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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 7.7

Home Win Probability

UL Monroe 29%

Market (Bovada)

UL Monroe +13.5

Edge: UL Monroe +13.5 (5.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
App StateApp State
14147641
UL MonroeUL Monroe
141412040

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-014-1414-2121-2828-2834-3540-3540-3840-41
UL MonroeApp State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UMASUMASUMASUMUMASUMASUMASUMASUMASUMASUMASUMASUMASUMASUMASPUNT33ydTO447ydTD570ydPUNT39ydTD770ydTD273ydTD10ydPUNT35ydPUNT417ydPUNT33ydTD1063ydTD775ydTD1275ydTD574ydTO323ydEND12ydTD775ydTD787ydTO521ydTD1046ydPUNT528ydPUNT35ydFG634ydTO225ydTO21ydDOWNS732ydDOWNS952ydPUNT37ydFG643yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing App State and UL Monroe
StatisticApp StateUL Monroe
Passing27-3918-27
Pass Yards335268
Rush Yards201203
Total Yards536471
Turnovers42
3rd Down7-133-11
Penalties6-485-57
Possession30:5629:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

App State
passing
Joey Aguilar
27/39, 335 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Nate Noel
18 CAR, 109 YDS
receiving
Christan Horn
6 REC, 124 YDS, 2 TD
defense
UL Monroe
passing
Jiya Wright
18/27, 268 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jiya Wright
17 CAR, 74 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dariyan Wiley
4 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jiya Wright pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 4 yds to the ULM 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jiya Wright sacked by Shawn Collins for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 23

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.84

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 21 yds to the APP 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the APP 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.81

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 13 yds to the ULM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -3.76

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 11 yds Kaedin Robinson fumbled, recovered by ULM AJ Watts

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Hunter Smith run for 2 yds to the ULM 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +4.19

Jiya Wright pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 45 yds to the APP 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Jiya Wright run for 1 yd to the APP 22

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.99

Jiya Wright pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 22 yds for a TD (Derek McCormick KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the APP 23

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 8 yds to the APP 31

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 39 yds, downed at the ULM 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Jiya Wright pass complete to Alred Luke for 8 yds to the ULM 38

2nd & 2Penalty+8 yds

WRIGHT, Jiya pass up the middle incomplete intended for WILEY, Dariyan thrown to the ULM48. PENALTY APP Pass Interference on FUNDERBURK, Tyrek enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the ULM46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Jiya Wright pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 10 yds to the APP 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.62

Jiya Wright run for 15 yds to the APP 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Jiya Wright pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 7 yds to the APP 22

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jiya Wright run for no gain to the APP 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Jiya Wright pass complete to NyNy Davis for 10 yds to the APP 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Appalachian State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the APP 7

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +1.90

Isaiah Woullard run for 7 yds for a TD (Derek McCormick KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Carl Glass Jr.) to the APP 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.01

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 52 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+23 ydsPPA -7.92

Tyrek Funderburk 23 Yd Interception Return (Michael Hughes Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Hunter Smith run for 1 yd to the ULM 14

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Hunter Smith run for 4 yds to the ULM 18

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 14 yds to the APP 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Joey Aguilar run for 3 yds to the APP 47

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the APP 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Bugs Mortimer at the ULM 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jiya Wright run for 2 yds to the ULM 20

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jiya Wright run for 1 yd to the ULM 21

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 37

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Ahmani Marshall run for 11 yds to the APP 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Ahmani Marshall run for 9 yds to the ULM 43

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.05

Joey Aguilar run for 10 yds to the ULM 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the ULM 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Joey Aguilar pass complete to David Larkins for 4 yds to the ULM 25

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the ULM 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.92

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 15 yds to the ULM 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Joey Aguilar run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 6 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

WRIGHT, Jiya pass deep to the left incomplete intended for HOWELL, Tyrone thrown to the ULM42. PENALTY APP Offsides on COLLINS, Shawn enforced 5 yards from the ULM25 to the ULM30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Jiya Wright pass complete to NyNy Davis for 7 yds to the ULM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Jiya Wright pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 20 yds to the APP 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Thad Franklin Jr. run for 7 yds to the APP 36

2nd & 3Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.33

Thad Franklin Jr. run for 23 yds to the APP 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Thad Franklin Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the APP 14

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.91

Jiya Wright pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 14 yds for a TD (Derek McCormick KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the APP 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nate Noel run for no gain to the APP 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.64

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 17 yds to the APP 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the ULM 48

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.60

Nate Noel run for 10 yds to the ULM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Nate Noel run for no gain to the ULM 38

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.10

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Milan Tucker for 10 yds to the ULM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the ULM 24

2nd & 6Penalty+4 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, Face mask (4 yards) (Joseph Bakhole) to the ULM 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Kanye Roberts run for 10 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Isaiah Woullard run for 3 yds to the ULM 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.39

