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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6

House Prediction

Model Margin

Princeton by 15

Home Win Probability

Princeton 80%

Market (Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado))

Princeton -5.5

Edge: Princeton -5.5 (9.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Lafayette
370212
Princeton
90009

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-33-39-39-109-12
PrincetonLafayette

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LAFPRILAFPRILAFPRILAFPRILAFPRILAFPRILAFPRIPRILAFPRILAFPRILAFPRILAFFG952ydFG757ydPUNT34ydDOWNS42ydPUNT3-6ydTD574ydPUNT48ydDOWNS41ydDOWNS49ydPUNT39ydPUNT627ydPUNT3-1ydTD1046ydEND1-2ydTO1655ydPUNT520ydPUNT1261ydPUNT36ydMISS621ydPUNT1247ydSAF2-4ydEND412yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Lafayette and Princeton
StatisticLafayettePrinceton
Passing20-2826-35
Pass Yards177310
Rush Yards883
Total Yards265313
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-173-13
Penalties5-456-50
Possession29:5630:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Lafayette
passing
Dean DeNobile
20/28, 177 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jamar Curtis
22 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
Elijah Steward
5 REC, 66 YDS
Princeton
passing
Blake Stenstrom
26/35, 310 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
receiving
AJ Barber
7 REC, 156 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 5 yds to the LAF 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 6 yds to the LAF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Elijah Steward

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the LAF 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.76

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 36 yds to the PRIN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 1 yd to the PRIN 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Mason Gilbert

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the PRIN 23

4th & 8Field Goal Good+40 yds

Jack Simonetta 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Darren Wu kickoff for 60 yds , Dareion Murphy return for 27 yds to the PRIN 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Matthew Mahoney for 9 yds to the PRIN 41

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

John Volker run for 2 yds to the PRIN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +1.92

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 43 yds to the LAF 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

John Volker run for no gain to the LAF 14

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 3 yds to the LAF 11

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Luke Colella

4th & 7Field Goal Good+29 yds

Jeffrey Sexton 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Dean DeNobile sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 24

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the LAF 26

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Dean DeNobile run for 3 yds to the LAF 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PRIN 39

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Blake Stenstrom run for 4 yds to the PRIN 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Ja'Derris Carr for 3 yds to the PRIN 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 2 yds to the PRIN 48

4th & 1Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.97

Blaine Hipa sacked by A.T. Ntantang for a loss of 7 yards to the PRIN 41

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the PRIN 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Mason Gilbert

3rd & 6Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Denobile,Dean pass complete short middle to Persing,Carson for 14 yards to the PRIN23 (Fischer,Jackson) PENALTY LAFA Pass Interference (Gilbert,Mason) 15 yards from PRIN37 to LAFA48. NO PLAY.

3rd & 21Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jamar Curtis run for 5 yds to the PRIN 47

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PRIN 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dareion Murphy for 3 yds to the PRIN 29

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Dareion Murphy run for 3 yds to the PRIN 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +4.04

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 57 yds to the LAF 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Matthew Mahoney

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.81

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Luke Colella for 11 yds for a TD (Jeffrey Sexton PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Lafayette Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LAF 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 10 yds to the LAF 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dean DeNobile run for 4 yds to the LAF 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the LAF 33

4th & 2Punt+12 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 34 yds , AJ Barber returns for 12 yds to the PRIN 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

John Volker run for 2 yds to the PRIN 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Tamatoa Falatea for 6 yds to the LAF 47

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

John Volker run for no gain to the LAF 47

4th & 2Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.25

Blake Stenstrom sacked by Billy Shaeffer for a loss of 7 yards to the PRIN 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 5 yds to the PRIN 41

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Dean DeNobile run for 3 yds to the PRIN 38

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jermaine Conyers run for 1 yd to the PRIN 37

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.34

Jermaine Conyers run for no gain to the PRIN 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Caden Dumas for 6 yds to the PRIN 43

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

John Volker run for 2 yds to the PRIN 45

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Blake Stenstrom run for 1 yd to the PRIN 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Brady Clark punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Gabe DuBois at the LAF 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 8 yds to the LAF 27

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Jamar Curtis run for 5 yds to the LAF 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Jamar Curtis run for 11 yds to the LAF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 5 yds to the LAF 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Chris Carasia

3rd & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Dean DeNobile sacked by Nicholas Sanker for a loss of 2 yards to the LAF 46

4th & 7Punt+6 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 44 yds , AJ Barber returns for 6 yds to the PRIN 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Blake Stenstrom run for 3 yds to the PRIN 19

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Ja'Derris Carr

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.22

Blake Stenstrom sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the PRIN 15

4th & 11Punt+6 yds

Brady Clark punt for 37 yds , Elijah Steward returns for 6 yds to the PRIN 46

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the PRIN 44

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Dean DeNobile run for 1 yd to the PRIN 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Gilbert for 11 yds to the PRIN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Denobile,Dean pass incomplete deep right to Carasia,Chris PENALTY LAFA Holding (Collins,Reed) 10 yards from PRIN32 to PRIN42. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Jamar Curtis for 8 yds to the PRIN 27

1st & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 7 yds to the PRIN 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Gilbert for 7 yds to the PRIN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 4 yds to the PRIN 16

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY PRIN Offside (Robinson,London) 5 yards from PRIN16 to PRIN11. NO PLAY.

