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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio by 19.2

Home Win Probability

Ohio 89%

Market (Bovada)

Ohio -10.5

Edge: Ohio -10.5 (8.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
077620
OhioOhio
10714334

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-017-017-724-731-1431-2034-20
OhioCentral Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CMOHICMOHICMCMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHIPUNT32ydFG741ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-2ydTD10ydPUNT58ydPUNT422ydDOWNS782ydTD887ydTD760ydPUNT522ydEND622ydTD875ydTD264ydTD1073ydTD853ydMISS944ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT31ydDOWNS49ydFG46ydTO533ydDOWNS7-12yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Central Michigan and Ohio
StatisticCentral MichiganOhio
Passing10-2116-24
Pass Yards157229
Rush Yards162148
Total Yards319377
Turnovers20
3rd Down2-113-12
Penalties10-638-85
Possession22:1136:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Central Michigan
passing
Jase Bauer
10/21, 157 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Marion Lukes
15 CAR, 75 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chris Parker
1 REC, 62 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Ohio
passing
Kurtis Rourke
15/23, 222 YDS
rushing
Sieh Bangura
21 CAR, 126 YDS
receiving
Miles Cross
3 REC, 53 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jase Bauer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jase Bauer run for 2 yds to the CMU 21

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jase Bauer pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Sieh Bangura run for 9 yds to the OHIO 46

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.13

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 8 yds to the CMU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ROURKE, Kurtis scrambles to the right for a gain of 12 yards to the CMU34 (SPANN, Caleb), out of bounds. PENALTY OU Holding on DANNEKER, Kurt enforced 10 yards from the CMU46 to the OU44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.92

Sieh Bangura run for 26 yds to the CMU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the CMU 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 7 yds to the CMU 22

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Good+39 yds

Gianni Spetic 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Central Michigan Penalty, False Start (Deiyantei Powell-Woods) to the CMU 17

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jase Bauer pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 1 yd to the CMU 18

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 4 yds to the CMU 22

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the OHIO 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the OHIO 30

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.51

Kurtis Rourke sacked by Jacques Bristol for a loss of 6 yards to the OHIO 24

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 52 yds, downed at the CMU 24

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+21 ydsPPA -7.85

Shane Bonner 21 Yd Interception Return (Gianni Spetic Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Marion Lukes run for 8 yds to the CMU 41

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the CMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the OHIO 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -2.68

Jase Bauer pass complete to Thomas Pannunzio for a loss of 10 yards to the CMU 41

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jase Bauer pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the OHIO 24

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ROURKE, Kurtis pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WIGLUSZ, Sam thrown to the OU41. PENALTY CMU Pass Interference on KENT, Donte enforced 15 yards to the OU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Ohio Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tyler Foster) to the OHIO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.86

Kurtis Rourke sacked by Robi Stuart for a loss of 5 yards to the OHIO 34

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

Ohio Penalty, False Start (Parker Titsworth) to the OHIO 29

2nd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Kurtis Rourke run for 3 yds to the OHIO 32

3rd & 17Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 14 yds to the OHIO 46

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 43 yds , returns for no gain to the CMU 7

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Central Michigan Penalty, False Start (Stephan Bracey Jr.) to the CMU 3

1st & 12Rush+48 ydsPPA +3.31

Myles Bailey run for 48 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the OHIO 45

2nd & 6Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.25

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 23 yds to the OHIO 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 5 yds to the OHIO 17

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jase Bauer pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the OHIO 13

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.94

Marion Lukes run for no gain to the OHIO 13

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.53

O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 10

2nd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.09

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 14 yds to the OHIO 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the OHIO 24

3rd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.22

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 25 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.29

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 30 yds to the CMU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.69

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Foster for 20 yds to the CMU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Alex Kasee kickoff for 59 yds , return for no gain to the CMU 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jase Bauer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the CMU 46

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the CMU 47

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.56

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 4 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Marion Lukes run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMU 48

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Jase Bauer run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +6.08

Jase Bauer pass complete to Tyson Davis for 50 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the OHIO 35

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.31

Sieh Bangura run for 10 yds to the OHIO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 5 yds to the CMU 48

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the CMU 20

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jase Bauer run for 4 yds to the CMU 24

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.94

Marion Lukes run for 5 yds to the CMU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Jase Bauer sacked by Shane Bonner and Tristan Cox for a loss of 2 yards to the CMU 27

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jase Bauer pass incomplete

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

3rd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Marion Lukes run for 11 yds to the CMU 38 Marion Lukes fumbled, recovered by CMU Marion Lukes

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Tristan Mattson kickoff for 58 yds , return for no gain to the OHIO 7

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Sieh Bangura run for 14 yds to the OHIO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 45

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Sieh Bangura run for 11 yds to the CMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 14 yds to the CMU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the CMU 28

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Sieh Bangura run for 12 yds to the CMU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Kurtis Rourke run for 16 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the CMU 38

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +5.79

Jase Bauer pass complete to Chris Parker for 62 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Tristan Mattson kickoff for 64 yds , return for no gain to the OHIO 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.84

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 35 yds to the CMU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the CMU 32

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kurtis Rourke run for 5 yds to the CMU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the CMU 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Foster for 9 yds to the CMU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Miles Cross pass complete to Kurtis Rourke for 7 yds to the CMU 8

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the CMU 6

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the CMU 6

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.94

Tyler Walton run for 5 yds to the CMU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Alex Kasee kickoff for 47 yds , return for no gain to the CMU 47

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the OHIO 49

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.95

Marion Lukes run for 7 yds to the OHIO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jase Bauer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the OHIO 39

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jase Bauer run for 5 yds to the OHIO 34

4th & 2Penalty+15 yds

BAUER, Jase sacked for a loss of 30 yards at the CMU36, fumble on the sack (forced by HOUSTON, Bryce), recovered by OU HOUSTON, Bryce at the CMU36, returned 0 yards to the CMU36, End of Play. PENALTY OU Personal Foul on COX JR., Torrie enforced 15 yards from the OU34 to the OU19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 2 yds to the OHIO 17

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.61

Jase Bauer run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 19

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

BAUER, Jase pass to the right complete for 8 yards to TEMPLE, Decorion caught at the OU13 and advanced to the OU11; QB hurried by BONNER, Shane (PARODIE, Roman), out of bounds. PENALTY CMU Holding on HEINZEN, Davis enforced 10 yards from the OU19 to the OU29 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Marion Lukes run for 14 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson PAT MISSED)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Central Michigan Penalty, False Start (Myles Bailey) to the OHIO 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.29

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 18 yds to the CMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the CMU 46

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the CMU 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.21

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 15 yds to the CMU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 4 yds to the CMU 26

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Gianni Spetic 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Jase Bauer pass complete to Tyson Davis for 7 yds to the CMU 33

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jase Bauer pass incomplete

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Central Michigan Penalty, False Start (Brayden Swartout) to the CMU 28

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.38

Jase Bauer sacked by Bryce Houston for a loss of 8 yards to the CMU 20

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the OHIO 44

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Ohio Penalty, False Start (Parker Titsworth) to the OHIO 39

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 41

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 4 yds to the OHIO 45

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 47 yds, downed at the CMU 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jase Bauer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Jase Bauer pass complete to Marion Lukes for 8 yds to the CMU 16

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Myles Bailey run for 1 yd to the CMU 17

4th & 1Penalty0 yds

PENALTY OU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on WOOD, Jeremiah CMU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on POWELL-WOODS, Deiyantei , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA +0.16

Jase Bauer run for no gain to the CMU 17

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the CMU 16

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the CMU 13

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the CMU 11

4th & 4Field Goal Good+33 yds

Gianni Spetic 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.62

Jase Bauer pass complete to Marion Lukes for a loss of 3 yards to the CMU 36

2nd & 13Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.18

Jase Bauer pass complete to Decorion Temple for 22 yds to the OHIO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Jase Bauer pass complete to Marion Lukes for 8 yds to the OHIO 34

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.08

Jase Bauer pass complete to Decorion Temple for 9 yds to the OHIO 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.81

Jase Bauer sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 28

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Sieh Bangura run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 40

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at OU31 (team loss of 9).

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Sieh Bangura run for 7 yds to the OHIO 35

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the OHIO 35

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.64

Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST down

3rd & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.09

[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at OU23 (team loss of 8).

4th & 28Rush0 ydsPPA +0.39

[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at OU16 (team loss of 7); OU turnover on downs, clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
20 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
67%
3 plays

Ohio

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
44%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play