Jiya Wright pass complete to Bugs Mortimer for 20 yds to the ULM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +1.87

Jiya Wright pass complete to Bugs Mortimer for 45 yds to the APP 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Woullard run for 3 yds to the APP 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Jiya Wright pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 3 yds for a TD (Derek McCormick KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 16 yds to the APP 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the ULM 47

2nd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -3.46

Joey Aguilar pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Isaiah Woullard run for 2 yds to the ULM 37

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 6 yds to the APP 31

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, Block below the waist enforced (15 Yards) to the ULM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the ULM 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 7 yds to the ULM 36

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.29

Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 37

4th & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.29

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Nate Noel for 15 yds to the ULM 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 22 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 53 yds , return for no gain to the ULM 13

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Jiya Wright run for 11 yds to the ULM 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.96

Jiya Wright pass complete to Alred Luke for 36 yds to the APP 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +0.87

Isaiah Woullard run for 32 yds to the APP 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jiya Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the APP 9

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Isaiah Woullard run for 2 yds to the APP 7

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Jiya Wright run for 6 yds to the APP 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Jiya Wright run for 1 yd for a TD (Derek McCormick PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Kanye Roberts run for a loss of 3 yards to the APP 22

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Kanye Roberts run for 2 yds to the APP 24

3rd & 11Rush+25 ydsPPA +3.25

Joey Aguilar run for 25 yds to the APP 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the APP 49

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.47

Joey Aguilar sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the APP 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

WRIGHT, Jiya pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HOWELL, Tyrone thrown to the APP14. PENALTY APP Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Ethan enforced 15 yards to the APP31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Jiya Wright pass complete to Tyrone Howell for a loss of 1 yard to the APP 32

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Hunter Smith run for 3 yds to the APP 29

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Jiya Wright pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 7 yds to the APP 22

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Jiya Wright run for 2 yds to the APP 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Hunter Smith run for 7 yds to the APP 13

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jiya Wright run for 4 yds to the APP 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Hunter Smith run for 1 yd to the APP 8

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Tyrone Howell 8 Yd pass from Jiya Wright (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Nate Noel for 5 yds to the APP 30

2nd & 5Rush+35 ydsPPA +3.01

Nate Noel run for 35 yds to the ULM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ROBERTS, Kanye rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the ULM30 (BATTON, Michael;GODSEY JR, David). PENALTY APP Holding on HELMS, Isaiah enforced 10 yards from the ULM35 to the ULM45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Kanye Roberts run for 2 yds to the ULM 43

3rd & 18Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.89

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Nate Noel for a loss of 4 yards to the ULM 47

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.41

Jiya Wright sacked by Nate Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the ULM 13

3rd & 17Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Isaiah Woullard run for 12 yds to the ULM 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 20 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the ULM 40

2nd & 5Rush+27 ydsPPA +0.84

Nate Noel run for 27 yds to the ULM 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the ULM 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+28 yds

Michael Hughes 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Jiya Wright run for 22 yds to the ULM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -2.90

Jiya Wright pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 3 yds fumbled, forced by Jordan Favors, recovered by APP DeAndre Dingle-Prince , return to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the ULM 49

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -2.28

Joey Aguilar pass intercepted

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -2.28

Joey Aguilar pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Hunter Smith run for 6 yds to the APP 34

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Hunter Smith run for 5 yds to the APP 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.27

Jiya Wright run for 19 yds to the APP 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Hunter Smith run for 3 yds to the APP 7

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Hunter Smith run for 6 yds to the APP 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Thad Franklin Jr. run for no gain to the APP 1

4th & 1Sack-7 ydsPPA -4.21

Jiya Wright sacked by Tyrek Funderburk and Nick Ross for a loss of 7 yards to the APP 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.64

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 15 yds to the APP 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Nate Noel run for no gain to the APP 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.90

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 15 yds to the APP 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the APP 43

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.08

Joey Aguilar run for 8 yds to the ULM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 5 yds to the ULM 44

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -2.03

run for a loss of 4 yards to the ULM 48 fumbled, recovered by APP Joey Aguilar

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

4th & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.49

Joey Aguilar run for 8 yds to the ULM 40

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Isaiah Woullard run for 5 yds to the ULM 45

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.86

Isaiah Woullard run for a loss of 4 yards to the ULM 41

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jiya Wright run for 6 yds to the ULM 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Braxton Guilbeau punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 4 yds to the APP 24

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Appalachian State Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the APP 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.81

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 14 yds to the APP 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 16 yds to the APP 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 14 yds to the ULM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+54 yds

Michael Hughes 54 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
56%
34 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
27%
11 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

UL Monroe

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
47%
32 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
83%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays