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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia State by 6.6

Home Win Probability

Georgia State 65%

Market (Bovada)

Georgia State -3

Edge: Georgia State -3 (3.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
App StateApp State
71471442
Georgia StateGeorgia State
0001414

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-140-210-280-357-3514-42
Georgia StateApp State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASPUNT3-1ydPUNT35ydTO2057ydTD492ydPUNT411ydTD249ydPUNT37ydPUNT736ydPUNT32ydTD452ydPUNT36ydPUNT518ydPUNT3-2ydTO20ydTO415ydEND313ydTD177ydPUNT626ydPUNT36ydPUNT32ydTO628ydPUNT3-4ydTD1159ydTD875ydTD246ydTD1172ydDOWNS640ydDOWNS45ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing App State and Georgia State
StatisticApp StateGeorgia State
Passing14-2116-31
Pass Yards255121
Rush Yards254139
Total Yards509260
Turnovers22
3rd Down5-107-19
Penalties4-506-69
Possession27:0532:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

App State
passing
Joey Aguilar
14/21, 255 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nate Noel
10 CAR, 86 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Makai Jackson
3 REC, 98 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Georgia State
passing
Darren Grainger
15/28, 115 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Marcus Carroll
34 CAR, 113 YDS
receiving
Robert Lewis
4 REC, 50 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 1 yd to the GAST 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GAST 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.46

Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the GAST 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 55 yds, downed at the APP 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.34

Nate Noel run for a loss of 2 yards to the APP 19

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 7 yds to the APP 26

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GAST 39

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GAST 42

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GAST 44

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

GRAINGER, Darren pass deep to the left incomplete intended for LEWIS, Robert thrown to the APP36. PENALTY APP Offsides on JOHNSON, Nate enforced 5 yards from the GSU44 to the GSU49 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the APP 47

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the APP 44

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Darren Grainger run for no gain to the APP 44

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.56

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the APP 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 1 yd to the APP 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 7 yds to the APP 29

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.51

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the APP 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the APP 24

3rd & 9Penalty-15 yds

Georgia State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Travis Glover) to the APP 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Marcus Carroll run for 8 yds to the APP 21

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the APP 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the APP 12

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the APP 10

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.44

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the APP 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the APP 4

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -4.67

Darren Grainger run for a loss of 4 yards to the APP 8 Darren Grainger fumbled, recovered by APP Andrew Parker Jr. [NHSG] QB Keeper GRAINGER, Darren rush to the left for a loss of 4 yards, GRAINGER, Darren fumbled at APP7 forced by MOFFITT, Trevor, recovered by APP PARKER JR., Andrew at the APP8, returned 0 yards to the APP8, End of Play, clock 03:03.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the APP 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Joey Aguilar pass complete to David Larkins for 5 yds to the APP 16

3rd & 2Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Joey Aguilar pass complete to David Larkins for 23 yds to the APP 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +4.86

Nate Noel run for 61 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Marcus Carroll run for 10 yds to the GAST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 29

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the GAST 49

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kanye Roberts run for 5 yds to the GAST 44

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.66

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 44 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GAST 24

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GAST 28

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the GAST 28

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 52 yds, downed at the APP 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the APP 21

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

AGUILAR, Joey pass to the right incomplete intended for STROMAN, Dalton thrown to the APP34. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on PRINGLE, Gavin enforced 15 yards to the APP36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 8 yds to the APP 44

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.54

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Michael Hetzel for 5 yds to the APP 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Anderson Castle run for 6 yds to the GAST 45

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the GAST 42

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.64

Anderson Castle run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 44 Anderson Castle fumbled, recovered by APP Joey Aguilar [NHSG] CASTLE, Anderson rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards, CASTLE, Anderson fumbled at GSU42 , recovered by APP AGUILAR, Joey at the GSU44, returned 0 yards to the GSU44 (VENEZIALE, Jordan;DENIS, Javon).

