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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 29.7

Home Win Probability

Boise State 95%

Market (Bovada)

Boise State -27.5

Edge: Boise State -27.5 (2.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New MexicoNew Mexico
770014
Boise StateBoise State
15177342

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428428-08-715-1429-1432-1439-1442-14
Boise StateNew Mexico

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSNMBSNMBSNMBSNMBSNMBSNMBSNMBSNMBSNMBSTD463ydPUNT34ydPUNT511ydTD1087ydTD872ydTD375ydTD174ydPUNT33ydTD451ydTO1168ydFG1188ydMISS1247ydTD1171ydDOWNS823ydFG821ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT35ydPUNT516ydDOWNS744yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico and Boise State
StatisticNew MexicoBoise State
Passing17-2611-19
Pass Yards200265
Rush Yards123219
Total Yards323484
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-106-10
Penalties9-624-40
Possession32:5327:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico
passing
Devon Dampier
17/26, 200 YDS
rushing
Jacory Merritt
15 CAR, 73 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Caleb Medford
3 REC, 77 YDS
defense
Boise State
passing
Maddux Madsen
6/11, 202 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
George Holani
16 CAR, 95 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Prince Strachan
3 REC, 128 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

George Holani run for 9 yds to the BOIS 46

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.01

George Holani run for 6 yds to the UNM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jambres Dubar run for 6 yds to the UNM 42

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.36

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Austin Bolt for 42 yds for a TD (L. Voorhees Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds to the UNM 30

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 34 yds, downed at the BOIS 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Kaden Dudley for 2 yds to the BOIS 39

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Jambres Dubar run for 9 yds to the BOIS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

George Holani run for no gain to the BOIS 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.18

Devon Dampier run for 19 yds to the UNM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 4 yds to the BOIS 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 12 yds to the BOIS 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Andrew Henry run for 5 yds to the BOIS 29

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.30

Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 14 yds to the BOIS 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BOIS 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.43

Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 10 yds to the BOIS 10

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Devon Dampier run for 4 yds to the BOIS 6

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.62

Devon Dampier run for 1 yd to the BOIS 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Kaden Dudley run for 7 yds to the BOIS 35

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Personal Foul (Destin Gainer) to the UNM 48 for a 1ST down

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.47

George Holani run for 10 yds to the UNM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.21

Maddux Madsen sacked by Tate Zimmerman for a loss of 7 yards to the UNM 44

2nd & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

George Holani run for 4 yds to the UNM 40

3rd & 13Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.91

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 30 yds to the UNM 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

George Holani run for 2 yds to the UNM 47

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

George Holani run for 10 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+59 ydsPPA +3.51

Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 59 yds to the BOIS 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 11 yds to the BOIS 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +6.01

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 74 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the UNM 5

1st & 15Penalty0 yds

New Mexico Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the UNM 3

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Jonah Dalmas kickoff for 55 yds , return for no gain to the UNM 10

1st & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the UNM 6

2nd & 14Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.10

Andrew Henry run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNM 2

3rd & 18Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.06

Devon Dampier run for 11 yds to the UNM 13

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

George Holani run for 5 yds to the UNM 46

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.88

Kaden Dudley run for 12 yds to the UNM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.33

Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 15 yds to the UNM 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Taylen Green run for 19 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Devon Dampier run for 9 yds to the UNM 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the UNM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 14 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for no gain to the BOIS 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.89

Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 14 yds to the BOIS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.35

Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 15 yds to the BOIS 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the BOIS 19

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 8 yds to the BOIS 11

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.52

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds to the BOIS 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty-5 yds

DAMPIER, Devon pass up the middle incomplete intended for ERICKSON, Andrew thrown to the BSU0. PENALTY UNM Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 5 yards from the BSU6 to the BSU11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Devon Dampier pass complete to Andrew Henry for 5 yds to the BOIS 6

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -4.47

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 7 Jacory Croskey-Merritt fumbled, recovered by BOIS Jayden Virgin [NHSG] CROSKEY-MERRITT, Jacory rush to the left for a loss of 1 yard, CROSKEY-MERRITT, Jacory fumbled at BSU6 forced by OLADIPO, Seyi, recovered by BSU VIRGIN, Jayden at the BSU7, returned 0 yards to the BSU7, End of Play, clock 02:00.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

