Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 22, 2023Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 21.8

Home Win Probability

San Diego State 91%

Market (Bovada)

San Diego State -11

Edge: San Diego State -11 (10.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 22, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NevadaNevada
33006
San Diego StateSan Diego State
00000

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q407140-30-6
San Diego StateNevada

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVPUNT37ydFG1351ydPUNT743ydPUNT36ydMISS841ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-17ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT314ydPUNT50ydDOWNS49ydFG646ydPUNT35ydDOWNS618ydPUNT828ydPUNT37ydMISS820ydPUNT517ydMISS963ydTO1245ydEND424yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nevada and San Diego State
StatisticNevadaSan Diego State
Passing9-226-14
Pass Yards9847
Rush Yards144157
Total Yards242204
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-120-10
Penalties10-587-80
Possession30:1429:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nevada
passing
Brendon Lewis
9/22, 98 YDS
rushing
Sean Dollars
11 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Dalevon Campbell
1 REC, 44 YDS
defense
San Diego State
passing
Jalen Mayden
6/14, 47 YDS
rushing
Jalen Mayden
14 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Mekhi Shaw
1 REC, 19 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the SDSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Cameron Harpole

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the SDSU 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Carlos Sandy at the NEV 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sean Dollars for 6 yds to the NEV 34

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Sean Dollars run for 5 yds to the NEV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cameron Zeidler for 7 yds to the NEV 46

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jamaal Bell run for 5 yds to the SDSU 45

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Brendon Lewis run for 13 yds to the SDSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Sean Dollars run for 5 yds to the SDSU 27

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEV False Start 5 yards from SDSU27 to SDSU32. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the SDSU 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.93

Brendon Lewis pass complete to John Jackson III for 6 yds to the SDSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Sean Dollars run for 1 yd to the SDSU 21

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+39 yds

Brandon Talton 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Matthew Killam kickoff for 63 yds , Sheldon Canley II return for 15 yds to the SDSU 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Lucky Sutton run for 3 yds to the SDSU 20

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.13

Cam Davis run for 11 yds to the SDSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Lucky Sutton run for 3 yds to the SDSU 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.36

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 19 yds to the NEV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for no gain to the NEV 47

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Jalen Mayden run for 7 yds to the NEV 40

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Joshua Nicholson

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Sean Dollars run for 2 yds to the NEV 3

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Sean Dollars run for 2 yds to the NEV 5

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Brendon Lewis pass complete to John Jackson III for 2 yds to the NEV 7

4th & 4Punt+1 yds

Matt Freem punt for 52 yds , Mekhi Shaw returns for 1 yd to the SDSU 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the SDSU 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.84

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 12 yds to the NEV 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Cam Davis run for 6 yds to the NEV 38

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

Shotgun Sutton,Lucky rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NEV35 (Witte,Thomas) PENALTY NEV Offside (Dedman,Jaden) 5 yards from NEV38 to NEV33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.30

Jalen Mayden run for 14 yds to the NEV 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Cam Davis run for 3 yds to the NEV 16

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Cam Davis for 4 yds to the NEV 17

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Joshua Nicholson

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Jack Browning 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Sean Dollars run for 7 yds to the NEV 27

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 2 yds to the NEV 29

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Matt Freem punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEV 49

1st & 25Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.58

Jalen Mayden sacked by Mackavelli Malotumau for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSU 30

2nd & 31Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Kenan Christon run for 4 yds to the SDSU 34

3rd & 27Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Joshua Nicholson

4th & 27Punt+3 yds

Jack Browning punt for 58 yds , Carlos Sandy returns for 3 yds to the NEV 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Sean Dollars run for 1 yd to the NEV 10

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Jacques Badolato-Birdsell

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEV Illegal Snap (Madrigal,Andrew) 5 yards from NEV10 to NEV05. NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Penalty-2 yds

PENALTY NEV False Start (Welch,Zac) 2 yards from NEV05 to NEV03. NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Sean Dollars run for 6 yds to the NEV 9

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Matt Freem punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the NEV 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jalen Mayden run for 3 yds to the NEV 46

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Martin Blake run for 6 yds to the NEV 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mark Redman

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 45 yds for a touchback

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Sean Dollars run for 6 yds to the NEV 16

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Sean Dollars run for 6 yds to the NEV 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Brendon Lewis run for 1 yd to the NEV 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to John Jackson III

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.25

Brendon Lewis sacked by Dominic Oliver for a loss of 8 yards to the NEV 15

4th & 17Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEV False Start (Rodahaffer,Cade) 5 yards from NEV15 to NEV10. NO PLAY.

4th & 22Punt+4 yds

Matt Freem punt for 38 yds , Mekhi Shaw returns for 4 yds to the NEV 44

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Jalen Mayden run for 7 yds to the NEV 37

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Cam Davis run for no gain to the NEV 37

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Lucky Sutton run for 1 yd to the NEV 36

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.30

Jalen Mayden run for 1 yd to the NEV 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brendon Lewis run for 5 yds to the NEV 40

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.72

Brendon Lewis run for 16 yds to the SDSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Spencer Curtis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Spencer Curtis

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Sean Dollars run for 10 yds to the SDSU 19 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Field Goal Good+37 yds

Brandon Talton 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 59 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 14 yds to the NEV 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Jamaal Bell

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 5 yds to the NEV 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Spencer Curtis

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Matt Freem punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSU 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jalen Mayden run for 1 yd to the SDSU 49

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.67

Kenan Christon run for 10 yds to the NEV 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the NEV 39

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cam Davis run for 5 yds to the NEV 34

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Cam Davis run for no gain to the NEV 34

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.35

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Brionne Penny

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Brendon Lewis run for 3 yds to the NEV 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jacques Badolato-Birdsell for 8 yds to the NEV 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 4 yds to the NEV 49

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.20

Jamaal Bell run for 10 yds to the SDSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.48

Brendon Lewis pass complete to John Jackson III for 13 yds to the SDSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEV False Start (Welch,Zac) 5 yards from SDSU28 to SDSU33. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 5 yds to the SDSU 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.70

Brendon Lewis sacked by Dezjhon Malone for a loss of 10 yards to the SDSU 38

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Matt Freem punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jalen Mayden run for 4 yds to the SDSU 11

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Cam Davis run for 3 yds to the SDSU 14

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Martin Blake

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Carlos Sandy at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Brendon Lewis run for 11 yds to the SDSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Jamaal Bell

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Jamaal Bell run for 8 yds to the SDSU 31

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.56

Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 3 yds to the SDSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds to the SDSU 30

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Brandon Talton 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Lucky Sutton run for 5 yds to the SDSU 35

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.12

Lucky Sutton run for 8 yds to the SDSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Lucky Sutton run for 1 yd to the SDSU 44

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Lucky Sutton run for 3 yds to the SDSU 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mekhi Shaw

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Carlos Sandy at the NEV 7

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 3 yds to the NEV 10

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 3 yds to the NEV 13

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 2 yds to the NEV 30

2nd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.92

Brendon Lewis sacked by Zyrus Fiaseu for a loss of 8 yards to the NEV 22

3rd & 16Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEV Delay Of Game 5 yards from NEV22 to NEV17. NO PLAY.

3rd & 21Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +4.22

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 44 yds to the SDSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 5 yds to the SDSU 34

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bell,Jamaal rush right for 7 yards gain to the SDSU27, out of bounds at SDSU27 PENALTY NEV Holding (Capra,Joey) 10 yards from SDSU34 to SDSU44. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jamaal Bell run for 5 yds to the SDSU 39

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cameron Zeidler for 9 yds to the SDSU 30

4th & 1Penalty-27 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Lewis,Brendon pass complete deep left to Campbell,Dalevon for 27 yards to the SDSU03 (Tumblin,Noah) PENALTY NEV Illegal Motion offsetting SDSU Offside offsetting. NO PLAY.

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Brandon Talton 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Lucky Sutton run for 6 yds to the SDSU 36

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.56

Jalen Mayden run for 4 yds to the SDSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Joshua Nicholson for 9 yds to the SDSU 49

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Lucky Sutton run for 2 yds to the NEV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Lucky Sutton run for 13 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jalen Mayden run for 5 yds to the NEV 31

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Jalen Mayden run for 7 yds to the NEV 31

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Lucky Sutton run for 2 yds to the NEV 29

4th & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.51

Jalen Mayden run for 5 yds to the NEV 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Lucky Sutton run for 1 yd to the NEV 23

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -3.99

Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the NEV 25 Jalen Mayden fumbled, recovered by NEV Jonathan Maldonado

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 1 yd to the NEV 41

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Brendon Lewis run for 11 yds to the SDSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

B. Lewis takes a knee

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

B. Lewis takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
100%
5 plays
33%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
33%
3 plays