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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2023Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami (OH) by 16.8

Home Win Probability

Ball State 15%

Market (Bovada)

Ball State +4

Edge: Miami (OH) -4 (12.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 25, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
773017
Ball StateBall State
660315

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40146-06-79-1412-1412-1715-17
Ball StateMiami (OH)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(M(BSM(BSM(BSPUNT39ydTD992ydPUNT418ydTO313ydTD213ydPUNT38ydTD674ydFG1145ydPUNT513ydFG1681ydPUNT35ydPUNT33ydDOWNS932ydTO722ydFG40ydPUNT717ydPUNT4-1ydTO437ydFG981ydTO22ydTD516ydUncategorized312ydPUNT310yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami (OH) and Ball State
StatisticMiami (OH)Ball State
Passing14-2414-19
Pass Yards17091
Rush Yards46274
Total Yards216365
Turnovers22
3rd Down1-92-13
Penalties2-203-30
Possession22:3437:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami (OH)
passing
Aveon Smith
14/24, 170 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Rashad Amos
13 CAR, 37 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Javon Tracy
6 REC, 70 YDS
defense
Ty Wise
1 TFL
Ball State
passing
Kiael Kelly
14/19, 91 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Marquez Cooper
31 CAR, 136 YDS
receiving
Ahmad Edwards
4 REC, 22 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+44 yds

Jack Drake kickoff for 64 yds , Kevin Davis return for 44 yds to the M-OH 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Rashad Amos run for 4 yds to the M-OH 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Aveon Smith pass complete to Cade McDonald for 2 yds to the BALL 49

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kenny Tracy run for 3 yds to the BALL 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Kiael Kelly run for 11 yds to the BALL 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 6 yds to the BALL 25

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BALL 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 7 yds to the BALL 38

2nd & 3Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.79

Marquez Cooper run for 23 yds to the M-OH 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 2 yds to the M-OH 37

2nd & 8Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.06

Kiael Kelly run for 26 yds to the M-OH 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the M-OH 9

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.69

Vaughn Pemberton 9 Yd pass from Kiael Kelly (Jackson Courville PAT blocked)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jack Drake kickoff for 58 yds , Kenny Tracy return for 19 yds to the M-OH 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.45

Aveon Smith pass complete to Javon Tracy for 16 yds to the M-OH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Smith,Aveon rush right (Pearce,Cole;Houston,Sidney).

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Kevin Davis run for 2 yds to the M-OH 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

pass incomplete to Cade McDonald

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 43 yds , Qian Magwood returns for no gain to the BALL 8

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 13

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Nick Presley for 8 yds to the BALL 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kiael Kelly pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Aveon Smith pass complete to Kevin Davis for 3 yds to the BALL 10

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.64

Cade McDonald 10 Yd pass from Aveon Smith (Graham Nicholson Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 3 yds to the BALL 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BALL 31

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the BALL 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Aveon Smith pass complete to Javon Tracy for 15 yds to the M-OH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.36

Aveon Smith pass complete to Javon Tracy for 17 yds to the BALL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Aveon Smith pass complete to Cade McDonald for 8 yds to the BALL 34

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.17

Rashad Amos run for 5 yds to the BALL 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.85

Aveon Smith pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 28 yds to the BALL 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Rashad Amos run for 1 yd for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.85

Aveon Smith pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 28 yds to the BALL 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Graham Nicholson kickoff for 60 yds , Ahmad Edwards return for 23 yds to the BALL 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 31

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.80

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 7 yds to the BALL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kiael Kelly run for 5 yds to the BALL 46

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 48

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.49

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the M-OH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.92

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 18 yds to the M-OH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the M-OH 30

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the M-OH 27

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete to Qian Magwood

4th & 6Field Goal Good+45 yds

Jackson Courville 45 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Amos,Rashad rush middle (Strickland,Loren).

