Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina Central by 24.7

Home Win Probability

North Carolina Central 91%

Market (Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado))

North Carolina Central -24.5

Edge: North Carolina Central -24.5 (0.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mississippi Valley State
03003
North Carolina Central
147141045

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284221-321-035-338-3
North Carolina CentralMississippi Valley State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCCMVSNCCMVSNCCMVSMVSMVSNCCNCCNCCMVSNCCMVSNCCMVSNCCMVSNCCMVSMVSNCCNCCMVSNCCTD773ydPUNT3-16ydTD444ydPUNT619ydPUNT627ydPUNT61ydFG1048ydMISS1367ydTD545ydPUNT414ydEND10ydPUNT38ydPUNT4-10ydTO513ydTD465ydPUNT34ydTD457ydDOWNS746ydTO728ydPUNT433ydPUNT30ydFG724ydTD1091ydPUNT38ydUncategorized26yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mississippi Valley State and North Carolina Central
StatisticMississippi Valley StateNorth Carolina Central
Passing14-3217-28
Pass Yards104263
Rush Yards112153
Total Yards216416
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-173-8
Penalties9-924-50
Possession30:3629:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mississippi Valley State
passing
Ty'Jarian Williams
11/22, 81 YDS
rushing
Jared Wilson
12 CAR, 80 YDS
receiving
Malik Antwine
5 REC, 44 YDS
North Carolina Central
passing
Walker Harris
17/28, 263 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Latrell Collier
16 CAR, 75 YDS
receiving
Twan Flip Jr.
4 REC, 89 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Latrell Collier run for 7 yds to the NCCU 34

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Latrell Collier run for 5 yds to the NCCU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Walker Harris pass complete to Devin Smith for 7 yds to the NCCU 46

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Latrell Collier run for 8 yds to the MVSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, personal foul (Erek Campbell) to the MVSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Latrell Collier run for 9 yds to the MVSU 22

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.43

Latrell Collier run for 6 yds to the MVSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Walker Harris pass complete to Devin Smith for 16 yds for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Kerrick Ross run for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 23

2nd & 12Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.33

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the MVSU 20

4th & 21Penalty-5 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, false start (Antwain Barham) to the MVSU 9

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.72

Walker Harris pass complete to Twan Flip Jr. for 40 yds to the MVSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the MVSU 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the MVSU 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Walker Harris pass complete to Chauncey Spikes for 2 yds for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Malik Antwine for 11 yds to the MVSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 2 yds to the MVSU 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.87

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 12 yds to the NCCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.51

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the MVSU 48

2nd & 17Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jared Wilson for 1 yd to the MVSU 49

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete to Malik Antwine, broken up by Khalil Baker

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Latrell Collier run for 10 yds to the NCCU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Walker Harris pass incomplete to Devin Smith, broken up by Anthony Blakely

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.65

Latrell Collier run for 10 yds to the NCCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Markell Quick

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

J'Mari Taylor run for 7 yds to the NCCU 44

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Walker Harris pass incomplete to Markell Quick, broken up by Anthony Blakely

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Zamariyon Kendall run for 2 yds to the MVSU 11

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Zamariyon Kendall run for 1 yd to the MVSU 12

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Malik Antwine for 10 yds to the MVSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.83

Ty'Jarian Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the MVSU 19

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

pass incomplete to Bobby Shanklin

3rd & 13Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.12

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the MVSU 10

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Juan Velarde kickoff for 57 yds , Bobby Shanklin return for 17 yds to the MVSU 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jared Wilson run for 3 yds to the MVSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Rashad Eades for 4 yds to the MVSU 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Rashad Eades for 6 yds to the MVSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Myles Hopson for 8 yds to the MVSU 46

2nd & 2Rush+34 ydsPPA +1.30

Jared Wilson run for 34 yds to the NCCU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jared Wilson run for 3 yds to the NCCU 17

2nd & 7Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.89

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, Offensive holding (Jacob Allen) to the NCCU 27

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

pass incomplete to Cobie Bates

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete to Kerrick Ross, broken up by Kendrick DuJour

4th & 17Field Goal Good+44 yds

Anthony Turnage 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Jared Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the MVSU 17

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jaxson Davis for 3 yds to the MVSU 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.06

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Malik Myers for 16 yds to the MVSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Cobie Bates

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.26

Jared Wilson run for 13 yds to the MVSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete to Malik Antwine, broken up by Jelani Vassell

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 2 yds to the NCCU 49

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 3 yds to the NCCU 46

4th & 5Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.47

Jakobe Thomas run for 33 yds to the NCCU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Jaxson Davis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

pass incomplete to Cobie Bates

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

pass incomplete to Jaxson Davis

4th & 10Missed Field Goal Return0 yds

Anthony Turnage 30 yd FG MISSED , Brandon Codrington return for no gain to the NCCU 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Latrell Collier run for 2 yds to the MVSU 43

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.26

Walker Harris run for 15 yds to the MVSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to Miles Campbell

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Latrell Collier run for 5 yds to the MVSU 23

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.23

Joaquin Davis 23 Yd pass from Walker Harris (Adrian Olivo Kick)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

J'Mari Taylor run for 10 yds to the NCCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the NCCU 36

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68
3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Walker Harris pass complete to Twan Flip Jr. for 3 yds to the NCCU 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Latrell Collier run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCU 35

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Juan Velarde kickoff for 51 yds , Bobby Shanklin return for 16 yds to the MVSU 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

pass incomplete to Cobie Bates

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jared Wilson run for 2 yds to the MVSU 32

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 6 yds to the MVSU 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

pass incomplete to Quentin McCall

2nd & 10Pass Reception-15 ydsPPA -0.93

Walker Harris pass complete to Joaquin Davis North Carolina Central Penalty, personal foul (A.C. McMoore) to the NCCU 17

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

pass incomplete to Latrell Collier

3rd & 25Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Walker Harris run for 5 yds to the NCCU 22

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 9 yds to the NCCU 41

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Jared Wilson run for 1 yd to the NCCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Jared Wilson run for 1 yd to the NCCU 39

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Jared Wilson run for 2 yds to the NCCU 37

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -2.61

Dino Maldonado pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Latrell Collier run for 9 yds to the NCCU 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +1.54

Walker Harris pass complete to Devin Smith for 48 yds to the MVSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Latrell Collier run for 1 yd to the MVSU 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Walker Harris pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 7 yds for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+3 yds

Juan Velarde kickoff for 48 yds , Bobby Shanklin return for 3 yds to the MVSU 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56
2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Malik Antwine for 4 yds to the MVSU 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete to Malik Antwine, broken up by Jason Chambers

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 33 yds , Brandon Codrington returns for no gain to the NCCU 43

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

J'Mari Taylor run for 10 yds to the MVSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina Central Penalty, delay of game (Walker Harris) to the NCCU 48

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.44

Walker Harris pass complete to Twan Flip Jr. for 11 yds to the MVSU 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.24

Walker Harris pass complete to Twan Flip Jr. for 35 yds to the MVSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

J'Mari Taylor run for 6 yds for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Juan Velarde kickoff for 56 yds , Cobie Bates return for 16 yds to the MVSU 49 Mississippi Valley State Penalty, Offensive holding (Jared Wilson) to the MVSU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Dino Maldonado pass complete to Malik Antwine for 3 yds to the MVSU 18

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Dino Maldonado pass incomplete to Malik Antwine, broken up by Jayden Flaker

3rd & 7Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.29

Jared Wilson run for 21 yds to the MVSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

North Carolina Central Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Dylan Hall) to the NCCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jared Wilson run for 3 yds to the NCCU 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

pass incomplete to Kerrick Ross

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jamari Jones pass complete to Remiello Thomas for 4 yds to the NCCU 39

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.87

Jamari Jones pass incomplete to Cobie Bates, broken up by Kendrick DuJour

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Walker Harris pass complete to Quentin McCall for 4 yds to the NCCU 43

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Joaquin Davis

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Detrick Jones) to the MVSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, delay of game (Lucas Banks) to the MVSU 37

1st & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Walker Harris pass complete to Markell Quick

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Latrell Collier run for 4 yds to the MVSU 33

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98
4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -2.72

Latrell Collier fumbled, recovered by NCCU Matthew Brown

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Juan Velarde kickoff for 59 yds , Cobie Bates return for 14 yds to the MVSU 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Jamari Jones pass complete to Malik Antwine for 16 yds to the MVSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

North Carolina Central Penalty, personal foul (Albert Redd) to the NCCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Bobby Shanklin run for 6 yds to the NCCU 43

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jamari Jones pass incomplete to Malik Antwine, broken up by Kendrick DuJour

3rd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.83

Jamari Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCCU 47

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96
2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

pass incomplete to Rashad Eades

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jamari Jones pass incomplete to Cobie Bates, broken up by Jason Chambers

4th & 10Punt+15 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 36 yds , Brandon Codrington returns for 15 yds to the NCCU 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Walker Harris pass incomplete to Darryl Taylor, broken up by Demonte Holliman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Walker Harris pass complete to Tynez Warner for 6 yds to the MVSU 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.05

Walker Harris pass complete to Latrell Collier for 13 yds to the MVSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Walker Harris pass complete to Latrell Collier for 4 yds to the MVSU 31

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Latrell Collier run for 1 yd to the MVSU 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

pass incomplete to J'Mari Taylor

4th & 5Field Goal Good+47 yds

Adrian Olivo 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Chris Mosley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCU 8

2nd & 11Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.12

Chris Mosley run for 2 yds to the NCCU 10 for a 1ST down Mississippi Valley State Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Fred Harris Jr.) to the NCCU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Chauncey Spikes

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Chris Mosley run for 2 yds to the NCCU 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.45

Walker Harris pass incomplete to Twan Flip Jr. for a 1ST down Mississippi Valley State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Aaron Webb) to the NCCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Walker Harris pass incomplete to Twan Flip Jr., broken up by Omar Emmons

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.17

Walker Harris run for 12 yds to the MVSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Walker Harris pass complete to Marseille Miller for 9 yds to the MVSU 37

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Chris Mosley run for 2 yds to the MVSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Walker Harris pass complete to Chauncey Spikes for 35 yds for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Carlos Beltran-Rodriguez kickoff for 57 yds , Cobie Bates return for 18 yds to the MVSU 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bobby Shanklin run for 5 yds to the MVSU 31

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Bobby Shanklin run for 3 yds to the MVSU 34

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63
4th & 2Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 6 yds to the NCCU 48

Situational Analysis

Mississippi Valley State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
23 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
15%
13 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

North Carolina Central

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
46%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
70%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play