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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

James Madison by 9.6

Home Win Probability

James Madison 67%

Market (Bovada)

James Madison -3.5

Edge: James Madison -3.5 (6.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
0731323
James MadisonJames Madison
14100731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-017-024-724-1031-1631-23
James MadisonSouth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SAJMSAJMSAJMSAJMSAJMSAJMSAJMSASAJMJMSAJMSAJMSAJMSAJMSAJMSAJMPUNT35ydTD348ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT3-10ydDOWNS521ydTD144ydPUNT4-3ydDOWNS854ydPUNT417ydPUNT620ydPUNT927ydFG970ydTD270ydPUNT35ydTD3-5ydPUNT34ydDOWNS711ydPUNT513ydPUNT525ydPUNT621ydFG1051ydTO512ydDOWNS421ydTD271ydTD975ydPUNT510ydTD789ydPUNT30ydDOWNS413ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Alabama and James Madison
StatisticSouth AlabamaJames Madison
Passing28-5012-22
Pass Yards299241
Rush Yards27136
Total Yards326377
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-182-14
Penalties5-5010-108
Possession28:4631:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Alabama
passing
Carter Bradley
28/50, 299 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
La'Damian Webb
12 CAR, 36 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Caullin Lacy
6 REC, 132 YDS
defense
Trey Kiser
3 TFL, 1 PD
James Madison
passing
Jordan McCloud
12/22, 241 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jordan McCloud
10 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Zach Horton
3 REC, 116 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the USA 26

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.58

Kentrel Bullock run for a loss of 4 yards to the USA 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Carter Bradley pass complete to Kentrel Bullock for 8 yds to the USA 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 33 yds, downed at the USA 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +5.81

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 48 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

South Alabama Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Carter Bradley) to the USA 17

3rd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the USA 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 39 yds, downed at the JMU 41

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the JMU 43

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

James Madison Penalty, False Start (Cole Potts) to the JMU 38

2nd & 13Penalty-10 yds

MCCLOUD, Jordan pass short to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Reggie thrown to the JMU40. PENALTY JMU Holding on WYATT, Tyshawn enforced 10 yards from the JMU38 to the JMU28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 23Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.13

Kaelon Black run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 27

3rd & 24Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Kaelon Black run for 4 yds to the JMU 31

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the USA 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.06

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 13 yds to the USA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the USA 45

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

La'Damian Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the USA 44

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 44 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

La'Damian Webb run for no gain to the USA 25

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

South Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (Caullin Lacy) to the USA 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Carter Bradley pass complete to Javon Ivory for 1 yd to the USA 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 42 yds, downed at the JMU 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jordan McCloud run for 2 yds to the JMU 38

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Ty Son Lawton run for 8 yds to the JMU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.76

Jordan McCloud run for 33 yds to the USA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jordan McCloud run for 4 yds to the USA 13

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jordan McCloud run for 5 yds to the USA 8

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -4.08

Kaelon Black run for a loss of 2 yards to the USA 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

BRADLEY, Carter pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for LACY, Caullin thrown to the USA45; QB hurried by GREEN, Jalen. PENALTY JMU Pass Interference on CHUKWUNEKE, Chris enforced 15 yards to the USA25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Carter Bradley pass complete to Javon Ivory for 3 yds to the USA 28

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.87

Carter Bradley sacked by Mikail Kamara for a loss of 6 yards to the USA 22

3rd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Marco Lee Jr. run for 5 yds to the USA 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 8 yds to the JMU 43

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

South Alabama Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the USA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Jordan McCloud run for 9 yds to the USA 39

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ty Son Lawton run for no gain to the USA 39

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

James Madison Penalty, False Start (Tyler Stephens) to the USA 44

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 3 yds to the USA 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.01

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 14 yds to the USA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 5 yds to the USA 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.96

Carter Bradley pass complete to Javon Ivory for 5 yds to the USA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 36 yds, downed at the JMU 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kaelon Black run for 4 yds to the JMU 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.85

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 19 yds to the JMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.34

Jordan McCloud run for 16 yds to the USA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 6 yds to the USA 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.53

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 20 yds to the USA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Latrele Palmer run for no gain to the USA 18

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the USA 16

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kaelon Black for 3 yds to the USA 13

4th & 5Field Goal Good+31 yds

Camden Wise 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

James Madison Penalty, Personal Foul (Jamree Kromah) to the JMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 48 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 6 yds to the JMU 31

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.40

Kentrel Bullock run for a loss of 5 yards to the USA 26

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 15Interception Return Touchdown+24 ydsPPA -6.77

Jalen Green 24 Yd Interception Return (Camden Wise Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the USA 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the USA 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Kaelon Black run for 9 yds to the JMU 39

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.39

Kaelon Black run for no gain to the JMU 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the JMU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan McCloud run for 5 yds to the JMU 46

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

4th & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.45

run for a loss of 5 yards to the JMU 41

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kaelon Black run for no gain to the JMU 21

3rd & 10Penalty+10 yds

MCCLOUD, Jordan pass to the right incomplete thrown to the JMU35. PENALTY USA Holding on BANKS, Yam enforced 10 yards from the JMU21 to the JMU31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.33

Jordan McCloud sacked by Charles Coleman III and Wy'Kevious Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the JMU 27

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Ty Son Lawton run for no gain to the JMU 27

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 7 yds to the JMU 34

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 14 yds to the USA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 10 yds to the USA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the USA 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 1 yd to the USA 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Carter Bradley pass complete to Javon Ivory for a loss of 1 yard to the USA 41

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ty Son Lawton run for 4 yds to the JMU 21

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.68

Ty Son Lawton run for 6 yds to the JMU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 10 yds to the JMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ty Son Lawton run for 4 yds to the JMU 41

2nd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.74

Jordan McCloud sacked by Jamie Sheriff for a loss of 6 yards to the JMU 35

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Latrele Palmer run for 3 yds to the JMU 38

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the USA 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Carter Bradley run for 3 yds to the USA 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.07

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 16 yds to the USA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 14 yds to the JMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the JMU 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 1 yd to the JMU 37

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Carter Bradley run for 13 yds to the JMU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the JMU 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Carter Bradley pass complete to Javon Ivory for 1 yd to the JMU 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+40 yds

Diego Guajardo 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Kaelon Black run for 9 yds to the JMU 34

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

James Madison Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the JMU 29

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Kaelon Black run for 7 yds to the JMU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the JMU 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jordan McCloud pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BRADLEY, Carter pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for PRITCHETT, Jamaal thrown to the JMU20. PENALTY JMU Pass Interference on PONDS, D'Angelo enforced 15 yards to the JMU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Carter Bradley pass complete to Kentrel Bullock for 6 yds to the JMU 29

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.69

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ty Son Lawton run for 5 yds to the JMU 34

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +5.67

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 66 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 12 yds to the USA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Carter Bradley run for 9 yds to the USA 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the USA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 5 yds to the JMU 47

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.34

Carter Bradley sacked by Jalen Green and Mikail Kamara for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 49

4th & 7Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.82

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 31 yds to the JMU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BRADLEY, Carter pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for IVORY, Javon thrown to the JMU0. PENALTY JMU Pass Interference on AUSTIN, Brent enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the JMU3 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 3 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the JMU 42

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.75

Kaelon Black run for 10 yds to the USA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the USA 46

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.72

Jordan McCloud run for a loss of 3 yards to the USA 49

3rd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 39 yds, downed at the USA 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 9 yds to the USA 20

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.41

La'Damian Webb run for 14 yds to the USA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.66

Carter Bradley sacked by Jalen Green for a loss of 6 yards to the USA 28

2nd & 16Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.62

Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 16 yds to the USA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.43

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 55 yds to the JMU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the JMU 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kaelon Black run for no gain to the JMU 28

3rd & 7Penalty-10 yds

BLACK, Kaelon rush to the left for a gain of 39 yards to the USA33 (JORDAN, Jalen). PENALTY JMU Holding on HORTON, Zach enforced 10 yards from the JMU28 to the JMU18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.04

Kaelon Black run for 7 yds to the JMU 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 38 yds, downed at the USA 37

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

BRADLEY, Carter pass to the right incomplete intended for LACY, Caullin thrown to the USA48. PENALTY JMU Pass Interference on FISHER, Aiden enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the USA50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -1.94

Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for a loss of 7 yards to the USA 43

3rd & 17Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.46

Carter Bradley sacked by Jalen Green for a loss of 9 yards to the USA 34

4th & 26Interception0 ydsPPA +0.36

Carter Bradley pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 48

Situational Analysis

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
29%
28 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
15 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

James Madison

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
27 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
75%
8 plays
30%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play