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Rashad Amos run for 11 yds to the M-OH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Joe Wilkins Jr., broken up by Loren Strickland

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Aveon Smith pass complete to Cade McDonald for 2 yds to the M-OH 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Javon Tracy

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 48 yds , Qian Magwood returns for no gain to the BALL 8

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.92

Kiael Kelly run for 19 yds to the BALL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 32

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.88

Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BALL 44

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.54

Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the BALL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the M-OH 47

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the M-OH 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 2 yds to the M-OH 43

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.19

Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the M-OH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.33

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 11 yds to the M-OH 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Vaughn Pemberton run for 3 yds to the M-OH 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 8 yds to the M-OH 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 16

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Ahmad Edwards, broken up by Michael Dowell

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Kiael Kelly run for 5 yds to the M-OH 11

4th & 6Field Goal Good+29 yds

Jackson Courville 29 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Jack Drake kickoff for 35 yds , Grant Lyons return for 10 yds to the M-OH 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Smith,Aveon rush left , out-of-bounds.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

pass incomplete to Miles Marshall

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Cade McDonald, broken up by Jordan Riley

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

Ball State Penalty, off-side (DeJuan Echoles Jr.) to the M-OH 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 45 yds , Qian Magwood returns for no gain to the BALL 10

1st & 10placeholder0 ydsPPA -0.35

Rush for loss of 1 yard to the BSU09.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Cooper,Marquez rush left (McKee,Yahsyn;Salopek,Matt).

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 1 yd to the BALL 28

4th & 7Punt+54 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 44 yds Miami (OH) Penalty, Offensive holding (Caiden Woullard) to the M-OH 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the M-OH 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Aveon Smith pass complete to Javon Tracy for 5 yds to the M-OH 25

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.25

Rashad Amos run for 7 yds to the M-OH 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Aveon Smith run for 1 yd to the M-OH 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.72

Aveon Smith pass complete to Javon Tracy for 9 yds to the M-OH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Cade McDonald, broken up by Tyler Potts

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Rashad Amos run for a loss of 2 yards to the M-OH 40

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Aveon Smith pass complete to Joe Wilkins Jr. for 11 yds to the BALL 49

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Aveon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the M-OH 47

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.09

Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the M-OH 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the M-OH 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.04

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the M-OH 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the M-OH 26

2nd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.96

Kiael Kelly sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the M-OH 28

3rd & 11Interception-15 ydsPPA -2.92

Kiael Kelly pass intercepted for a 1ST down Ball State Penalty, personal foul (Taran Tyo) to the BALL 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.76

Rashad Amos run for a loss of 4 yards to the BALL 24

2nd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Kenny Tracy run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 25

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Aveon Smith run for 5 yds to the BALL 20

4th & 10Field Goal Good+37 yds

Graham Nicholson 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BALL 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the BALL 40

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 39

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BALL 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Rashad Amos run for 1 yd to the M-OH 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Aveon Smith pass complete to Javon Tracy for 8 yds to the M-OH 37

3rd & 1Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.39

Amos,Rashad rush (Charity,Damion), PENALTY MIA holding (Young,John) 10 yards to the MIA47. Miami (OH) Penalty, Offensive holding (John Young) to the M-OH 27

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

pass incomplete to Javon Tracy

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.94

Aveon Smith pass complete to Cade McDonald for 36 yds to the BALL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Rashad Amos run for 1 yd to the BALL 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

pass incomplete to Cade McDonald

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -2.26

Aveon Smith pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the BALL 14

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BALL 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the BALL 29

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+55 ydsPPA +3.06

Kiael Kelly run for 55 yds to the M-OH 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 15

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Nick Munson for 3 yds to the M-OH 12

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Tanner Koziol

4th & 8Field Goal Good+29 yds

Jackson Courville 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Jack Drake kickoff for 65 yds , Kenny Tracy return for 20 yds to the M-OH 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the M-OH 22

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.25

Aveon Smith pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the M-OH 15

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 16

3rd & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.57

Kelly,Kiael rush , TOUCHDOWN, PENALTY BSU holding (Stewart,Corey) 10 yards to the MIA06. Ball State Penalty, Offensive holding (Corey Stewart) to the M-OH 26

3rd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the M-OH 25

4th & 19Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Jackson Courville 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Rashad Amos run for 9 yds to the M-OH 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Aveon Smith run for 3 yds to the M-OH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.72

Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 7 yards to the BALL 27 Kiael Kelly fumbled, recovered by BALL Damon Kaylor Kelly,Kiael rush middle for loss of 7 yards to the BSU27, fumble by Kelly,Kiael recovered by BSU Kaylor,Damon, Kaylor,Damon rush.

2nd & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the BALL 31

3rd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for 6 yds to the BALL 37

4th & 7Punt+12 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the M-OH 25 , Cade McDonald returns for 12 yds to the M-OH 25

Situational Analysis

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
38%
21 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
45%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
32 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays