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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Illinois State by 1.7

Home Win Probability

Illinois State 56%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Illinois State +1.5

Edge: Illinois State +1.5 (3.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Iowa
7140324
Illinois State
770721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-147-2114-2114-2421-24
Illinois StateNorthern Iowa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISNIISNIISNIISNIISNIISNINIISNIISNIISNIISNITO529ydTD854ydTD1075ydTD1375ydPUNT39ydTD777ydTO511ydPUNT3-15ydPUNT36ydTO319ydTD654ydEND24ydTO941ydPUNT417ydMISS941ydDOWNS936ydPUNT30ydPUNT935ydFG1573ydTD1075ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Iowa and Illinois State
StatisticNorthern IowaIllinois State
Passing20-3033-44
Pass Yards289292
Rush Yards10045
Total Yards389337
Turnovers22
3rd Down10-167-14
Penalties6-555-40
Possession36:2223:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Iowa
passing
Theo Day
20/30, 289 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Amauri Pesek-Hickson
30 CAR, 107 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Sam Schnee
5 REC, 82 YDS
Illinois State
passing
Zack Annexstad
33/44, 292 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Mason Blakemore
13 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Cam Grandy
11 REC, 122 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Mason Blakemore run for 9 yds to the ILST 34

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.64

Mason Blakemore run for a loss of 2 yards to the ILST 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 4 yds to the ILST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 7 yds to the ILST 43

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -2.56

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Mason Blakemore for 11 yds Mason Blakemore fumbled, recovered by UNI Cannon Butler [NHSG] ANNEXSTAD, Zack pass deep to the right complete for 11 yards to BLAKEMORE, Mason caught at the UNI36, BLAKEMORE, Mason fumbled at ILS50 forced by DEARMAN, Edwin, recovered by UNI BUTLER, Cannon at the UNI46, returned 0 yards to the UNI46, End of Play, clock 13:06.

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 11 yds to the ILST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

DAY, Theo pass short up the middle incomplete intended for WOLF, Logan broken up by NIEKAMP, Tye at the ILS40. PENALTY UNI Holding on PENNING, Jared enforced 10 yards from the ILS43 to the UNI47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.62

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 27 yds to the ILST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILST 27

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 9 yds to the ILST 18

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 8 yds to the ILST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 7 yds to the ILST 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Camo Nelson for 12 yds to the ILST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 7 yds to the ILST 44

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.24

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 3 yds to the ILST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 12 yds to the UNI 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 9 yds to the UNI 32

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.36

Cole Mueller run for 5 yds to the UNI 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.80

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 26 yds to the UNI 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Cole Mueller run for no gain to the UNI 1

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Zack Annexstad run for 1 yd for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Theo Day run for 8 yds to the UNI 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the UNI 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for no gain to the UNI 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.38

Theo Day pass complete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for 20 yds to the ILST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the ILST 40

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, False Start (Logan Wolf) to the ILST 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 4 yds to the ILST 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.79

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 10 yds to the ILST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Theo Day pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 11 yds to the ILST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.57

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 14 yds to the ILST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the ILST 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Theo Day run for no gain to the ILST 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Amauri Pesek-Hickson 1 Yd Run (Matthew Cook Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 2 yds to the ILST 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Mason Blakemore run for 2 yds to the ILST 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 5 yds to the ILST 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ian Wagner punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 12 yds to the UNI 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.07

Theo Day pass complete to Alex Allen for 11 yds to the UNI 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyjahree Edwards run for no gain to the UNI 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.60

Theo Day pass complete to Tyjahree Edwards for 27 yds to the ILST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.54

Theo Day pass complete to Alex Allen for 20 yds to the ILST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Theo Day pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 7 yds for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Wenkers Wright run for 2 yds to the ILST 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 7 yds to the ILST 37

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.83

Mason Blakemore run for 2 yds to the ILST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.14

Zack Annexstad pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, False Start (Desmond Hutson) to the UNI 46

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Tyjahree Edwards run for no gain to the UNI 46

3rd & 15Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.68

Theo Day sacked by Jalan Gaines for a loss of 10 yards to the UNI 36

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Mason Blakemore run for 4 yds to the ILST 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cole Mueller for 2 yds to the ILST 21

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ian Wagner punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Logan Wolf at the UNI 37

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.99

Theo Day sacked by Jake Anderson for a loss of 8 yards to the UNI 29

2nd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the UNI 32

3rd & 15Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+24 ydsPPA +0.13

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 24 yds Sergio Morancy fumbled, recovered by ILST Jeff Bowens [NHSG] DAY, Theo pass up the middle complete for 24 yards to MORANCY, Sergio caught at the UNI32, MORANCY, Sergio fumbled at ILS46 , recovered by ILS BOWENS, Jeff at the ILS44, returned 2 yards to the ILS46 (WOLF, Logan), clock 03:05.

