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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Central Michigan by 1.6

Home Win Probability

Central Michigan 51%

Market (Bovada)

Central Michigan -7.5

Edge: Eastern Michigan +7.5 (5.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan
7313023
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
775726

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-77-1014-1619-1619-2326-23
Central MichiganEastern Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CMEMCMEMCMEMCMEMCMEMEMCMEMCMEMCMEMCMTD991ydTD965ydPUNT424ydDOWNS958ydTO857ydFG1141ydPUNT518ydPUNT35ydTD452ydEND14ydTD1062ydFG966ydTD675ydPUNT630ydPUNT3-14ydTD658ydMISS1450ydEND315yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Eastern Michigan and Central Michigan
StatisticEastern MichiganCentral Michigan
Passing20-2619-26
Pass Yards186218
Rush Yards155193
Total Yards341411
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-142-6
Penalties4-408-88
Possession34:2625:34

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Eastern Michigan
passing
Austin Smith
20/26, 186 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Austin Smith
19 CAR, 71 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tanner Knue
7 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Central Michigan
passing
Jase Bauer
19/26, 218 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Myles Bailey
14 CAR, 92 YDS
receiving
Chris Parker
4 REC, 49 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.30

Jase Bauer pass complete to Myles Bailey for 23 yds to the CMU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Jase Bauer run for 12 yds to the CMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Marion Lukes run for no gain to the CMU 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.48

Jase Bauer pass complete to Tyson Davis for 19 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.47

Myles Bailey run for 20 yds to the EMU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jase Bauer pass complete to Stephan Bracey Jr. for 1 yd to the EMU 16

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.16

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 12 yds to the EMU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Myles Bailey run for no gain to the EMU 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Jase Bauer run for 4 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.95

Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 23 yds to the CMU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.51

Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 13 yds to the CMU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the CMU 27

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.53

Jaylon Jackson run for 13 yds to the CMU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Jaylon Jackson run for 9 yds to the CMU 5

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.47

Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the CMU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner Knue

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the CMU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Austin Smith run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Ryan Kingston kickoff for 61 yds , Marion Lukes return for 27 yds to the CMU 38 Central Michigan Penalty, Illegal Block (9 Yards) to the CMU 9

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.74

Myles Bailey run for 16 yds to the CMU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jase Bauer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jase Bauer run for 2 yds to the CMU 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 6 yds to the CMU 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 46 yds

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Hamze El-Zayat at the EMU 36

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Austin Smith run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the CMU 44

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Austin Smith pass incomplete to JB Mitchell III

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the CMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.58

Austin Smith run for 24 yds to the CMU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 3 yds to the CMU 12

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the CMU 13

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans for 7 yds to the CMU 6

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.13

Samson Evans run for no gain to the CMU 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Myles Bailey run for 1 yd to the CMU 7

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the CMU 10

3rd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.78

Jase Bauer pass complete to Myles Bailey for 23 yds to the CMU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 7 yds to the CMU 40

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 11 yds to the EMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Jase Bauer pass complete to Marion Lukes for 9 yds to the EMU 40

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.95

Jase Bauer pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Jaylon Jackson run for 10 yds to the EMU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMU 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Austin Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.02

Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 17 yds to the CMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Austin Smith run for 5 yds to the EMU 46

2nd & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.90

Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 13 yds to the CMU 41

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.03

Austin Smith run for 5 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Austin Smith pass incomplete to JB Mitchell III

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Jackson,Jaylon rush left for 1 yard gain to the CMU35 (Pace,Jonah) PENALTY EMU Holding (Dooley,Brian) 10 yards from CMU36 to CMU46. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 9 yds Jaylon Jackson fumbled, recovered by EMU Jaylon Jackson

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner Knue

4th & 11Field Goal Good+55 yds

Jesus Gomez 55 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Ryan Kingston kickoff for 63 yds , Marion Lukes return for 36 yds to the CMU 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jase Bauer pass complete to Myles Bailey for 1 yd to the CMU 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.23

Jase Bauer pass complete to Stephan Bracey Jr. for 14 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun Bauer,Jase pass complete short left to Prewitt III,Jesse for 2 yards to the EMU45 (Williams,Elijah), out of bounds PENALTY CMU Holding (Swartout,Brayden) 10 yards from EMU47 to CMU43. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the CMU 46

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Marion Lukes

3rd & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Jase Bauer pass complete to Decorion Temple for 10 yds to the EMU 44

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMU 7

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans for 3 yds to the EMU 10

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 1 yd to the EMU 11

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mitchell Tomasek punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Javorian Wimberly at the CMU 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Jase Bauer pass complete to Marion Lukes for 10 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.69

Jase Bauer pass complete to Marion Lukes for 23 yds to the EMU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Marion Lukes

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.97

Chris Parker 19 Yd pass from Jase Bauer (Tristan Mattson Kick)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMU 29

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Tristan Mattson kickoff for 56 yds , Jaylon Jackson return for 29 yds to the EMU 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Austin Smith pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 8 yds to the EMU 46

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Jaylon Jackson run for 13 yds to the CMU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.52

Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 15 yds to the CMU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Austin Smith run for no gain to the CMU 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 9 yds to the CMU 17

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.13

Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the CMU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the CMU 12

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Austin Smith run for 7 yds to the CMU 5

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.80

Austin Smith run for 1 yd to the CMU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Tanner Knue 4 Yd pass from Austin Smith (Jesus Gomez PAT blocked)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Myles Bailey run for 15 yds to the CMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Myles Bailey run for 4 yds to the CMU 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Jase Bauer pass complete to Tyson Davis for 14 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Jase Bauer pass complete to Chris Parker for 10 yds to the EMU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.33

Thomas Pannunzio run for 19 yds to the EMU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CMU False Start (Young,Marcus) 5 yards from EMU13 to EMU18. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Jalen McGaughy

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Chris Parker

3rd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Jase Bauer pass complete to Chris Parker for 9 yds to the EMU 9

4th & 6Field Goal Good+27 yds

Tristan Mattson 27 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Austin Smith run for 12 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMU 42

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.65

Austin Smith run for 16 yds to the CMU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass incomplete deep left to Knue,Tanner PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (Kent,Donte) 15 yards from CMU42 to CMU27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.28

Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 24 yds to the CMU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the CMU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Samson Evans 2 Yd Run (Jesus Gomez Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Ryan Kingston kickoff for 61 yds , Marion Lukes return for 20 yds to the CMU 45 Central Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the CMU 14

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Myles Bailey run for 7 yds to the CMU 21

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Myles Bailey run for 8 yds to the CMU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Eastern Michigan Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Chase Kline) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Myles Bailey run for 4 yds to the EMU 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Jase Bauer pass complete to Stephan Bracey Jr. for 2 yds to the EMU 48

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.56

Jase Bauer sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the CMU 44

4th & 16Punt+13 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 39 yds , Hamze El-Zayat returns for 13 yds to the EMU 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Austin Smith pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 2 yds to the EMU 32

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

(12:49) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin rush left for 9 yards gain to the EMU41 (Brown,Lawai'a), out of bounds PENALTY EMU Holding (Sunderman,Dan) 10 yards from EMU32 to EMU22. NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 4 yds to the EMU 26

3rd & 14Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.18

Austin Smith sacked by Quindario Lee for a loss of 10 yards to the EMU 16

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Marion Lukes run for 7 yds to the CMU 49

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the EMU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jase Bauer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.50

Marion Lukes run for 10 yds to the EMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Jase Bauer pass complete to Chris Parker for 11 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Marion Lukes 24 Yd Run (Tristan Mattson Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Tristan Mattson kickoff for 59 yds , Jaylon Jackson return for 16 yds to the EMU 22

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.83

Austin Smith sacked by Kyle Moretti for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 19

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the EMU 25

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY EMU False Start (Sunderman,Dan) 5 yards from EMU25 to EMU20. NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.01

Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 15 yds to the EMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Austin Smith run for 2 yds to the EMU 37

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Austin Smith run for 2 yds to the EMU 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 7 yds to the EMU 42

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hamze El-Zayat

4th & 3Penalty+15 yds

(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass incomplete deep left to El-Zayat,Hamze PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (Jones,Trey) 15 yards from EMU42 to CMU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Austin Smith run for no gain to the CMU 43

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the CMU 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans for 5 yds to the CMU 35

4th & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.76

Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 4 yds to the CMU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.06

Austin Smith sacked by Kyle Moretti for a loss of 3 yards to the CMU 34

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Austin Smith run for 6 yds to the CMU 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Austin Smith pass incomplete to JB Mitchell III

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Jesus Gomez 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Myles Bailey run for 4 yds to the CMU 32

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Myles Bailey run for 1 yd to the CMU 33

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.14

Thomas Pannunzio run for 10 yds to the CMU 43 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Eastern Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
50%
26 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
58%
26 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
71%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th