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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wyoming by 0.6

Home Win Probability

Wyoming 50%

Market (Bovada)

Wyoming -3

Edge: App State +3 (2.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
App StateApp State
660719
WyomingWyoming
0701522

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-67-67-97-1214-19
WyomingApp State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASWYOASWYOASWYOASWYOASWYOASWYOASWYOASWYOASWYOASWYOWYOASASWYOFG1267ydPUNT432ydFG1287ydPUNT611ydTO2-2ydTD526ydDOWNS624ydPUNT32ydFG1487ydPUNT31ydFG318ydPUNT37ydPUNT35ydPUNT613ydPUNT37ydPUNT36ydPUNT613ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT732ydTD415ydTD175ydMISS1855ydTO949ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing App State and Wyoming
StatisticApp StateWyoming
Passing22-405-15
Pass Yards20031
Rush Yards217177
Total Yards417208
Turnovers21
3rd Down10-193-12
Penalties2-158-65
Possession40:2519:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

App State
passing
Joey Aguilar
22/40, 200 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Nate Noel
30 CAR, 107 YDS
receiving
Kaedin Robinson
3 REC, 51 YDS
defense
Wyoming
passing
Andrew Peasley
5/15, 31 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Harrison Waylee
17 CAR, 156 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Wyatt Wieland
2 REC, 18 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the APP 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.17

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the WYO 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.42

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 11 yds to the WYO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 8 yds to the WYO 29

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Nate Noel run for 13 yds to the WYO 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the WYO 11

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the WYO 8

4th & 2Field Goal Good+25 yds

Michael Hughes 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Devin Boddie Jr. run for 26 yds to the APP 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Wyoming Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WYO 46

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Harrison Waylee run for 9 yds to the APP 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Andrew Peasley run for 2 yds to the APP 43

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 41 yds, downed at the APP 2

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Wyoming Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Shae Suiaunoa) to the APP 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Maquel Haywood run for 8 yds to the APP 31

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Milan Tucker for 8 yds to the APP 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 13 yds to the WYO 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Joey Aguilar run for 6 yds to the WYO 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 8 yds to the WYO 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Maquel Haywood run for 6 yds to the WYO 28

2nd & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.19

Nate Noel run for 18 yds to the WYO 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the WYO 8

3rd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Joey Aguilar sacked by DeVonne Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the WYO 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 yds

Michael Hughes 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the WYO 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.28

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 13 yds to the WYO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Ayir Asante run for 7 yds to the WYO 49

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.02

Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Sack-14 ydsPPA -2.36

Andrew Peasley sacked by Nate Johnson for a loss of 14 yards to the WYO 36

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -0.44

Joey Aguilar run for a loss of 2 yards to the APP 26 Joey Aguilar fumbled, recovered by WYO Wrook Brown

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the APP 20

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.01

Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the APP 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Alex Brown for 5 yds to the APP 7

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the APP 4

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Wyoming Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the APP 9

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.92

Andrew Peasley run for 9 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the APP 37

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the APP 40

3rd & 5Penalty+10 yds

AGUILAR, Joey pass to the left incomplete intended for HORN, Christan thrown to the APP50. PENALTY WYO Holding enforced 10 yards from the APP40 to the APP50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the WYO 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Maquel Haywood run for 3 yds to the WYO 43

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Maquel Haywood run for 2 yds to the WYO 41

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.95

Maquel Haywood run for no gain to the WYO 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Wyoming Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WYO 36

2nd & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Harrison Waylee run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.53

Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 2 yards to the WYO 48

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Wyoming Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the WYO 43

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 9 yds to the APP 19

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the APP 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Joey Aguilar run for 9 yds to the APP 30

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the APP 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Nate Noel run for no gain to the APP 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.11

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Milan Tucker for 12 yds to the APP 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kanye Roberts run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.95

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanye Roberts for 6 yds to the WYO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +0.99

Kanye Roberts run for 35 yds to the WYO 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nate Noel run for no gain to the WYO 9

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the WYO 7

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Nate Noel for 4 yds to the WYO 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Michael Hughes 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Harrison Waylee run for 9 yds to the WYO 34

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Wyoming Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WYO 29

2nd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.02

Andrew Peasley sacked by Shawn Collins and Montez Kelley for a loss of 6 yards to the WYO 23

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the WYO 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Nate Noel for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.08

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 18 yds to the WYO 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+50 yds

Michael Hughes 50 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Harrison Waylee run for 7 yds to the WYO 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Appalachian State Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (-5 Yards) to the APP 28

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the APP 32

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the WYO 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Harrison Waylee for 7 yds to the WYO 38

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.06

Andrew Peasley run for 2 yds to the WYO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the WYO 42

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the APP 22

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

NOEL, Nate rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the APP28 (GIBBS, Easton). PENALTY APP Holding enforced 10 yards from the APP22 to the APP12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 11 yds to the APP 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 4 yds to the APP 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 5 yds to the WYO 40

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the WYO 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 54 yds, downed at the APP 5

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Maquel Haywood run for 3 yds to the APP 8

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Maquel Haywood run for 3 yds to the APP 11

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.54

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 5 yds to the APP 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 2 yds to the APP 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

D.Q. James run for 4 yds to the WYO 48

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.48

Andrew Peasley sacked by Andrew Parker Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the WYO 40

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 60 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 8 yds to the APP 28

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.07

Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the APP 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Kanye Roberts run for 6 yds to the APP 38

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.67

Joey Aguilar run for 5 yds to the APP 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Kanye Roberts run for 9 yds to the WYO 48

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the WYO 48

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Caleb Cooley at the WYO 5

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.34

Harrison Waylee run for 11 yds to the WYO 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the WYO 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ryan Marquez for 1 yd to the WYO 20

3rd & 6Interception Return Touchdown+18 ydsPPA -6.93

Tyrek Funderburk 18 Yd Interception Return (Michael Hughes Kick)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Harrison Waylee run for 75 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.03

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 10 yds to the APP 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the APP 30

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.15

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 11 yds to the APP 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the APP 46

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the APP 49

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.23

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the WYO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the WYO 47

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the WYO 43

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.44

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the WYO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the WYO 35

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the WYO 33

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.05

Joey Aguilar run for 5 yds to the WYO 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Nate Noel run for a loss of 2 yards to the WYO 30

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the WYO 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 12 yds to the APP 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.93

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Milan Tucker for 11 yds to the WYO 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the WYO 38

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the WYO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

AGUILAR, Joey pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for TUCKER, Milan thrown to the WYO0. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the WYO20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.38

Joey Aguilar pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kneel down by PEASLEY, Andrew at WYO5 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
37 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
38%
16 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
83%
6 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Wyoming

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
16 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th