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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2023Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina Central by 22.6

Home Win Probability

Morgan State 11%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Morgan State +14

Edge: North Carolina Central -14 (8.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Carolina Central
0031316
Morgan State
300710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-03-33-103-133-1610-16
Morgan StateNorth Carolina Central

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSNCCMSMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCFG1460ydPUNT35ydPUNT931ydPUNT1122ydPUNT35ydPUNT30ydPUNT64ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-7ydMISS42ydEND416ydFG1039ydTO749ydTD1135ydPUNT46ydPUNT36ydTO114ydFG847ydDOWNS48ydFG816ydTD565ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Carolina Central and Morgan State
StatisticNorth Carolina CentralMorgan State
Passing16-3017-30
Pass Yards122167
Rush Yards79118
Total Yards201285
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-166-14
Penalties5-758-93
Possession29:5230:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Carolina Central
passing
Davius Richard
16/30, 122 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Latrell Collier
16 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Devin Smith
4 REC, 29 YDS
Morgan State
passing
Dominique Anthony
17/28, 167 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jabriel Johnson
11 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Joseph Owumi
1 REC, 40 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dominique Anthony pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Andre Crawley for 5 yds to the MORG 30

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Dominique Anthony run for 5 yds to the MORG 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dominique Anthony pass incomplete to J.J. Davis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dominique Anthony pass complete to J.J. Davis for 4 yds to the MORG 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.95

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Demier Shipley for 17 yds to the NCCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jabriel Johnson run for 6 yds to the NCCU 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Abdou Diop for 9 yds to the NCCU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jabriel Johnson run for 5 yds to the NCCU 24

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.15

Jabriel Johnson run for 9 yds to the NCCU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jabriel Johnson run for no gain to the NCCU 15

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Dominique Anthony pass incomplete to Demier Shipley

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Dominique Anthony pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+32 yds

Beckett Leary 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Davius Richard pass complete to Luke Bracey for 8 yds to the NCCU 36

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Davius Richard pass incomplete, broken up by Elijah Williams

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.94

Davius Richard run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCCU 33

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Morgan State Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the MORG 16

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

J.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the MORG 17

2nd & 19Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dominique Anthony pass complete to J.J. Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the MORG 13

3rd & 23Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.72

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Treveyon Pratt for 28 yds to the MORG 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jabriel Johnson run for no gain to the MORG 41

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Jabriel Johnson run for 7 yds to the MORG 48

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.57

Jabriel Johnson run for 4 yds to the NCCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Anthony James Jr. for 6 yds to the NCCU 42

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Myles Miree run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCU 43

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Dominique Anthony pass incomplete to Demier Shipley

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 25 yds, downed at the NCCU 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Davius Richard run for 6 yds to the NCCU 24

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Davius Richard run for 7 yds to the NCCU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Davius Richard pass complete to Latrell Collier for 2 yds to the NCCU 33

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Morgan State Penalty, targeting (Kwincy Hall) to the NCCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Davius Richard pass incomplete, QB hurry by Williams, Elijah, PENALTY EAGLES holding 10 yards to the EAGLES38, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Davius Richard pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Davius Richard pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.47

Davius Richard pass complete to Darryl Taylor for 11 yds to the NCCU 49

4th & 9Penalty+13 yds

Juan Velarde punt 39 yards to the BEARS12, Dangerfield, Xavier return to the BEARS8 (Brandon Codrington), PENALTY EAGLES kick catching interference 25 yards to the BEARS26, NO PLAY, PENALTY BEARS unsportsmanlike conduct 13 yards to the BEARS13, 1st and 10, BEARS ball on BEARS13.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Jabriel Johnson run for 8 yds to the MORG 21

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Demier Shipley for 7 yds to the MORG 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jabriel Johnson run for 5 yds to the MORG 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Dominique Anthony pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Andre Crawley for 2 yds to the MORG 35

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 46 yds , Brandon Codrington returns for no gain to the NCCU 19

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the NCCU 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Davius Richard pass complete to Devin Smith for 3 yds to the NCCU 24

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Davius Richard pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+49 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kwincy Hall at the MORG 37 Morgan State Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the MORG 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Dominique Anthony pass incomplete to Treveyon Pratt

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Myles Miree run for no gain to the MORG 27

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Dominique Anthony pass incomplete to Treveyon Pratt

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 41 yds, downed at the NCCU 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Latrell Collier run for no gain to the NCCU 32

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Davius Richard run for 9 yds to the NCCU 41

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Latrell Collier run for 4 yds to the NCCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Davius Richard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Latrell Collier run for 2 yds to the NCCU 47

3rd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.29

Davius Richard sacked by Sam Alsheimer for a loss of 11 yards to the NCCU 36

4th & 19Punt+1 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 33 yds , Kwincy Hall returns for 1 yd to the MORG 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Treveyon Pratt for 5 yds to the MORG 37

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Anthony, Dominique rush for 4 yards to the BEARS41 (Thomas Johnson), PENALTY BEARS illegal formation 5 yards to the BEARS32, NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

J.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the MORG 34

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Dominique Anthony pass complete to J.J. Davis for 2 yds to the MORG 36

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Brandon Codrington at the NCCU 19

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

North Carolina Central Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Quantez Mansfield) to the NCCU 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Latrell Collier run for 3 yds to the NCCU 12

