Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisiana by 12.8

Home Win Probability

Arkansas State 19%

Market (Bovada)

Arkansas State +7

Edge: Louisiana -7 (5.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisianaLouisiana
737017
Arkansas StateArkansas State
14671037

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-717-720-720-1020-1727-1737-17
Arkansas StateLouisiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOULOUPUNT39ydTD1071ydTD187ydTD1165ydPUNT624ydFG1362ydPUNT33ydFG1470ydFG1165ydEND2-2ydPUNT515ydTD1177ydTD1175ydPUNT34ydPUNT522ydTO1163ydPUNT527ydDOWNS77ydFG76ydTD1-8ydEND534yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana and Arkansas State
StatisticLouisianaArkansas State
Passing22-3418-28
Pass Yards263194
Rush Yards64232
Total Yards327426
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-119-16
Penalties4-257-78
Possession25:0734:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana
passing
Zeon Chriss
12/17, 171 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Dre'Lyn Washington
10 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Peter Leblanc
6 REC, 129 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Tyree Skipper
0.5 TFL, 1 PD
Arkansas State
passing
Jaylen Raynor
18/28, 194 YDS
rushing
Zak Wallace
15 CAR, 88 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ja'Quez Cross
6 REC, 66 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jacob Kibodi run for 4 yds to the UL 20

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Louisiana Penalty, False Start (Peter LeBlanc) to the UL 15

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.23

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 10 yds to the UL 25

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Thomas Leo punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Ja'Quez Cross run for 3 yds to the ARST 32

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.52

Jaylen Raynor run for 13 yds to the ARST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Zak Wallace run for 7 yds to the UL 48

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Zak Wallace run for 8 yds to the UL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Kevin Diaz for 5 yds to the UL 35

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Zak Wallace run for 6 yds to the UL 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 5 yds to the UL 24

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Jaylen Raynor run for 6 yds to the UL 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Zak Wallace run for 18 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+87 ydsPPA +6.70

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 87 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Cedric Hawkins run for 6 yds to the ARST 41

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

HAWKINS, Cedric rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the ASU47 (LEWIS, Tyrone). PENALTY ASU Holding on SMITH, Noah enforced 10 yards from the ASU41 to the ASU31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 5 yds to the ARST 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.66

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 11 yds to the ARST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Miller McCrumby for 4 yds to the UL 49

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.90

Jaylen Raynor run for 6 yds to the UL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.73

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 23 yds to the UL 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

DeAndra Burns Jr. run for 1 yd to the UL 19

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Zak Wallace run for 8 yds to the UL 11

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.37

Zak Wallace run for 4 yds to the UL 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Zak Wallace run for 5 yds to the UL 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jaylen Raynor run for 2 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 11 yds to the UL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Dre'lyn Washington run for 3 yds to the UL 39

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.15

Dre'lyn Washington run for 17 yds to the ARST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Dre'lyn Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARST 47

2nd & 13Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Neal Johnson for 1 yd to the ARST 46

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Louisiana Penalty, False Start (Jasper Williams) to the UL 49

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Thomas Leo punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Courtney Jackson at the ARST 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Ja'Quez Cross run for 8 yds to the ARST 22

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.84

Ja'Quez Cross run for 5 yds to the ARST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 4 yds to the ARST 31

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Ja'Quez Cross run for no gain to the ARST 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.29

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 24 yds to the UL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.54

Jaylen Raynor run for 11 yds to the UL 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Cedric Hawkins for 11 yds to the UL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Cedric Hawkins run for 2 yds to the UL 21

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Cedric Hawkins run for 6 yds to the UL 15

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UL 20

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.41

Jaylen Raynor sacked by Jordan Lawson and Kendre' Gant for a loss of 4 yards to the UL 24

4th & 11Field Goal Good+41 yds

Dominic Zvada 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jacob Kibodi run for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Terrance Carter for 4 yds to the UL 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Thomas Leo punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.47

Cedric Hawkins run for 16 yds to the ARST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Jaylen Raynor run for 9 yds to the UL 48

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.23

Cedric Hawkins run for 4 yds to the UL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jaylen Raynor run for 6 yds to the UL 38

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.26

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 5 yds to the UL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Cedric Hawkins run for no gain to the UL 33

3rd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.97

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Adam Jones for 24 yds to the UL 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ja'Quez Cross run for 5 yds to the UL 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaylen Raynor run for 1 yd to the UL 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Dominic Zvada 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 13 yds to the UL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 15 yds to the ARST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.76

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Robert Williams for 19 yds to the ARST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Dre'lyn Washington run for no gain to the ARST 26

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Dre'lyn Washington run for 5 yds to the ARST 21

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Dre'lyn Washington run for 2 yds to the ARST 19

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.93

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 5 yds to the ARST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Dre'lyn Washington run for 2 yds to the ARST 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Terrance Carter for 2 yds to the ARST 10

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Terrance Carter for 2 yds to the ARST 8

4th & 4Field Goal Good+24 yds

Kenneth Almendares 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[NH] Kneel down by ASU at ASU24 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

[NH] Kneel down by ASU at ASU23 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ja'Quez Cross run for 4 yds to the ARST 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 8 yds to the ARST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Ja'Quez Cross run for 1 yd to the ARST 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 2 yds to the ARST 40

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jaylen Raynor run for no gain to the ARST 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Jacob Kibodi run for 7 yds to the UL 30

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.30

Zeon Chriss run for 4 yds to the UL 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jacob Kibodi run for 1 yd to the UL 35

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

CHRISS, Zeon pass short to the left incomplete intended for BERNARD, Jacob thrown to the LA40. PENALTY ASU Roughing the Passer on CRAWFORD, Keyron enforced 15 yards from the LA35 to the LA50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Zylan Perry run for 4 yds to the ARST 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds to the ARST 43

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds to the ARST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Jacob Kibodi run for 10 yds to the ARST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CHRISS, Zeon pass to the right incomplete intended for BROUSSARD, Harvey thrown to the ASU20 (After review, play stands as called on the field). PENALTY ASU Targeting on STRAKER, Melique enforced 15 yards from the ASU30 to the ASU15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Terrance Carter for 2 yds to the ARST 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+3 yds

CHRISS, Zeon scrambles to the right for a loss of 3 yards to the ASU16 (GEATHERS, Thurman). PENALTY ASU Face mask on GEATHERS, Thurman enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the ASU13 to the ASU7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Jacob Kibodi run for 5 yds to the ARST 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Zeon Chriss run for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ja'Quez Cross run for 7 yds to the ARST 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Zak Wallace for 4 yds to the ARST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zak Wallace run for 5 yds to the ARST 41

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the ARST 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.30

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 13 yds to the UL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 12 yds to the UL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.25

Ja'Quez Cross run for 12 yds to the UL 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.93

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 16 yds to the UL 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Ja'Quez Cross run for 2 yds to the UL 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jaylen Raynor run for 2 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the UL 24

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Zeon Chriss run for 5 yds to the UL 29

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Louisiana Penalty, False Start (AJ Gillie) to the UL 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Thomas Leo punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Courtney Jackson at the ARST 33

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jaylen Raynor run for 9 yds to the ARST 42

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.29

Ja'Quez Cross run for 9 yds to the UL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaylen Raynor run for 4 yds to the UL 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the UL 14

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Zeon Chriss run for no gain to the UL 14

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.39

Chandler Fields pass complete to Neal Johnson for 15 yds to the UL 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Chandler Fields pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.85

Chandler Fields pass complete to Kaleb Carter for 11 yds to the UL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Chandler Fields pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Chandler Fields pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 13 yds to the ARST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Chandler Fields pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 3 yds to the ARST 44

2nd & 7Penalty+16 yds

FIELDS, Chandler pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SMITH, Tavion thrown to the ASU28. PENALTY ASU Pass Interference on THOMAS, Trevian enforced at the spot of the foul for 16 yards to the ASU28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Chandler Fields pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 1 yd to the ARST 27

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Chandler Fields pass incomplete

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -3.19

Chandler Fields pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the ARST 14

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.46

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 18 yds to the ARST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Jaylen Raynor run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARST 31

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Zak Wallace run for 6 yds to the ARST 37

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Ja'Quez Cross run for 2 yds to the ARST 39

4th & 3Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Dre'lyn Washington run for 1 yd to the UL 13

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.31

Chandler Fields sacked by Cam Jeffery for a loss of 6 yards to the UL 7

3rd & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Chandler Fields pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 15 yds to the UL 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.01

Chandler Fields sacked by Keyron Crawford for a loss of 8 yards to the UL 14

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Chandler Fields run for 5 yds to the UL 19

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Chandler Fields pass incomplete

4th & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.35

Chandler Fields pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Zak Wallace run for 9 yds to the UL 10

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Zak Wallace run for no gain to the UL 10

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.09

Zak Wallace run for 7 yds to the UL 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -1.57

Jaylen Raynor run for a loss of 11 yards to the UL 14 Jaylen Raynor fumbled, recovered by ARST Jaylen Raynor [NHSG] QB Keeper RAYNOR, Jaylen rush up the middle for a loss of 11 yards, RAYNOR, Jaylen fumbled at LA13 forced by GANT, Kendre', recovered by ASU RAYNOR, Jaylen at the LA14, returned 0 yards to the LA14, End of Play.

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Ja'Quez Cross run for no gain to the UL 14

3rd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Zak Wallace run for 1 yd to the UL 13

4th & 13Field Goal Good+30 yds

Dominic Zvada 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+16 ydsPPA -7.85

Javante Mackey 16 Yd Fumble Return (Dominic Zvada Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Chandler Fields pass complete to Terrance Carter for 7 yds to the UL 36

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Chandler Fields pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 8 yds to the UL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Chandler Fields pass complete to Kaleb Carter for 8 yds to the ARST 48

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.36

Chandler Fields pass complete to Neal Johnson for 11 yds to the ARST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Chandler Fields pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
28 plays
2nd
100%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
55%
33 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
60%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play