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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Lafayette by 3.6

Home Win Probability

Lafayette 55%

Market (Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado))

Lafayette +7

Edge: Lafayette +7 (10.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Monmouth
338620
Lafayette
777728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-314-314-621-628-1428-20
LafayetteMonmouth

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LAFLAFMONLAFMONLAFMONLAFMONMONLAFMONLAFMONLAFMONLAFMONLAFTD1142ydPUNT3-2ydFG1016ydTD1375ydTO1-1ydTD13ydPUNT610ydPUNT617ydFG1179ydTD415ydTD885ydPUNT54ydTD39ydTD536ydTD1074ydDOWNS524ydTD30ydTD1680ydDOWNS49yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Monmouth and Lafayette
StatisticMonmouthLafayette
Passing21-3310-14
Pass Yards234110
Rush Yards59206
Total Yards293316
Turnovers20
3rd Down6-167-13
Penalties10-605-39
Possession33:0426:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Monmouth
passing
Marquez McCray
21/32, 234 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jaden Shirden
16 CAR, 41 YDS
receiving
Dymere Miller
10 REC, 121 YDS, 2 TD
Lafayette
passing
Dean DeNobile
10/14, 110 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jamar Curtis
28 CAR, 143 YDS
receiving
Griffin Rooney
1 REC, 29 YDS

Play-by-Play

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the MONM 38

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.18

Jamar Curtis run for 10 yds to the MONM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jermaine Conyers run for 2 yds to the MONM 26

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Dean DeNobile run for 1 yd to the MONM 25

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Dean DeNobile run for 5 yds to the MONM 20

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.89

Jamar Curtis run for 5 yds to the MONM 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Curtis,Jamar rush left for 5 yards gain to the MONMOU10 (Wright,Tyrese), out of bounds PENALTY LAFAY Holding (Langsdale,Ryder) 10 yards from MONMOU15 to MONMOU25. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY LAFAY False Start 5 yards from MONMOU25 to MONMOU30. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Penalty+13 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Denobile,Dean pass incomplete short left to Steward,Elijah PENALTY MONMOU Pass Interference (Reid,Mike) 13 yards from MONMOU30 to MONMOU17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jermaine Conyers run for no gain to the MONM 17

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Dean DeNobile run for 6 yds to the MONM 11

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.60

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the MONM 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jamar Curtis run for 6 yds to the MONM 1

2nd & 1Penalty0 yds

PENALTY MONMOU Offside (Colclough,Antonio). NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Marquez McCray pass incomplete to Dymere Miller

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jamir Barnes run for 4 yds to the MONM 21

3rd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.30

Marquez McCray run for 19 yds to the MONM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MONMOU False Start (Williams,Tyler) 5 yards from MONMOU40 to MONMOU35. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.19

Marquez McCray sacked by Preston Forney for a loss of 6 yards to the MONM 29

2nd & 21Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Jaden Shirden run for 3 yds to the MONM 32

3rd & 18Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MONMOU False Start (Kearney,Assanti) 5 yards from MONMOU32 to MONMOU27. NO PLAY.

3rd & 23Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.05

Marquez McCray pass complete to Makhi Green for no gain to the MONM 27

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Luke Schabel punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Gabe DuBois at the LAF 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jamar Curtis run for no gain to the LAF 16

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the LAF 14

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Elijah Steward

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jaden Shirden run for 2 yds to the LAF 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Marquez McCray pass complete to Assanti Kearney for 7 yds to the LAF 36

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.52

Jaden Shirden run for 1 yd to the LAF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jaden Shirden run for 6 yds to the LAF 29

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Jaden Shirden run for 1 yd to the LAF 28

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.59

Jaden Shirden run for 4 yds to the LAF 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.56

Marquez McCray sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the LAF 32

2nd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Sone Ntoh run for 3 yds to the LAF 29

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Marquez McCray pass incomplete to Ashanti Caviness Jr.

4th & 15Field Goal Good+47 yds

Michael Calton Jr. 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 8 yds to the LAF 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the LAF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 3 yds to the LAF 38

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.73

Jamar Curtis run for 11 yds to the LAF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 8 yds to the MONM 43

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Dean DeNobile run for 2 yds to the MONM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jamar Curtis run for no gain to the MONM 41

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jamar Curtis run for no gain to the MONM 41

3rd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.53

Dean DeNobile run for 20 yds to the MONM 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Jermaine Conyers

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jermaine Conyers run for 2 yds to the MONM 19

3rd & 8Penalty+8 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Denobile,Dean pass incomplete short right to Carasia,Chris PENALTY MONMOU Pass Interference (Reid,Mike) 8 yards from MONMOU19 to MONMOU11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the MONM 9

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.69

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 9 yds for a TD (Jakob Trestik KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -2.82

Jaden Shirden run for 1 yd to the MONM 45 Jaden Shirden fumbled, recovered by MONM Saiku White

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -2.82

Jaden Shirden run for 1 yd to the MONM 45 Jaden Shirden fumbled, recovered by MONM Saiku White

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the MONM 42

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Dean DeNobile run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Jamar Curtis for 3 yds to the LAF 33

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the LAF 37

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.70

Dean DeNobile run for 6 yds to the LAF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the LAF 45

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Dean DeNobile run for 3 yds to the LAF 42

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jamar Curtis run for 5 yds to the LAF 47

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaden Shirden run for 2 yds to the MONM 3

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaden Shirden run for 6 yds to the MONM 9

3rd & 2Penalty-4 yds

PENALTY MONMOU False Start (Anderson,Greg) 4 yards from MONMOU09 to MONMOU05. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.64

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 26 yds to the MONM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jaden Shirden run for 4 yds to the MONM 35

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaden Shirden run for 3 yds to the MONM 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.62

