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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota by 6.6

Home Win Probability

North Dakota 64%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Illinois State
6301221
North Dakota
0106622

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-63-610-610-9
North DakotaIllinois State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDISNDISNDISNDISNDPUNT3-5ydMISS1539ydPUNT30ydTD967ydFG1260ydPUNT38ydTD773ydFG1466ydTO435yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois State and North Dakota
StatisticIllinois StateNorth Dakota
Passing10-157-12
Pass Yards10971
Rush Yards11192
Total Yards220163
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-101-5
Penalties8-551-5
Possession16:2913:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois State
passing
Tommy Rittenhouse
10/15, 109 YDS
rushing
Mason Blakemore
11 CAR, 58 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Eddie Kasper
3 REC, 47 YDS
North Dakota
passing
Tommy Schuster
7/12, 71 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Gaven Ziebarth
7 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Wesley Eliodor
1 REC, 32 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gaven Ziebarth run for no gain to the UND 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UND 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Mason Blakemore run for 11 yds to the ILST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Mason Blakemore run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.39

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 9 yds to the UND 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Illinois State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UND 46

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Mason Blakemore run for 4 yds to the UND 42

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Cole Mueller for 10 yds to the UND 32

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.46

Cole Mueller run for 3 yds to the UND 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Tommy Rittenhouse run for 2 yds to the UND 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Camo Nelson for 6 yds to the UND 21

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Mason Blakemore run for 3 yds to the UND 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

RITTENHOUSE, Tommy scrambles up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the UND12 (BOECKER, Dylan). PENALTY ISU Holding on BUSSONE, Peter enforced 10 yards from the UND18 to the UND28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Penalty-5 yds

Illinois State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UND 33

1st & 25Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Tommy Rittenhouse run for 8 yds to the UND 25

2nd & 17Penalty-5 yds

Illinois State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UND 30

2nd & 22Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 5 yds to the UND 25

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

4th & 17Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Ian Wagner 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for a loss of 4 yards to the UND 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tommy Schuster run for 4 yds to the UND 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 42 yds, downed at the ILST 33

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Cole Mueller run for 7 yds to the ILST 40

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.04

Cole Mueller run for 12 yds to the UND 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Cole Mueller run for a loss of 4 yards to the ILST 48

2nd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Cam Grandy for 3 yds to the UND 49

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.10

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Cam Grandy for 16 yds to the UND 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Cole Mueller run for 2 yds to the UND 31

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cole Mueller run for 5 yds to the UND 26

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Cole Mueller run for 8 yds to the UND 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Mason Blakemore run for 18 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the UND 27

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Isaiah Smith run for 13 yds to the UND 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the UND 45

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.96

Gaven Ziebarth run for 7 yds to the ILST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.94

Gaven Ziebarth run for 21 yds to the ILST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the ILST 22

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the ILST 20

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Gaven Ziebarth run for 5 yds to the ILST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the ILST 13

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Isaiah Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the ILST 15

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+33 yds

C.J. Elrichs 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Mason Blakemore run for 2 yds to the ILST 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Mason Blakemore run for 1 yd to the ILST 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 5 yds to the ILST 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ian Wagner punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the UND 27

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Gaven Ziebarth run for no gain to the UND 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.42

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 18 yds to the UND 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.61

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 32 yds to the ILST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for no gain to the ILST 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 7 yds to the ILST 16

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the ILST 14

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

Illinois State Penalty, Offsides (LaVoise-Deontae McCoy) to the ILST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Gaven Ziebarth run for 9 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.36

Wenkers Wright run for 8 yds to the ILST 26

3rd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.78

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Cam Grandy for 13 yds to the ILST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Mason Blakemore run for 7 yds to the ILST 46

2nd & 3Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.36

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 25 yds to the UND 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Mason Blakemore run for 6 yds to the UND 23

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.01

Cole Mueller run for 17 yds to the UND 6 Illinois State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UND 33

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Tommy Rittenhouse run for 1 yd to the UND 32

3rd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Cole Mueller run for 1 yd to the UND 31

4th & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.90

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 17 yds to the UND 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mason Blakemore run for 5 yds to the UND 9

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.49

Mason Blakemore run for a loss of 2 yards to the UND 11

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

Illinois State Penalty, Illegal Formation (LaVoise-Deontae McCoy) to the UND 16

4th & 12Field Goal Good+33 yds

Ian Wagner 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Gaven Ziebarth run for 17 yds to the UND 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 5 yds to the UND 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.26

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 13 yds to the ILST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.81

Tommy Schuster pass intercepted, touchback. Mark Cannon Jr. return for no gain

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

Situational Analysis

Illinois State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
14 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th