Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southern Miss by 6.6

Home Win Probability

Southern Miss 67%

Market (Bovada)

Southern Miss -3

Edge: Southern Miss -3 (3.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UL MonroeUL Monroe
00707
Southern MissSouthern Miss
1700724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142817-017-724-7
Southern MissUL Monroe

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMUMSMUMSMUMSMUMSMUMSMUMSMUMSMUMSMUMSMUMSMUMSMUMSMUMSMPUNT529ydTO528ydTD138ydMISS860ydTD180ydTO10ydFG1248ydPUNT30ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT819ydPUNT32ydMISS1171ydTO10ydTO214ydPUNT37ydEND110ydPUNT521ydPUNT510ydTD168ydPUNT36ydPUNT629ydPUNT516ydTO1061ydTD1489ydPUNT3-8ydEND933yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UL Monroe and Southern Miss
StatisticUL MonroeSouthern Miss
Passing12-2912-26
Pass Yards187238
Rush Yards73206
Total Yards260444
Turnovers41
3rd Down4-138-17
Penalties5-504-35
Possession19:2640:34

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UL Monroe
passing
Jiya Wright
5/12, 106 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Hunter Smith
8 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Dariyan Wiley
3 REC, 137 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kenard Snyder
2 TFL, 1 PD
Southern Miss
passing
Billy Wiles
11/23, 200 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Frank Gore Jr.
24 CAR, 131 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jakarius Caston
3 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the USM 25

2nd & 13Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.48

Billy Wiles pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 30 yds to the ULM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Billy Wiles pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 2 yds to the ULM 43

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Kenyon Clay run for no gain to the ULM 43

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 34 yds, downed at the ULM 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Blake Murphy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Blake Murphy pass complete to Hunter Smith for 3 yds to the ULM 12

3rd & 7Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.56

Blake Murphy pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 29 yds to the ULM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(11:48) MURPHY, Blake pass short to the right complete for 14 yards to HOWELL, Tyrone caught at the ULM44 and advanced to the USM45, out of bounds. PENALTY Before the snap, ULM Illegal Shift on WILEY, Dariyan enforced 5 yards from the ULM41 to the ULM36. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Blake Murphy pass complete to NyNy Davis for 1 yd to the ULM 37

2nd & 14Interception0 ydsPPA -0.51

Blake Murphy pass intercepted

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Chandler Pittman pass complete to Latreal Jones for 38 yds for a TD (Andrew Stein KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Blake Murphy run for 12 yds to the ULM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Blake Murphy pass complete to NyNy Davis for 6 yds to the ULM 43

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Isaiah Woullard run for 2 yds to the ULM 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.82

Blake Murphy pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 40 yds to the USM 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Blake Murphy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Blake Murphy pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Blake Murphy pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Derek McCormick 32 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Billy Wiles pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 80 yds for a TD (Andrew Stein KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Blake Murphy pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Ethan Crawford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Ethan Crawford run for 8 yds to the USM 46

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.93

Jakarius Caston run for 11 yds to the ULM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Frank Gore Jr. run for 7 yds to the ULM 36

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.94

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the ULM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

(06:00) WILES, Billy pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MIMS, Tiaquelin thrown to the ULM0. PENALTY ULM Holding on MASSEY, Norman enforced 10 yards from the ULM31 to the ULM21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kenyon Clay run for 2 yds to the ULM 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Billy Wiles pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 9 yds to the ULM 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Ethan Crawford run for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 11

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.57

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the ULM 14

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Good+31 yds

Andrew Stein 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Isaiah Woullard run for 2 yds to the ULM 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Blake Murphy pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 4 yds to the ULM 31

3rd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.67

Blake Murphy sacked by Kristin Booth and TQ Newsome for a loss of 6 yards to the ULM 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tiaquelin Mims at the USM 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Kenyon Clay run for no gain to the USM 30

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.69

Billy Wiles sacked by Kenard Snyder and Dylan Howell for a loss of 5 yards to the USM 25

3rd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Frank Gore Jr. run for 6 yds to the USM 31

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Blake Murphy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Blake Murphy sacked by Eric Thomas Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the ULM 44

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Blake Murphy pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 54 yds, downed at the USM 2

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Frank Gore Jr. run for 6 yds to the USM 8

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Billy Wiles pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 10 yds to the USM 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the USM 20

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Billy Wiles run for 7 yds to the USM 27

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.80

Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the USM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.36

Billy Wiles sacked by Adin Huntington for a loss of 9 yards to the USM 21

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Blake Murphy pass complete to NyNy Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 36

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Blake Murphy pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Blake Murphy run for 4 yds to the ULM 40

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 51 yds, downed at the USM 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Billy Wiles pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 17 yds to the USM 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.16

Billy Wiles sacked by Tristan Driggers for a loss of 6 yards to the USM 20

2nd & 16Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Billy Wiles pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 3 yds to the USM 23