Marquez McCray pass complete to Jack Neri for 17 yds to the LAF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Marquez McCray run for 1 yd to the LAF 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Marquez McCray pass complete to Jaden Shirden for 11 yds to the LAF 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.29

Marquez McCray pass complete to Sone Ntoh for 13 yds to the LAF 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Marquez McCray pass incomplete to Jack Neri

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+36 yds

Michael Calton Jr. 36 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Marquez McCray pass complete to Makhi Green for 16 yds to the MONM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Marquez McCray pass incomplete to Dymere Miller

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jaden Shirden run for 6 yds to the MONM 35

3rd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Marquez McCray pass complete to Jaden Shirden for 5 yds to the MONM 40

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Luke Schabel punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LAF 15

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Dean DeNobile run for 11 yds to the LAF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.17

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Gilbert for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Jamar Curtis run for 12 yds to the MONM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Elijah Steward

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Nahjee Adams run for 2 yds to the MONM 36

3rd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.23

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Griffin Rooney for 29 yds to the MONM 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Nahjee Adams run for 4 yds to the MONM 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Dean DeNobile run for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Marquez McCray pass complete to Assanti Kearney for 12 yds to the MONM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Jaden Shirden run for 11 yds to the MONM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaden Shirden run for 5 yds to the MONM 44

2nd & 15Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun McCray,Marquez pass complete short right to Ntoh,Sone for 6 yards to the MONMOU50 (Brown,Neriyan; White,Saiku) PENALTY MONMOU Holding (Hawkins,Adrian) 10 yards from MONMOU44 to MONMOU34. NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 3 yds to the MONM 37

3rd & 22Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.18

Marquez McCray sacked by Blamassi Meite for a loss of 7 yards to the MONM 30

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Luke Schabel punt for 69 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Darren Wu kickoff for 55 yds , Makhi Green return for 16 yds to the MONM 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the LAF 5

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Jamar Curtis run for no gain to the LAF 5

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jamar Curtis run for 5 yds to the LAF 10

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Marquez McCray pass incomplete to Assanti Kearney

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Sone Ntoh run for 5 yds to the LAF 31

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Sone Ntoh run for 4 yds to the LAF 27

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.17

Sone Ntoh run for 7 yds to the LAF 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Dymere Miller 20 Yd pass from Marquez McCray (Marquez McCray Pass to Jack Neri for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Vincenzo Rea kickoff for 63 yds , Jermaine Conyers return for 24 yds to the LAF 26

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Jamar Curtis run for 27 yds to the MONM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.77

Jamar Curtis run for 16 yds to the MONM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the MONM 29

2nd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.07

Dean DeNobile sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the MONM 31

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 12 yds to the MONM 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the MONM 15

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Chris Carasia

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.59

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Jermaine Conyers for 6 yds to the MONM 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jermaine Conyers run for 1 yd to the MONM 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 8 yds for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 17 yds to the MONM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaden Shirden run for 5 yds to the MONM 47

2nd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Marquez McCray sacked by Tim O'Hearn for a loss of 3 yards to the MONM 44

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jaden Shirden run for 5 yds to the MONM 49

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Marquez McCray pass incomplete to Assanti Kearney

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY LAFAY False Start (Steward,Elijah) 5 yards from MONMOU49 to LAFAY46. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jamar Curtis run for no gain to the LAF 46

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Jamar Curtis run for 6 yds to the MONM 44

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY LAFAY Delay Of Game 5 yards from MONMOU44 to MONMOU49. NO PLAY.

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Marquez McCray pass complete to Rodney Nelson for 1 yd to the MONM 19

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Rodney Nelson run for 4 yds to the MONM 23

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MONMOU False Start (Gatling,Ed) 5 yards from MONMOU23 to MONMOU18. NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Rodney Nelson run for 3 yds to the MONM 21

4th & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.87

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 12 yds to the MONM 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MONMOU False Start 5 yards from MONMOU33 to MONMOU28. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Marquez McCray pass incomplete to Jack Neri

2nd & 15Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.47

Marquez McCray pass complete to Assanti Kearney for 27 yds to the LAF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.32

Marquez McCray sacked by De'Marion McCoy for a loss of 6 yards to the MONM 49

2nd & 16Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.93

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 19 yds to the LAF 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Marquez McCray run for 2 yds to the LAF 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Marquez McCray pass incomplete to Jack Neri

3rd & 8Penalty+14 yds

Lafayette Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the LAF 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Marquez McCray pass incomplete to Dymere Miller

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 7 yds to the LAF 7

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.21

Rodney Nelson run for 4 yds to the LAF 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Rodney Nelson run for 1 yd to the LAF 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jermaine Conyers run for 2 yds to the MONM 38

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Jamar Curtis run for 7 yds to the MONM 31

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Dean DeNobile run for no gain to the MONM 31

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.89

Dallas Holmes run for no gain to the MONM 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Marquez McCray pass complete to Austin Castorina for 6 yds to the MONM 37

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Marquez McCray pass incomplete to Assanti Kearney

3rd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.94

Marquez McCray sacked by Tim O'Hearn for a loss of 6 yards to the MONM 31

4th & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.66

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 11 yds to the MONM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Marquez McCray pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.30

Marquez McCray sacked by Jaylon Joseph for a loss of 5 yards to the MONM 37

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Marquez McCray pass incomplete

4th & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA +0.23

Marquez McCray pass complete to Assanti Kearney for 4 yds Assanti Kearney fumbled, recovered by MONM Preston Forney

4th & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA +0.23

Marquez McCray pass complete to Assanti Kearney for 4 yds Assanti Kearney fumbled, recovered by MONM Preston Forney

Situational Analysis

Monmouth

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
26 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
67%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
17%
6 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays

Lafayette

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
36%
14 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays