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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Coastal Carolina by 8.4

Home Win Probability

Coastal Carolina 71%

Market (Bovada)

Coastal Carolina +3

Edge: Coastal Carolina +3 (11.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
10001323
Coastal CarolinaCoastal Carolina
7147331

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-1014-1021-1028-1031-1731-23
Coastal CarolinaTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSCCTSCCTSCCTSCCTSCCTSCCCCTSCCTSCCTSCCTSTSCCTSTD975ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT32ydTD970ydFG1072ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-1ydTD982ydPUNT31ydTD1070ydPUNT3-3ydEND414ydTD1494ydDOWNS48ydDOWNS722ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT38ydDOWNS43ydFG753ydTD1475ydTD1051ydDOWNS49ydEND29yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and Coastal Carolina
StatisticTexas StateCoastal Carolina
Passing10-1918-28
Pass Yards81159
Rush Yards199188
Total Yards280347
Turnovers00
3rd Down6-168-15
Penalties12-1223-24
Possession25:4234:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
TJ Finley
6/11, 49 YDS
rushing
Ismail Mahdi
21 CAR, 97 YDS
receiving
Kole Wilson
4 REC, 35 YDS
defense
Coastal Carolina
passing
Ethan Vasko
17/27, 145 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Reese White
12 CAR, 41 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Sam Pinckney
6 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 18 yds to the TXST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.32

Ismail Mahdi run for 18 yds to the CCU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Ismail Mahdi run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.41

TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 13 yds to the CCU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ismail Mahdi run for 3 yds to the CCU 24

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.70

Ismail Mahdi run for 17 yds to the CCU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ismail Mahdi run for 2 yds to the CCU 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

TJ Finley run for 4 yds to the CCU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jahmyl Jeter run for 1 yd for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -1.09

Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for a loss of 7 yards to the CCU 17

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Reese White run for 3 yds to the CCU 20

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Ethan Vasko run for 2 yds to the CCU 22

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Evan Crenshaw punt for 53 yds , Kole Wilson returns for no gain to the TXST 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Ismail Mahdi run for 2 yds to the TXST 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

TJ Finley pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

TJ Finley pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Ethan Vasko pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.90

Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 11 yds to the CCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Texas State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on MAIN, Chance enforced (Chance Main) to the TXST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jared Brown for 5 yds to the TXST 39

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

WHITE, Reese rush to the right for no gain to the TSU39 (FOSTER, JR., Dan;WEBB, Terry). PENALTY TSU Face mask on WEBB, Terry enforced 15 yards from the TSU39 to the TSU24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Reese White run for 9 yds to the TXST 15

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Reese White run for no gain to the TXST 15

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.10

Reese White run for 2 yds to the TXST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jared Brown for 5 yds to the TXST 8

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Ethan Vasko pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty0 yds

VASKO, Ethan pass to the right incomplete intended for TUCKER, Jameson thrown to the TSU0. PENALTY TSU Offsides enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the TSU8 to the TSU4 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.48

Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kendall Karr for 4 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

TJ Finley pass complete to Donerio Davenport for 4 yds to the TXST 26

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Donerio Davenport run for 1 yd to the TXST 27

3rd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.09

TJ Finley run for 13 yds to the TXST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Donerio Davenport run for no gain to the TXST 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 9 yds to the TXST 49

3rd & 1Rush+43 ydsPPA +2.49

Donerio Davenport run for 43 yds to the CCU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Donerio Davenport run for no gain to the CCU 8

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Ismail Mahdi run for 3 yds to the CCU 5

3rd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.37

TJ Finley sacked by Will Whitson for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Mason Shipley 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Braydon Bennett run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 16

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jared Brown for 5 yds to the CCU 21

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jared Brown for 1 yd to the CCU 22

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Evan Crenshaw punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kole Wilson at the TXST 38

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ismail Mahdi run for 2 yds to the TXST 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

TJ Finley pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.66

TJ Finley sacked by Will Whitson for a loss of 3 yards to the TXST 37

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Ethan Vasko run for 3 yds to the CCU 21

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Reese White run for 5 yds to the CCU 26

3rd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.88

Blake Boda pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 14 yds to the CCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Reese White run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 39 Reese White fumbled, recovered by CCU Reese White [NHSG] WHITE, Reese rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard, WHITE, Reese fumbled at CCU40 , recovered by CCU WHITE, Reese at the CCU39, returned 0 yards to the CCU39, End of Play.

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

BODA, Blake pass deep to the right incomplete intended for PINCKNEY, Sam thrown to the TSU45. PENALTY TSU Roughing the Passer on FOSTER, JR., Dan enforced 15 yards from the CCU39 to the TSU46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

CJ Beasley run for a loss of 2 yards to the TXST 48

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ethan Vasko pass incomplete

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Coastal Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CCU 47

3rd & 17Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +4.03

Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jared Brown for 28 yds to the TXST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Bryson Graves run for no gain to the TXST 25

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.15

Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 25 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.56

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 1 yd to the TXST 25

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ismail Mahdi run for 5 yds to the TXST 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

TJ Finley pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Texas State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Seamus O'Kelly) to the TXST 25

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 33 yds , returns for no gain to the CCU 30

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.86

Ethan Vasko pass complete to Braydon Bennett for no gain to the CCU 30

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.09

Braydon Bennett run for 13 yds to the CCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the CCU 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Ethan Vasko pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

VASKO, Ethan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Jared thrown to the TSU30. PENALTY TSU Pass Interference on HOLTON, Shawn enforced 15 yards to the TSU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Ethan Vasko sacked by Alonzo Edwards Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the TXST 44