3rd & 13Penalty0 yds

(06:11) WILES, Billy pass deep to the right incomplete intended for JONES, Latreal thrown to the ULM40. PENALTY ULM Offsides on HUNTINGTON, Adin declined ULM Pass Interference on TILLERY, Lucius enforced 15 yards to the USM38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.41

Frank Gore Jr. run for 16 yds to the ULM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.80

Frank Gore Jr. run for 18 yds to the ULM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ethan Crawford run for 4 yds to the ULM 24

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ULM 29

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ULM 34

3rd & 16Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.75

Frank Gore Jr. run for 14 yds to the ULM 20

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Andrew Stein 37 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.57

Blake Murphy pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.18

Billy Wiles pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 14 yds to the ULM 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.48

Billy Wiles pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Isaiah Woullard run for 1 yd to the ULM 21

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Isaiah Woullard run for 6 yds to the ULM 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Kenyon Clay run for 10 yds to the USM 35 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Hunter Smith run for 7 yds to the ULM 32

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Hunter Smith run for 10 yds to the ULM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Hunter Smith run for 4 yds to the ULM 46

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Hunter Smith run for no gain to the ULM 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the USM 28

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.19

Frank Gore Jr. run for 15 yds to the USM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Ethan Crawford run for a loss of 4 yards to the USM 39

2nd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the USM 38

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +5.52

Jiya Wright pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 68 yds for a TD (Derek McCormick KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Billy Wiles pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the 50 yard line

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 37 yds, downed at the ULM 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Hunter Smith run for 3 yds to the ULM 16

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Hunter Smith run for 4 yds to the ULM 20

4th & 3Penalty+15 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Zay Franks) to the ULM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Hunter Smith run for 5 yds to the ULM 40

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Hunter Smith run for 2 yds to the ULM 42

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 39 yds, downed at the USM 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Kenyon Clay run for 3 yds to the USM 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.33

Billy Wiles pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 12 yds to the USM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kenyon Clay run for 3 yds to the USM 37

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.07

Ethan Crawford run for a loss of 2 yards to the USM 35

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 37 yds, downed at the ULM 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Isaiah Woullard run for 2 yds to the ULM 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jiya Wright pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 5 yds to the ULM 35

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.83

Jiya Wright pass complete to Bud Tolbert for 8 yds to the ULM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bennett Galloway run for 5 yds to the ULM 48

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.26

Bennett Galloway run for 10 yds to the USM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Jiya Wright run for 8 yds to the USM 34

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.08

Jiya Wright pass complete to Nolan Quinlan for 9 yds to the USM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, False Start (Stacey Wilkins) to the USM 30

1st & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Jiya Wright pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 16 yds to the USM 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -4.45

Jiya Wright run for 3 yds to the USM 11 Jiya Wright fumbled, recovered by USM Quentin Bivens (00:22) [NHSG] QB Keeper WRIGHT, Jiya rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards, WRIGHT, Jiya fumbled at USM13 forced by CARR, Josh, recovered by USM BIVENS, Quentin at the USM11, returned 0 yards to the USM11, End of Play, clock 00:14.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the USM 10

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the USM 14

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.59

Billy Wiles pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 17 yds to the USM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+3 yds

(13:49) PITTMAN, Chandler rush to the left for a loss of 3 yards to the USM31 (SNYDER, Kenard). PENALTY USM Holding on SCOTT, Gerquan ULM Face mask on SNYDER, Kenard , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Ethan Crawford run for 16 yds to the USM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the ULM 48

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

(12:30) QB Keeper CRAWFORD, Ethan rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the ULM43 (BATTON, Michael). PENALTY USM Holding on BOLDING, John enforced 10 yards from the ULM48 to the USM42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.33

Ethan Crawford run for 11 yds to the ULM 47

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, Personal Foul (Car'lin Vigers) to the ULM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Ethan Crawford run for no gain to the ULM 32

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Frank Gore Jr. run for 14 yds to the ULM 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ethan Crawford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the ULM 17

3rd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.57

Billy Wiles run for 13 yds to the ULM 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Ethan Crawford run for 2 yds to the ULM 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

run for 1 yd to the ULM 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Frank Gore Jr. 1 Yd Run (Andrew Stein Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.42

Jiya Wright sacked by Josh Ratcliff for a loss of 8 yards to the ULM 12

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ethan Crawford run for 4 yds to the ULM 36

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the ULM 31

3rd & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.63

Frank Gore Jr. run for 16 yds to the ULM 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kenyon Clay run for 4 yds to the ULM 11

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kenyon Clay run for 3 yds to the ULM 8

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.22

Kenyon Clay run for 5 yds to the ULM 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Kenyon Clay run for 2 yds to the ULM 1

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Kenyon Clay run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 3

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

(00:45) [NHSG] Kneel down by USM at ULM7 (team loss of 4).

Situational Analysis

UL Monroe

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
20 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
31%
32 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
57%
14 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th