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY LAFA False Start (Gilbert,Mason) 5 yards from PRIN11 to PRIN16. NO PLAY.

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 5 yds to the PRIN 11

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.37

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the PRIN 15

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.43

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Gilbert for 15 yds for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Darren Wu kickoff for 59 yds , Dareion Murphy return for 24 yds to the PRIN 30

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Kneel down by Princeton at PRIN28 for loss of 2 yards.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 9 yds AJ Barber fumbled, recovered by LAF John Volker

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

John Volker run for no gain to the PRIN 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

John Volker run for no gain to the PRIN 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

John Volker run for 3 yds to the PRIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 10 yds to the PRIN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY PRIN False Start (Dumas,Caden) 5 yards from PRIN47 to PRIN42. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 5 yds to the PRIN 47

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Blake Stenstrom run for 4 yds to the LAF 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Matthew Mahoney for 5 yds to the LAF 44

4th & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +2.10

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Tyler Picinic for 3 yds to the LAF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.54

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Luke Colella for 16 yds to the LAF 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.63

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to John Volker for 7 yds to the LAF 18 Princeton Penalty, Personal Foul (Tyler Picinic) to the LAF 33

1st & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Luke Colella for 11 yds to the LAF 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to John Volker for 10 yds to the LAF 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

John Volker run for 1 yd to the LAF 11

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY PRIN False Start (Picinic,Tyler) 5 yards from LAFA11 to LAFA16. NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Tyler Picinic

3rd & 14Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.54

Blake Stenstrom sacked by Billy Shaeffer for a loss of 4 yards to the LAF 20 Blake Stenstrom fumbled, recovered by LAF Blamassi Meite , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Dean DeNobile run for 2 yds to the LAF 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.60

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 14 yds to the LAF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Chris Carasia

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the LAF 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Carson Persing

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 57 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Ja'Derris Carr run for 9 yds to the PRIN 12

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Ja'Derris Carr run for 3 yds to the PRIN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 4 yds to the PRIN 11

2nd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.63

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Ja'Derris Carr for 13 yds to the PRIN 24

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.76

Ja'Derris Carr run for 4 yds to the PRIN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.32

Blake Stenstrom sacked by Tim O'Hearn for a loss of 7 yards to the PRIN 21

2nd & 17Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.18

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dareion Murphy for 8 yds to the PRIN 29

3rd & 9Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.76

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 30 yds to the LAF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.66

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 24 yds to the LAF 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to AJ Barber

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

Princeton Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jo Jo Hawkins) to the LAF 32

3rd & 25Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.04

Blake Stenstrom sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the LAF 36

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Blake Stenstrom punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the LAF 8

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the LAF 11

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Chris Carasia

4th & 4Punt+10 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 40 yds , AJ Barber returns for 10 yds to the LAF 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 5 yds to the LAF 36

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.52

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Matthew Mahoney for 15 yds to the LAF 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

John Volker run for 1 yd to the LAF 20

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Luke Colella

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Jo Jo Hawkins

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Jeffrey Sexton 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Jamar Curtis run for 7 yds to the LAF 27

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Chris Carasia

3rd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.03

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Gilbert for 14 yds to the LAF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the LAF 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 5 yds to the LAF 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.71

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 6 yds to the PRIN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Dean DeNobile run for 6 yds to the PRIN 40

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the PRIN 37

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.90

Jamar Curtis run for 14 yds to the PRIN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Curtis,Jamar rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PRIN22 (Sanker,Nicholas; Owens,Tahj) PENALTY LAFA Illegal Formation 5 yards from PRIN23 to PRIN28. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Jamar Curtis for 5 yds to the PRIN 23

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the PRIN 24

3rd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.61

Dean DeNobile sacked by Ozzie Nicholas for a loss of 9 yards to the PRIN 33

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Dean DeNobile punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Tyler Picinic

2nd & 10Safety-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Blake Stenstrom sacked by Blamassi Meite for a loss of 4 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the PRIN 31

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the PRIN 30

3rd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.11

Jamar Curtis run for 11 yds to the PRIN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.63

Kneel down by Lafayette at PRIN22 for loss of 3 yards.

Situational Analysis

Lafayette

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
19 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
22%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Princeton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
23 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
4 plays