Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 21, 2023Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Youngstown State by 5

Home Win Probability

Youngstown State 60%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Youngstown State -8

Edge: Illinois State +8 (3.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 21, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Illinois State
7217338
Youngstown State
141431041

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-721-1428-2128-2831-3538-3541-38
Youngstown StateIllinois State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISYSISYSISYSISYSISYSISYSISYSISYSYSISYSISYSISYSISYSPUNT3-2ydTD1151ydPUNT32ydPUNT56ydTD779ydTD375ydTD575ydTD675ydTD575ydTD371ydPUNT419ydPUNT34ydPUNT412ydPUNT31ydTD570ydEND560ydPUNT3-6ydTO36ydFG743ydTD1175ydPUNT526ydPUNT53ydTD1344ydFG1157ydFG1055yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois State and Youngstown State
StatisticIllinois StateYoungstown State
Passing23-3616-25
Pass Yards238203
Rush Yards203267
Total Yards441470
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-113-13
Penalties6-755-55
Possession24:5435:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois State
passing
Zack Annexstad
23/36, 238 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Mason Blakemore
17 CAR, 128 YDS
receiving
Daniel Sobkowicz
11 REC, 170 YDS, 3 TD
Youngstown State
passing
Mitch Davidson
16/25, 203 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Tyshon King
24 CAR, 148 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
C.J. Charleston
2 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Mason Blakemore run for a loss of 2 yards to the ILST 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ian Wagner punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Tyshon King run for 9 yds to the ILST 42

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.07

Tyshon King run for 10 yds to the ILST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dra Rushton run for 5 yds to the ILST 27

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds to the ILST 25

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jake Benio for 5 yds to the ILST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Tyshon King run for 8 yds to the ILST 12

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the ILST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Dra Rushton run for 4 yds to the ILST 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Beau Brungard run for 4 yds to the ILST 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tyshon King run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mason Blakemore run for no gain to the ILST 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Mason Blakemore for 2 yds to the ILST 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ian Wagner punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Dra Rushton run for 9 yds to the YSU 43

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds to the YSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(06:01) DAVIDSON, Mitch pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for FARTHING, Joey thrown to the ILS15, clock 05:55. PENALTY YSU Holding on RUSHTON, Dra enforced 10 yards from the YSU45 to the YSU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.70

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Luke Hensley for a loss of 3 yards to the YSU 32

2nd & 23Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the YSU 35

3rd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jake Benio for 5 yds to the YSU 40

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Cole Mueller run for 12 yds to the ILST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Cole Mueller run for 2 yds to the ILST 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.84

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 11 yds to the ILST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(03:07) ANNEXSTAD, Zack pass to the left incomplete intended for SOBKOWICZ, Daniel thrown to the YSU40, clock 03:01. PENALTY YSU Pass Interference on JAKUBEC, Troy enforced 15 yards to the YSU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Cole Mueller run for 3 yds to the YSU 36

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Cole Mueller run for no gain to the YSU 36

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.56

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Jalen Carr for 9 yds to the YSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 27 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the YSU 28

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +6.93

Mitch Davidson pass complete to C.J. Charleston for 72 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 11 yds to the ILST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 12 yds to the ILST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +1.48

Mason Blakemore run for 40 yds to the YSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zack Annexstad run for 5 yds to the YSU 7

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.46

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 7 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Tyshon King run for 11 yds to the YSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Tyshon King run for 16 yds to the ILST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the ILST 45

2nd & 7Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.45

Tyshon King run for 26 yds to the ILST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dra Rushton run for 4 yds to the ILST 15

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.63

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 15 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Cole Mueller run for 6 yds to the ILST 31

3rd & 4Penalty+10 yds

(10:00) ANNEXSTAD, Zack pass up the middle incomplete intended for GRANDY, Cam thrown to the ILS45, clock 09:56. PENALTY YSU Holding on LENTON, Quincy enforced 10 yards from the ILS31 to the ILS41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+54 ydsPPA +3.91

Wenkers Wright run for 54 yds to the YSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Rylan Crawford for 5 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.54

Dra Rushton run for 30 yds to the ILST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Dra Rushton run for 8 yds to the ILST 33

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.59

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Joey Farthing for 33 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Mason Blakemore run for 15 yds to the ILST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Mason Blakemore run for a loss of 3 yards to the ILST 37

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Jalen Carr for 8 yds to the ILST 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Mason Blakemore for a loss of 1 yard to the ILST 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ian Wagner punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Max Tomczak at the YSU 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the YSU 19

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the YSU 23

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds to the YSU 25

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Brendon Kilpatrick) to the YSU 20

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Braden Contreras at the ILST 41