2nd & 13Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.01

Ethan Vasko run for 16 yds to the TXST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ethan Vasko pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the TXST 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.44

Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 19 yds to the TXST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Braydon Bennett run for 6 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 4 yds to the TXST 27

2nd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.95

TJ Finley sacked by Micheal Mason and Wyatt Gedeon for a loss of 7 yards to the TXST 20

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

TJ Finley pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 55 yds, downed at the CCU 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ethan Vasko pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 13 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kendall Karr for 5 yds to the CCU 43

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 5Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.78

Ethan Vasko pass complete to Max Balthazar for a loss of 4 yards to the CCU 39

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Michael James kickoff for 60 yds , return for no gain to the CCU 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.89

Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 20 yds to the CCU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.73

Braydon Bennett run for no gain to the CCU 26 Braydon Bennett fumbled, recovered by CCU Kendall Karr [NHSG] BENNETT, Braydon rush to the left for no gain, BENNETT, Braydon fumbled at CCU25 forced by HOLLOWAY, Brian, recovered by CCU KARR, Kendall at the CCU26, returned 0 yards to the CCU26, End of Play.

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Reese White run for 1 yd to the CCU 27

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.90

Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jared Brown for 9 yds to the CCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ethan Vasko pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Jared Brown run for 9 yds to the CCU 45

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.91

Reese White run for 13 yds to the TXST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

CJ Beasley run for 6 yds to the TXST 36

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.40

CJ Beasley run for 16 yds to the TXST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Reese White run for 5 yds to the TXST 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Reese White run for 1 yd to the TXST 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Reese White run for 1 yd to the TXST 2

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Reese White run for 2 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Malik Hornsby run for 3 yds to the TXST 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Malik Hornsby run for 1 yd to the TXST 29

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Malik Hornsby run for 4 yds to the TXST 33

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Malik Hornsby run for no gain to the TXST 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Ethan Vasko pass complete to Max Balthazar for 6 yds to the TXST 27

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Max Balthazar run for 3 yds to the TXST 24

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Max Balthazar run for 5 yds to the TXST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ethan Vasko pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Max Balthazar run for 8 yds to the TXST 11

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Max Balthazar run for no gain to the TXST 11

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.94

Ethan Vasko pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Ismail Mahdi run for a loss of 1 yard to the TXST 10

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ismail Mahdi run for 4 yds to the TXST 14

3rd & 7Penalty-6 yds

Texas State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-6 Yards) to the TXST 4

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tobias Fletcher at the TXST 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Ethan Vasko run for 3 yds to the TXST 46

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

CJ Beasley run for 6 yds to the TXST 40

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.39

CJ Beasley run for a loss of 1 yard to the TXST 41

4th & 2Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Tavian Coleman blocked by Tavian Coleman Punt by CRENSHAW, Evan at the TSU41 is blocked by COLEMAN, Tavian, recovered by CCU MCDONALD, Will at the CCU42, returned 0 yards to the CCU42, End of Play, clock 14:07.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Malik Hornsby run for 2 yds to the CCU 40

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Donerio Davenport run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 41

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Malik Hornsby run for 2 yds to the CCU 39

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.37

Malik Hornsby pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 3 yds to the CCU 42

2nd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.14

Jared Brown run for 19 yds to the TXST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Texas State Penalty, Illegal use of the hands on BELL, Ben enforced (Ben Bell) to the TXST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Ethan Vasko run for a loss of 2 yards to the TXST 15

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 7 yds to the TXST 8

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Ethan Vasko pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 yds

Kade Hensley 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ismail Mahdi run for 4 yds to the TXST 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Ismail Mahdi run for 2 yds to the TXST 31

3rd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Malik Hornsby run for 15 yds to the TXST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ismail Mahdi run for 2 yds to the TXST 48

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Malik Hornsby run for 6 yds to the CCU 46

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.53

Ismail Mahdi run for 11 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Malik Hornsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Malik Hornsby pass complete to Ismail Mahdi for 4 yds to the CCU 31

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Malik Hornsby run for 5 yds to the CCU 26

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.04

Ismail Mahdi run for 2 yds to the CCU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the CCU 23

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.19

Malik Hornsby run for a loss of 4 yards to the CCU 27

3rd & 13Penalty0 yds

HORNSBY, Malik pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HAWKINS, Ashtyn thrown to the CCU0. PENALTY CCU Pass Interference on LUSK, Keonte enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards to the CCU14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ismail Mahdi run for 5 yds to the CCU 8

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.46

Malik Hornsby run for 8 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.02

Malik Hornsby pass complete to Konner Fox for 18 yds to the CCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Malik Hornsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Ismail Mahdi run for 7 yds to the CCU 26

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.51

Ismail Mahdi run for 3 yds to the CCU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Malik Hornsby run for no gain to the CCU 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Malik Hornsby pass complete to Kole Wilson for 7 yds to the CCU 16

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Malik Hornsby pass incomplete

4th & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.81

Malik Hornsby run for 6 yds to the CCU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Ismail Mahdi run for 6 yds to the CCU 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Malik Hornsby run for 4 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley PAT MISSED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

kickoff for 10 yds , return for no gain to the TXST 38

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

CJ Beasley run for no gain to the TXST 38

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the TXST 35

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

CJ Beasley run for 6 yds to the TXST 29

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.06

CJ Beasley run for no gain to the TXST 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Malik Hornsby run for 6 yds to the TXST 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Malik Hornsby pass complete to Konner Fox for 3 yds to the TXST 38

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
24%
25 plays
2nd
29%
7 plays
46%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Coastal Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
30%
27 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
69%
13 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays