan Hambrick fumbled, recovered by AAMU [NHSG] LANKFORD, Xavier pass to the left complete for 1 yard to HAMBRICK, Keenan caught at the AAM41, HAMBRICK, Keenan fumbled at AAM45 forced by MADDOX, Adrian out of bounds to the AAM47.

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Xavier Lankford pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Xavier Lankford run for 5 yds to the ALST 48

4th & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.85

Xavier Lankford run for 10 yds to the ALST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Jacolby Hewitt for 5 yds to the ALST 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Xavier Lankford pass incomplete

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -0.39

Xavier Lankford run for 5 yds to the ALST 28 Xavier Lankford fumbled, recovered by ALST Amon Scarbrough [NHSG] LANKFORD, Xavier scrambles to the left for a gain of 5 yards, LANKFORD, Xavier fumbled at ASU32 forced by JACKSON, Cail , recovered by ASU SCARBROUGH, Amon at the ASU28, returned 0 yards to the ASU28, End of Play, clock 09:27.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Marcus Harris II run for 3 yds to the ALST 31

2nd & 7Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.63

Ja'Won Howell run for 21 yds to the AAMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Ja'Won Howell run for 7 yds to the AAMU 41

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Ja'Won Howell run for 5 yds to the AAMU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ja'Won Howell run for no gain to the AAMU 36

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.80

Marcus Harris II run for a loss of 2 yards to the AAMU 38

3rd & 12Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.98

Damon Stewart pass complete to McRae Ellington for 30 yds to the AAMU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +6.66

Ja'Won Howell run for 8 yds for a TD (Jayden John KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Xavier Lankford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.58

Xavier Lankford sacked by Adrian Maddox for a loss of 10 yards to the AAMU 15

3rd & 20Pass Reception+6 yds

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Terrell Gardner for 6 yds to the AAMU 21

4th & 14Pass Reception+27 yds

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Jacolby Hewitt for 27 yds to the AAMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Xavier Lankford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.18

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Jacolby Hewitt for 31 yds to the ALST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Xavier Lankford run for 11 yds to the ALST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Xavier Lankford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Xavier Lankford pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.16

Xavier Lankford pass complete to Jacolby Hewitt for 9 yds to the ALST 1

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.26

Xavier Lankford pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 yds

Dematrius Davis run for no gain to the ALST 1

2nd & 10Rush+3 yds

Nyqua Lett run for 3 yds to the ALST 4

3rd & 7Rush+3 yds

Nyqua Lett run for 3 yds to the ALST 7

4th & 4Penalty0 yds

Alabama State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Nyqua Lett) to the ALST 4

4th & 7Safety0 yds

Team Safety

Situational Analysis

Alabama A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
30%
20 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
36%
14 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Alabama State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
47%
17 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play