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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San José State by 21.5

Home Win Probability

San José State 88%

Market (Bovada)

San José State -16.5

Edge: San José State -16.5 (5.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
730313
San José StateSan José State
0107724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-710-1017-1017-1324-13
San José StateSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SJSSDSSJSSDSSJSSDSSJSSDSSJSSDSSJSSDSSJSSDSSJSPUNT516ydTD1377ydTD1071ydPUNT834ydTO511ydFG74ydFG1057ydDOWNS1049ydTD574ydTO620ydPUNT3-11ydFG1685ydTD694ydTO736ydEND643yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and San José State
StatisticSan Diego StateSan José State
Passing15-2415-20
Pass Yards117174
Rush Yards183181
Total Yards300355
Turnovers21
3rd Down7-164-8
Penalties1-101-15
Possession35:1624:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego State
passing
Jalen Mayden
15/24, 117 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Jaylon Armstead
21 CAR, 134 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Phillippe Wesley
4 REC, 48 YDS
defense
San José State
passing
Chevan Cordeiro
15/20, 174 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Quali Conley
13 CAR, 155 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Isaac Jernigan
2 REC, 56 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the SJSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 9 yds to the SJSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 38

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SJSU 41

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Weir punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the SDSU 27

2nd & 6Rush+39 ydsPPA +3.38

Jaylon Armstead run for 39 yds to the SJSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the SJSU 30

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SJSU 28

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Jalen Mayden run for 5 yds to the SJSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Kenan Christon run for 8 yds to the SJSU 15

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Jaylon Armstead run for no gain to the SJSU 15

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.21

Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the SJSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the SJSU 9

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 5 yds to the SJSU 4

4th & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.00

Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the SJSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 9 yds to the SJSU 38

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.37

Quali Conley run for no gain to the SJSU 38

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.13

Kairee Robinson run for 14 yds to the SDSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 14 yds to the SDSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 8 yds to the SDSU 26

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SDSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 9 yds to the SDSU 14

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSU 17 Kairee Robinson fumbled, recovered by SJSU Kairee Robinson (00:26) [NHSG] ROBINSON, Kairee rush up the middle for a loss of 3 yards, ROBINSON, Kairee fumbled at SDS17 , recovered by SJS ROBINSON, Kairee at the SDS17, returned 0 yards to the SDS17 (WHITE, Trey).

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 7 yds to the SDSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 10 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Jaylon Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSU 17

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the SDSU 19

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.86

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Phillippe Wesley II for 15 yds to the SDSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Cam Davis run for 6 yds to the SDSU 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.67

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Joshua Nicholson for 5 yds to the SDSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Cam Davis for 3 yds to the SDSU 48

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jalen Mayden run for 4 yds to the SJSU 48

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SJSU 23

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the SJSU 24

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the SJSU 29

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.35

Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the SJSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+44 ydsPPA -1.39

Chevan Cordeiro pass intercepted Chris Johnson return for 44 yds to the SJSU 33

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Martin Blake run for no gain to the SJSU 33

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.76

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Phillippe Wesley II for 12 yds to the SJSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Jalen Mayden run for 1 yd to the SJSU 20

2nd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.79

Jalen Mayden sacked by Soane Toia for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSU 28

3rd & 17Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 29

4th & 18Field Goal Good+46 yds

Gabriel Plascencia 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the SJSU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 8 yds to the SJSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the SJSU 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.75

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 6 yds to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.19

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 20 yds to the SDSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.30

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 14 yds to the SDSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Quali Conley for 1 yd to the SDSU 18

4th & 9Field Goal Good+35 yds

Kyler Halvorsen 35 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaylon Armstead run for 5 yds to the SDSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.23

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 10 yds to the SDSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the SDSU 44

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the SDSU 48

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.55

Kenan Christon run for 6 yds to the SJSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 11 yds to the SJSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the SJSU 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 5 yds to the SJSU 28

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SJSU 26

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.28

Jaylon Armstead run for no gain to the SJSU 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the SJSU 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.56

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 11 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Quali Conley run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.63

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 42 yds to the SDSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Quali Conley run for 20 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kenan Christon run for no gain to the SDSU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Joshua Nicholson for 10 yds to the SDSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Joshua Nicholson for 12 yds to the SDSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Cam Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSU 45

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return+20 ydsPPA -0.49

Jalen Mayden pass intercepted Bryun Parham return for 20 yds to the SDSU 39

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-17 ydsPPA -3.78

Isaac Jernagin run for a loss of 17 yards to the SJSU 44 Isaac Jernagin fumbled, recovered by SJSU Isaac Jernagin (03:26) [NHSG] JERNAGIN, Isaac rush to the left for a loss of 17 yards, JERNAGIN, Isaac fumbled at SJS49 , recovered by SJS JERNAGIN, Isaac at the SJS44, returned 0 yards to the SJS44, End of Play.

2nd & 27Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Quali Conley for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Alex Weir punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the SDSU 11

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jalen Mayden run for 5 yds to the SDSU 16

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Cam Davis run for 4 yds to the SDSU 20

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Martin Blake run for 6 yds to the SDSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Cam Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSU 24

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.34

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Phillippe Wesley II for 15 yds to the SDSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jalen Mayden run for 5 yds to the SDSU 44

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the SDSU 47

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd to the SDSU 48

4th & 1Penalty+15 yds

San José State Penalty, Personal Foul (Chase Williams) to the SJSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the SJSU 13

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.21

Jaylon Armstead run for 10 yds to the SJSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Penalty-10 yds

(10:31) ARMSTEAD, Jaylon rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the SJS0, TOUCHDOWN SDS, score nullified by penalty, clock 10:28 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY SDS Holding on HARPOLE, Cameron enforced 10 yards from the SJS3 to the SJS13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the SJSU 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Jalen Mayden run for 6 yds to the SJSU 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Gabriel Plascencia 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the SJSU 8

2nd & 8Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.31

Quali Conley run for 21 yds to the SJSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+57 ydsPPA +3.23

Quali Conley run for 57 yds to the SDSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SDSU 13

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Kairee Robinson run for 8 yds to the SDSU 5

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.49

Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jalen Mayden run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSU 26

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 11 yds to the SDSU 37

4th & 1Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.44

Jaylon Armstead run for 22 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Phillippe Wesley II for 6 yds to the SJSU 35

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.08

Jalen Mayden run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 36

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return+9 ydsPPA -2.95

Jalen Mayden pass intercepted Tre Jenkins return for 9 yds to the SJSU 35

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.34

Quali Conley run for 32 yds to the SDSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the SDSU 32

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Quali Conley run for 7 yds to the SDSU 25

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Quali Conley run for 7 yds to the SDSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

(01:08) [NH] Kneel down by CORDEIRO, Chevan at SDS20 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

(00:34) [NH] Kneel down by CORDEIRO, Chevan at SDS22 (team loss of 2).

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
38%
8 plays
30%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
67%
3 plays

San José State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
24 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
71%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play