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← Back to GamesDec 3, 2023Week 14
MichiganMichigan
26
-Final
0
IowaIowa
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 17.4

Home Win Probability

Iowa 11%

Market (Bovada)

Iowa +21

Edge: Iowa +21 (3.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 3, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
10010626
IowaIowa
00000

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-100-170-200-26
IowaMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20IOWMICIOWMICIOWMICIOWMICIOWMICIOWMICIOWMICMICIOWMICIOWMICIOWMICIOWMICIOWMICIOWMICPUNT35ydFG1352ydPUNT615ydTD25ydPUNT618ydPUNT619ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT3-15ydTO39ydPUNT38ydPUNT35ydPUNT519ydPUNT30ydEND28ydPUNT828ydTO23ydTD16ydDOWNS831ydFG928ydPUNT32ydPUNT39ydTO42ydFG4-3ydDOWNS629ydFG623ydDOWNS614ydEND31yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Iowa
StatisticMichiganIowa
Passing22-3018-32
Pass Yards147120
Rush Yards6635
Total Yards213155
Turnovers03
3rd Down3-154-15
Penalties3-257-46
Possession36:3223:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
J.J. McCarthy
22/30, 147 YDS
rushing
Blake Corum
16 CAR, 52 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Cornelius Johnson
9 REC, 64 YDS
defense
Iowa
passing
Deacon Hill
18/32, 120 YDS
rushing
Leshon Williams
9 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
Addison Ostrenga
7 REC, 50 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for no gain to the IOWA 25

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kaleb Brown run for 5 yds to the IOWA 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Zach Ortwerth

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Semaj Morgan at the MICH 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the MICH 35

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MICH 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.44

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to AJ Barner for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for 5 yds to the IOWA 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.60

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 6 yds to the IOWA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Colston Loveland

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the IOWA 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 4 yds to the IOWA 31

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Michigan Penalty, False Start (Trente Jones) to the IOWA 36

4th & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.63

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 10 yds to the IOWA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the IOWA 21

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 3 yds to the IOWA 18

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the IOWA 17

4th & 1Field Goal Good+35 yds

James Turner 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Deacon Hill pass complete to Kaleb Brown for 7 yds to the IOWA 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IOWA 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the IOWA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the IOWA 38

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jaziun Patterson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 40

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Iowa Penalty, False Start (Nick DeJong) to the IOWA 35

3rd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Kaleb Brown run for 5 yds to the IOWA 40

4th & 7Punt+87 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 52 yds , Semaj Morgan returns for 87 yds to the IOWA 5

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the IOWA 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the IOWA 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the IOWA 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Deacon Hill run for 2 yds to the IOWA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Deacon Hill pass complete to Hayden Large for 2 yds to the IOWA 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Deacon Hill pass complete to Kaleb Brown for 5 yds to the IOWA 43

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Kaleb Brown

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 14 yds to the MICH 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the MICH 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.49

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 10 yds to the MICH 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the IOWA 49

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trente Jones) to the MICH 41

2nd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Peyton O'Leary for 5 yds to the MICH 46

3rd & 12Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.82

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Deontae Craig for a loss of 7 yards to the MICH 39

4th & 19Punt+13 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 44 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for 13 yds to the IOWA 48 Iowa Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the IOWA 20

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the IOWA 17

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IOWA 19

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MICH 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Roman Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MICH 29

3rd & 9Sack-16 ydsPPA -0.40

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Max Llewellyn for a loss of 16 yards to the MICH 13

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 25 yds, downed at the MICH 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 8 yds to the MICH 30

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Deacon Hill pass incomplete

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -3.74

Deacon Hill pass complete to Jaziun Patterson for 1 yd Jaziun Patterson fumbled, recovered by MICH Kris Jenkins

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MICH 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 6 yds to the MICH 37

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Colston Loveland

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 9

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IOWA 11

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the IOWA 14

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Kaleb Brown

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 67 yds, downed at the MICH 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 6 yds to the MICH 25