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Latrell Collier, broken up by Carlvainsky Decius

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Devin Smith

4th & 7Punt+14 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 34 yds , Kwincy Hall returns for 14 yds to the NCCU 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Keith Jenkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCCU 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Carson Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Carson Baker pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Beckett Leary 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Davius Richard run for 12 yds to the NCCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Davius Richard pass complete to Tynez Warner for 3 yds to the NCCU 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Davius Richard pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Davius Richard pass complete to Latrell Collier for 1 yd to the NCCU 46

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Latrell Collier run for no gain to the NCCU 48 Latrell Collier fumbled, recovered by NCCU Davius Richard , return for 8 yds to the NCCU 48

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.05

Latrell Collier run for 4 yds to the MORG 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Latrell Collier run for 1 yd to the MORG 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.43

Davius Richard pass complete to Devin Smith for 9 yds to the MORG 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Latrell Collier run for 2 yds to the MORG 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Davius Richard pass complete to Luke Bracey for 11 yds to the MORG 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Joaquin Davis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Davius Richard pass complete to Twan Flip Jr. for 3 yds to the MORG 22

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Davius Richard run for 1 yd to the MORG 21

4th & 6Field Goal Good+38 yds

Adrian Olivo 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Demier Shipley for 7 yds to the MORG 34

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Jabriel Johnson run for 3 yds to the MORG 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jabriel Johnson run for 4 yds to the MORG 41

2nd & 6Penalty+16 yds

North Carolina Central Penalty, illegal use of hands (Quantez Mansfield) to the NCCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Johnson, Jabriel rush for loss of 1 yard to the EAGLES44 (Malcolm Reed), PENALTY BEARS holding 10 yards to the BEARS47, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.01

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Anthony James Jr. for 19 yds to the NCCU 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Dominique Anthony pass incomplete to Abdou Diop

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Myles Miree run for 10 yds to the NCCU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+44 ydsPPA -4.32

Dominique Anthony pass intercepted Jason Chambers return for 44 yds to the MORG 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

J'Mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the MORG 32

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Davius Richard run for 1 yd to the MORG 31

3rd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Davius Richard run for a loss of 3 yards to the MORG 34

4th & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.73

Davius Richard pass complete to Quentin McCall for 11 yds to the MORG 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Davius Richard pass complete to Devin Smith for 8 yds to the MORG 15

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

J'Mari Taylor run for no gain to the MORG 15

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.19

J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the MORG 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.60

Latrell Collier run for 12 yds to the MORG 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.50

Latrell Collier run for a loss of 4 yards to the MORG 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Davius Richard pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Davius Richard pass complete to Tynez Warner for 5 yds for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.76

J.J. Davis run for 11 yds to the MORG 30 Morgan State Penalty, Offensive holding (-15 Yards) to the MORG 15

1st & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

J.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the MORG 16

2nd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.71

J.J. Davis run for 12 yds to the MORG 28

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.72

J.J. Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the MORG 25 Morgan State Penalty, Offensive holding (Yards) declined

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brandon Codrington at the NCCU 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Latrell Collier run for 3 yds to the NCCU 41

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Davius Richard run for 3 yds to the NCCU 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Devin Smith, broken up by Jae'Veyon Morton

4th & 4Punt+18 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Kwincy Hall at the MORG 24 North Carolina Central Penalty, kick catching interference (Quantez Mansfield) to the MORG 38

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+14 ydsPPA -2.05

Kwincy Hall run for 14 yds to the NCCU 48 Kwincy Hall fumbled, forced by Manny Smith, recovered by NCCU Jason Chambers

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the NCCU 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Davius Richard pass incomplete, broken up by Erick Hunter

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.71

Davius Richard pass complete to Latrell Collier for 10 yds to the MORG 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.70

Davius Richard pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 28 yds to the MORG 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Davius Richard pass complete to Devin Smith for 9 yds to the MORG 4

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.65

Davius Richard run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORG 5

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Davius Richard pass incomplete to J'Mari Taylor, broken up by Jae'Veyon Morton

4th & 2Field Goal Good+22 yds

Adrian Olivo 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.63

Dominique Anthony sacked by Wade Harris for a loss of 8 yards to the MORG 24

2nd & 18Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Dominique Anthony run for 10 yds to the MORG 34

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Anthony James Jr. for 6 yds to the MORG 40

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Dominique Anthony pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Latrell Collier run for 7 yds to the MORG 33

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Latrell Collier run for no gain to the MORG 33

3rd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.98

Davius Richard pass complete to Latrell Collier for no gain to the MORG 33

4th & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.79

Latrell Collier run for 5 yds to the MORG 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Latrell Collier run for 2 yds to the MORG 26

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Latrell Collier run for 2 yds to the MORG 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Davius Richard pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+41 yds

Adrian Olivo 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Daymond Hamler for 8 yds to the MORG 43

2nd & 2Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.31

Dominique Anthony run for a loss of 5 yards to the MORG 38

3rd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.97

J.J. Davis run for 16 yds to the NCCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Andre Crawley for 6 yds to the NCCU 40

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.23

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Joseph Owumi for 40 yds for a TD (Beckett Leary KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Taleem Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORG 42

Situational Analysis

North Carolina Central

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
39%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
40%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Morgan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
20 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play