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(03:59) ANNEXSTAD, Zack pass to the right incomplete intended for CONTRERAS, Braden thrown to the ILS50, clock 03:51. PENALTY ILS Holding on GRANDY, Cam enforced 10 yards from the ILS41 to the ILS31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.89

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 20 yds to the YSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Wenkers Wright run for 2 yds to the YSU 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Jalen Carr for no gain to the YSU 47

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ian Wagner punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyshon King run for a loss of 2 yards to the YSU 2

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Dra Rushton run for 1 yd to the YSU 3

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds to the YSU 5

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 51 yds , returns for no gain to the ILST 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Mason Blakemore run for 2 yds to the ILST 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.48

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 19 yds to the YSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 10 yds to the YSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Jalen Carr for 8 yds to the YSU 31

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.52

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 31 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Tyshon King run for 21 yds to the YSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jake Benio for 5 yds to the ILST 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Mitch Davidson pass complete to C.J. Charleston for 9 yds to the ILST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.48

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Dra Rushton for 25 yds to the ILST 15 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyshon King run for no gain to the YSU 24

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.23

Mitch Davidson sacked by Josh Dinga for a loss of 6 yards to the YSU 18

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Braden Contreras at the ILST 45

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Mason Blakemore run for 7 yds to the YSU 48

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.51

Mason Blakemore run for a loss of 1 yard to the YSU 49

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -1.88

Zack Annexstad pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.04

Dra Rushton run for 26 yds to the ILST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds to the ILST 19

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty0 yds

(11:11) DAVIDSON, Mitch pass deep to the left incomplete intended for OLIVER, Bryce thrown to the ILS0, clock 11:02. PENALTY ILS Pass Interference on WHITE, Nigel enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the ILS5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Dra Rushton run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILST 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Andrew Lastovka 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Mason Blakemore run for 30 yds to the YSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Mason Blakemore run for 10 yds to the YSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.32

Mason Blakemore run for 13 yds to the YSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 8 yds to the YSU 14

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Mason Blakemore run for 2 yds to the YSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Mason Blakemore run for a loss of 1 yard to the YSU 13

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.01

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Javon Charles for 11 yds to the YSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Mason Blakemore run for a loss of 1 yard to the YSU 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Camo Nelson for 3 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the YSU 28

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Illinois State Penalty, Personal Foul (LaVoise-Deontae McCoy) to the YSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Dra Rushton for 1 yd to the ILST 49

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 42 yds, downed at the ILST 7

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.38

Cole Mueller run for a loss of 2 yards to the ILST 5

2nd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.72

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 12 yds to the ILST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Cole Mueller run for 4 yds to the ILST 21

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Cole Mueller run for no gain to the ILST 21

3rd & 6Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.33

Zack Annexstad sacked by Dawan Martin for a loss of 11 yards to the ILST 10

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Ian Wagner punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Max Tomczak at the ILST 44

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the ILST 43

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Illinois State Penalty, Offsides (Jalen Carr) to the ILST 38

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.18

Mitch Davidson run for 4 yds to the ILST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds to the ILST 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Colt Sechrest for 4 yds to the ILST 28

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the ILST 25

4th & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Dra Rushton for 9 yds to the ILST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Dra Rushton run for 7 yds to the ILST 9

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Dra Rushton run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILST 10

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Beau Brungard run for 2 yds to the ILST 8

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.09

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the ILST 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the ILST 4

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.49

Beau Brungard run for a loss of 2 yards to the ILST 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Dra Rushton for 6 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Mason Blakemore run for 10 yds to the ILST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Mason Blakemore run for 1 yd to the ILST 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 11 yds to the ILST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Jalen Carr for no gain to the ILST 47

4th & 10Penalty+15 yds

(05:47) WAGNER, Ian punt 30 yards to the YSU23, fair catch by TOMCZAK, Max, clock 05:39. PENALTY YSU Roughing the Kicker on BOWLING, Daryan enforced 15 yards from the ILS47 to the YSU38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.41

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 14 yds to the YSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Mason Blakemore run for 6 yds to the YSU 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+35 yds

Ian Wagner 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyshon King run for 9 yds to the YSU 34

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

(03:26) DAVIDSON, Mitch pass deep to the left incomplete intended for OLIVER, Bryce thrown to the ILS50, clock 03:20. PENALTY ILS Pass Interference on BOWENS, Jeff enforced 15 yards to the YSU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 5 yds to the ILST 46

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Tyshon King run for 8 yds to the ILST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Mitch Davidson run for 3 yds to the ILST 35

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds to the ILST 33

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jake Benio for 4 yds to the ILST 29

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.18

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the ILST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Tyshon King for 8 yds to the ILST 20

3rd & 2Field Goal Good+37 yds

Andrew Lastovka 37 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

Situational Analysis

Illinois State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
52%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
12 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
45%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
4 plays