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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia Southern by 1.6

Home Win Probability

Texas State 45%

Market (Bovada)

Texas State -2.5

Edge: Georgia Southern +2.5 (4.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
1007724
Texas StateTexas State
72414045

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-314-1021-1031-1038-1045-1045-1745-24
Texas StateGeorgia Southern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSTD575ydFG46ydTO1048ydTD773ydTD1575ydDOWNS735ydTD660ydTO10ydFG523ydPUNT35ydTD560ydEND14ydDOWNS736ydTD661ydPUNT612ydTD1174ydTD586ydPUNT514ydTD776ydPUNT824ydTO884ydEND3-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia Southern and Texas State
StatisticGeorgia SouthernTexas State
Passing18-2725-31
Pass Yards195301
Rush Yards180186
Total Yards375487
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-109-16
Penalties7-589-77
Possession25:0434:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia Southern
passing
Davis Brin
18/27, 195 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jalen White
17 CAR, 159 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Khaleb Hood
7 REC, 67 YDS
defense
Texas State
passing
TJ Finley
25/31, 301 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Ismail Mahdi
20 CAR, 99 YDS
receiving
Joey Hobert
13 REC, 141 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Ismail Mahdi run for 12 yds to the TXST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ismail Mahdi run for 4 yds to the TXST 41

2nd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.19

TJ Finley sacked by Marques Watson-Trent for a loss of 1 yard to the TXST 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.74

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 37 yds to the GASO 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 23 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+80 yds

Matthew Velasco kickoff for 62 yds , DeAndre Buchannon return for 80 yds to the TXST 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jalen White run for 6 yds to the TXST 11

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Davis Brin run for no gain to the TXST 11

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Dalen Cobb

4th & 4Field Goal Good+29 yds

Michael Lantz 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 20 yds to the TXST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Ismail Mahdi run for 6 yds to the GASO 49

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.92

Ismail Mahdi run for 14 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kole Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Ismail Mahdi run for 7 yds to the GASO 28

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.63

Ismail Mahdi run for 6 yds to the GASO 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Ismail Mahdi run for 2 yds to the GASO 20

2nd & 8Penalty+13 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Finley,TJ pass incomplete short middle to Hawkins,Ashtyn, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY GS Pass Interference (Hickman,Damel) 13 yards from GS20 to GS07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 3 yds to the GASO 4

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 3 yds to the GASO 7

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+20 ydsPPA -4.12

TJ Finley rush for no gain to the GS07, fumbled by TJ Finley at GS07 recovered by GS Isaac Walker,at GS27,

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Jalen White run for 10 yds to the GASO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 1 yd to the GASO 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.91

Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 13 yds to the TXST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jalen White run for 3 yds to the TXST 31

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -2.41

Davis Brin sacked by Ben Bell for a loss of 8 yards to the TXST 39 Davis Brin fumbled, recovered by GASO Davis Brin , return for 0 yards

3rd & 15Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +5.56

Jalen White run for 39 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the TXST 26

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.65

TJ Finley sacked by Justin Rhodes for a loss of 7 yards to the TXST 19

3rd & 16Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.20

Ismail Mahdi run for 11 yds to the TXST 30

4th & 5Penalty+5 yds

O'Kelly,Seamus punt 37 yards to the GS33 Hood,Khaleb return 3 yards to the GS36 (Ortega-Jones,Julian; Culp,Kaleb) PENALTY GS Running Into The Kicker (Thompson,Joshua) 5 yards from TXST30 to TXST35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Donerio Davenport run for 14 yds to the TXST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Donerio Davenport run for 2 yds to the TXST 47

2nd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

TJ Finley pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 6 yds to the TXST 48

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

TJ Finley pass complete to Donerio Davenport for 9 yds to the GASO 43

4th & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.24

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 4 yds to the GASO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 11 yds to the GASO 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ashtyn Hawkins

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Donerio Davenport run for 4 yds to the GASO 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.16

TJ Finley pass complete to Donerio Davenport for 17 yds to the GASO 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

TJ Finley pass complete to Konner Fox for no gain to the GASO 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 4 yds to the GASO 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

TJ Finley pass complete to Konner Fox for 3 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jalen White run for 13 yds to the GASO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jalen White run for 7 yds to the GASO 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 10 yds to the TXST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

David Mbadinga run for no gain to the TXST 45

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.47

Davis Brin sacked by Chance Main for a loss of 2 yards to the TXST 47

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 7 yds to the TXST 40

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.51

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Dalen Cobb

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the TXST 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.02

TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 37 yds to the GASO 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Ashtyn Hawkins run for 2 yds to the GASO 24

2nd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.74

Ismail Mahdi run for 14 yds to the GASO 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

TJ Finley run for 2 yds to the GASO 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 8 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Davis Brin pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.43

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 19 yds to the GASO 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.58

TJ Finley sacked by Elhadj Fall for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 20

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kole Wilson

3rd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

TJ Finley run for 7 yds to the GASO 13

4th & 6Field Goal Good+31 yds

Mason Shipley 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the GASO 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Anthony Queeley

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.