George Holani run for 6 yds to the BOIS 13

3rd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

George Holani run for 11 yds to the BOIS 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MADSEN, Maddux scrambles up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the BSU25 (MORENCO, Alec). PENALTY UNM Face mask on RILEY, Syaire enforced 15 yards from the BSU26 to the BSU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.18

Maddux Madsen pass complete to George Holani for 39 yds to the UNM 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.58

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Austin Bolt for 15 yds to the UNM 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Maddux Madsen run for no gain to the UNM 5

3rd & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Jonah Dalmas 22 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 4 yds to the UNM 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the UNM 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Devon Dampier pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 7 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Devon Dampier pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 12 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Devon Dampier pass complete to D.J. Washington for 9 yds to the BOIS 40

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 2 yds to the BOIS 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.67

Devon Dampier sacked by Braxton Fely and Ahmed Hassanein for a loss of 9 yards to the BOIS 47

2nd & 19Penalty+10 yds

DAMPIER, Devon pass to the right incomplete intended for MEDFORD, Caleb thrown to the BSU33; QB hurried by FELY, Braxton. PENALTY BSU Holding on CLARK, Jaylen enforced 10 yards from the BSU47 to the BSU37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.39

Devon Dampier run for 14 yds to the BOIS 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico Penalty, False Start (D.J. Washington) to the BOIS 28

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Luke Drzewiecki 46 yd FG MISSED

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the BOIS 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.58

Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 5 yds to the BOIS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.69

Taylen Green pass complete to Prince Strachan for 24 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

George Holani run for 6 yds to the UNM 29

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.04

Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the UNM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

George Holani run for 4 yds to the UNM 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Taylen Green pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

George Holani run for 8 yds to the UNM 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.60

run for 12 yds to the UNM 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Taylen Green pass complete to George Holani for 4 yds to the BOIS 33

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

George Holani run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Devon Dampier pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 11 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.63

Devon Dampier pass complete to Jacory Croskey-Merritt for 10 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

DAMPIER, Devon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MEDFORD, Caleb thrown to the BSU0. PENALTY BSU Pass Interference on ROBINSON, Rodney enforced 15 yards to the BSU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Devon Dampier run for no gain to the BOIS 39

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico Penalty, False Start (D.J. Washington) to the BOIS 44

4th & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.31

Devon Dampier sacked by Ahmed Hassanein and Andrew Simpson for a loss of 8 yards to the UNM 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jambres Dubar run for 4 yds to the UNM 44

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jambres Dubar run for 2 yds to the UNM 42

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Boise State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.21

Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 15 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Jambres Dubar run for 7 yds to the UNM 28

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the UNM 26

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Taylen Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 27 Taylen Green fumbled, recovered by BOIS Jambres Dubar [NHSG] QB Keeper GREEN, Taylen rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard, GREEN, Taylen fumbled at UNM26 , recovered by BSU DUBAR, Jambres at the UNM27, returned 0 yards to the UNM27, End of Play.

4th & 2Field Goal Good+44 yds

Jonah Dalmas 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Devon Dampier sacked by Ahmed Hassanein for a loss of 4 yards to the UNM 21

2nd & 14Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNM 18

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Boise State Penalty, False Start (Ben Dooley) to the BOIS 31

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Jambres Dubar run for 7 yds to the BOIS 38

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jambres Dubar run for 5 yds to the BOIS 43

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.08

Jambres Dubar run for a loss of 2 yards to the BOIS 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the UNM 7

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Devon Dampier run for 9 yds to the UNM 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.68

Devon Dampier pass complete to Kaydin Pope for a loss of 5 yards to the UNM 11

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Delay Of Game (Devon Dampier) to the UNM 6

2nd & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.07

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 9 yds to the UNM 15

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Devon Dampier pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 5 yds to the UNM 20

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.21

Jambres Dubar run for 14 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.86

Jambres Dubar run for 22 yds to the UNM 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.15

Jambres Dubar run for 12 yds to the UNM 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jambres Dubar run for 3 yds to the UNM 9

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jambres Dubar run for 1 yd to the UNM 8

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jambres Dubar run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 9

4th & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -3.72

Kneel down by GREEN, Taylen at UNM16 (team loss of 7); BSU turnover on downs, clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
57%
23 plays
50%
4 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
60%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play