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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Yale by 19.9

Home Win Probability

Yale 87%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Yale -15.5

Edge: Yale -15.5 (4.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Morgan State
03003
Yale
01728045

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-310-324-331-345-3
YaleMorgan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSYALMSYALMSYALMSYALMSYALMSYALMSYALMSYALMSYALMSYALMSMSYALMSYALMSYALMSPUNT3-4ydMISS1050ydPUNT834ydPUNT35ydPUNT515ydTO21ydFG48ydFG1269ydPUNT37ydTD773ydPUNT423ydPUNT522ydTO321ydTD666ydEND10ydTD475ydDOWNS714ydTD867ydPUNT39ydTD674ydTD33ydPUNT614ydPUNT520ydDOWNS945ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT35ydEND521yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Morgan State and Yale
StatisticMorgan StateYale
Passing15-3030-40
Pass Yards118366
Rush Yards86155
Total Yards204521
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-178-15
Penalties4-485-45
Possession29:5630:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Morgan State
passing
Dominique Anthony
9/15, 92 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Myles Miree
13 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
Demier Shipley
3 REC, 45 YDS
Yale
passing
Nolan Grooms
29/38, 363 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Nolan Grooms
9 CAR, 87 YDS
receiving
Mason Tipton
9 REC, 136 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Dominique Anthony pass incomplete to Andre Crawley

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Dominique Anthony pass incomplete to Demier Shipley

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.20

Dominique Anthony sacked by Clay Patterson for a loss of 4 yards to the MORG 19

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the YALE 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tre Peterson run for 4 yds to the YALE 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Chase Nenad for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Nolan Grooms run for 2 yds to the MORG 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Ryan Lindley for 10 yds to the MORG 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Ryan Lindley for 6 yds to the MORG 32

2nd & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.42

Nolan Grooms run for 23 yds to the MORG 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Spencer Alston for 1 yd to the MORG 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Nolan Grooms pass incomplete to Mason Tipton

3rd & 8Penalty0 yds

Yale Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declined

4th & 8Blocked Field Goal+26 yds

Jack Bosman 26 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Nana Asante

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

J.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the MORG 22

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

J.J. Davis run for no gain to the MORG 22

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.87

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Demier Shipley for 13 yds to the MORG 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

J.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the MORG 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.31

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Treveyon Pratt for 8 yds to the MORG 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

J.J. Davis run for no gain to the MORG 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Treveyon Pratt for 9 yds to the YALE 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Myles Miree run for 2 yds to the YALE 46

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ryan Lindley at the YALE 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Spencer Alston run for 1 yd to the YALE 11

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Mason Shipp for 4 yds to the YALE 15

3rd & 5Penalty0 yds

Yale Penalty, Illegal Shift (Yards) declined

4th & 5Punt+22 yds

Jack Bosman punt for 49 yds , Kwincy Hall returns for 22 yds to the MORG 26

1st & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Treveyon Pratt for 8 yds to the MORG 34

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Myles Miree run for 3 yds to the MORG 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Dominique Anthony run for 1 yd to the MORG 38

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Myles Miree run for 3 yds to the MORG 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Dominique Anthony pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Ryan Lindley at the YALE 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tre Peterson run for 3 yds to the YALE 31

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Nolan Grooms sacked by Sam Alsheimer for a loss of 2 yards to the YALE 29 Nolan Grooms fumbled, recovered by MORG Xavier Shell , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Myles Miree run for 4 yds to the YALE 33

2nd & 14Penalty0 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Anthony,Dominique pass incomplete short middle PENALTY Yale Offside offsetting Morgan Ineligible Downfield on Pass offsetting. NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Anthony James Jr. for no gain to the YALE 33

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.36

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Demier Shipley for 12 yds to the YALE 21

4th & 2Field Goal Good+39 yds

Beckett Leary 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Ryan Lindley for 5 yds to the YALE 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Spencer Alston run for 1 yd to the YALE 31

3rd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.77

Nolan Grooms run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Nolan Grooms run for 7 yds to the MORG 43

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Spencer Alston run for 2 yds to the MORG 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.04

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Mason Tipton for 14 yds to the MORG 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Ryan Lindley for 10 yds to the MORG 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Ry Yates for 11 yds to the MORG 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Nolan Grooms pass incomplete to Tre Peterson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Tre Peterson run for 2 yds to the MORG 8

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Nolan Grooms run for 7 yds to the MORG 1

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle Grooms,Nolan rush middle for 0 yards to the Morgan01, out of bounds at Morgan01 PENALTY Yale False Start (Mermans,Spencer) 5 yards from Morgan01 to Morgan06. NO PLAY.

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Jack Bosman 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Myles Miree run for 8 yds to the MORG 41

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.08

Myles Miree run for 1 yd to the MORG 40

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Dominique Anthony pass incomplete to Joseph Kennerly

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tre Peterson run for 4 yds to the YALE 31

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Nolan Grooms pass incomplete to Ryan Lindley

3rd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.08

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Ryan Lindley for 21 yds to the MORG 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Ryan Lindley for 12 yds to the MORG 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Nolan Grooms pass incomplete to Jackson Hawes

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Mason Tipton for 5 yds to the MORG 31

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.67

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Mason Tipton for 31 yds for a TD (Jack Bosman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Demier Shipley for 20 yds to the MORG 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Dominique Anthony pass incomplete to J.J. Davis

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

J.J. Davis run for no gain to the MORG 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Anthony James Jr. for 3 yds to the YALE 48

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the YALE 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Spencer Alston run for no gain to the YALE 8

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.24

Nolan Grooms run for 19 yds to the YALE 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Ryan Lindley for 5 yds to the YALE 32

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Yale False Start (Lindley,Ryan) 5 yards from Yale32 to Yale27. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Mason Tipton for 3 yds to the YALE 30

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Nolan Grooms pass incomplete to Jackson Hawes

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Bosman punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.65

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Treveyon Pratt for 19 yds to the MORG 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

J.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the MORG 44

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Yale Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the YALE 34

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Yale Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the YALE 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.72

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Chase Nenad for 19 yds to the MORG 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Chase Nenad for 13 yds to the MORG 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

Morgan State Penalty, Personal Foul (Deshawn Willoughby) to the MORG 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Tre Peterson for 9 yds to the MORG 3

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nolan Grooms pass incomplete to Mason Tipton

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.47

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Ryan Lindley for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Bosman KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

D. Anthony takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Mason Tipton for 16 yds to the YALE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Tre Peterson run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.43

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Mason Shipp for 17 yds to the MORG 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Mason Tipton for 33 yds for a TD (Jack Bosman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jabriel Johnson run for 3 yds to the YALE 44

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jabriel Johnson run for 2 yds to the YALE 46

3rd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.58

Tahj Smith run for 12 yds to the YALE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Myles Miree run for 3 yds to the YALE 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tahj Smith pass incomplete to Treveyon Pratt

4th & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -2.14

Tahj Smith run for 2 yds to the YALE 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Spencer Alston run for 2 yds to the YALE 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Mason Tipton for 5 yds to the YALE 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.54

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Mason Tipton for 16 yds to the MORG 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Ryan Lindley for 5 yds to the MORG 39

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Spencer Alston run for no gain to the MORG 39

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Grooms,Nolan pass incomplete deep left to Nenad,Chase PENALTY Morgan Personal Foul (Decius,Carlvainsky) 15 yards from Morgan39 to Morgan24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Nolan Grooms run for 3 yds to the MORG 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.50

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Mason Tipton for 13 yds to the MORG 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Tre Peterson run for 8 yds for a TD (Jack Bosman KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Tahj pass complete short middle to Hall,Kwincy for 5 yards to the Morgan39, out of bounds at Morgan39 PENALTY Morgan Holding (James Jr.,Anthony) 10 yards from Morgan34 to Morgan24. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY Yale Personal Foul (Haaland,Zack) 15 yards from Morgan24 to Morgan39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.25

