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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ball State by 15.4

Home Win Probability

Ball State 82%

Market (Bovada)

Ball State -10.5

Edge: Ball State -10.5 (4.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kent StateKent State
03003
Ball StateBall State
31014734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-013-020-327-334-3
Ball StateKent State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSBSKSBSKSBSKSBSKSBSKSBSKSBSBSKSBSKSBSKSBSPUNT3-2ydPUNT33ydPUNT316ydFG832ydPUNT635ydTD880ydPUNT31ydFG713ydPUNT5-1ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT3-3ydFG923ydEND33ydTD975ydPUNT32ydTD889ydDOWNS1152ydTD1188ydPUNT3-6ydEND828yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kent State and Ball State
StatisticKent StateBall State
Passing8-227-17
Pass Yards6888
Rush Yards29300
Total Yards97388
Turnovers00
3rd Down1-127-15
Penalties7-796-66
Possession23:2436:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kent State
passing
Devin Kargman
5/12, 52 YDS
rushing
Gavin Garcia
7 CAR, 29 YDS
receiving
Luke Floriea
3 REC, 38 YDS
defense
Ball State
passing
Kiael Kelly
4/14, 71 YDS
rushing
Marquez Cooper
25 CAR, 140 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ahmad Edwards
2 REC, 50 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 19

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke Floriea

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.23

Tommy Ulatowski sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the KENT 10

4th & 17Penalty+5 yds

(13:32) Smith,Josh punt 45 yards to the BSU45 PENALTY BSU Running Into The Kicker (Evans,Brayden) 5 yards from KSU10 to KSU15. NO PLAY.

4th & 12Punt+40 yds

Josh Smith punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 45 Ball State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jack Beebe) to the BALL 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BALL 46

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian Magwood

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 12

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

(11:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Ulatowski,Tommy pass complete deep left to Gardner,Jameel for 29 yards to the KSU41 (Potts,Tyler) PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (Gardner,Jameel) 6 yards from KSU12 to KSU06. NO PLAY.

1st & 16Penalty+16 yds

(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Ulatowski,Tommy rush right for 7 yards gain to the KSU13, End Of Play PENALTY BSU Personal Foul (Pearce,Cole) 16 yards from KSU06 to KSU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 8 yds to the KENT 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Trell Harris for 2 yds to the KENT 28

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.

4th & 4Punt+3 yds

Josh Smith punt for 34 yds , Qian Magwood returns for 3 yds to the BALL 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Tanner Koziol

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(09:57) Shotgun Kelly,Kiael pass complete short middle to Magwood,Qian for 2 yards loss to the BSU39 (Nicholl,Rocco; Daley,Stephen) PENALTY KSU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Blue,Capone) 15 yards from BSU41 to KSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the KENT 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Tanner Koziol

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.54

Kiael Kelly run for 11 yds to the KENT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the KENT 31

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the KENT 27

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Nick Presley

4th & 4Field Goal Good+44 yds

Jackson Courville 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.25

Jaylen Thomas run for 17 yds to the KENT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 10 yds to the KENT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 46

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the BALL 49

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the BALL 47

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Kiael Kelly run for 16 yds to the BALL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.00

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 46 yds to the KENT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the KENT 13

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.85

Kiael Kelly run for 8 yds to the KENT 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KENT 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the KENT 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Jack Drake kickoff for 64 yds , Bryce Sheppert return for 21 yds to the KENT 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke Floriea

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 23

3rd & 9Penalty0 yds

(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Ulatowski,Tommy pass incomplete short right to Harris,Trell QB hurried by Mims,Kyron PENALTY KSU Illegal Formation offsetting BSU Face Mask offsetting. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Hayden Junker

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 36 yds , Qian Magwood returns for no gain to the KENT 44

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the KENT 39

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the KENT 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.02

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Maximus Webster for 6 yds to the KENT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Tanner Koziol

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the KENT 31

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Nick Presley

4th & 10Field Goal Good+48 yds

Jackson Courville 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun Ulatowski,Tommy pass complete short left to Floriea,Luke for 3 yards to the KSU38, End Of Play PENALTY KSU Holding (Page,Andrew) 10 yards from KSU35 to KSU25. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Penalty-13 yds

PENALTY KSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 13 yards from KSU25 to KSU12. NO PLAY.

1st & 33Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Jaylen Thomas run for 6 yds to the KENT 18

2nd & 27Penalty+15 yds

Ball State Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordan Riley) to the KENT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tommy Ulatowski run for no gain to the KENT 34

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke Floriea

4th & 10Punt+9 yds

Josh Smith punt for 47 yds , Qian Magwood returns for 9 yds to the BALL 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Ahmad Edwards

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 33

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Marquez Cooper

4th & 5Punt+4 yds

punt for 49 yds , Luke Floriea returns for 4 yds to the KENT 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Justin Holmes

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 21

3rd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.16

Tommy Ulatowski sacked by Mikhari Sibblis for a loss of 5 yards to the KENT 16

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 25

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BALL 31

3rd & 4Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.73

Kiael Kelly sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the BALL 22

4th & 13Punt+14 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Luke Floriea returns for 14 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Ball State Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Loren Strickland) to the BALL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the BALL 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Devin Kargman pass complete to Justin Holmes for 7 yds to the BALL 24

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the BALL 25

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Devin Kargman pass complete to Trell Harris for 5 yds to the BALL 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Devin Kargman sacked by Sidney Houston Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 21

2nd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.55

Devin Kargman sacked by Sidney Houston Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the BALL 27

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Luke Floriea

4th & 17Field Goal Good+45 yds

Andrew Glass 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Andrew Glass kickoff for 44 yds , Nick Munson return for 14 yds to the BALL 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Nick Presley

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BALL 38

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BSU False Start (Mucciolo,Jon) 5 yards from BSU25 to BSU20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.99

Marquez Cooper run for 14 yds to the BALL 34

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Kiael Kelly run for 11 yds to the BALL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 43

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the BALL 41

3rd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.88

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 11 yds to the KENT 48

4th & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.76

Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the KENT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KENT 37

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.81

Marquez Cooper run for 15 yds to the KENT 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Kiael Kelly run for 22 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Trell Harris

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 39

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY KSU False Start (Golden,Cameron) 5 yards from KSU39 to KSU34. NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.33

Devin Kargman pass complete to Trell Harris for 10 yds to the KENT 44

4th & 8Punt+1 yds

Josh Smith punt for 46 yds , Qian Magwood returns for 1 yd to the BALL 11

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 16

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.36

Kiael Kelly run for 5 yds to the BALL 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.28

Marquez Cooper run for 16 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.04

Kiael Kelly run for 12 yds to the KENT 49 for a 1ST down Kent State Penalty, Personal Foul (Sayed Abuhamdeh) to the KENT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KENT 33

2nd & 7Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.55

Marquez Cooper run for 29 yds to the KENT 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the KENT 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Jack Drake kickoff for 55 yds , Bryce Sheppert return for 26 yds to the KENT 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the KENT 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.89

Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 18 yds to the BALL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the BALL 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 12 yds to the BALL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the BALL 20

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.11

Gavin Garcia run for 10 yds to the BALL 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the BALL 12

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Hayden Junker

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Luke Floriea

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.22

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.22

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the BALL 19

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the BALL 19

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.79

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Vaughn Pemberton run for 13 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +2.46

Vaughn Pemberton run for 45 yds to the KENT 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the KENT 18

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 8 yds to the KENT 10

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the KENT 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Vaughn Pemberton run for no gain to the KENT 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Vaughn Pemberton run for no gain to the KENT 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Vaughn Pemberton run for 1 yd for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Carson Holmer kickoff for 52 yds , Gavin Garcia return for 13 yds to the KENT 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Curtis Douglas run for 3 yds to the KENT 29

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jack Coulson

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.46

Devin Kargman sacked by Keionte Newson for a loss of 9 yards to the KENT 20

4th & 16Punt+8 yds

Josh Smith punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KENT 47 , Qian Magwood returns for 8 yds to the KENT 47

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Charlie Spegal run for 1 yd to the KENT 48

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Charlie Spegal run for 5 yds to the KENT 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.82

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Charlie Spegal for 7 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 4 yds to the KENT 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Nick Presley for 6 yds to the KENT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Charlie Spegal run for 7 yds to the KENT 19

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Charlie Spegal run for 1 yd to the KENT 18

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Kneel down by Ball St. at KSU19 for loss of 1 yard.

Situational Analysis

Kent State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
19%
16 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
38%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play