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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota State by 17.4

Home Win Probability

Illinois State 15%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Illinois State +21

Edge: Illinois State +21 (3.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South Dakota State
20140640
Illinois State
0147021

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-60-137-207-2714-2714-3421-3421-40
Illinois StateSouth Dakota State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSISSDSSDSISSDSISSDSISSDSISSDSISSDSISSDSISSDSISSDSTD988ydPUNT39ydTD387ydTD525ydTD1075ydTD765ydTD965ydTD575ydPUNT521ydEND214ydTD575ydPUNT62ydDOWNS726ydMISS1039ydPUNT38ydTD773ydPUNT522ydDOWNS632ydDOWNS829ydEND527yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Dakota State and Illinois State
StatisticSouth Dakota StateIllinois State
Passing12-1827-34
Pass Yards173171
Rush Yards374122
Total Yards547293
Turnovers12
3rd Down7-117-13
Penalties9-903-15
Possession35:4524:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Dakota State
passing
Mark Gronowski
11/17, 171 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Isaiah Davis
20 CAR, 197 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jaxon Janke
5 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
Illinois State
passing
Zack Annexstad
26/33, 162 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Mason Blakemore
6 CAR, 57 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Daniel Sobkowicz
7 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 9 yds to the SDST 21

2nd & 1Penalty+5 yds

Illinois State Penalty, Offsides (Jalan Gaines) to the SDST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Isaiah Davis run for 9 yds to the SDST 35

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.08

Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the SDST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the SDST 40

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Isaiah Davis run for 6 yds to the SDST 46

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.99

Isaiah Davis run for 12 yds to the ILST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 11 yds to the ILST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 31 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for no gain to the ILST 35

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mason Blakemore run for 5 yds to the ILST 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 4 yds to the ILST 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ian Wagner punt for 43 yds, downed at the SDST 13

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Isaiah Davis run for 9 yds to the SDST 22

2nd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.03

Isaiah Davis run for 18 yds to the SDST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.76

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 60 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ILST 8

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Hunter Dustman kickoff for 58 yds , return for no gain to the ILST 25

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Isaiah Davis run for 8 yds to the ILST 17

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds to the ILST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd to the ILST 13

3rd & 9Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.12

Mark Gronowski run for 13 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for no gain to the ILST 25

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Illinois State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ILST 20

2nd & 15Penalty+5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the ILST 25

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Cole Mueller run for 15 yds to the ILST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 2 yds to the ILST 42

2nd & 8Penalty+10 yds

ANNEXSTAD, Zack sacked for a loss of 7 yards at the ILS35 (DEPRIEST, Jarod;JOHNSON, Caden). PENALTY SDS Holding on BEANUM, Dalys enforced 10 yards from the ILS42 to the SDS48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Cole Mueller run for 3 yds to the SDST 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cole Mueller for 3 yds to the SDST 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.63

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 12 yds to the SDST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.23

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 13 yds to the SDST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 4 yds to the SDST 13

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cole Mueller run for 4 yds to the SDST 9

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.63

Daniel Sobkowicz pass complete to Zack Annexstad for 9 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +2.61

Amar Johnson run for 44 yds to the ILST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the ILST 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 6 yds to the ILST 14

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Isaiah Davis run for 1 yd to the ILST 13

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.71

Mark Gronowski run for 4 yds to the ILST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Isaiah Davis run for 6 yds to the ILST 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 2 yds to the ILST 37

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Mason Blakemore run for 4 yds to the ILST 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.91

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 6 yds to the ILST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Cole Mueller run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.85

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 21 yds to the SDST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.53

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for no gain to the SDST 29

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.77

Zack Annexstad run for 15 yds to the SDST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

BLAKEMORE, Mason rush up the middle for no gain to the SDS14 (DEPRIEST, Jarod;HICKS, Quinton). PENALTY SDS Personal Foul on SPALDING, Graham enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the SDS14 to the SDS7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 7 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Amar Johnson run for 31 yds to the ILST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Mark Gronowski run for 14 yds to the ILST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Amar Johnson run for no gain to the ILST 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 8 yds to the ILST 22

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.92

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 22 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 7 yds to the ILST 25

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.30

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 5 yds to the ILST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 3 yds to the ILST 33

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Cole Mueller run for 6 yds to the ILST 39