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jacari Carter at the GAST 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 2 yds to the GAST 15

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +1.81

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 45 yds to the GAST 7 for a 1ST down

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the GAST 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the GAST 32

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 59 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Maquel Haywood run for 2 yds to the APP 12

2nd & 8Penalty+10 yds

Georgia State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Henry Bryant III) to the APP 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Appalachian State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Seth Williams) to the APP 16

2nd & 21Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Nate Noel for 2 yds to the APP 18

3rd & 19Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Joey Aguilar run for 10 yds to the APP 28

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 44 yds, downed at the GAST 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 26

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 45 yds, downed at the APP 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.39

Joey Aguilar run for no gain to the APP 29 Joey Aguilar fumbled, recovered by GAST Izaiah Guy [NHSG] QB Keeper AGUILAR, Joey rush up the middle for no gain, AGUILAR, Joey fumbled at APP27 , recovered by GSU GUY, Izaiah at the APP29, returned 0 yards to the APP29, End of Play, clock 02:03.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the APP 25

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.28

Marcus Carroll run for 10 yds to the APP 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the APP 14

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -4.19

Darren Grainger pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the APP 27

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.25

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the APP 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Joey Aguilar run for 2 yds to the APP 33 Joey Aguilar fumbled, recovered by APP Joey Aguilar [NHSG] QB Keeper AGUILAR, Joey rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards, AGUILAR, Joey fumbled at APP29 , recovered by APP AGUILAR, Joey at the APP33, returned 0 yards to the APP33, End of Play, clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +6.21

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 77 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GAST 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GAST 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.76

Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 8 yds to the GAST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

GRAINGER, Darren pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for LEWIS, Robert thrown to the APP21. PENALTY APP Pass Interference on ROSS, Nick enforced 15 yards to the APP46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.71

Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 3 yards to the APP 49

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 45 yds, downed at the APP 4

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the APP 9

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the APP 10

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jacari Carter at the APP 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the APP 47

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.70

Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 3 yds to the APP 47

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 41 yds, downed at the APP 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.46

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 13 yds to the APP 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the APP 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 3 yds to the APP 24

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.33

Joey Aguilar run for 7 yds to the APP 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the APP 34

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -1.03

Joey Aguilar pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 18

2nd & 11Penalty0 yds

GRAINGER, Darren pass deep to the right complete for 24 yards to LEWIS, Robert caught at the GSU42 and advanced to the GSU42 (TEAM), out of bounds. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on LEWIS, Robert enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards to the GSU9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 6 yds to the GAST 15

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 41

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Kanye Roberts run for 7 yds to the APP 48

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.35

Kanye Roberts run for 5 yds to the GAST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Kanye Roberts run for 9 yds to the GAST 38

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Kanye Roberts run for 2 yds to the GAST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kanye Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 37

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.17

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 11 yds to the GAST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 9 yds to the GAST 17

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.45

Anderson Castle run for 7 yds to the GAST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Joey Aguilar run for 1 yd to the GAST 9

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Anderson Castle run for 9 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Darren Grainger sacked by Michael Fletcher for a loss of 4 yards to the GAST 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 11 yds to the GAST 32

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the GAST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.23

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 36 yds to the APP 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.50

Marcus Carroll run for 22 yds to the APP 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the APP 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 3 yds for a TD (Diego Medina KICK)

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.93

Kanye Roberts run for 26 yds to the GAST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Kanye Roberts run for 20 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.39

Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 15 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

KZ Adams run for 1 yd to the GAST 44

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Appalachian State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the APP 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

KZ Adams run for 2 yds to the APP 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.04

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 19 yds to the APP 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

KZ Adams run for 6 yds to the APP 13

2nd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.88

Darren Grainger run for a loss of 5 yards to the APP 18

3rd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.10

Darren Grainger run for 11 yds to the APP 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the APP 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the APP 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 1 yd for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Maquel Haywood run for 7 yds to the APP 32

2nd & 3Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.42

Maquel Haywood run for 31 yds to the GAST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Ahmani Marshall run for 7 yds to the GAST 30

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.29

Ahmani Marshall run for a loss of 3 yards to the GAST 33

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the GAST 32

4th & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -2.29

Ahmani Marshall run for a loss of 3 yards to the GAST 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Mikele Colasurdo pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 6 yds to the GAST 41

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mikele Colasurdo pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.82

KZ Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 40

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Mikele Colasurdo pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

[NHSG] Kneel down by AGUILAR, Joey at GSU42 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
57%
28 plays
2nd
38%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
31%
29 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
13%
8 plays
27%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play