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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Alabama by 10.1

Home Win Probability

UL Monroe 23%

Market (Bovada)

UL Monroe +11

Edge: UL Monroe +11 (0.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
1417141055
UL MonroeUL Monroe
07007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-140-170-247-317-387-457-487-55
UL MonroeSouth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SAUMSAUMSAUMSAUMSAUMUMSAUMSAUMSAUMSAUMSAUMTD1075ydTO26ydTD845ydPUNT32ydFG1538ydPUNT60ydTD246ydDOWNS1151ydTD776ydTD1175ydPUNT33ydMISS837ydPUNT33ydTD858ydPUNT35ydTD668ydTO839ydFG731ydDOWNS750ydTD1380ydEND330yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Alabama and UL Monroe
StatisticSouth AlabamaUL Monroe
Passing27-3913-28
Pass Yards387112
Rush Yards202138
Total Yards589250
Turnovers02
3rd Down7-137-15
Penalties9-642-15
Possession36:3023:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Alabama
passing
Carter Bradley
20/29, 303 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
La'Damian Webb
19 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Caullin Lacy
7 REC, 156 YDS, 1 TD
defense
UL Monroe
passing
Jiya Wright
13/28, 112 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jiya Wright
13 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Tyrone Howell
4 REC, 41 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 19 yds to the USA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the USA 45

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.67

Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 4 yds to the ULM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the ULM 42

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Kentrel Bullock run for 8 yds to the ULM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kentrel Bullock run for 4 yds to the ULM 30

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

South Alabama Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ULM 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.88

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 30 yds to the ULM 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Kentrel Bullock run for 5 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jiya Wright pass complete to Nolan Quinlan for 6 yds to the ULM 31

2nd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -1.26

Jiya Wright pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 7 yds to the ULM 38

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.17

La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the ULM 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.23

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 14 yds to the ULM 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the ULM 13

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.85

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 8 yds to the ULM 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the ULM 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

La'Damian Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Carter Bradley pass complete to Brandon Crum for 3 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Hunter Smith run for 2 yds to the ULM 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Marco Lee Jr. run for 6 yds to the USA 49

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -2.84

Marco Lee Jr. run for a loss of 10 yards to the USA 39 fumbled, recovered by USA Marco Lee Jr.

3rd & 14Penalty0 yds

BRADLEY, Carter pass to the right incomplete intended for IVORY, Javon thrown to the USA30; QB hurried by EVANS, Ja'Terious. PENALTY USA Holding on SMITH, Reggie ULM Pass Interference on VIGERS, Car'lin , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 11 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.63

Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 5 yds to the ULM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Carter Bradley pass complete to Javon Ivory for 10 yds to the ULM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the ULM 31

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.10

La'Damian Webb run for 7 yds to the ULM 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 9 yds to the ULM 15

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Kentrel Bullock run for 6 yds to the ULM 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

South Alabama Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ULM 14

1st & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

La'Damian Webb run for no gain to the ULM 14

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

4th & 14Penalty-5 yds

South Alabama Penalty, False Start (Carter Bradley) to the ULM 19

4th & 19Field Goal Good+37 yds

Diego Guajardo 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Isaiah Woullard run for 3 yds to the ULM 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Isaiah Woullard run for 6 yds to the ULM 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Isaiah Woullard run for 2 yds to the ULM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jiya Wright pass complete to Isaiah Woullard for 2 yds to the ULM 38

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.12

Jiya Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the ULM 35

3rd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.41

Jiya Wright sacked by Brock Higdon and Trey Kiser for a loss of 5 yards to the ULM 30

4th & 16Penalty-5 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, Delay Of Game (Braxton Guilbeau) to the ULM 25

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Kentrel Bullock run for 2 yds to the ULM 44

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +4.11

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 44 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Hunter Smith run for 6 yds to the ULM 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Jiya Wright run for 6 yds to the ULM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Hunter Smith run for 2 yds to the ULM 39

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

WRIGHT, Jiya pass deep to the right intercepted by FLETCHER, Ricky at the USA22 intended for MORTIMER, Bugs. Fletcher return for 0 yards to the USA22, End of Play. PENALTY USA Targeting on JORDAN, Jalen enforced 15 yards from the ULM39 to the USA46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Hunter Smith run for 5 yds to the USA 41

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ULM 49

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jiya Wright run for 5 yds to the USA 46

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.89

Jiya Wright pass complete to Hunter Smith for 19 yds to the USA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Hunter Smith run for 2 yds to the USA 25

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Hunter Smith run for 2 yds to the USA 23

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jiya Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the USA 24

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.78

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Marco Lee Jr. run for 3 yds to the USA 27

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Marco Lee Jr. run for 1 yd to the USA 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +4.23

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 50 yds to the ULM 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Marco Lee Jr. run for 6 yds to the ULM 16

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.06

Marco Lee Jr. run for 6 yds to the ULM 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Marco Lee Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Jiya Wright pass complete to Nolan Quinlan for 18 yds to the ULM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.93

Jiya Wright run for 11 yds to the USA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jiya Wright pass complete to Nolan Quinlan for 5 yds to the USA 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.71

Jiya Wright pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 12 yds to the USA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Jiya Wright pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 9 yds to the USA 20

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jiya Wright pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 6 yds to the USA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Jiya Wright pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 14 yds for a TD (Derek McCormick KICK)

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaiah Woullard run for 1 yd to the ULM 28

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Jiya Wright pass complete to Isaiah Woullard for 2 yds to the ULM 30

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 5 yds to the USA 43

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.29

La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the ULM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

South Alabama Penalty, False Start (Reed Buys) to the USA 47

1st & 15Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.99

La'Damian Webb run for 22 yds to the ULM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the ULM 30

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

La'Damian Webb run for no gain to the ULM 30

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 5 yds to the ULM 25

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Diego Guajardo 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jiya Wright pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 6 yds to the ULM 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jiya Wright run for 2 yds to the ULM 33

3rd & 2Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.90

Jiya Wright run for a loss of 5 yards to the ULM 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the USA 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.82

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 12 yds to the ULM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 12 yds to the ULM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.24

La'Damian Webb run for 11 yds to the ULM 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

La'Damian Webb run for 6 yds to the ULM 15

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.51

La'Damian Webb run for 14 yds to the ULM 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Thad Franklin Jr. run for 4 yds to the ULM 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jiya Wright run for 1 yd to the ULM 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Kentrel Bullock run for 11 yds to the USA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Kentrel Bullock run for 2 yds to the USA 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.67

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 10 yds to the ULM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.66

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 15 yds to the ULM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Carter Bradley pass complete to Kentrel Bullock for 30 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Bennett Galloway run for 8 yds to the ULM 15

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Jiya Wright pass complete to Bennett Galloway for 7 yds to the ULM 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Bennett Galloway run for 6 yds to the ULM 28

3rd & 4Penalty+9 yds

WRIGHT, Jiya pass short to the left incomplete intended for TOLBERT, Bud thrown to the ULM32. PENALTY USA Pass Interference on ROBINSON, Marquise enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the ULM37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jiya Wright pass complete to Bud Tolbert for 6 yds to the ULM 43

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Thad Franklin Jr. run for 3 yds to the ULM 46

3rd & 1Interception0 ydsPPA -1.89

Jiya Wright pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Marco Lee Jr. run for 13 yds to the ULM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Gio Lopez pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 9 yds to the ULM 37

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.31

Marco Lee Jr. run for 5 yds to the ULM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Marco Lee Jr. run for 9 yds to the ULM 23

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Marco Lee Jr. run for no gain to the ULM 23

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

South Alabama Penalty, False Start (Jalen Jordan) to the ULM 28

4th & 6Field Goal Good+46 yds

Diego Guajardo 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Bennett Galloway run for 1 yd to the ULM 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

WRIGHT, Jiya pass short to the left incomplete intended for GALLOWAY, Bennett broken up by GAMBLE, Dallas at the ULM34. PENALTY USA Offsides enforced 5 yards from the ULM31 to the ULM36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 4Rush+44 ydsPPA +3.73

Jiya Wright run for 44 yds to the USA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Charlie Norman run for 2 yds to the USA 18

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jiya Wright run for 2 yds to the USA 16

4th & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -3.44

Jiya Wright sacked by Lamondre Brooks for a loss of 4 yards to the USA 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

PJ Martin run for 5 yds to the USA 25

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Gio Lopez run for 7 yds to the USA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Gio Lopez pass complete to Keyshawn Woodyard for 13 yds to the USA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jacob Hopper for 14 yds to the ULM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.62

Gio Lopez pass complete to Keyshawn Woodyard for 21 yds to the ULM 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MARTIN, PJ rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the ULM17 (BAKHOLE, Joseph;RANDLE, Travor). PENALTY USA Holding on ROBINSON, James enforced 10 yards from the ULM20 to the ULM30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.37

Gio Lopez pass complete to PJ Martin for 18 yds to the ULM 12

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

PJ Martin run for no gain to the ULM 12

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.62

Gio Lopez pass complete to Todd Justice for 6 yds to the ULM 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.62

PJ Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 8

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

PJ Martin run for 5 yds to the ULM 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jeremiah Webb for 3 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Bennett Galloway run for 24 yds to the ULM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Bennett Galloway run for 3 yds to the USA 48

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Bennett Galloway run for 3 yds to the USA 45

Situational Analysis

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
59%
32 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

UL Monroe

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
38%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play