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 17 yds to the UNI 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.33

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cole Mueller for 11 yds to the UNI 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Mason Blakemore for 2 yds to the UNI 24

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Cole Mueller run for 1 yd to the UNI 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty+15 yds

ANNEXSTAD, Zack pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SOBKOWICZ, Daniel thrown to the UNI0. PENALTY UNI Pass Interference on THOMAS JR., Corry enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the UNI8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Daniel Sobkowicz 8 Yd pass from Zack Annexstad (Ian Wagner Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the UNI 29

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the UNI 36

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the UNI 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.67

Theo Day pass complete to Alex Allen for 16 yds to the ILST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 5 yds to the ILST 42

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Theo Day pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.78

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 12 yds to the ILST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the ILST 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Theo Day pass incomplete

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -3.22

Theo Day pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.29

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 15 yds to the ILST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.00

Mason Blakemore run for a loss of 3 yards to the ILST 36

3rd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Mason Blakemore for 5 yds to the ILST 41

4th & 8Penalty+5 yds

WAGNER, Ian punt 33 yards to the UNI26, fair catch by WOLF, Logan, clock 09:28. PENALTY UNI Running Into the kicker enforced 5 yards from the ILS41 to the ILS46. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Illinois State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Cam Grandy) to the ILST 41

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ian Wagner punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Logan Wolf at the UNI 42

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.33

Theo Day run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the ILST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the ILST 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.85

Theo Day pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 19 yds to the ILST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the ILST 19

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Theo Day pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the ILST 17

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Matthew Cook 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Mason Blakemore run for 6 yds to the ILST 26

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Mason Blakemore run for 9 yds to the ILST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Mason Blakemore run for 2 yds to the ILST 37

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.98

Mason Blakemore run for a loss of 2 yards to the ILST 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.85

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 13 yds to the ILST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mason Blakemore run for 4 yds to the UNI 48

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Illinois State Penalty, False Start (Cam Grandy) to the ILST 47

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 10 yds to the UNI 43

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.76

Mason Blakemore run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 44

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the UNI 47

2nd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Theo Day sacked by LaVoise-Deontae McCoy and Nick Kessler for a loss of 3 yards to the UNI 44

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Theo Day pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cole Mueller run for 5 yds to the ILST 19

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Illinois State Penalty, False Start (Jake Pope) to the ILST 14

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.84

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 6 yds to the ILST 20 for a 1ST down Northern Iowa Penalty, Personal Foul (Corry Thomas Jr.) to the ILST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Camo Nelson for 3 yds to the ILST 38

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Cole Mueller run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILST 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.72

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 12 yds to the ILST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 2 yds to the UNI 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 5 yds to the UNI 44

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

Illinois State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ILST 49

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ian Wagner punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Logan Wolf at the UNI 13

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the UNI 17

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the UNI 22

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.54

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the UNI 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the UNI 25

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 24

3rd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.46

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 28 yds to the ILST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 6 yds to the ILST 42

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the ILST 41

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.41

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 12 yds to the ILST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the ILST 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 7 yds to the ILST 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Theo Day run for 5 yds to the ILST 15

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Theo Day run for 1 yd to the ILST 14

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for no gain to the ILST 14

4th & 4Field Goal Good+31 yds

Matthew Cook 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 17 yds to the ILST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 9 yds to the UNI 49

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.00

Mason Blakemore run for 2 yds to the UNI 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Mason Blakemore for 5 yds to the UNI 42

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.91

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 18 yds to the UNI 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 7 yds to the UNI 17

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.86

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 17 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

[NHSG] Kneel down by UNI at UNI35 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Northern Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
30 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Illinois State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
59%
27 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays