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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia State by 1.9

Home Win Probability

Georgia Southern 43%

Market (Bovada)

Georgia Southern +1

Edge: Georgia State -1 (0.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
7014627
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
101771044

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-710-717-727-734-1437-2144-27
Georgia SouthernGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSPUNT524ydPUNT616ydTD564ydTD1283ydFG1161ydPUNT36ydPUNT544ydPUNT35ydTD937ydPUNT414ydTD777ydTO10ydFG719ydMISS1061ydTD380ydTD1075ydTO310ydDOWNS46ydTO38ydTD439ydFG1053ydTD528ydTD775ydPUNT32ydTO420ydPUNT622ydEND519yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and Georgia Southern
StatisticGeorgia StateGeorgia Southern
Passing21-3722-36
Pass Yards157334
Rush Yards290118
Total Yards447452
Turnovers32
3rd Down5-126-15
Penalties5-541-5
Possession26:3633:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Darren Grainger
21/37, 157 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Marcus Carroll
28 CAR, 208 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Robert Lewis
12 REC, 97 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Georgia Southern
passing
Davis Brin
22/35, 334 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jalen White
25 CAR, 116 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dalen Cobb
2 REC, 100 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 4 yds to the GASO 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.10

Davis Brin pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 18 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.57

Davis Brin sacked by Jontrey Hunter for a loss of 8 yards to the GASO 39

2nd & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.82

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 10 yds to the GASO 49

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Davis Brin pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the GAST 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.51

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 9 yds to the GAST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 5 yds to the GAST 36

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 5 yds to the GASO 41

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.69

Jalen White run for 16 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

(09:54) BRIN, Davis pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BURGESS JR., Derwin thrown to the GSU23, clock 09:51. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on PRINGLE, Gavin enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the GSU29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Davis Brin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GAST 24

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.27

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 24 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the GAST 17

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 4 yds to the GAST 21

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.63

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 12 yds to the GAST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 9 yds to the GAST 42

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the GAST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 9 yds to the GASO 45

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.04

Marcus Carroll run for 11 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the GASO 27

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GASO 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Darren Grainger run for 11 yds to the GASO 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Marcus Carroll run for 13 yds for a TD (Isaac Kone KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jalen White run for no gain to the GASO 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.93

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 16 yds to the GASO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 41

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.54

Jalen White run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 10 yds to the GAST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(02:14) BRIN, Davis pass deep to the left intercepted by LEACH, TyGee at the GSU14. Leach return for 0 yards to the GSU14, End of Play, clock 02:09. PENALTY GSU Offsides on COOPER, Ronald enforced 5 yards from the GSU40 to the GSU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Davis Brin pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.47

Jalen White run for 14 yds to the GAST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 4 yds to the GAST 17

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Davis Brin pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Davis Brin pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+35 yds

Michael Lantz 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the GAST 43

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.17

Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Georgia State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (TyGee Leach) to the GASO 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.08

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 24 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Davis Brin run for 3 yds to the GAST 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Davis Brin pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Davis Brin pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the GAST 8

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the GAST 8

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.48

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 21 yds to the GAST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 5 yds to the GAST 11

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Davis Brin run for 3 yds to the GAST 8

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

JC French run for no gain to the GAST 8

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.09

Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GAST 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Davis Brin run for no gain to the GAST 5

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Davis Brin run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 6

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Davis Brin pass complete to Jalen White for 4 yds to the GAST 2

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Jalen White run for 2 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 16 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 39

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Jalen White run for 12 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 37

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

David Mbadinga run for 5 yds to the GASO 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.95

Davis Brin pass complete to Jaylon Barden for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

David Mbadinga run for 8 yds to the GAST 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.19

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 12 yds to the GAST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Davis Brin pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 30 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Darren Grainger pass intercepted

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.66

Davis Brin sacked by Javon Denis for a loss of 5 yards to the GAST 40

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.68

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 14 yds to the GAST 26

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.28

Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GAST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Davis Brin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Davis Brin pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 8 yds to the GAST 16

4th & 2Field Goal Good+34 yds

Michael Lantz 34 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Marcus Carroll run for 19 yds to the GAST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GAST 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.50

Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 11 yds to the GASO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Darren Grainger run for 9 yds to the GASO 33

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

Georgia Southern Penalty, Offsides (Latrell Bullard) to the GASO 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.08

Marcus Carroll run for 24 yds to the GASO 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 5

2nd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.99

Darren Grainger sacked by Isaac Walker and Weston Wallace for a loss of 9 yards to the GASO 14

3rd & 14Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for no gain to the GASO 14

4th & 14Blocked Field Goal+32 yds

Isaac Kone 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GASO 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Davis Brin pass incomplete

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +6.99

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 76 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Darren Grainger run for 21 yds to the GAST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.66

Marcus Carroll run for 26 yds to the GASO 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the GASO 17

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Darren Grainger run for no gain to the GASO 17

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Georgia State Penalty, False Start (Marcus Carroll) to the GASO 22

3rd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Marcus Carroll run for 12 yds to the GASO 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GASO 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 6 yds to the GASO 1

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 3

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 3 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Jalen White run for 11 yds to the GASO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Jalen White run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 38

2nd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Davis Brin pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the GASO 34

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GASO 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.51

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 13 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 46

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.90

Davis Brin sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the GASO 39

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the GASO 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.01

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 6 yds to the GASO 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the GASO 19

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.39

Marcus Carroll run for 19 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.01

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 15 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 43

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Davis Brin run for 3 yds to the GASO 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.97

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the GAST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GAST 44

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

(11:17) BRIN, Davis pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SANDERS JR., Marcus thrown to the GSU25, clock 11:14. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on BROWN, Bryquice enforced 15 yards to the GSU29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 8 yds to the GAST 21

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Davis Brin pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Davis Brin run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 22

4th & 3Field Goal Good+40 yds

Michael Lantz 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GAST 27

3rd & 8Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.09

Marcus Carroll run for 22 yds to the GAST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 4 yds to the GASO 47

2nd & 6Interception Return Touchdown+50 ydsPPA -9.93

Marques Watson-Trent 50 Yd Interception Return (Michael Lantz Kick)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Marcus Carroll run for 13 yds to the GAST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Marcus Carroll run for 13 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.85

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 13 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.46

Darren Grainger run for 22 yds to the GASO 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 15 Marcus Carroll fumbled, recovered by GAST Marcus Carroll (06:54) [NHSG] CARROLL, Marcus rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard, CARROLL, Marcus fumbled at GS16 forced by WALKER, Isaac, recovered by GSU CARROLL, Marcus at the GS15, returned 0 yards to the GS15, End of Play, clock 06:37.

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.93

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 15 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Davis Brin pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Davis Brin pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 16 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Marcus Carroll run for 9 yds to the GASO 34

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GASO 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -3.46

Darren Grainger run for 10 yds to the GASO 23 Darren Grainger fumbled, recovered by GASO Khadry Jackson (05:06) [NHSG] QB Keeper GRAINGER, Darren rush to the left for a gain of 10 yards, GRAINGER, Darren fumbled at GS27 forced by WATSON-TRENT, Marques, recovered by GS JACKSON, Khadry at the GS23, returned 0 yards to the GS23, End of Play, clock 04:52.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 26

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jalen White run for no gain to the GASO 26

3rd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.33

Jalen White run for 15 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jalen White run for no gain to the GASO 41

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 42

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 45

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 48 yds, downed at the GAST 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 4 yds to the GAST 11

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GAST 16

3rd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.52

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 5 yds to the GAST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 5 yds to the GAST 26

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
49%
35 plays
2nd
29%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
54%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
40%
30 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
42%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
100%
2 plays