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 9 yds to the MICH 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 4 yds to the MICH 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Colston Loveland

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Deacon Hill pass complete to Kaleb Brown for 7 yds to the IOWA 31

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Iowa Penalty, False Start (Nick DeJong) to the IOWA 26

2nd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.74

Deacon Hill sacked by Jaylen Harrell for a loss of 8 yards to the IOWA 18

3rd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Leshon Williams run for 6 yds to the IOWA 24

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MICH 26

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.54

Donovan Edwards run for 17 yds to the MICH 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.46

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Logan Lee for a loss of 9 yards to the MICH 34

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the MICH 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 5 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Alex Orji run for 5 yds to the MICH 41

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (Roman Wilson) to the MICH 31

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 6 yds to the MICH 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.95

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 14 yds to the IOWA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Cornelius Johnson run for no gain to the IOWA 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Colston Loveland

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 2 yds to the IOWA 47

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 6

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 9

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA +0.02

Deacon Hill run for 3 yds to the IOWA 6 Deacon Hill fumbled, recovered by MICH Josh Wallace Iowa Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-6 Yards) to the IOWA 6

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+6 yds

Blake Corum run for 6 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IOWA 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.96

Deacon Hill pass complete to Kaleb Brown for 10 yds to the IOWA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 10 yds to the IOWA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the MICH 48

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the MICH 48

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the MICH 44

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.66

Deacon Hill run for no gain to the MICH 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for 5 yds to the MICH 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.78

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 6 yds to the IOWA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the IOWA 43

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Kalel Mullings run for 7 yds to the IOWA 36

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.62

J.J. McCarthy run for 4 yds to the IOWA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

J.J. McCarthy run for 1 yd to the IOWA 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Roman Wilson

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the IOWA 28

4th & 6Field Goal Good+46 yds

James Turner 46 yd FG GOOD

4th & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Tommy Doman kickoff for 65 yds , Kaden Wetjen return for 28 yds to the IOWA 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Deacon Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 2 yds to the IOWA 30

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Addison Ostrenga

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MICH 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 5 yds to the MICH 40

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 43

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MICH 44

4th & 1Punt+21 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 52 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for 21 yds to the IOWA 35 Iowa Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the IOWA 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 7 yds to the IOWA 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.85

Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 4 yds to the IOWA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Deacon Hill sacked by Braiden McGregor for a loss of 9 yards to the IOWA 15 Deacon Hill fumbled, recovered by MICH Kenneth Grant , return for 0 yards , return for 2 yds to the IOWA 15

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.04

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Yahya Black for a loss of 8 yards to the IOWA 23

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the IOWA 18

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to AJ Barner

4th & 13Field Goal Good+36 yds

James Turner 36 yd FG GOOD

4th & 13Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Tommy Doman kickoff for 65 yds , Kaden Wetjen return for 26 yds to the IOWA 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Deacon Hill pass complete to Kaleb Brown for 5 yds to the IOWA 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.07

Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Addison Ostrenga

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Diante Vines

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 5 yds to the MICH 45

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Deacon Hill pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 9 yds to the IOWA 46

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.20

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the IOWA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.88

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for no gain to the IOWA 41

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the IOWA 36

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the IOWA 32

4th & 1Field Goal Good+50 yds

James Turner 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Deacon Hill pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 8 yds to the IOWA 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 12 yds to the IOWA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 8 yds to the MICH 47

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Iowa Penalty, False Start (Nick DeJong) to the IOWA 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Deacon Hill pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Deacon Hill pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

Iowa Penalty, False Start (Mason Richman) to the IOWA 43

4th & 12Sack-4 ydsPPA +0.04

Deacon Hill sacked by Derrick Moore for a loss of 4 yards to the IOWA 39

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Alex Orji run for 4 yds to the IOWA 35

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.08

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 36

3rd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 38

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
24 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
56%
9 plays
38%
8 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
20 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play