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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Holy Cross by 35.5

Home Win Probability

Holy Cross 97%

Market (Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado))

Holy Cross -31

Edge: Holy Cross -31 (4.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colgate
70007
Holy Cross
71914747

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-720-726-747-7
Holy CrossColgate

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HCCOLHCCOLHCHCCOLCOLHCCOLCOLHCCOLHCCOLHCCOLHCCOLHCCOLHCTD679ydTD1876ydPUNT635ydDOWNS734ydTD1166ydTD748ydPUNT517ydPUNT720ydTD1065ydEND10ydPUNT33ydTD530ydPUNT4-13ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT36ydTD594ydTO411ydTD1055ydTO533ydTO679ydDOWNS1464ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colgate and Holy Cross
StatisticColgateHoly Cross
Passing19-3217-27
Pass Yards137190
Rush Yards143317
Total Yards280507
Turnovers20
3rd Down7-165-9
Penalties9-721-15
Possession32:4127:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colgate
passing
Michael Brescia
17/27, 125 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Zach Osborne
6 CAR, 44 YDS
receiving
Treyvhon Saunders
4 REC, 46 YDS
Holy Cross
passing
Matthew Sluka
16/26, 186 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Jordan Fuller
15 CAR, 121 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Justin Shorter
7 REC, 112 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.28

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 16 yds to the HC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07
2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.17

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 16 yds to the COLG 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Tyler Purdy run for 6 yds to the COLG 41

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.29

Tyler Purdy run for 41 yds for a TD (Luis Palenzuela KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Daniel Porto kickoff for 50 yds , Max Hurleman return for 9 yds to the COLG 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jaedon Henry run for 3 yds to the COLG 27

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Colgate Penalty, false start (K2 Dickens) to the COLG 22

2nd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Michael Brescia pass complete to Jaedon Henry for 1 yd to the COLG 23

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.95

Michael Brescia pass complete to Max Hurleman for 12 yds to the COLG 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jaedon Henry run for 8 yds to the COLG 43

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.35
3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Michael Brescia pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for 1 yd to the COLG 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.13

Michael Brescia run for 2 yds to the COLG 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Michael Brescia pass complete to Jaedon Henry for 6 yds to the HC 48

2nd & 4Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.98

Colgate Penalty, Offensive holding (Miles Salinas) to the COLG 42

2nd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.39

Michael Brescia pass complete to Brady Hutchison for 11 yds to the HC 47

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.42

Jaedon Henry run for 4 yds to the HC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

pass incomplete to Max Hurleman

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.42

Jaedon Henry run for 11 yds to the HC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jaedon Henry run for 3 yds to the HC 29

2nd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Michael Brescia sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the HC 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.34

Michael Brescia pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for 13 yds to the HC 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Michael Brescia pass complete to Winston Moore for 9 yds to the HC 8

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +1.96

Michael Brescia run for 8 yds for a TD (Jacob Jaworski KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Luke Vogeler kickoff for 63 yds , Justin Shorter return for 20 yds to the HC 45 Colgate Penalty, off-side (K2 Dickens) to the HC 27

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.69

Matthew Sluka run for 32 yds to the COLG 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Justin Shorter for 4 yds to the COLG 37

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Jordan Fuller run for 10 yds to the COLG 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

pass incomplete to Jalen Coker

3rd & 10Rush-11 ydsPPA -2.84

Matthew Sluka run for 4 yds to the COLG 23 Holy Cross Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Matthew Sluka) to the COLG 38

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Patrick Haughney punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Max Hurleman run for 5 yds to the COLG 19

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

pass incomplete to Jaedon Henry

3rd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.39

Michael Brescia pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for 22 yds to the COLG 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

pass incomplete to Matt Paske

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Michael Brescia sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the COLG 39

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.94

Michael Brescia pass complete to Jaedon Henry for 11 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.13

Michael Brescia run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLG 48

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyler Purdy run for 5 yds to the HC 39

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Matthew Sluka run for 3 yds to the HC 42

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.46

Jordan Fuller run for 4 yds to the HC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Justin Shorter for 5 yds to the COLG 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Justin Shorter for 7 yds to the COLG 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Justin Shorter, broken up by Asauni Allen

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jordan Forrest run for 1 yd to the COLG 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.24

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 12 yds to the COLG 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Fuller run for 5 yds to the COLG 24

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.71

Justin Shorter 24 Yd pass from Matthew Sluka (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Penalty+2 yds

Colgate Penalty, off-side (Asauni Allen) to the COLG 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 yds

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Jordan Fuller

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Jordan Fuller run for 7 yds to the COLG 41

2nd & 3Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.53

Jordan Fuller run for 23 yds to the COLG 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Phoenix Dickson, broken up by Cole Kozlowski

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Jordan Fuller run for 14 yds to the COLG 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jordan Fuller run for 1 yd to the COLG 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Matthew Sluka run for 2 yds to the COLG 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jordan Fuller run for 1 yd for a TD (Luis Palenzuela KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Daniel Porto kickoff for 59 yds , Jariyah Sawyer return for 12 yds to the COLG 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to Brady Hutchison

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Michael Brescia pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for 10 yds to the COLG 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Marco Maldonado run for 4 yds to the COLG 32

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Colgate Penalty, false start (Ryan Steinbrink) to the COLG 27

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Michael Brescia pass complete to Brady Hutchison for 8 yds to the COLG 35

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

pass incomplete to Treyvhon Saunders

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 31 yds , Jalen Coker returns for no gain to the HC 34

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Daniel Porto kickoff for 63 yds , Jariyah Sawyer return for 19 yds to the COLG 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaedon Henry run for 4 yds to the COLG 25

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.90

Michael Brescia run for 7 yds to the COLG 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Michael Brescia pass complete to Winston Moore for 6 yds to the COLG 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.67

Michael Brescia pass complete to Max Hurleman for 5 yds to the COLG 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Treyvhon Saunders

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Michael Brescia sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the COLG 41

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

pass incomplete to Marco Maldonado

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.05

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Justin Shorter for 25 yds to the COLG 40 for a 1ST down

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Matthew Sluka run for 9 yds to the COLG 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Matthew Sluka run for 3 yds to the COLG 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.32

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Quinton Gregory for 9 yds to the COLG 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Justin Shorter for 10 yds to the COLG 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordan Fuller run for 2 yds to the COLG 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Jalen Coker 2 Yd pass from Matthew Sluka (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 yds

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Jacob Petersen, broken up by Asauni Allen

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Colgate Penalty, off-side (K2 Dickens) to the COLG 35

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Daniel Porto kickoff for 58 yds , Jariyah Sawyer return for 21 yds to the COLG 28

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Michael Brescia run for a loss of 1 yard to the HC 35

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jaedon Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the COLG 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Michael Brescia pass complete to Winston Moore for 4 yds to the COLG 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

pass incomplete to Treyvhon Saunders

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 2 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Fuller run for 5 yds to the COLG 25

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jordan Fuller run for 6 yds to the COLG 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.92

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Justin Shorter for a 1ST down Colgate Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Justin Lawrence) to the COLG 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Jordan Fuller run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLG 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 6 yds for a TD (Luis Palenzuela KICK)

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.94

Colgate Penalty, illegal block (Brady Hutchison) to the COLG 25

1st & 20Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.37

Michael Brescia pass complete to Jaedon Henry for a loss of 3 yards to the COLG 22

2nd & 23Rush0 ydsPPA -0.08
3rd & 23Rush0 ydsPPA -0.03
4th & 23Punt+2 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 47 yds , Jalen Coker returns for 2 yds to the HC 33

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Matthew Sluka run for a loss of 3 yards to the HC 30

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Justin Shorter, broken up by Sage Luther

3rd & 13Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.25

Matthew Sluka sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the HC 23

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Patrick Haughney punt for 39 yds , Max Hurleman returns for no gain to the COLG 38

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jaedon Henry run for 6 yds to the COLG 44

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.22
3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

pass incomplete to Treyvhon Saunders

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29
2nd & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.01

Jordan Fuller run for 40 yds to the HC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Quinton Gregory for 8 yds to the COLG 46

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyler Purdy run for 9 yds to the COLG 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Justin Shorter for 37 yds for a TD (Luis Palenzuela KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Michael Brescia pass complete to William Parker for 1 yd to the COLG 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Michael Brescia pass complete to Max Hurleman for 8 yds to the COLG 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Brendan Cassamajor run for 2 yds to the COLG 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.85

Michael Brescia pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Matthew Sluka run for a loss of 2 yards to the HC 43

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

pass incomplete to Blake Youngblood

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +3.33

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Jalen Coker for a 1ST down Colgate Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Arthur Hamlin) to the COLG 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.55

Jordan Forrest run for 15 yds to the COLG 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 3 yds to the COLG 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.55

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Justin Shorter for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jordan Forrest run for 6 yds to the COLG 8

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Forrest run for 1 yd to the COLG 7

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 2 yds to the COLG 5

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.85

Jordan Fuller run for 5 yds for a TD (Luis Palenzuela KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Zach Osborne pass complete to Winston Moore for 9 yds to the COLG 34

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Chris Gee run for 10 yds to the COLG 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Chris Gee run for 11 yds to the HC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Chris Gee run for 3 yds to the HC 42

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -3.19

Zach Osborne pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Sam Slade run for 3 yds to the HC 23

2nd & 7Rush+74 ydsPPA +5.16

Sam Slade run for 74 yds to the COLG 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Sam Slade run for a loss of 1 yard to the COLG 4

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Sam Slade run for a loss of 1 yard to the COLG 5

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Joe Pesansky pass complete to Nathan Schillinger for 4 yds to the COLG 1

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -4.21

Joe Pesansky run for a loss of 3 yards to the COLG 4 Joe Pesansky fumbled, recovered by HC Sam Slade

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Chris Gee run for 5 yds to the COLG 9

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jariyah Sawyer run for 3 yds to the COLG 12

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Zach Osborne run for 9 yds to the COLG 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Zach Osborne run for 4 yds to the COLG 25

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jariyah Sawyer run for 5 yds to the COLG 30

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.00

Zach Osborne run for 4 yds to the COLG 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Winston Moore run for 3 yds to the COLG 37

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Chris Gee run for 1 yd to the COLG 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Zach Osborne pass complete to Winston Moore for 3 yds to the COLG 41

4th & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +3.41

Zach Osborne run for 18 yds to the HC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

pass incomplete to Jariyah Sawyer

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Winston Moore

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Zach Osborne run for 7 yds to the HC 34

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -2.35

Zach Osborne run for 2 yds to the HC 32

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Joe Pesansky run for a loss of 1 yard to the HC 32

0th & 10End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

Situational Analysis

Colgate

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
50%
4 plays

Holy Cross

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
54%
28 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
64%
11 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays