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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2023Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 14.4

Home Win Probability

App State 79%

Market (Bovada)

App State -10.5

Edge: App State -10.5 (3.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 25, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
14301027
App StateApp State
324141455

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-73-73-1410-1417-1724-1734-1741-1748-1948-2855-28
App StateGeorgia Southern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSASGSASGSASGSASASGSASGSASASGSASGSASGSASASGSASGSASTD675ydPUNT615ydTO411ydFG857ydTD865ydPUNT36ydPUNT611ydTD879ydTD113ydFG855ydTD775ydTO20ydFG628ydTO463ydTO10ydTD12ydPUNT827ydTD684ydPUNT624ydTD980ydTD3-1ydFG1257ydTD775ydDOWNS45ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia Southern and App State
StatisticGeorgia SouthernApp State
Passing26-3923-36
Pass Yards277296
Rush Yards83236
Total Yards360532
Turnovers41
3rd Down5-114-9
Penalties9-701-15
Possession30:4429:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia Southern
passing
Davis Brin
24/34, 238 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
OJ Arnold
16 CAR, 58 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Khaleb Hood
10 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD
defense
App State
passing
Joey Aguilar
23/36, 296 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kanye Roberts
14 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kaedin Robinson
8 REC, 108 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Jjay Mcafee

2nd & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.77

Davis Brin pass complete to OJ Arnold for 39 yds to the APP 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.49

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 25 yds to the APP 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

OJ Arnold run for 4 yds to the APP 7

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Davis Brin run for 4 yds to the APP 3

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.55

OJ Arnold run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the APP 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Kaedin Robinson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanye Roberts for 13 yds to the APP 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Miller Gibbs

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kanye Roberts run for 2 yds to the APP 40

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Christan Horn

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Davis Brin run for no gain to the GASO 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.23

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 16 yds to the GASO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood

2nd & 15Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.49

Davis Brin pass intercepted Tyrek Funderburk return for no gain to the APP 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the APP 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.95

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 26 yds to the GASO 37 for a 1ST down

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.13

Kanye Roberts run for 8 yds to the GASO 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Joey Aguilar run for no gain to the GASO 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Kanye Roberts run for 2 yds to the GASO 3

3rd & 3Rush+4 yds

Milan Tucker run for 4 yds to the GASO 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 9 yds to the GASO 13

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Michael Hughes 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 7 yds to the GASO 42

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the GASO 44

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.68

OJ Arnold run for 9 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Davis Brin pass complete to OJ Arnold for 7 yds to the APP 40

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 7 yds to the APP 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 8 yds to the APP 25

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

OJ Arnold pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.03

JC French pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 25 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Anderson Castle run for 6 yds to the APP 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Dalton Stroman

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Milan Tucker

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GASO 31

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the GASO 37

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

OJ Arnold run for 1 yd to the GASO 38

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.54

Davis Brin run for 4 yds to the GASO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

OJ Arnold run for no gain to the GASO 42

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 5 yds to the GASO 42

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the APP 18

2nd & 13Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.46

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 23 yds to the APP 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 4 yds to the APP 45

2nd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.07

Joey Aguilar sacked by Da'Shawn Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the APP 38

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 12 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.60

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 13 yds to the GASO 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 5 yds to the GASO 27

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.79

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 27 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 58 yds , Dalen Cobb return for 6 yds to the GASO 13 Dalen Cobb fumbled, recovered by APP Trevor Moffitt Hughes,Michael kickoff 58 yards to the GASO07 Cobb,Dalen return 6 yards to the GASO13 fumbled by Cobb,Dalen at GASO13 forced by Hamilton,Andre recovered by App Moffitt,Trevor at GASO13, End Of Play.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Kanye Roberts run for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 6 yds to the GASO 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the GASO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.76

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 21 yds to the APP 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.53

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 14 yds to the APP 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Davis Brin pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 2 yds to the APP 36

2nd & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 10 yds to the APP 26

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 6 yds to the APP 20

4th & 2Field Goal Good+38 yds

Michael Lantz 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Michael Hetzel for 7 yds to the APP 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 5 yds to the APP 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Kanye Roberts run for 11 yds to the APP 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kanye Roberts run for 5 yds to the GASO 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 6 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Kaedin Robinson

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +4.12

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 41 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 57 yds , Dalen Cobb return for 29 yds to the GASO 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Jjay Mcafee

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.88

Davis Brin pass intercepted Tyrek Funderburk return for no gain to the GASO 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanye Roberts for 14 yds to the GASO 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Dashaun Davis

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Joey Aguilar run for 14 yds to the GASO 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Dashaun Davis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Dalton Stroman

3rd & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

Michael Hughes 28 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Brendan Franke kickoff for 65 yds , Milan Tucker return for 22 yds to the APP 22

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.03

Kanye Roberts run for 37 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.67

Kanye Roberts run for 25 yds to the GASO 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the GASO 15

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.17

Joey Aguilar pass intercepted TJ Smith return for no gain to the GASO 4

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.06

Davis Brin pass intercepted Jordan Favors return for no gain to the GASO 2

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 2 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 61 yds , DeAndre Buchannon return for 11 yds to the GASO 15

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

OJ Arnold run for 9 yds to the GASO 24

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the GASO 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

JC French run for 10 yds to the GASO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the GASO 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.09

JC French pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 14 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.35

JC French sacked by Michael Fletcher for a loss of 6 yards to the GASO 47

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

JC French pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

JC French pass incomplete to David Mbadinga

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 16

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Anderson Castle run for 8 yds to the APP 24

2nd & 2Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.26

Anderson Castle run for 29 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Milan Tucker for 4 yds to the GASO 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.09

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for no gain to the GASO 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.86

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Michael Hetzel for 8 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Anderson Castle run for 15 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 63 yds , DeAndre Buchannon return for 24 yds to the GASO 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the GASO 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 5 yds to the GASO 34

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.87

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 10 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Davis Brin pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Anderson Castle run for 8 yds to the APP 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.03

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 14 yds to the APP 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 9 yds to the GASO 49

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.22

Joey Aguilar run for 4 yds to the GASO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Kanye Roberts run for 3 yds to the GASO 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.28

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 30 yds to the GASO 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Dashaun Davis

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Kanye Roberts run for 2 yds to the GASO 10

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.99

Kaedin Robinson 10 Yd pass from Joey Aguilar (Michael Hughes Kick)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY App UNR: Unnecessary Roughness 15 yards from GASO35 to GASO50. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Dalton Stroman

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the APP 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Eli Wilson

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

DeAndre Buchannon 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Michael Lantz Kick)

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 48 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for no gain to the GASO 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 1 yd to the GASO 26

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.05

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 14 yds to the GASO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 3 yds to the GASO 43

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.50

David Mbadinga run for 9 yds to the APP 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 10 yds to the APP 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.35

David Mbadinga run for 11 yds to the APP 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 6 yds to the APP 21

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.02

Davis Brin pass complete to David Mbadinga for 10 yds to the APP 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.78

Davis Brin sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the APP 18

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Dalen Cobb

3rd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 2 yds to the APP 16

4th & 15Field Goal Good+34 yds

Michael Lantz 34 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Maquel Haywood run for 20 yds to the APP 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 14 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Maquel Haywood run for 7 yds to the GASO 34

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Maquel Haywood run for 1 yd to the GASO 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Maquel Haywood run for 3 yds to the GASO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Maquel Haywood run for 3 yds to the GASO 27

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.99

M. Haywood run for 27 yds for a TD (M. Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 35 yds , Jacob Ferguson return for no gain to the GASO 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the GASO 33

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the GASO 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 6 yds to the GASO 37

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the GASO 35

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

D. Hernandez takes a knee

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

D. Hernandez takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
27 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
55%
33 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th