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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2023Week 9

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina Central by 29.6

Home Win Probability

North Carolina Central 94%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

North Carolina Central -14.5

Edge: North Carolina Central -14.5 (15.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South Carolina State
0147728
North Carolina Central
142721062

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567021-041-1455-2148-2162-28
North Carolina CentralSouth Carolina State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCCNCCSCSSCSSCSNCCNCCSCSSCSNCCSCSNCCSCSNCCSCSNCCNCCSCSNCCSCSSCSNCCSCSSCSNCCNCCSCSNCCTO526ydTD575ydPUNT31ydTD283ydPUNT618ydTD980ydPUNT512ydPUNT35ydTD975ydTD270ydPUNT3-5ydTD230ydPUNT37ydTD338ydTD575ydEND10ydTD957ydTD478ydTD1070ydPUNT6-4ydPUNT68ydPUNT418ydTD244ydPUNT31ydPUNT440ydPUNT38ydDOWNS45ydUncategorized2-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Carolina State and North Carolina Central
StatisticSouth Carolina StateNorth Carolina Central
Passing7-2018-27
Pass Yards81352
Rush Yards237130
Total Yards318482
Turnovers22
3rd Down2-128-13
Penalties4-534-43
Possession27:2332:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Carolina State
passing
Cory Fields
7/16, 81 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jawarn Howell
9 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Keshawn Toney
3 REC, 33 YDS, 2 TD
North Carolina Central
passing
Davius Richard
18/27, 352 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT
rushing
J'mari Taylor
13 CAR, 73 YDS
receiving
Devin Smith
4 REC, 103 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

pass incomplete to Joaquin Davis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.78

Davius Richard pass complete to Luke Bracey for 25 yds to the SCST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the SCST 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

pass incomplete to Joaquin Davis

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -3.70

Davius Richard pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Latrell Collier run for 2 yds to the NCCU 27

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.48

J'Mari Taylor run for 10 yds to the NCCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Davius Richard pass complete to Twan Flip Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCU 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Davius Richard pass complete to Devin Smith for 4 yds to the NCCU 40

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +6.40

Davius Richard pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 60 yds for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jawarn Howell run for 1 yd to the SCST 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

pass incomplete to Nigel Johnson

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+21 yds

Max'Ceon Cobb punt for 39 yds , Brandon Codrington returns for 21 yds to the SCST 44

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Fields, Jr.,Corey rush right (Flaker,Jayden).

2nd & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+20 ydsPPA -6.98

Max U'Ren 20 Yd Fumble Return (Adrian Olivo Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kacy Fields run for 6 yds to the SCST 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kacy Fields run for 3 yds to the SCST 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Kacy Fields run for 1 yd to the SCST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.64

Kacy Fields run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCST 30

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Jr. Corey Fields pass complete to Nigel Johnson for 12 yds to the SCST 42

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Jawarn Howell run for 1 yd to the SCST 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Max'Ceon Cobb punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Davius Richard run for 7 yds to the NCCU 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.34

Davius Richard pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 5 yds to the NCCU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Davius Richard pass complete to Tynez Warner for 6 yds to the NCCU 38

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the NCCU 39

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.66

Davius Richard run for 5 yds to the NCCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

J'Mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the NCCU 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.26

Davius Richard pass complete to Quentin McCall for 27 yds to the SCST 26 South Carolina State Penalty, personal foul (Naejuan Barber) to the SCST 13

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

J'Mari Taylor run for 8 yds to the SCST 5

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.09

Davius Richard run for 5 yds for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

J'Mari Taylor run for 4 yds to the NCCU 41

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.80

J'Mari Taylor run for 15 yds to the SCST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

pass incomplete to Chris Mosley

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Davius Richard run for 8 yds to the SCST 36

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion-15 ydsPPA -3.40

Davius Richard pass incomplete, broken up by Jeblonski Green Jr. North Carolina Central Penalty, personal foul (Trey Richburg) to the NCCU 49

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCST 12

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyler J. Smith run for 6 yds to the SCST 18

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

pass incomplete to Jordan Smith

4th & 5Punt+27 yds

Max'Ceon Cobb punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCST 30 , Brandon Codrington returns for 27 yds to the SCST 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to KeShawn Toney

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler J. Smith run for 1 yd to the SCST 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.61

Jr. Corey Fields pass complete to Tyler J. Smith for 17 yds to the SCST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +1.85

Jr. Corey Fields run for 37 yds to the NCCU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jr. Corey Fields run for 4 yds to the NCCU 16

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyler J. Smith run for 1 yd to the NCCU 15

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Jr. Corey Fields pass incomplete for a 1ST down North Carolina Central Penalty, face mask (8 yards) (Kendrick DuJour) to the NCCU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Smith,Tyler J. rush middle (U'Ren,Max;Taylor,Jaden).

