Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 21, 2023Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Holy Cross by 14.6

Home Win Probability

Holy Cross 81%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Holy Cross -14.5

Edge: Holy Cross -14.5 (0.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 21, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Lafayette
14710738
Holy Cross
70141435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-147-2121-3128-38
Holy CrossLafayette

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HCLAFHCLAFHCLAFHCLAFHCLAFHCLAFHCLAFHCLAFHCLAFHCLAFPUNT35ydTD763ydTD875ydTD975ydPUNT715ydTD582ydDOWNS1035ydMISS540ydUncategorized410ydPUNT3-5ydDOWNS6-2ydFG1547ydTD379ydTD251ydTD1175ydDOWNS770ydTD995ydTD975ydTD975ydUncategorized3-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Lafayette and Holy Cross
StatisticLafayetteHoly Cross
Passing12-177-21
Pass Yards26285
Rush Yards236429
Total Yards498514
Turnovers00
3rd Down8-135-14
Penalties2-204-35
Possession30:5029:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Lafayette
passing
Dean DeNobile
12/17, 262 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jamar Curtis
30 CAR, 229 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Elijah Steward
5 REC, 99 YDS
Holy Cross
passing
Matthew Sluka
7/21, 85 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Matthew Sluka
28 CAR, 330 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Jalen Coker
3 REC, 49 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Matthew Sluka run for 3 yds to the HC 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.54

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Tyler Purdy for a loss of 2 yards to the HC 21

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Holy Cross Penalty, delay of game (Matthew Sluka) to the HC 16

3rd & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.12

Jordan Fuller run for 9 yds to the HC 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Patrick Haughney punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jamar Curtis run for 8 yds to the LAF 45

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.01

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the LAF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Jamar Curtis for 5 yds to the HC 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.71

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 40 yds to the HC 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the HC 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the HC 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jordan Fuller run for 1 yd to the HC 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jordan Fuller run for 4 yds to the HC 30

3rd & 5Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.05

Matthew Sluka run for 22 yds to the LAF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jordan Fuller run for 4 yds to the LAF 34

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Fuller run for 5 yds to the LAF 29

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86
4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.94

Matthew Sluka run for 29 yds for a TD (Luis Palenzuela KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Matthew Sluka run for 10 yds to the LAF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the LAF 28

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Jamar Curtis run for a loss of 2 yards to the LAF 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +4.06

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 38 yds to the HC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

pass incomplete to Chris Carasia

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.07

Jamar Curtis run for 13 yds to the HC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 5 yds to the HC 18

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the HC 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.00

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Jamar Curtis for 16 yds to the HC 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Dean DeNobile run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Darren Wu kickoff for 58 yds , Maxwell Warren return for 17 yds to the HC 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Purdy run for 2 yds to the HC 26

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Matthew Sluka run for 4 yds to the HC 30

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.41

Matthew Sluka run for 5 yds to the HC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Jalen Coker

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jordan Fuller run for 6 yds to the HC 41

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Holy Cross Penalty, substitution infraction (Carl Smith) to the HC 41

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.91

Matthew Sluka run for a loss of 2 yards to the HC 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Patrick Haughney punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jermaine Conyers run for 2 yds to the LAF 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 9 yds to the LAF 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jermaine Conyers run for 2 yds to the LAF 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.21

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 16 yds to the LAF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Dallas Holmes for 53 yds for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Darren Wu kickoff for 61 yds , Justin Shorter return for 26 yds to the HC 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jordan Fuller for 10 yds to the HC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Matthew Sluka run for 9 yds to the HC 49

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Matthew Sluka run for 3 yds to the LAF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matthew Sluka run for 5 yds to the LAF 43

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10
3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.81

Jordan Fuller run for 11 yds to the LAF 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

pass incomplete to Jalen Coker

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83
3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Matthew Sluka sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the LAF 35

4th & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Jalen Coker, broken up by A.T. Ntantang

1st & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +2.61

Jamar Curtis run for 44 yds to the HC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the HC 19

2nd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.29

Dean DeNobile sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the HC 25

3rd & 14Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.96

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Jack Simonetta 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Matthew Sluka run for 10 yds to the HC 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Jalen Coker

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

4th & 10Punt+35 yds

Patrick Haughney punt for 35 yds Lafayette Penalty, roughing kicker (Reggie Thomas) to the LAF 40

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Holy Cross Penalty, personal foul (-10 Yards) to the HC 15

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Jamar Curtis run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

pass incomplete to Jamar Curtis

3rd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.51

Dean DeNobile sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the LAF 35

4th & 15Punt+12 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 40 yds , Jalen Coker returns for 12 yds to the HC 37

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Matthew Sluka run for 12 yds to the HC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.05

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Byron Shipman for 19 yds to the LAF 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Matthew Sluka run for 9 yds to the LAF 23

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

pass incomplete to Jalen Coker

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

pass incomplete to Quinton Gregory

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.48

pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Daniel Porto kickoff for 57 yds , Troy Bruce return for 30 yds to the LAF 38

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.17

Lafayette Penalty, Offensive holding (Reed Collins) to the LAF 28

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the LAF 31

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

pass incomplete to Jamar Curtis

3rd & 17Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +4.15

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 32 yds to the HC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.82

Lafayette Penalty, Offensive holding (Brian Baucia) to the HC 47

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Jamar Curtis

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

pass incomplete to Mason Gilbert

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.90

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Elijah Steward for a 1ST down Holy Cross Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Eli Thompson) to the HC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jamar Curtis run for 5 yds to the HC 27

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the HC 25

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.51

Jamar Curtis run for 5 yds to the HC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jamar Curtis run for 5 yds to the HC 15

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.59

Jamar Curtis run for a loss of 2 yards to the HC 17

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Dean DeNobile run for 2 yds to the HC 15

4th & 5Field Goal Good+32 yds

Jack Simonetta 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Darren Wu kickoff for 55 yds , Maxwell Warren return for no gain to the HC 21 Maxwell Warren fumbled, recovered by HC Maxwell Warren , return for no gain to the HC 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jordan Fuller run for 4 yds to the HC 25

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Matthew Sluka run for 5 yds to the HC 30

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +6.34

Matthew Sluka run for 70 yds for a TD (Luis Palenzuela KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+40 yds

Daniel Porto kickoff for 56 yds , Troy Bruce return for 40 yds to the LAF 49

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Jermaine Conyers run for 8 yds to the HC 43

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.06

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 43 yds for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Jordan Fuller run for 18 yds to the HC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Fuller run for 3 yds to the HC 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 6 yds to the LAF 48

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.23

Jordan Fuller run for 6 yds to the LAF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.66

Matthew Sluka run for 21 yds to the LAF 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordan Fuller run for 2 yds to the LAF 19

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyler Purdy run for 2 yds to the LAF 17

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Matthew Sluka run for 1 yd to the LAF 16

4th & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Justin Shorter for 9 yds to the LAF 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Matthew Sluka run for 3 yds to the LAF 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Matthew Sluka 4 Yd Run (Luis Palenzuela Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 5 yds to the LAF 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the LAF 34

3rd & 1Rush+53 ydsPPA +3.56

Jamar Curtis run for 53 yds to the HC 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the HC 12

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Elijah Steward run for 2 yds to the HC 10

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38
4th & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA -3.67

Dean DeNobile run for 5 yds to the HC 5

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Matthew Sluka run for 9 yds to the HC 14

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.23

Matthew Sluka run for 5 yds to the HC 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.20

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 40 yds to the LAF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

pass incomplete to Jacob Petersen

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan Fuller run for 3 yds to the LAF 38

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05
4th & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.93

Matthew Sluka run for 19 yds to the LAF 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Byron Shipman

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.97

Jordan Fuller run for 19 yds for a TD (Luis Palenzuela KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jamar Curtis run for 7 yds to the LAF 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the LAF 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the LAF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jamar Curtis run for 8 yds to the LAF 45

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.01

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the LAF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Jamar Curtis run for 7 yds to the HC 45

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the HC 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.81

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the HC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Jamar Curtis run for 41 yds for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Byron Shipman

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.60

Matthew Sluka run for 21 yds to the HC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Quinton Gregory, broken up by Saiku White

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Holy Cross Penalty, false start (Eric Schon) to the HC 41

2nd & 15Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.91

Matthew Sluka run for 15 yds to the LAF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Matthew Sluka sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the LAF 46

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

pass incomplete to Quinton Gregory

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

4th & 12Rush+43 ydsPPA +5.14

Matthew Sluka run for 43 yds to the LAF 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 3 yds for a TD (Luis Palenzuela KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Dean DeNobile run for a loss of 2 yards to the LAF 49

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Dean DeNobile run for a loss of 2 yards to the LAF 47

3rd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Dean DeNobile run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 47

Situational Analysis

Lafayette

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
54%
24 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Holy Cross

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
41%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays