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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami (OH) by 7

Home Win Probability

Kent State 28%

Market (Bovada)

Kent State +14.5

Edge: Kent State +14.5 (7.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
10310023
Kent StateKent State
30003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-33-103-133-163-23
Kent StateMiami (OH)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(KSM(KSM(KSM(KSM(KSM(KSM(KSM(KSM(KSM(KSM(KSM(PUNT31ydFG859ydPUNT513ydDOWNS42ydFG40ydPUNT920ydTD457ydPUNT513ydFG967ydPUNT934ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT35ydEND219ydPUNT3-2ydFG950ydPUNT1027ydTD684ydPUNT512ydPUNT35ydPUNT620ydPUNT610ydDOWNS46ydEND66yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami (OH) and Kent State
StatisticMiami (OH)Kent State
Passing11-2318-30
Pass Yards216170
Rush Yards7636
Total Yards292206
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-123-15
Penalties3-205-50
Possession30:1629:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami (OH)
passing
Brett Gabbert
11/23, 216 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Rashad Amos
13 CAR, 54 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Joe Wilkins
3 REC, 110 YDS
defense
Kent State
passing
Michael Alaimo
18/30, 170 YDS
rushing
Gavin Garcia
17 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Chrishon Mccray
10 REC, 105 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Reggie Virgil

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Kenny Tracy run for 1 yd to the M-OH 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Joe Wilkins Jr.

4th & 9Punt+7 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KENT 31 , Luke Floriea returns for 7 yds to the KENT 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 8 yds to the KENT 39

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.76

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the M-OH 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.90

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 32 yds to the M-OH 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Michael Alaimo run for 7 yds to the M-OH 9

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the M-OH 10

3rd & 4Sack0 ydsPPA -0.37

Michael Alaimo sacked by Silas Walters for 0 yards to the M-OH 10

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 yds

Andrew Glass 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Andrew Glass kickoff for 64 yds , Kevin Davis return for 22 yds to the M-OH 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the M-OH 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.48

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 11 yds to the M-OH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Joe Wilkins Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Miles Marshall

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Reggie Virgil

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 64 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Hayden Junker

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Michael Alaimo run for no gain to the KENT 24

4th & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.23

Andrew Glass run for 2 yds to the KENT 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Javon Tracy

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Javon Tracy

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Kevin Davis

4th & 10Field Goal Good+40 yds

Graham Nicholson 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Graham Nicholson kickoff for 65 yds , Xavier Williams return for 18 yds to the KENT 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 12 yds to the KENT 30 for a 1ST down

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.83

Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the KENT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.46

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 18 yds to the M-OH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the M-OH 41

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Alaimo,Michael pass incomplete deep left to McCray,Chrishon PENALTY KENT Holding (Lamptey,Elijah) 10 yards from MIAMI41 to KENT49. NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the M-OH 48

3rd & 16Sack-14 ydsPPA -0.98

Michael Alaimo sacked by Corey Suttle for a loss of 14 yards to the KENT 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Luke Floriea for 5 yds to the KENT 35

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Luke Floriea

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 39

4th & 30Punt+15 yds

Charlie Durkin punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the M-OH 43 , Cade McDonald returns for 15 yds to the M-OH 43

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kenny Tracy run for 1 yd to the M-OH 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.98

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 12 yds to the KENT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Miles Marshall for 12 yds to the KENT 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 32 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Graham Nicholson kickoff for 55 yds , Xavier Williams return for 19 yds to the KENT 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 31

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.21

Gavin Garcia run for 16 yds to the KENT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Isaiah Batton

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.52

Michael Alaimo sacked by Caiden Woullard for a loss of 8 yards to the KENT 42

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Charlie Durkin punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kevin Davis at the M-OH 11

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the M-OH 13

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Miles Marshall for 9 yds to the M-OH 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 4 yds to the M-OH 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.67

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Joe Wilkins Jr. for 49 yds to the KENT 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Rashad Amos run for 12 yds to the KENT 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.66

Brett Gabbert sacked by CJ West for a loss of 5 yards to the KENT 18

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Rashad Amos run for 1 yd to the KENT 17

