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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia Southern by 2.5

Home Win Probability

Ball State 40%

Market (Bovada)

Ball State +6

Edge: Ball State +6 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
14910740
Ball StateBall State
00033

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-140-170-200-230-300-333-40
Ball StateGeorgia Southern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSTD952ydPUNT37ydTD463ydPUNT622ydPUNT841ydPUNT36ydFG616ydPUNT3-4ydFG955ydPUNT824ydPUNT520ydPUNT319ydFG857ydPUNT37ydPUNT529ydPUNT32ydTD456ydTO769ydPUNT39ydTO10ydFG828ydPUNT30ydTD455ydFG1269ydPUNT530ydPUNT3-4ydEND314yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia Southern and Ball State
StatisticGeorgia SouthernBall State
Passing36-5014-29
Pass Yards363160
Rush Yards16737
Total Yards530197
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-143-15
Penalties5-353-25
Possession30:4129:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia Southern
passing
Davis Brin
34/46, 344 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
OJ Arnold
9 CAR, 90 YDS
receiving
Khaleb Hood
7 REC, 107 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Ball State
passing
Kadin Semonza
11/23, 123 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Marquez Cooper
9 CAR, 16 YDS
receiving
Rico Barfield
2 REC, 50 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 13 yds to the BALL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the BALL 33

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

KD Dorsey run for no gain to the BALL 33

4th & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.08

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 14 yds to the BALL 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Keaton Upshaw

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 13 yds to the BALL 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 5 yds to the BALL 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Davis Brin pass complete to Evan Lester Jr. for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Tanner Koziol

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 27

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Kadin Semonza run for 5 yds to the BALL 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 12 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +1.38

OJ Arnold run for 38 yds to the BALL 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 4 yds to the BALL 9

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Davis Brin pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 9 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY GSU Offside (Bullard,Latrell) 5 yards from BSU25 to BSU30. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.10

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 12 yds to the BALL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BALL 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.62

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 6 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the GASO 45

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the GASO 46

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.46

Kadin Semonza sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the BALL 47

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GASO 16

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the GASO 22

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.37

Khaleb Hood run for 16 yds to the GASO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 4 yds to the GASO 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Davis Brin pass complete to OJ Arnold for 4 yds to the GASO 46

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.36

OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Davis Brin pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 7 yds to the BALL 44

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 1 yd to the BALL 43

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Terrance Gibbs run for no gain to the BALL 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 2 yds to the BALL 5

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the BALL 9

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Tanner Koziol

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 39

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

OJ Arnold run for no gain to the BALL 39

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.36

Davis Brin pass complete to Evan Lester Jr. for 21 yds to the BALL 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

OJ Arnold run for no gain to the BALL 18

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Evan Lester Jr.

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

(12:45) PENALTY GSU False Start (Wimbley,Pichon) 5 yards from BSU18 to BSU23. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.

4th & 15Field Goal Good+41 yds

Michael Lantz 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Michael Lantz kickoff for 52 yds , Malcolm Gillie return for 16 yds to the BALL 29

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(12:31) Shotgun Kelly,Kiael pass complete short right to Cooper,Marquez for 21 yards to the BSU50 (Meyers,Justin), out of bounds PENALTY BSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Gillie,Malcolm) 5 yards from BSU29 to BSU24. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 27

2nd & 12Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.50

Kadin Semonza sacked by Marc Stampley II for a loss of 7 yards to the BALL 20

3rd & 19Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Kadin Semonza run for 5 yds to the BALL 25

4th & 14Punt+7 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 45 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 7 yds to the GASO 37

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

OJ Arnold run for 11 yds to the GASO 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY BSU Disconcerting Signals (Mims,Kyron) 5 yards from GSU48 to BSU47. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Dalen Cobb pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 11 yds to the BALL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Davis Brin pass complete to OJ Arnold for 8 yds to the BALL 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA -0.11

Davis Brin pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 14 yds to the BALL 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

OJ Arnold run for 1 yd to the BALL 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Davis Brin pass complete to Beau Johnson for 5 yds to the BALL 8

4th & 4Field Goal Good+26 yds

Michael Lantz 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 6 yds to the BALL 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Rico Barfield run for 1 yd to the BALL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Tanner Koziol

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 16 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Kiael Kelly for 2 yds to the BALL 49

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Marquez Cooper

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Qian Magwood

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

David Mbadinga run for 7 yds to the GASO 14

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.04

David Mbadinga run for 4 yds to the GASO 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Davis Brin pass complete to Beau Johnson for 4 yds to the GASO 22

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Davis Brin run for 5 yds to the GASO 27

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 58 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Tanner Koziol

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.31

Kadin Semonza sacked by Elhadj Fall for a loss of 7 yards to the BALL 8

3rd & 17Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.10

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 11 yds to the BALL 19

4th & 6Punt+10 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GASO 24 , Khaleb Hood returns for 10 yds to the GASO 29 Georgia Southern Penalty, Illegal Block Personal Foul (Davon Gilmore) declined

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Dalen Cobb

2nd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.89

OJ Arnold run for 25 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 4 yds to the BALL 47

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.02

David Mbadinga run for 10 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 10 yds to the BALL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Davis Brin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Davis Brin run for 8 yds to the BALL 19

3rd & 2Field Goal Good+37 yds

Michael Lantz 37 yd FG GOOD

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kadin Semonza run for 7 yds to the BALL 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Qian Magwood

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Qian Magwood

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GASO 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 8 yds to the GASO 31

2nd & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.25

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 16 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Davis Brin sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the GASO 42

2nd & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 1 yd to the GASO 41

3rd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.76

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 11 yds to the BALL 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY GSU Offside (Bullard,Latrell) 5 yards from BSU01 to BSU06. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 3

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Ahmad Edwards

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Qian Magwood

4th & 8Punt+8 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 61 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 8 yds to the GASO 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.74

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 35 yds to the BALL 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Anthony Queeley

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

David Mbadinga run for no gain to the BALL 21

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.52

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 21 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Michael Lantz kickoff for 58 yds , Malcolm Gillie return for 14 yds to the BALL 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Nick Presley for 9 yds to the BALL 30

2nd & 1Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.58

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Rico Barfield for 23 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.00

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Rico Barfield for 27 yds to the GASO 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Kiael Kelly for 13 yds to the GASO 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the GASO 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Ahmad Edwards

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.92

Kadin Semonza pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 6 yds to the GASO 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 1 yd to the GASO 27

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Terrance Gibbs run for 2 yds to the GASO 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.76

Kadin Semonza pass intercepted

1st & 0Pass Reception+5 yds

Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 5 yds to the BALL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

David Mbadinga run for no gain to the BALL 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.40

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 17 yds to the BALL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 6 yds to the BALL 17

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Davis Brin pass incomplete to David Mbadinga

4th & 4Field Goal Good+35 yds

Michael Lantz 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BALL 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the BALL 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Tanner Koziol

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GASO 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +1.75

Davis Brin pass complete to Joshua Thompson for 43 yds to the BALL 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Evan Lester Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Davis Brin pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 4 yds to the BALL 8

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.86

Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 8 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the BALL 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.50

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 20 yds to the BALL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the BALL 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Malcolm Gillie

3rd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +3.53

Kiael Kelly run for 25 yds to the GASO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Rico Barfield run for 1 yd to the GASO 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Justin Morris for 8 yds to the GASO 21

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.25

Rico Barfield run for 9 yds to the GASO 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Maximus Webster for 9 yds to the GASO 3

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

Rico Barfield run for 1 yd to the GASO 4

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.35

Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the GASO 6

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 yds

Jackson Courville 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Jack Drake kickoff for 41 yds , Davion Rhodes return for no gain to the GASO 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.81

JC French pass complete to DeAndre Buchannon for 10 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.65

JC French run for 18 yds to the BALL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

JC French pass complete to DeAndre Buchannon for 9 yds to the BALL 39

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun French,JC pass incomplete deep right to Buchannon,DeAndre PENALTY GSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Williams,Matthew) 5 yards from BSU39 to BSU44. NO PLAY.

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Terron Dixon III run for 3 yds to the BALL 41

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.19

Terron Dixon III run for 5 yds to the BALL 46

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Qian Magwood at the BALL 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Charlie Spegal run for 2 yds to the BALL 22

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Charlie Spegal run for 3 yds to the BALL 25

3rd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.46

Kiael Kelly sacked by Jacob Ferguson for a loss of 9 yards to the BALL 16

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Terron Dixon III run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Terron Dixon III run for 1 yd to the BALL 49

3rd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.62

Terron Dixon III run for 12 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
55%
33 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
30%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
31%
13 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th