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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Illinois State by 4.3

Home Win Probability

Illinois State 59%

Market (Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado))

Illinois State -21

Edge: Lindenwood +21 (16.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Lindenwood
0143017
Illinois State
137141448

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842566-013-013-720-1427-1734-1741-1748-17
Illinois StateLindenwood

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LINISLINISLINISLINISLINISLINISLINISISLINISLINISLINISLINPUNT39ydTD1065ydPUNT32ydTD1161ydPUNT416ydTO549ydTD1267ydTD375ydTD378ydPUNT31ydPUNT4-5ydPUNT37ydPUNT627ydEND2-9ydTD972ydFG1371ydTD1384ydTO741ydTD766ydPUNT39ydTD1280ydEND314yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Lindenwood and Illinois State
StatisticLindenwoodIllinois State
Passing13-2230-37
Pass Yards192318
Rush Yards122203
Total Yards314521
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-147-11
Penalties7-714-35
Possession27:1632:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Lindenwood
passing
Cole Dugger
13/22, 192 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Robert Giaimo
24 CAR, 95 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jeff Caldwell
5 REC, 138 YDS, 1 TD
Illinois State
passing
Zack Annexstad
26/33, 288 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Josh Robinson
8 CAR, 84 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Daniel Sobkowicz
5 REC, 99 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cole Dugger pass complete to Ronnie Thomas Jr. for no gain to the LIN 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Cole Dugger pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 9 yds to the LIN 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Robert Giaimo run for no gain to the LIN 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Patrick Turner punt for 31 yds, downed at the ILST 35

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Zack Annexstad run for no gain to the ILST 35

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Cole Mueller run for 6 yds to the ILST 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.73

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 4 yds to the ILST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.54

Zack Annexstad pass complete to I'Shawn Stewart for 28 yds to the LIN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Braden Contreras for 8 yds to the LIN 19

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.25

Cole Mueller run for 2 yds to the LIN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Cole Mueller run for 11 yds to the LIN 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Zack Annexstad run for 1 yd to the LIN 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Cole Mueller run for 5 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Robert Giaimo run for no gain to the LIN 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Robert Giaimo run for 2 yds to the LIN 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Cole Dugger pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Patrick Turner punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Cole Mueller run for 3 yds to the ILST 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.14

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 19 yds to the LIN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Wenkers Wright for 6 yds to the LIN 33

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.12

Wenkers Wright run for 5 yds to the LIN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.51

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Wenkers Wright for no gain to the LIN 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.37

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 13 yds to the LIN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Illinois State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LIN 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 9 yds to the LIN 11

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.91

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 11 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Cole Dugger pass complete to Robert Giaimo for 10 yds to the LIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Robert Giaimo run for 6 yds to the LIN 41

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Cole Dugger pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Cole Dugger pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Patrick Turner punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Eddie Kasper at the ILST 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 8 yds to the ILST 26

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.04

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 4 yds to the ILST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Jalen Carr for 6 yds to the ILST 36

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.66

Josh Robinson run for 5 yds to the ILST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ANNEXSTAD, Zack pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SOBKOWICZ, Daniel broken up by HINES, Wesley at the LIN18. PENALTY LIN Pass Interference on HINES, Wesley enforced 15 yards to the LIN44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -3.59

Josh Robinson run for 11 yds to the LIN 33 Josh Robinson fumbled, recovered by LIN Jayden Patrick

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Robert Giaimo run for 4 yds to the LIN 37

2nd & 6Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.49

Robert Giaimo run for 25 yds to the ILST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Robert Giaimo run for 5 yds to the ILST 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Cole Dugger pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.18

Cole Dugger pass complete to Spencer Redd for 12 yds to the ILST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Cole Dugger pass complete to Spencer Redd for 7 yds to the ILST 14

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Robert Giaimo run for 1 yd to the ILST 13

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Cole Dugger run for 1 yd to the ILST 12

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.51

Cole Dugger run for 1 yd to the ILST 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Robert Giaimo run for 8 yds to the ILST 3

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Robert Giaimo run for no gain to the ILST 3

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.55

Robert Giaimo run for 3 yds for a TD (Logan Seibert KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 14 yds to the ILST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.86

Cole Mueller run for a loss of 5 yards to the ILST 34

2nd & 15Penalty+4 yds

ANNEXSTAD, Zack pass short up the middle incomplete intended for KASPER, Eddie thrown to the ILS39. PENALTY LIN Pass Interference on GRIFFIN, Tyrone enforced at the spot of the foul for 4 yards to the ILS38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +4.95

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 62 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Ian Wagner kickoff for 60 yds , return for no gain to the LIN 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Robert Giaimo run for 4 yds to the LIN 26

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Robert Giaimo run for 1 yd to the LIN 27

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +6.85

Cole Dugger pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 73 yds for a TD (Logan Seibert KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 3 yds to the ILST 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Zack Annexstad run for 3 yds to the ILST 31

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

ANNEXSTAD, Zack pass to the right complete for 7 yards to KASPER, Eddie caught at the ILS38 and advanced to the ILS38 (BOLDEN, Darion). PENALTY Before the snap, ILS Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the ILS31 to the ILS26. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ian Wagner punt for 51 yds, downed at the LIN 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Robert Giaimo run for 2 yds to the LIN 15

2nd & 8Penalty-2 yds

Lindenwood Penalty, Offensive Holding (Gareth Warren) to the LIN 3

2nd & 15Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.09

Cole Dugger sacked by Josh Dinga for a loss of 2 yards to the LIN 6

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Patrick Turner punt for 66 yds, downed at the ILST 26

3rd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.01

Cole Dugger run for 2 yds to the LIN 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Cole Mueller run for 3 yds to the ILST 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 4 yds to the ILST 33

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ian Wagner punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Spencer Redd at the LIN 31

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Illinois State Penalty, Personal Foul (Nigel White) to the ILST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Cole Dugger pass complete to Jalen Bethany for 8 yds to the ILST 41

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Robert Giaimo run for 3 yds to the ILST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Cole Dugger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Cole Dugger pass complete to Robert Giaimo for 2 yds to the ILST 36

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.09

Cole Dugger sacked by Tye Niekamp for a loss of 6 yards to the ILST 42

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Patrick Turner punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.95

Zack Annexstad sacked by Kobe McClendon for a loss of 10 yards to the ILST 10

0th & 20End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 20Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cole Mueller for 1 yd to the ILST 11

1st & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Jalen Carr for 11 yds to the ILST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Cole Mueller run for 4 yds to the ILST 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.10

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 6 yds to the ILST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Cole Mueller run for 6 yds to the LIN 45

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Cole Mueller run for 3 yds to the LIN 42

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Cole Mueller run for 3 yds to the LIN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +0.94

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cam Grandy for 32 yds to the LIN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Jalen Carr for 6 yds to the LIN 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Cole Mueller run for 1 yd for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Robert Giaimo run for 3 yds to the LIN 28

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Robert Giaimo run for 7 yds to the LIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Robert Giaimo run for 2 yds to the LIN 37

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.69

Cole Dugger run for 9 yds to the LIN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.25

Cole Dugger pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 20 yds to the ILST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.34

Robert Giaimo run for 16 yds to the ILST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Cole Dugger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Robert Giaimo run for 8 yds to the ILST 10

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.18

Cole Dugger run for 7 yds to the ILST 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jared Rhodes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILST 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jared Rhodes run for no gain to the ILST 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Cole Dugger pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Logan Seibert 21 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Logan Seibert kickoff for 47 yds , return for no gain to the ILST 16

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cole Mueller run for 5 yds to the ILST 21

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Cole Mueller run for 2 yds to the ILST 23

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.05

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 6 yds to the ILST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Zack Annexstad run for 6 yds to the ILST 35

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.55

Cole Mueller run for 4 yds to the ILST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Lindenwood Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Ethan Stuhlsatz) to the LIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cole Mueller run for 5 yds to the LIN 40

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Cole Mueller run for 5 yds to the LIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Josh Robinson for 4 yds to the LIN 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 2 yds to the LIN 29

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.74

Josh Robinson run for 4 yds to the LIN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

ANNEXSTAD, Zack pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SOBKOWICZ, Daniel thrown to the LIN0. PENALTY LIN Holding on BLAYLOCK, Taylen enforced 10 yards from the LIN25 to the LIN15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.34

Eddie Kasper run for 13 yds to the LIN 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Josh Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Cole Dugger run for 10 yds to the LIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cole Dugger pass complete to Robert Giaimo for 5 yds to the LIN 40

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Robert Giaimo run for 1 yd to the LIN 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.24

Cole Dugger pass complete to Spencer Redd for 10 yds to the ILST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.06

Cole Dugger pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 24 yds to the ILST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Cole Dugger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-9 ydsPPA -3.85

run for a loss of 9 yards to the ILST 34 Cole Dugger fumbled, recovered by ILST Keondre Jackson

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Cole Mueller run for 1 yd to the ILST 35

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Josh Robinson run for 5 yds to the ILST 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.99

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Braden Contreras for 7 yds to the ILST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.95

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Braden Contreras for 14 yds to the LIN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.74

Josh Robinson run for 37 yds to the LIN 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Zack Annexstad run for 2 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Robert Giaimo run for no gain to the LIN 25

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Cole Dugger run for 9 yds to the LIN 34

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cole Dugger pass incomplete

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Patrick Turner punt for 66 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Tommy Rittenhouse run for 9 yds to the ILST 29

2nd & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Josh Robinson run for 16 yds to the ILST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Brad Vierneisel for 1 yd to the ILST 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.01

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Brad Vierneisel for 14 yds to the LIN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Tommy Rittenhouse run for 6 yds to the LIN 34

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.29

Cal Martine run for 13 yds to the LIN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Brad Vierneisel for 8 yds to the LIN 13

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.25

Josh Robinson run for 4 yds to the LIN 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Tommy Rittenhouse run for 4 yds to the LIN 5

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tommy Rittenhouse run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIN 7

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cal Martine run for 4 yds to the LIN 3

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +3.01

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Max Ziebarth for 7 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Robert Giaimo run for 1 yd to the LIN 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jared Rhodes run for 1 yd to the LIN 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Cole Dugger pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 12 yds to the LIN 39 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Lindenwood

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
23 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Illinois State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
57%
35 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
64%
11 plays
63%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play