Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southern Miss by 9.8

Home Win Probability

Southern Miss 71%

Market (Bovada)

Southern Miss -24.5

Edge: Alcorn State +24.5 (14.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Alcorn State
700714
Southern MissSouthern Miss
171010340

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-024-727-730-737-737-1440-14
Southern MissAlcorn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASSMASSMASSMASSMASSMASSMASSMASSMASSMASSMASSMASSMASTO21ydTD353ydPUNT38ydTD763ydTO3-4ydFG617ydTD175ydTD1465ydPUNT36ydPUNT38ydPUNT34ydFG864ydEND213ydTO357ydPUNT30ydFG60ydPUNT36ydTD879ydPUNT621ydPUNT47ydTD872ydFG851ydPUNT33ydPUNT36ydEND317yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alcorn State and Southern Miss
StatisticAlcorn StateSouthern Miss
Passing5-1424-31
Pass Yards44296
Rush Yards182145
Total Yards226441
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-115-14
Penalties7-775-35
Possession21:4338:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alcorn State
passing
Aaron Allen
5/9, 44 YDS
rushing
Tyler Macon
4 CAR, 83 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Malik Rodgers
1 REC, 26 YDS
defense
Edwin Summerour
1 TFL, 1 PD
Southern Miss
passing
Billy Wiles
21/28, 267 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Rodrigues Clark
9 CAR, 54 YDS
receiving
Jakarius Caston
5 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the ALCN 26

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler Macon pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Billy Wiles pass complete to Brandon Hayes for 4 yds to the ALCN 49

2nd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.41

Frank Gore Jr. run for 18 yds to the ALCN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WILES, Billy pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for MIMS, Tiaquelin thrown to the ASU0. PENALTY ASU Pass Interference on SUMMEROUR, Edwin enforced 15 yards to the ASU16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WILES, Billy pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for MIMS, Tiaquelin thrown to the ASU0. PENALTY ASU Pass Interference on SUMMEROUR, Edwin enforced 15 yards to the ASU16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Billy Wiles pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 16 yds for a TD (Andrew Stein KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jarveon Howard run for 6 yds to the ALCN 31

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler Macon run for 2 yds to the ALCN 33

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyler Macon pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Caleb Darbone punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Billy Wiles pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 5 yds to the USM 42

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on BAILEY, Malachi enforced (Malachi Bailey) to the ALCN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

GORE, Frank rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the ASU31 (SMITH, Andrew). PENALTY USM Holding on SCOTT, Gerquan enforced 10 yards from the ASU37 to the ASU47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the ALCN 47

2nd & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.53

Billy Wiles pass complete to Latreal Jones for 12 yds to the ALCN 35

3rd & 8Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.91

Tiaquelin Mims run for 26 yds to the ALCN 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Frank Gore Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Andrew Stein KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Connor Gibbs kickoff for 63 yds , return for no gain to the ALCN 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler Macon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the ALCN 9

3rd & 10Penalty0 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the ALCN 5

3rd & 14Interception0 ydsPPA +0.36

Tyler Macon pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Billy Wiles run for 1 yd to the ALCN 24

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the ALCN 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tiaquelin Mims run for 4 yds to the ALCN 8

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+25 yds

Andrew Stein 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Tyler Macon run for 75 yds for a TD (Noah Kiani KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Billy Wiles run for no gain to the USM 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.07

Billy Wiles pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 25 yds to the ALCN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Rodrigues Clark run for no gain to the ALCN 40

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the ALCN 37

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the ALCN 34

4th & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.01

Billy Wiles pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 6 yds to the ALCN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Jakarius Caston run for 9 yds to the ALCN 19

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ALCN 24

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the ALCN 21

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.75

run for 4 yds to the ALCN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Billy Wiles run for 3 yds to the ALCN 4

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the ALCN 2 TEAM fumbled, recovered by USM

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Billy Wiles pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Stein KICK)

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the ALCN 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jarveon Howard run for 3 yds to the ALCN 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the ALCN 29

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyler Macon run for 2 yds to the ALCN 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Caleb Darbone punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tiaquelin Mims at the USM 23

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Billy Wiles pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the USM 22

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Billy Wiles pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 6 yds to the USM 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Billy Wiles pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 3 yds to the USM 31

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 48 yds, downed at the ALCN 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyler Macon run for 4 yds to the ALCN 25

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Javonta Leatherwood run for no gain to the ALCN 25

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyler Macon pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Caleb Darbone punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kenyon Clay run for 2 yds to the USM 32

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Kenyon Clay run for no gain to the USM 32

3rd & 8Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +4.04

Billy Wiles pass complete to Latreal Jones for 38 yds to the ALCN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.49

Billy Wiles pass complete to Davis Dalton for 22 yds to the ALCN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

1st & 8Penalty-10 yds

CLARK, Rodrigues rush to the right for a gain of 8 yards to the ASU0, TOUCHDOWN USM, score nullified by penalty, clock 02:10 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY USM Holding on MIDDLETON, James enforced 10 yards from the ASU8 to the ASU18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.16

Antavious Willis run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALCN 21

3rd & 21Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Billy Wiles run for 15 yds to the ALCN 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Andrew Stein 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Jarveon Howard run for 12 yds to the ALCN 39 for a 1ST down

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the ALCN 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Billy Wiles pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 30 yds to the ALCN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.88

Billy Wiles pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 27 yds to the ALCN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.41

Billy Wiles pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the ALCN 8

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Aaron Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Aaron Allen pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Caleb Darbone punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.08

Billy Wiles pass complete to Latreal Jones for 18 yds to the ALCN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALCN 19

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

3rd & 12Penalty-10 yds

WILES, Billy pass short up the middle complete for 5 yards to GORE, Frank caught at the ASU17 and advanced to the ASU14 (LEACHMAN, Keenan). PENALTY USM Illegal Block in the Back on CASTON, Jakarius enforced 10 yards from the ASU19 to the ASU29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 22Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.56

Billy Wiles sacked by Kayvon Henderson and Tyler Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the ALCN 35

4th & 28Field Goal Good+52 yds

Andrew Stein 52 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the ALCN 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Aaron Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Aaron Allen pass complete to Niko Duffey for 6 yds to the USM 49

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kenny Lee Pham punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.92

Rodrigues Clark run for 35 yds to the ALCN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.67

Billy Wiles pass complete to Brandon Hayes for 17 yds to the ALCN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Billy Wiles pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 9 yds to the ALCN 18

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.47

Billy Wiles pass complete to Davis Dalton for 4 yds to the ALCN 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Chandler Pittman run for 6 yds to the ALCN 8

2nd & 4Penalty0 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Billy Wiles) to the ALCN 17

3rd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.18

Billy Wiles pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 15 yds to the ALCN 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Billy Wiles pass complete to Tyquan Henderson for 3 yds for a TD (Andrew Stein KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Niko Duffey run for 3 yds to the ALCN 25

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Javonta Leatherwood run for 2 yds to the ALCN 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.60

Aaron Allen pass complete to Da'Mare Franklin for 8 yds to the ALCN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Javonta Leatherwood run for 2 yds to the ALCN 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Aaron Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Aaron Allen pass complete to Niko Duffey for 6 yds to the ALCN 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kenny Lee Pham punt for 37 yds, downed at the USM 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Holman Edwards pass complete to Davis Dalton for 10 yds to the USM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Rodrigues Clark run for 5 yds to the USM 35

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Antavious Willis run for no gain to the USM 35

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.80

Holman Edwards sacked by Kamaurja Kenney and Sheldon Russ for a loss of 8 yards to the USM 27

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jarveon Howard run for 3 yds to the ALCN 31

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Jarveon Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALCN 29

3rd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.52

Aaron Allen pass complete to Malik Rodgers for 26 yds to the USM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Niko Duffey run for 3 yds to the USM 42

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Niko Duffey run for 5 yds to the USM 37

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.81

Jarveon Howard run for 4 yds to the USM 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.34

Jarveon Howard run for 18 yds to the USM 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Niko Duffey run for 15 yds for a TD (Noah Kiani KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Antavious Willis run for 12 yds to the USM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Antavious Willis run for 7 yds to the USM 44

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.24

Antavious Willis run for 3 yds to the USM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

EDWARDS, Holman pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for HENDERSON, Tyquan thrown to the ASU35. PENALTY ASU Pass Interference on ALLEN, Aaron enforced 15 yards to the ASU38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Holman Edwards pass complete to Tyquan Henderson for 12 yds to the ALCN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Holman Edwards pass complete to Zay Franks for 7 yds to the ALCN 19

2nd & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.44

Holman Edwards sacked by Sheldon Russ for a loss of 7 yards to the ALCN 26

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Holman Edwards run for 2 yds to the ALCN 24

4th & 8Field Goal Good+41 yds

Andrew Stein 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Brandon Rogers run for 2 yds to the ALCN 24

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Brandon Rogers run for 3 yds to the ALCN 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.39

Aaron Allen pass complete to Javonta Leatherwood for a loss of 2 yards to the ALCN 25

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kenny Lee Pham punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tiaquelin Mims at the USM 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

JQ Gray run for 2 yds to the USM 36

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

JQ Gray run for 1 yd to the USM 37

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

JQ Gray run for 3 yds to the USM 40

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jacorian Sewell run for 2 yds to the ALCN 28

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.92

Jacorian Sewell run for 14 yds to the ALCN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jacorian Sewell run for 1 yd to the ALCN 43

Situational Analysis

Alcorn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
19 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
18%
11 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
55%
29 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play