Tahj Smith sacked by Ezekiel Larry for a loss of 10 yards to the MORG 29

2nd & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Tahj Smith pass complete to Keith Jenkins Jr. for 12 yds to the MORG 41

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Tahj Smith run for 2 yds to the MORG 43

4th & 6Punt+3 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 34 yds , Ryan Lindley returns for 3 yds to the YALE 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Jackson Hawes for 9 yds to the YALE 35

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.30

Spencer Alston run for no gain to the YALE 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Spencer Alston run for 2 yds to the YALE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.35

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Joey Felton for 38 yds to the MORG 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Nolan Grooms pass incomplete to Aidan Maloney

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.15

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Joey Felton for 25 yds for a TD (Jack Bosman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tahj Smith pass complete to Andre Crawley for 3 yds to the MORG 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tahj Smith pass incomplete to Joseph Owumi

3rd & 7Interception Return Touchdown+36 ydsPPA -7.07

Joseph Vaughn 36 Yd Interception Return (Jack Bosman Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Myles Miree run for 5 yds to the MORG 35

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tahj Smith pass incomplete to Tyler Wilkins

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.04

Tahj Smith pass complete to Malcolm Brown for 8 yds to the MORG 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Myles Miree run for 3 yds to the MORG 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Tahj Smith pass complete to Kwincy Hall for 2 yds to the MORG 44

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tahj Smith pass incomplete to Tyler Wilkins

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ryan Lindley at the YALE 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nathan Denney run for 5 yds to the YALE 24

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.40

Nathan Denney run for 14 yds to the YALE 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Marshall Howe run for no gain to the YALE 38

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nathan Denney run for 3 yds to the YALE 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Marshall Howe pass complete to Joey Felton for 3 yds to the YALE 44

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Yale Delay Of Game 5 yards from Yale44 to Yale39. NO PLAY.

4th & 9Punt+14 yds

Jack Bosman punt for 38 yds , Kwincy Hall returns for 14 yds to the MORG 37

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Keith Jenkins Jr. run for 5 yds to the MORG 42

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Keith Jenkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the MORG 45

3rd & 2Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.53

Keith Jenkins Jr. run for 24 yds to the YALE 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Tahj Smith run for 9 yds to the YALE 22

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Keith Jenkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the YALE 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tahj Smith pass incomplete to Demier Shipley

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Keith Jenkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the YALE 19

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Tahj Smith pass incomplete to Daymond Hamler

4th & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.98

Tahj Smith run for 1 yd to the YALE 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Wilhelm Daal run for 3 yds to the YALE 21

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Marshall Howe run for 4 yds to the YALE 25

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Marshall Howe pass incomplete to Aidan Stephens

4th & 3Punt+32 yds

Jack Bosman punt for 52 yds , Kwincy Hall returns for 32 yds to the YALE 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Myles Miree run for 1 yd to the YALE 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Tahj Smith pass complete to Myles Miree for 1 yd to the YALE 43

3rd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Tahj Smith sacked by Phoenix Grant for a loss of 3 yards to the YALE 46

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Wilhelm Daal run for 3 yds to the YALE 23

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Wilhelm Daal run for 3 yds to the YALE 26

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Wilhelm Daal run for 1 yd to the YALE 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Bosman punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the YALE 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tahj Smith pass complete to Jaden Coffen for 4 yds to the YALE 45

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Myles Miree run for 6 yds to the YALE 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Myles Miree run for 4 yds to the YALE 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tahj Smith pass incomplete to Jaden Coffen

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.33

Myles Miree run for 7 yds to the YALE 28 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Morgan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
9%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
20%
10 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays

Yale

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
58%
33 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
38%
13 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th