Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 3

Home Win Probability

San Diego State 39%

Market (Bovada)

San Diego State +4.5

Edge: San Diego State +4.5 (1.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Boise StateBoise State
01710734
San Diego StateSan Diego State
71001431

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-717-1417-1717-2024-2724-3431-34
San Diego StateBoise State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSBSSDSBSSDSBSSDSBSSDSBSSDSBSSDSBSSDSBSSDSBSSDSBSSDSBSSDSBSTO429ydPUNT419ydTD652ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT615ydTD576ydFG650ydTD479ydTD775ydFG1172ydEND12ydPUNT3-14ydMISS844ydFG968ydTO11ydTD426ydTD1092ydPUNT622ydPUNT66ydTD1150ydTD772ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Boise State and San Diego State
StatisticBoise StateSan Diego State
Passing12-2217-23
Pass Yards162273
Rush Yards241166
Total Yards403439
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-137-13
Penalties4-355-23
Possession27:5032:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Boise State
passing
Taylen Green
12/22, 162 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Ashton Jeanty
23 CAR, 205 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Eric McAlister
5 REC, 90 YDS, 1 TD
defense
San Diego State
passing
Jalen Mayden
16/22, 241 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jalen Mayden
16 CAR, 85 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Baylin Brooks
5 REC, 117 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Kenan Christon run for 13 yds to the BOIS 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the BOIS 14

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalen Mayden run for 3 yds to the BOIS 11

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -4.14

Jalen Mayden run for 11 yds Jalen Mayden fumbled, recovered by BOIS Andrew Simpson

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 13 yds to the BOIS 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds to the BOIS 39

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Taylen Green pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Stefan Cobbs

4th & 4Punt+36 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 49 yds , Dezjhon Malone returns for 36 yds to the SDSU 48

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Jaylon Armstead run for 9 yds to the BOIS 43

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Jaylon Armstead run for no gain to the BOIS 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.81

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the BOIS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jaylon Armstead for 3 yds to the BOIS 38

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the BOIS 34

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.64

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 34 yds for a TD (Jack Browning KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jambres Dubar run for 3 yds to the SDSU 48

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Billy Bowens

3rd & 17Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 4 yds to the BOIS 46

4th & 13Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Martin Blake run for no gain to the SDSU 1

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Kenan Christon run for 1 yd to the SDSU 2

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.05

Kenan Christon run for no gain to the SDSU 2

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Stefan Cobbs at the SDSU 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the SDSU 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Eric McAlister

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Stefan Cobbs

4th & 15Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Joshua Nicholson for 5 yds to the SDSU 20

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 4 yds to the SDSU 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.61

Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the SDSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kenan Christon run for no gain to the SDSU 26

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kenan Christon run for 4 yds to the SDSU 30

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 5 yds to the SDSU 30

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 45 yds , Stefan Cobbs returns for no gain to the BOIS 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.01

Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 37 yds to the SDSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the SDSU 35

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.44

Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds to the SDSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jambres Dubar run for 4 yds to the SDSU 25

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.83

Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 25 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Kenan Christon run for 8 yds to the BOIS 47

2nd & 2Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +0.82

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 37 yds to the BOIS 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jaylon Armstead run for 6 yds to the BOIS 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd to the BOIS 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Jack Browning 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BOIS 26

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.49

Ashton Jeanty run for 14 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 2 yds to the BOIS 42

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +5.44

Ashton Jeanty run for 58 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Martin Blake pass complete to Brionne Penny for 32 yds to the BOIS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Cameron Harpole for 6 yds to the BOIS 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.26

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Martin Blake for 12 yds to the BOIS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the BOIS 25

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.17

Jalen Mayden run for 9 yds to the BOIS 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.36

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 14 yds to the BOIS 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds for a TD (Jack Browning KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the BOIS 22

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.32

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.91

Ashton Jeanty run for 36 yds to the SDSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.33

Ashton Jeanty run for 10 yds to the SDSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jambres Dubar run for 1 yd to the SDSU 27

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Eric McAlister

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.24

Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 11 yds to the SDSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the SDSU 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 6 yds to the SDSU 12

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Billy Bowens

4th & 6Field Goal Good+29 yds

Jonah Dalmas 29 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the SDSU 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 4 yds to the BOIS 31

2nd & 14Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.58

Taylen Green sacked by Eric Butler for a loss of 11 yards to the BOIS 20

3rd & 25Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.02

Taylen Green run for 1 yd to the BOIS 21

4th & 24Punt+21 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 67 yds , Cam Davis returns for 21 yds to the SDSU 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the SDSU 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.68

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 22 yds to the BOIS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kenan Christon run for 4 yds to the BOIS 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.76

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Logan Tanner for 14 yds to the BOIS 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jalen Mayden run for 1 yd to the BOIS 26

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 3 yds to the BOIS 23

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mark Redman

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Jack Browning 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the BOIS 23

2nd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.84

Ashton Jeanty run for 25 yds to the BOIS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 3 yds to the SDSU 49

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jambres Dubar run for 4 yds to the SDSU 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.52

Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 39 yds to the SDSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jambres Dubar run for 1 yd to the SDSU 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the SDSU 9

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Billy Bowens

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 yds

Jonah Dalmas 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jalen Mayden run for 1 yd to the SDSU 26 Jalen Mayden fumbled, recovered by BOIS Jayden Virgin

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Ashton Jeanty run for 11 yds to the SDSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the SDSU 12

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the SDSU 10

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.84

Taylen Green run for 10 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Martin Blake

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Baylin Brooks

3rd & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.92

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 36 yds to the BOIS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kenan Christon run for no gain to the BOIS 41

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.34

Jalen Mayden run for 11 yds to the BOIS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the BOIS 28

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the BOIS 26

3rd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.95

Jalen Mayden run for 16 yds to the BOIS 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Jaylon Armstead run for 10 yds for a TD (Jack Browning KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 64 yds , Troy Wilkey return for 19 yds to the BOIS 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Prince Strachan

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.01

Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 14 yds to the BOIS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 41

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Taylen Green run for 5 yds to the BOIS 46

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.26

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 42

4th & 5Punt+4 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 55 yds , Cam Davis returns for 4 yds to the SDSU 7

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the SDSU 10

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Jaylon Armstead run for no gain to the SDSU 10

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Jalen Mayden run for 9 yds to the SDSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the SDSU 24

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Mayden sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSU 13

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.86

Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 12 yds to the SDSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Taylen Green run for 9 yds to the SDSU 29

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Prince Strachan

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Taylen Green run for no gain to the SDSU 29

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.26

Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the SDSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds to the SDSU 18

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the SDSU 17

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.31

Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the SDSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the SDSU 6

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.10

Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Jonah Dalmas kickoff for 55 yds , Kenan Christon return for 18 yds to the SDSU 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 19 yds to the SDSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 12 yds to the BOIS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Baylin Brooks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 15 yds to the BOIS 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jalen Mayden run for 6 yds to the BOIS 20

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.01

Jalen Mayden run for 10 yds to the BOIS 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Jalen Mayden run for 10 yds for a TD (Jack Browning KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

T. Green takes a knee

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

T. Green takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
26 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
38%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th