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ian Wagner punt for 46 yds, downed at the SDST 15

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Mark Gronowski sacked by Amir Abdullah for a loss of 5 yards to the SDST 10

2nd & 15Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.50

Isaiah Davis run for 19 yds to the SDST 29 for a 1ST down

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Zack Annexstad run for 2 yds to the ILST 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Dalys Beanum) to the SDST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Zack Annexstad run for 4 yds to the SDST 37

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.34

Mason Blakemore run for 37 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Isaiah Davis run for 7 yds to the SDST 32

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Isaiah Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDST 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.66

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 7 yds to the SDST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

DAVIS, Isaiah rush up the middle for a gain of 10 yards to the SDS48 (GEARHART, Dillon;JACKSON, Keondre). PENALTY SDS Unnecessary Roughness on MCCORMICK, Mason enforced 15 yards from the SDS38 to the SDS23 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 25Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Angel Johnson run for 4 yds to the SDST 27

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 5 yds to the ILST 42

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Zack Annexstad run for 3 yds to the ILST 45

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Cole Mueller run for 2 yds to the ILST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.15

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for no gain to the ILST 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 7 yds to the SDST 46

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Cole Mueller run for 1 yd to the SDST 45

4th & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -1.43

Zack Annexstad run for 8 yds to the SDST 37 Zack Annexstad fumbled, recovered by SDST Jason Freeman

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Isaiah Davis run for 11 yds to the SDST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 8 yds to the ILST 44

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Isaiah Davis run for 4 yds to the ILST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaxon Janke pass complete to Mark Gronowski for 2 yds to the ILST 38

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Amar Johnson run for 4 yds to the ILST 34

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.00

Mark Gronowski run for 6 yds to the ILST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Amar Johnson run for 2 yds to the ILST 26

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 2 yds to the ILST 24

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Hunter Dustman 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Mason Blakemore for 3 yds to the ILST 27

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mason Blakemore run for 5 yds to the ILST 32

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ian Wagner punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tucker Large at the SDST 27

1st & 10Rush+63 ydsPPA +3.42

Isaiah Davis run for 73 yds South Dakota State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SDST 35

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.40

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the SDST 36

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.33

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.01

Mark Gronowski run for 2 yds to the SDST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Isaiah Davis run for 11 yds to the SDST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+49 ydsPPA +2.71

Isaiah Davis run for 49 yds to the ILST 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+53 yds

Hunter Dustman kickoff for 53 yds , return for no gain to the ILST 14 , return for no gain to the ILST 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 10 yds to the ILST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ANNEXSTAD, Zack pass to the left incomplete intended for SOBKOWICZ, Daniel broken up by GALES, DyShawn at the ILS38. PENALTY ILS Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 5 yards from the ILS24 to the ILS19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Keondre Jackson for 1 yd to the ILST 20

2nd & 14Penalty+10 yds

ANNEXSTAD, Zack pass to the left incomplete intended for STEWART, I'Shawn thrown to the ILS30; QB hurried by WILSON, Zac. PENALTY SDS Holding on JOHNSON, Caden enforced 10 yards from the ILS20 to the ILS30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Mason Blakemore run for 6 yds to the ILST 36

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Mason Blakemore run for no gain to the ILST 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ian Wagner punt for 49 yds, downed at the SDST 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 7 yds to the SDST 22

2nd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.03

Amar Johnson run for 14 yds to the SDST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Amar Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDST 34

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Amar Johnson run for 3 yds to the SDST 37

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Amar Johnson run for 8 yds to the SDST 45

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -0.75

run for 2 yds to the SDST 47 fumbled, recovered by ILST LaVoise-Deontae McCoy

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 13 yds to the SDST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Braden Contreras for 7 yds to the SDST 27

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Cole Mueller run for 2 yds to the SDST 25

3rd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.36

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 10 yds to the SDST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cole Mueller run for 4 yds to the SDST 11

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -3.69

Zack Annexstad sacked by Cade Terveer for a loss of 7 yards to the SDST 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Angel Johnson run for 4 yds to the SDST 22

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Angel Johnson run for 9 yds to the SDST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Angel Johnson run for 9 yds to the SDST 40

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Angel Johnson run for 5 yds to the SDST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

[SG] Kneel down by SDS at SDS45 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

South Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
63%
30 plays
2nd
33%
9 plays
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

Illinois State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
55%
11 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play