3rd & 14Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.79

Brett Gabbert sacked by Macyo WIlliams for a loss of 5 yards to the KENT 22

4th & 19Field Goal Good+40 yds

Graham Nicholson 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the KENT 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 7 yds to the KENT 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 9 yds to the KENT 47

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Chrishon McCray run for 11 yds to the M-OH 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the M-OH 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Trell Harris

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the M-OH 41

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Charlie Durkin punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 18

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.72

Brett Gabbert sacked by CJ Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the M-OH 14

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 13

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Javon Tracy

4th & 15Punt+6 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KENT 40 , Luke Floriea returns for 6 yds to the KENT 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Luke Floriea

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the KENT 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Charlie Durkin punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Kenny Tracy run for 6 yds to the M-OH 34

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.40

Kenny Tracy run for 13 yds to the M-OH 47 for a 1ST down

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Alaimo,Michael pass complete short middle to McCray,Chrishon for 75 yards to the MIAMI00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 14:49 PENALTY KENT Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Golden,Cameron) 5 yards from KENT25 to KENT20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the KENT 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the KENT 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Charlie Durkin punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the M-OH 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.80

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 12 yds to the KENT 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Cade McDonald

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.48

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Joe Wilkins Jr. for 13 yds to the KENT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.76

Rashad Amos run for 24 yds to the KENT 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the KENT 5

2nd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.89

Brett Gabbert sacked by Oliver Billotte for a loss of 8 yards to the KENT 13

3rd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Brett Gabbert run for 6 yds to the KENT 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Graham Nicholson 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 3 yds to the KENT 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Xavier Williams run for 6 yds to the KENT 34

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY MIAMI Delay Of Game (Ertl,Austin) 5 yards from KENT34 to KENT39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.04

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 10 yds to the KENT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Justin Holmes for 1 yd to the KENT 48

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.63

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 9 yds to the M-OH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.25

Michael Alaimo sacked by Oscar McWood for a loss of 12 yards to the KENT 47

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.

3rd & 22Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Luke Floriea for 5 yds to the M-OH 48

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Charlie Durkin punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 16

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Gabbert,Brett pass complete short right to Tracy,Kenny for 4 yards loss to the MIAMI12 (Carroll,Mattheus) PENALTY KENT Face Mask (Carroll,Mattheus) 15 yards from MIAMI16 to MIAMI31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +2.97

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Joe Wilkins Jr. for 48 yds to the KENT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the KENT 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.96

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 14 yds to the KENT 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Joe Wilkins Jr.

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Rashad Amos run for 4 yds to the KENT 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Rashad Amos run for 1 yd for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 4 yds to the KENT 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 7 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the KENT 36

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Michael Alaimo run for 1 yd to the KENT 37

4th & 9Punt+5 yds

Charlie Durkin punt for 46 yds , Matt Salopek returns for 5 yds to the M-OH 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the M-OH 27

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the M-OH 27

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Miles Marshall

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 22

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Michael Alaimo sacked by Ty Wise for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 21

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 10 yds to the KENT 31

3rd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.28

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 17 yds to the KENT 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Michael Alaimo run for 1 yd to the KENT 49

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.89

Michael Alaimo sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the KENT 43

3rd & 15Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Michael Alaimo sacked by Ty Wise for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 42

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Charlie Durkin punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the M-OH 35

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY KENT Offside (Daley,Stephen) 5 yards from MIAMI35 to MIAMI40. NO PLAY.

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the M-OH 42

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the M-OH 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Rashad Amos run for 1 yd to the M-OH 46

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the M-OH 48

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Rashad Amos run for no gain to the M-OH 48

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 4 yds to the KENT 20

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Michael Alaimo run for 2 yds to the KENT 22

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.20

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Luke Floriea

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Rashad Amos run for no gain to the KENT 22

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Kenny Tracy run for 9 yds to the KENT 13

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.07

Kenny Tracy run for 1 yd to the KENT 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Kneel down by Miami (OH) at KENT13 for loss of 1 yard.

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Kneel down by Miami (OH) at KENT14 for loss of 1 yard.

3rd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Kneel down by Miami (OH) at KENT16 for loss of 2 yards.

Situational Analysis

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
30%
23 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
64%
11 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th

Kent State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
10 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays