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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Alabama by 19.9

Home Win Probability

South Alabama 90%

Market (Bovada)

South Alabama -16

Edge: South Alabama -16 (3.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
01371434
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
14031330

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-714-1314-2017-2023-2730-2730-34
South AlabamaCentral Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CMSACMSACMSACMSACMSACMSACMSACMSACMSACMSACMSAPUNT38ydTD975ydPUNT39ydTD671ydTD1175ydPUNT3-8ydTD1469ydDOWNS961ydEND28ydPUNT31ydTD1056ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT34ydFG1261ydTD375ydTD375ydPUNT3-11ydPUNT32ydPUNT617ydTD859ydTD1175ydEND220yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Central Michigan and South Alabama
StatisticCentral MichiganSouth Alabama
Passing20-3117-27
Pass Yards230254
Rush Yards125151
Total Yards355405
Turnovers00
3rd Down9-167-13
Penalties4-305-49
Possession33:4426:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Central Michigan
passing
Jase Bauer
19/30, 224 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jase Bauer
15 CAR, 55 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Jesse Prewitt III
10 REC, 142 YDS, 1 TD
defense
South Alabama
passing
Carter Bradley
17/27, 254 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
La'Damian Webb
18 CAR, 68 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Caullin Lacy
6 REC, 132 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jacob Meeks kickoff for 65 yds , Marion Lukes return for 19 yds to the CMU 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the CMU 23

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the CMU 21

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Bert Emanuel Jr. pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 6 yds to the CMU 27

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the USA 25

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Kentrel Bullock run for 17 yds to the USA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.17

La'Damian Webb run for 18 yds to the CMU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Carter Bradley pass complete to Javon Ivory for 15 yds to the CMU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Kentrel Bullock run for 6 yds to the CMU 37

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.19

Kentrel Bullock run for 5 yds to the CMU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Lincoln Sefcik

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the CMU 23

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.21

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the CMU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 7 yds to the CMU 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 1 yd to the CMU 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Myles Bailey run for 1 yd to the CMU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the USA 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 3 yds to the USA 32

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the USA 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.79

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 17 yds to the CMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the CMU 44

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the CMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 35 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jase Bauer run for 3 yds to the CMU 28

2nd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.00

Myles Bailey run for 16 yds to the CMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jase Bauer pass complete to Chris Parker for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the USA 47

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.88

Myles Bailey run for 1 yd to the USA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Thomas Pannunzio

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jase Bauer pass complete to Thomas Pannunzio for 6 yds to the USA 40

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.39

Jase Bauer run for 8 yds to the USA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.28

Marion Lukes run for 14 yds to the USA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jase Bauer pass complete to Marion Lukes for 3 yds to the USA 15

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.70

Jase Bauer run for 15 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Carter Bradley sacked by Quindario Lee for a loss of 10 yards to the USA 15

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Kentrel Bullock

3rd & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 2 yds to the USA 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CMU False Start (Parker,Chris) 5 yards from CMU31 to CMU26. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.36

Jase Bauer pass complete to Chris Parker for 20 yds to the CMU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Myles Bailey run for 1 yd to the CMU 47

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

Central Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 10Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bauer,Jase pass complete short left to Bailey,Myles for 3 yards loss to the CMU43 (Jacobs,Khalil) PENALTY USA Holding (Robinson,Marquise) 10 yards from CMU46 to USA44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Tyson Davis

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the USA 46

3rd & 12Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.14

Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 20 yds to the USA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the USA 24

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Jase Bauer run for 11 yds to the USA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Chris Parker

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Marion Lukes run for 5 yds to the USA 8

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the USA 5

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.44

Jase Bauer run for 2 yds to the USA 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the USA 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jase Bauer run for 1 yd for a TD (Tristan Mattson PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Tristan Mattson kickoff for 64 yds , Kentrel Bullock return for 24 yds to the USA 41 South Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (9 Yards) to the USA 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Marco Lee Jr. run for 2 yds to the USA 12

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Marco Lee Jr. run for 2 yds to the USA 14

3rd & 6Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.60

Carter Bradley run for 13 yds to the USA 27 for a 1ST down Central Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Jarvarius Sims) to the USA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Marco Lee Jr. run for 6 yds to the USA 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.16

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 16 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

PJ Martin run for 1 yd to the CMU 35

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

PJ Martin run for no gain to the CMU 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 8 yds to the CMU 27

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the CMU 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jase Bauer pass complete to Marion Lukes for 6 yds to the CMU 37

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Javon Ivory

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the USA 26

3rd & 9Penalty0 yds

South Alabama Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declined

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Javorian Wimberly at the CMU 44

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jase Bauer run for no gain to the CMU 44

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Myles Bailey run for 1 yd to the CMU 45

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.78

Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 10 yds to the USA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jase Bauer run for 5 yds to the USA 40

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.59

Jase Bauer run for 11 yds to the USA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 3 yds to the USA 26

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Mitchel Collier

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 17 yds to the USA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Marion Lukes run for 8 yds to the USA 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jase Bauer run for 1 yd for a TD South Alabama Penalty, Illegal Substitution ( Yards) declined (Tristan Mattson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 2 yds to the USA 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Brandon Crum

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Caullin Lacy

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Javorian Wimberly at the CMU 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Jesse Prewitt III

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Myles Bailey run for 4 yds to the CMU 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Thomas Pannunzio

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USA 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the USA 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 1 yd to the USA 26

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.79

Carter Bradley run for 9 yds to the USA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 1 yd to the USA 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.23

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 12 yds to the USA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.37

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 24 yds to the CMU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

La'Damian Webb run for 6 yds to the CMU 24

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.00

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 5 yds to the CMU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the CMU 20

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the CMU 15

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Javon Ivory

4th & 6Field Goal Good+32 yds

Diego Guajardo 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 6 yds to the CMU 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the CMU 30

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +6.74

Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 70 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Carter Bradley pass complete to Kentrel Bullock for 8 yds to the USA 33

2nd & 2Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.77

Carter Bradley sacked by Jacques Bristol for a loss of 5 yards to the USA 28

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +6.93

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 72 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Jacob Meeks kickoff for 47 yds , Sam Hicks return for 12 yds to the CMU 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jase Bauer run for no gain to the CMU 30

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

Central Michigan Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jase Bauer) to the CMU 24

3rd & 16Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.11

Jase Bauer sacked by Charles Coleman III for a loss of 5 yards to the CMU 19

4th & 21Punt+6 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 51 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 6 yds to the USA 36

4th & 21Punt+6 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 51 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 6 yds to the USA 46

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the USA 49

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the CMU 47

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USA False Start (Smith,Reggie) 5 yards from CMU47 to USA48. NO PLAY.

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Javorian Wimberly at the CMU 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 2 yds to the CMU 18

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jase Bauer run for 5 yds to the CMU 23

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.31

Jase Bauer pass complete to Tyson Davis for 9 yds to the CMU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the CMU 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jase Bauer pass complete to Myles Bailey for no gain to the CMU 33

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Chris Parker

4th & 9Punt+21 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 47 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 21 yds to the USA 41

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the USA 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Javon Ivory

3rd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.21

Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 19 yds to the CMU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jay'juan Townsend

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Kentrel Bullock run for 8 yds to the CMU 30

3rd & 2Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.33

Kentrel Bullock run for 29 yds to the CMU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Marco Lee Jr. run for no gain to the CMU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Marion Lukes run for no gain to the CMU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 5 yds to the CMU 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Jase Bauer pass complete to Marion Lukes for 13 yds to the CMU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Jase Bauer pass complete to Marion Lukes for 9 yds to the USA 48

2nd & 1Penalty+10 yds

Shotgun Bauer,Jase pass incomplete short right to Parker,Chris PENALTY USA Holding (Voisin,Jaden) 10 yards from USA48 to USA38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Jesse Prewitt III

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Tyson Davis

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 3 yds to the USA 35

4th & 7Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY USA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Wilfawn,Quentin) 15 yards from USA35 to USA20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.93

Jase Bauer pass complete to Tyson Davis for 16 yds to the USA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Jesse Prewitt III

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Chris Parker

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Jase Bauer run for 4 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 20 yds to the USA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Caullin Lacy

Situational Analysis

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
32%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
57%
14 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
44%
25 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play