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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisiana by 2.7

Home Win Probability

Louisiana 56%

Market (Bovada)

Louisiana -1

Edge: Louisiana -1 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
10103730
LouisianaLouisiana
7771334

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-77-107-177-2014-2014-2321-2321-3035-30
LouisianaTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOULOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTD775ydTD1070ydFG1360ydPUNT3-16ydTD948ydTO689ydFG992ydTD667ydDOWNS1352ydEND1-2ydTO540ydFG1354ydTD782ydTO663ydPUNT32ydTD1069ydTD1163ydPUNT414ydTD422ydTO623ydEND211yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and Louisiana
StatisticTexas StateLouisiana
Passing30-4013-17
Pass Yards326205
Rush Yards204218
Total Yards530423
Turnovers22
3rd Down6-157-10
Penalties3-405-64
Possession33:2726:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
TJ Finley
30/40, 326 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ismail Mahdi
34 CAR, 188 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Joey Hobert
8 REC, 132 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Louisiana
passing
Zeon Chriss
13/17, 205 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Zeon Chriss
12 CAR, 67 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Robert Williams
5 REC, 90 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ismail Mahdi run for 7 yds to the TXST 32

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Ismail Mahdi run for 7 yds to the TXST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

TJ Finley pass complete to Jr. Sean Shaw for 5 yds to the TXST 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.19

TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 41 yds to the UL 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ismail Mahdi run for 3 yds to the UL 12

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Malik Hornsby run for 2 yds to the UL 10

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.84

Ismail Mahdi run for 10 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.08

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Robert Williams for 23 yds to the TXST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the TXST 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Robert Williams for 3 yds to the TXST 40

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.21

Dre'lyn Washington run for 7 yds to the TXST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.34

Zeon Chriss run for 18 yds to the TXST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Dre'lyn Washington run for 1 yd to the TXST 16

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Zeon Chriss run for 9 yds to the TXST 7

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds to the TXST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Dre'lyn Washington run for no gain to the TXST 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Dre'lyn Washington for 4 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Thomas Leo kickoff for 60 yds , Drew Donley return for 15 yds to the TXST 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Ismail Mahdi run for 7 yds to the TXST 27

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.43

Ismail Mahdi run for 6 yds to the TXST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 10 yds to the TXST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.85

Ismail Mahdi run for 16 yds to the UL 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ashtyn Hawkins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 6 yds to the UL 28

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ashtyn Hawkins

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.56

TJ Finley pass complete to Titus Lyons for 5 yds to the UL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Donerio Davenport run for 3 yds to the UL 20

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Titus Lyons

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Joey Hobert

4th & 7Field Goal Good+37 yds

Mason Shipley 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Michael James kickoff for 42 yds , Neal Johnson return for 8 yds to the UL 31

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-21 ydsPPA -1.78

Zeon Chriss sacked by Sam Latham for a loss of 21 yards to the UL 10 Zeon Chriss fumbled, recovered by UL Jax Harrington , return for 0 yards

2nd & 31Rush0 ydsPPA -0.01

Jacob Kibodi run for no gain to the UL 10

3rd & 31Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Jacob Kibodi run for 5 yds to the UL 15

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Thomas Leo punt for 44 yds for a 1ST down , Joey Hobert returns for no gain to the UL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 4 yds to the UL 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 10 yds to the UL 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Donerio Davenport run for 5 yds to the UL 29

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Louisiana Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Tyler Guidry) to the UL 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.34

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 12 yds to the UL 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+3 yds

Donerio Davenport run for 3 yds to the UL 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Donerio Davenport run for 4 yds to the UL 1

3rd & 1Rush+1 yds

Jahmyl Jeter run for 1 yd to the UL 2

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 2 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Michael James kickoff for 62 yds , Zylan Perry return for 15 yds to the 50 yard line Louisiana Penalty, Offensive Holding (9 Yards) to the UL 9

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dre'lyn Washington run for 5 yds to the UL 14

2nd & 5Pass Reception+60 ydsPPA +4.03

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Robert Williams for 60 yds to the TXST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Dre'lyn Washington run for 6 yds to the TXST 20

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.03

Dre'lyn Washington run for 6 yds to the TXST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the TXST 10

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -4.43

Dre'lyn Washington run for 8 yds to the TXST 1 Dre'lyn Washington fumbled, recovered by TXST Kaleb Culp

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 6 yds to the TXST 7

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jahmyl Jeter run for no gain to the TXST 7

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.95

TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 16 yds to the TXST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Donerio Davenport run for 1 yd to the TXST 14

2nd & 19Pass Reception+83 ydsPPA +5.83

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 83 yds to the UL 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+3 yds

Donerio Davenport run for 3 yds to the UL 6

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Donerio Davenport run for 2 yds to the UL 4

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 3 yds to the UL 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Mason Shipley 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

Michael James kickoff for 65 yds , Zylan Perry return for 33 yds to the UL 33

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Jacob Kibodi run for 11 yds to the UL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Zeon Chriss run for 1 yd to the UL 45

2nd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.16

Zeon Chriss run for 16 yds to the TXST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 2 yds to the TXST 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Tavion Smith for 3 yds to the TXST 34

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.89

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 34 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Thomas Leo kickoff for 43 yds , Drew Donley return for 8 yds to the TXST 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.72

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 1 yd to the TXST 31

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Louisiana Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Tyrone Lewis Jr.) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Ismail Mahdi run for 7 yds to the UL 43