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

KeShawn Toney 7 Yd pass from Corey Fields Jr. (Gavyn Zimmerman Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Davius Richard pass complete to Devin Smith for 10 yds to the NCCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.76

Davius Richard pass complete to Devin Smith for 60 yds for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jawarn Howell run for 3 yds to the SCST 38

2nd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.52

Jr. Corey Fields sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the SCST 30

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

pass incomplete to Demetri Simmons

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Max'Ceon Cobb punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.88

Davius Richard pass complete to Devin Smith for 29 yds to the SCST 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Davius Richard run for 1 yd for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kacy Fields run for 4 yds to the SCST 23

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jr. Corey Fields run for 3 yds to the SCST 26

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

pass incomplete to KeShawn Toney

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Max'Ceon Cobb punt for 12 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Davius Richard pass complete to Twan Flip Jr. for 2 yds to the SCST 36

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

J'Mari Taylor run for 6 yds to the SCST 30

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.26

Twan Flip Jr. 30 Yd pass from Davius Richard (Adrian Olivo PAT failed)

1st & 10Rush+48 ydsPPA +3.34

Jawarn Howell run for 48 yds to the NCCU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jawarn Howell run for 4 yds to the NCCU 23

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jr. Corey Fields pass incomplete to KeShawn Toney, broken up by Thomas Johnson

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

pass incomplete to Nigel Johnson

4th & 6Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +4.03

KeShawn Toney 23 Yd pass from Corey Fields Jr. (Gavyn Zimmerman Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Davius Richard run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCU 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Luke Bracey

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Chris Mosley run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.77

Davius Richard pass complete to Chris Mosley for 8 yds to the SCST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Chris Mosley run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCST 43

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Andrew Smith, broken up by Michael Brunson

3rd & 11Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.89

Davius Richard pass complete to Quentin McCall for 26 yds to the SCST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chris Mosley run for 5 yds to the SCST 12

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.72

Chris Mosley run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCST 16

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.22

Davius Richard pass complete to Chauncey Spikes for 16 yds for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jawarn Howell run for 8 yds to the SCST 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.18

Jr. Corey Fields pass complete to Jordan Smith for 5 yds to the SCST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Jawarn Howell run for 14 yds to the SCST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +3.92

Jawarn Howell run for 51 yds for a TD (Gavyn Zimmerman KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Taylor,J'Mari rush right (Kirksey,Jared).

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.37

J'Mari Taylor run for 16 yds to the NCCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Taylor,J'Mari rush middle (Godbolt,Patrick).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Davius Richard pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 9 yds to the SCST 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.88

J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the SCST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

pass incomplete to Joaquin Davis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.39

Davius Richard pass complete to Markell Quick for 10 yds to the SCST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

J'Mari Taylor run for 7 yds to the SCST 26

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

pass incomplete to J'Mari Taylor

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.18

Davius Richard pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 26 yds for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Fields,Kacy rush (U'Ren,Max), PENALTY SCS holding (Shark,Ian) 10 yards to the SCS35. South Carolina State Penalty, Offensive holding (Ian Shark) to the SCST 15

1st & 20Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.97

Jr. Corey Fields pass complete to Jordan Smith for 14 yds to the SCST 29

2nd & 6Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.08

Kacy Fields run for 7 yds to the SCST 36 for a 1ST down South Carolina State Penalty, personal foul (Khalil Ellis) to the SCST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Kacy Fields run for 2 yds to the SCST 23

2nd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jr. Corey Fields sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the SCST 21

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Jr. Corey Fields pass incomplete to Kacy Fields, broken up by Karfa Kaba

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Max'Ceon Cobb punt for 36 yds , Brandon Codrington returns for no gain to the NCCU 43

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Andre Washington run for 1 yd to the SCST 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Smith,Tyler J. rush middle (Redd,Albert).

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Andre Washington pass incomplete to Richard Bailey for a 1ST down North Carolina Central Penalty, Defensive holding (Jaylen Bowden) to the SCST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Smith,Tyler J. rush middle (Mansfield,Quantez;McCall,Makai).

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.86

Tyler J. Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCST 33

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

pass incomplete to Nigel Johnson

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Max'Ceon Cobb punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Chris Mosley run for 14 yds to the NCCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Chris Mosley run for 3 yds to the SCST 48

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Chris Mosley run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCST 47

4th & 6Punt+17 yds

punt for no gain , Jaeon Allen returns for 17 yds to the NCCU 44

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Jawarn Howell run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCCU 48

2nd & 14Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +5.29

Andre Washington 48 Yd Run (Gavyn Zimmerman Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Smith run for 1 yd to the SCST 19

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Smith,Tyler rush middle (Middleton,Trey;Redd,Albert).

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

pass incomplete to Treyvion Houston

4th & 9Punt+16 yds

Max'Ceon Cobb punt for 37 yds , Markell Quick returns for 16 yds to the SCST 40

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.93

Rodgers,Arthur rush , TOUCHDOWN, PENALTY NCC holding (McKinney,Noah) 10 yards to the SCS30. North Carolina Central Penalty, Offensive holding (Noah McKinney) to the 50 yard line

1st & 20Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Chris Mosley run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCU 48

2nd & 22Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Chris Mosley run for 4 yds to the SCST 48

3rd & 18Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Chris Mosley run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCCU 49 Chris Mosley fumbled, recovered by SCST Jordan Watkins Mosley,Chris rush left for loss of 3 yards to the NCC49, fumble by Mosley,Chris recovered by SCS Watkins,Jordan, Watkins,Jordan rush.

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Gavyn Zimmerman kickoff for 42 yds , Devin Smith return for 14 yds to the NCCU 37

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCCU 38

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 7 yds to the NCCU 45

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Rodgers,Arthur rush middle (Godbolt,Patrick).

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Andre Washington run for 1 yd to the NCCU 48

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Smith run for 4 yds to the NCCU 44

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

pass incomplete to Richard Bailey

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Richard Bailey

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Walker Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCU 43

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.92

Walker Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCU 43

Situational Analysis

South Carolina State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
5 plays
10%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

North Carolina Central

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
83%
12 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th