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← Back to GamesOct 17, 2023Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Alabama by 23.9

Home Win Probability

South Alabama 92%

Market (Bovada)

South Alabama -18.5

Edge: South Alabama -18.5 (5.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 17, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern MissSouthern Miss
00303
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
141717755

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-028-031-034-341-355-3
South AlabamaSouthern Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSATD1075ydPUNT517ydTD1185ydPUNT34ydTD1480ydPUNT3-5ydTD651ydPUNT50ydFG865ydPUNT30ydMISS341ydPUNT36ydFG1047ydFG1061ydTD360ydDOWNS637ydTD362ydTO58ydTD331ydPUNT3-5ydTO627ydTO1168ydEND18yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Miss and South Alabama
StatisticSouthern MissSouth Alabama
Passing7-2023-31
Pass Yards46360
Rush Yards103287
Total Yards149647
Turnovers21
3rd Down1-137-11
Penalties4-259-87
Possession28:4531:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Miss
passing
Holman Edwards
5/15, 41 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Kenyon Clay
10 CAR, 60 YDS
receiving
Frank Gore Jr.
2 REC, 22 YDS
defense
Swayze Bozeman
1 TFL, 1 PD
South Alabama
passing
Carter Bradley
21/27, 319 YDS
rushing
La'Damian Webb
20 CAR, 102 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Jamaal Pritchett
5 REC, 122 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the USA 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.98

Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 12 yds to the USM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.33

Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 10 yds to the USM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the USM 24

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the USM 25

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, Defensive Holding (Brodarius Lewis) to the USM 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kentrel Bullock run for 6 yds to the USM 7

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Kentrel Bullock run for 2 yds to the USM 5

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.58

La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the USM 31

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the USM 36

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY USA Delay Of Game (Sheriff,Jamie) 5 yards from USM36 to USM41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Jakarius Caston

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the USM 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Latreal Jones

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the USA 15

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Kentrel Bullock run for 8 yds to the USA 23

2nd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.81

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for no gain to the USA 23

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.89

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 5 yds to the USA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Kentrel Bullock run for 13 yds to the USA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.96

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 34 yds to the USM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the USM 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 10 yds to the USM 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the USM 10

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the USM 9

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.36

Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 6 yds to the USM 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Jacob Meeks kickoff for 57 yds , Rodrigues Clark return for 25 yds to the USM 33

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the USM 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Billy Wiles pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 3 yds to the USM 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Billy Wiles pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 2 yds to the USM 42

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Gore,Frank rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM45 (Gamble,Dallas) PENALTY USM Illegal Formation 5 yards from USM42 to USM37. NO PLAY.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the USA 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the USA 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 8 yds to the USA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to DJ Thomas-Jones

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Webb,La'Damian rush left for 28 yards gain to the USM40 (Lawrence,Dylan), out of bounds PENALTY USA Holding (Smith,Reggie) 10 yards from USA32 to USA22. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.75

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 33 yds to the USM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Carter Bradley run for 2 yds to the USM 43

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the USM 42

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.93

Marco Lee Jr. run for 8 yds to the USM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jamaal Pritchett

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the USM 33

3rd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.71

Carter Bradley run for 17 yds to the USM 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

La'Damian Webb run for 6 yds to the USM 10

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the USM 11

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.98

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 6 yds to the USM 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Billy Wiles run for 1 yd to the USM 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Jakarius Caston

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.29

Billy Wiles sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the USM 20

4th & 15Punt+8 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USA 49 , Caullin Lacy returns for 8 yds to the USA 49

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kentrel Bullock run for 7 yds to the USM 44

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.18

Kentrel Bullock run for 5 yds to the USM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 8 yds to the USM 31

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the USM 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.92

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 15 yds to the USM 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Kentrel Bullock run for 17 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Jacob Meeks kickoff for 51 yds , Rodrigues Clark return for 13 yds to the USM 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Holman Edwards pass complete to Tyquan Henderson for 9 yds to the USM 36

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Rodrigues Clark run for 1 yd to the USM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Holman Edwards pass incomplete to Davis Dalton

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Holman Edwards sacked by Maurice Strong Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the USM 34

3rd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Holman Edwards run for 2 yds to the USM 32 Holman Edwards fumbled, recovered by USM

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USM False Start (Toles,Brendan) 5 yards from USM32 to USM27. NO PLAY.

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the USA 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Marco Lee Jr. run for 4 yds to the USA 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +3.33

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 50 yds to the USM 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 13 yds to the USM 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Marco Lee Jr. run for 1 yd to the USM 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Marco Lee Jr. run for 2 yds to the USM 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Marco Lee Jr. run for no gain to the USM 1

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USA False Start (Lucas,Dontae) 5 yards from USM01 to USM06. NO PLAY.

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Diego Guajardo 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Holman Edwards pass incomplete to Frank Gore Jr.

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USM False Start (Cavazos Jr.,Gabe) 5 yards from USM25 to USM20. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Chandler Pittman run for no gain to the USM 20

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the USM 25

4th & 10Punt+6 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 45 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 6 yds to the USA 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.10

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 27 yds to the USM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.39

Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 14 yds to the USM 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Diego Guajardo 41 yd FG MISSED

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Holman Edwards pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 1 yd to the USM 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Holman Edwards pass complete to Latreal Jones for 7 yds to the USM 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the USM 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the USA 31

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.89

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for no gain to the USA 31

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.84

La'Damian Webb run for 10 yds to the USA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.18

La'Damian Webb run for 12 yds to the USM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 8 yds to the USM 39

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.14

La'Damian Webb run for 14 yds to the USM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the USM 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Caullin Lacy

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Caullin Lacy

4th & 7Field Goal Good+39 yds

Diego Guajardo 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Jacob Meeks kickoff for 50 yds , Rodrigues Clark return for 9 yds to the USM 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Frank Gore Jr. run for 6 yds to the USM 30

2nd & 4Penalty+12 yds

Shotgun Edwards,Holman pass incomplete short left to Caston,Jakarius, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY USA Pass Interference (Fletcher,Ricky) 12 yards from USM30 to USM42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.37

Holman Edwards run for 18 yds to the USA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Holman Edwards pass incomplete to Jakarius Caston

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the USA 41

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the USA 37

4th & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.86

Holman Edwards pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 20 yds to the USA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the USA 14

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Holman Edwards pass incomplete to Davis Dalton

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Rodrigues Clark run for 1 yd to the USA 15

4th & 8Field Goal Good+32 yds

Andrew Stein 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Connor Gibbs kickoff for 56 yds , Kentrel Bullock return for 31 yds to the USA 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.75

Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 24 yds to the USM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.44

Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 20 yds to the USM 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

La'Damian Webb run for 16 yds for a TD Southern Miss Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Rodrigues Clark) declined (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Meeks,Jacob kickoff 60 yards to the USM05 Clark,Rodrigues return 7 yards to the USM12 (Wallace, Jr.,Christopher ; Sibley,Emauri) PENALTY USA Offside 5 yards from USA35 to USA30. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the USM 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Holman Edwards pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 4 yds to the USM 34

3rd & 1Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Edwards,Holman pass incomplete deep right to Mims,Tiaquelin PENALTY USA Holding (Jordan,Jalen) 10 yards from USM34 to USM44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Edwards,Holman pass incomplete deep left to Caston,Jakarius PENALTY USA Pass Interference (Fletcher,Ricky) 15 yards from USM44 to USA41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Holman Edwards pass incomplete to Latreal Jones

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Holman Edwards pass incomplete to Jakarius Caston

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the USA 38

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.46

Holman Edwards pass incomplete to Jakarius Caston

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the USA 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.33

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 29 yds to the USM 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Dorian Smith run for 29 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Holman Edwards pass incomplete to Jakarius Caston

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

South Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the USM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Holman Edwards run for 7 yds to the USM 33 Holman Edwards fumbled, recovered by USM Holman Edwards

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Holman Edwards pass incomplete to Latreal Jones

3rd & 17Interception0 ydsPPA +0.17

Holman Edwards pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Marco Lee Jr. run for 11 yds to the USM 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Gio Lopez run for 20 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jacob Meeks kickoff for 64 yds , Rodrigues Clark return for 17 yds to the USM 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the USM 19

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kenyon Clay run for 2 yds to the USM 21

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.28

Holman Edwards sacked by Jordan Norman for a loss of 8 yards to the USM 13

4th & 15Punt+5 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 42 yds , Jamaal Pritchett returns for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jacob Hopper for 12 yds to the USM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dorian Smith run for 5 yds to the USM 33

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jarvis Durr run for 6 yds to the USM 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Lopez,Gio rush middle for 27 yards gain to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 09:43 PENALTY USA Holding 10 yards from USM27 to USM37. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Jarvis Durr run for 1 yd to the USM 36

2nd & 19Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.41

Jarvis Durr run for 13 yds to the USM 23

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -3.69

Gio Lopez pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Kenyon Clay run for 7 yds to the USM 13

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Kenyon Clay run for 3 yds to the USM 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Kenyon Clay run for 7 yds to the USM 23

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.16

Kenyon Clay run for 15 yds to the USM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Kenyon Clay run for 11 yds to the USM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kenyon Clay run for 3 yds to the USA 48

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the USA 45

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.64

Rodrigues Clark run for 7 yds to the USA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Kenyon Clay run for 7 yds to the USA 31

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kenyon Clay run for 2 yds to the USA 29

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -3.91

Kenyon Clay run for 3 yds to the USA 26 Kenyon Clay fumbled, recovered by USA Jamall Hickbottom

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Jonathon Carter run for 8 yds to the USA 34

Situational Analysis

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
22 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
20%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
61%
36 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
63%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th