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ismail Mahdi run for 2 yds to the UL 41

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

Ismail Mahdi run for 3 yds to the UL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kole Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Ismail Mahdi run for 7 yds to the UL 31

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 2 yds to the UL 29

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.24

Jahmyl Jeter run for 4 yds to the UL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 3 yds to the UL 22

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the UL 23

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 5 yds to the UL 18

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.57

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kole Wilson

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kneel down by Louisiana at LA16 for loss of 2 yards.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Mason Shipley kickoff for 64 yds , Zylan Perry return for 29 yds to the UL 30

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle Kibodi,Jacob rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TXST35 (Holton,Shawn; Bell,Ben) PENALTY LA Holding (Harrington,Jax) 10 yards from TXST41 to LA49. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.55

Jacob Kibodi run for 12 yds to the TXST 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Robert Williams

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jacob Kibodi run for no gain to the TXST 39

4th & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -1.26

Zeon Chriss run for 9 yds to the TXST 30 Zeon Chriss fumbled, recovered by TXST Tavian Coleman

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the TXST 31

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Ismail Mahdi run for 6 yds to the TXST 37

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.41

Ismail Mahdi run for 3 yds to the TXST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

TJ Finley pass complete to Jr. Sean Shaw for 9 yds to the TXST 49

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.00

Ismail Mahdi run for 7 yds to the UL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.51

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 11 yds to the UL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Ismail Mahdi run for 7 yds to the UL 26

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Ismail Mahdi run for 2 yds to the UL 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.23

Ismail Mahdi run for 2 yds to the UL 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Ismail Mahdi run for no gain to the UL 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 5 yds to the UL 17

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the UL 16

4th & 4Field Goal Good+33 yds

Mason Shipley 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Mason Shipley kickoff for 65 yds , Zylan Perry return for 18 yds to the UL 18

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.15

Zylan Perry run for 16 yds to the UL 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.66

Zeon Chriss pass intercepted

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Zylan Perry run for 10 yds to the UL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.69

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Neal Johnson for 32 yds to the TXST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Zylan Perry run for 1 yd to the TXST 23

2nd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.96

Zylan Perry run for 17 yds to the TXST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Zylan Perry run for 6 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Thomas Leo kickoff for 62 yds , Drew Donley return for 7 yds to the TXST 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ismail Mahdi run for no gain to the TXST 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.76

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 10 yds to the TXST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.73

Ismail Mahdi run for 21 yds to the TXST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ismail Mahdi run for 3 yds to the TXST 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.35

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 29 yds to the UL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.26

TJ Finley pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Jacob Kibodi run for 1 yd to the UL 23

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jacob Kibodi run for 2 yds to the UL 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Robert Williams for 1 yd to the UL 24

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Thomas Leo punt for 41 yds , returns for 7 yds to the TXST 31

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Ismail Mahdi run for 11 yds to the TXST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ismail Mahdi run for 6 yds to the TXST 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.24

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for no gain to the TXST 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.06

TJ Finley pass complete to Ismail Mahdi for 9 yds to the UL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Ismail Mahdi run for 9 yds to the UL 34

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.30

Ismail Mahdi run for 7 yds to the UL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Ismail Mahdi run for 8 yds to the UL 19

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Ismail Mahdi run for 2 yds to the UL 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 1 yd to the UL 18

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.00

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 18 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Mason Shipley kickoff for 56 yds , Zylan Perry return for 28 yds to the UL 37

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Zeon Chriss run for 4 yds to the UL 33 Zeon Chriss fumbled, recovered by UL Zeon Chriss

2nd & 14Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.59

Zeon Chriss sacked by Chance Main for a loss of 6 yards to the UL 27

3rd & 20Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.29

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 21 yds to the UL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Neal Johnson for 5 yds to the TXST 47

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Peter LeBlanc

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.17

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 14 yds to the TXST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.32

Jacob Kibodi run for 16 yds to the TXST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds to the TXST 14

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Robert Williams

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.16

Zeon Chriss run for 9 yds to the TXST 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Thomas Leo kickoff for 35 yds , Chris Dawn Jr. return for 6 yds to the TXST 21

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.09

Ismail Mahdi run for 14 yds to the TXST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kole Wilson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Ismail Mahdi run for no gain to the TXST 35

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ashtyn Hawkins

4th & 10Blocked Punt+8 yds

punt blocked by Dalen Cambre blocked by Dalen Cambre , Patrick Mensah returns for 8 yds to the TXST 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Zylan Perry run for 2 yds to the TXST 20

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Zylan Perry run for 2 yds to the TXST 18

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.79

Jacob Kibodi run for 10 yds to the TXST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Zeon Chriss 8 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Thomas Leo kickoff for 65 yds , Chris Dawn Jr. return for 21 yds to the TXST 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

TJ Finley pass complete to Jr. Sean Shaw for 7 yds to the TXST 28

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 2 yds to the TXST 30

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Ismail Mahdi run for no gain to the TXST 30

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.41

Jahmyl Jeter run for 2 yds to the TXST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ismail Mahdi

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+12 ydsPPA +2.08

TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 12 yds Ashtyn Hawkins fumbled, recovered by UL Tyree Skipper

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.62

Zeon Chriss run for 14 yds to the TXST 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.40

Z. Chriss takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
56%
34 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
44%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
64%
11 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
46%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
38%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play