4th & 5Blocked Punt+30 yds

punt blocked by Kenny Haynes, punt out-of-bounds at the TXST 40 blocked by Kenny Haynes

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 6 yds to the TXST 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.74

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 2 yds to the TXST 48

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.40

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 4 yds to the GASO 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.12

TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 17 yds to the GASO 31 for a 1ST down Georgia Southern Penalty, Tripping (Marc Stampley II) to the GASO 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

TJ Finley run for 16 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Michael James kickoff for 65 yds , DeAndre Buchannon return for 23 yds to the GASO 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GASO 27

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Michael James kickoff for 65 yds , DeAndre Buchannon return for 25 yds to the GASO 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Davis Brin pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 10 yds to the GASO 34

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY GS False Start (Broadway,Bryson) 5 yards from GS34 to GS29. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.23

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 24 yds to the TXST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Joshua Thompson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 8 yds to the TXST 39

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jalen White run for no gain to the TXST 39

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.00

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ismail Mahdi run for 6 yds to the TXST 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.66

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 26 yds to the GASO 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.26

TJ Finley pass complete to Beau Corrales for 17 yds to the GASO 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Beau Corrales

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Beau Corrales

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.14

TJ Finley run for 12 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Michael James kickoff for 64 yds , David Mbadinga return for 19 yds to the GASO 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 4 yds to the GASO 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.66

Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 10 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 3 yds to the GASO 38

2nd & 7Penalty0 yds

Georgia Southern Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Davis Brin) to the GASO 32

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Dalen Cobb

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Joey Hobert at the TXST 26

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Donerio Davenport run for 6 yds to the TXST 32

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Donerio Davenport run for 1 yd to the TXST 33

3rd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.14

Donerio Davenport run for 12 yds to the TXST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

TJ Finley run for no gain to the TXST 45

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.25

Donerio Davenport run for 15 yds to the GASO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Donerio Davenport run for 8 yds to the GASO 32

2nd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA -0.04

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 14 yds to the GASO 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Donerio Davenport run for 13 yds to the GASO 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Donerio Davenport run for 3 yds to the GASO 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

TJ Finley run for 1 yd to the GASO 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Donerio Davenport run for 1 yd for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Michael James kickoff for 65 yds , DeAndre Buchannon return for 14 yds to the GASO 14

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.51

Jalen White run for 22 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jalen White run for 7 yds to the GASO 43

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Jalen White run for 12 yds to the TXST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.60

Jalen White run for 13 yds to the TXST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 32 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Michael Lantz kickoff for 65 yds , Ismail Mahdi return for 21 yds to the TXST 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

TJ Finley pass complete to Titus Lyons for 6 yds to the TXST 27

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Ismail Mahdi run for 7 yds to the TXST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the TXST 35

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the TXST 34

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

TJ Finley run for 6 yds to the TXST 40

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GASO 24

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.96

Jalen White run for 22 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 44

1st & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 4 yds to the TXST 32

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.34

JC French run for 6 yds to the TXST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 8 yds to the TXST 18

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 3 yds to the TXST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY GS False Start (Strong,Chandler) 5 yards from TXST02 to TXST07. NO PLAY.

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Beau Johnson

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jalen White run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Georgia Southern Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the TXST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ismail Mahdi run for 5 yds to the TXST 43

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.25

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 11 yds to the TXST 46

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.52

Ismail Mahdi run for 5 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Ismail Mahdi run for 2 yds to the TXST 49

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ismail Mahdi

3rd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

TJ Finley run for 5 yds to the TXST 49

4th & 12Punt+3 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GASO 10 , Khaleb Hood returns for 3 yds to the GASO 10

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Terrance Gibbs run for 9 yds to the GASO 19

2nd & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.63

Davis Brin pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 15 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Terrance Gibbs run for 3 yds to the GASO 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.03

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 38 yds to the TXST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.50

Davis Brin run for 18 yds to the TXST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for no gain to the TXST 7

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Davis Brin run for 2 yds to the TXST 5

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -4.24

Davis Brin run for 1 yd to the TXST 6 Davis Brin fumbled, recovered by GASO Brian Holloway No Huddle-Shotgun Brin,Davis rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TXST06 fumbled by Brin,Davis at TXST07 recovered by TXST Holloway,Brian at TXST06, End Of Play. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field stands.

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kneel down by Texas St. at TXST04 for loss of 2 yards.

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.10

Kneel down by Texas St. at TXST03 for loss of 1 yard.

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.03

Kneel down by Texas St. at TXST02 for loss of 1 yard.

Situational Analysis

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
26 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
34 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play