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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia Southern by 10.9

Home Win Probability

Georgia Southern 73%

Market (Bovada)

Georgia Southern -34.5

Edge: The Citadel +34.5 (23.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
The Citadel
00000
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
14107334

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-024-031-034-0
Georgia SouthernThe Citadel

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TCGSTCGSTCGSTCGSTCGSGSTCGSTCGSTCGSTCGSTCGSTCPUNT33ydTD1140ydPUNT34ydTD1171ydPUNT35ydTD773ydTO1053ydFG1374ydPUNT539ydEND1-2ydTD669ydPUNT436ydTO23ydPUNT33ydPUNT36ydPUNT30ydPUNT734ydPUNT629ydFG834ydPUNT33ydTO844ydEND847yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing The Citadel and Georgia Southern
StatisticThe CitadelGeorgia Southern
Passing2-831-40
Pass Yards14273
Rush Yards198200
Total Yards212473
Turnovers12
3rd Down2-122-7
Penalties4-289-95
Possession28:2131:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

The Citadel
passing
rushing
Cooper Wallace
16 CAR, 113 YDS
receiving
Cooper Wallace
1 REC, 9 YDS
defense
Georgia Southern
passing
Davis Brin
27/36, 244 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jalen White
19 CAR, 125 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Derwin Burgess Jr.
6 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cooper Wallace run for 4 yds to the CIT 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Cooper Wallace run for 2 yds to the CIT 31

3rd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Cooper Wallace run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIT 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 12 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Georgia Southern Penalty, Offensive Holding (Khaleb Hood) to the CIT 45

1st & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.36

Jalen White run for 12 yds to the CIT 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 7 yds to the CIT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Davis Brin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jalen White run for 5 yds to the CIT 21

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 4 yds to the CIT 17

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.67

Jalen White run for 3 yds to the CIT 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Jalen White run for 9 yds to the CIT 5

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.47

Jalen White run for 2 yds to the CIT 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the CIT 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

OJ Arnold run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cooper Wallace run for 1 yd to the CIT 26

2nd & 9Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.63

Cooper Wallace run for a loss of 6 yards to the CIT 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.14

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Cooper Wallace for 9 yds to the CIT 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 6 yds to the GASO 37

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.48

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 5 yds to the GASO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Dalen Cobb run for 15 yds to the CIT 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 12 yds to the CIT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Davis Brin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Jalen White run for 11 yds to the CIT 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Jalen White run for 9 yds to the CIT 11

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 3 yds to the CIT 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-5 yds

Georgia Southern Penalty, False Start (Jjay Mcafee) to the CIT 13

1st & 13Penalty+8 yds

The Citadel Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Carson Walter) to the CIT 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jalen White run for 2 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Johnny Crawford III run for 4 yds to the CIT 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Johnny Crawford III run for 1 yd to the CIT 30

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Graeson Underwood run for no gain to the CIT 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 43 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for no gain to the GASO 27

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

OJ Arnold run for 7 yds to the GASO 34

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 9 yds to the GASO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.72

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 30 yds to the CIT 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 7 yds to the CIT 20

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

Georgia Southern Penalty, Illegal Block (Khaleb Hood) to the CIT 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

OJ Arnold run for 17 yds Georgia Southern Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CIT 13

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.11

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.02

Cooper Wallace run for 26 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Cooper Wallace run for 1 yd to the GASO 48

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.61

Cooper Wallace run for 12 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Graeson Underwood run for 12 yds to the GASO 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Cooper Wallace run for 1 yd to the GASO 23

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Johnny Crawford III run for 6 yds to the GASO 17

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Graeson Underwood run for 2 yds to the GASO 15

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

(07:59) CRAWFORD III, Johnny rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the GS12 (LEE JR., Tarian;STROUD, MJ), clock 07:55. PENALTY GS Offsides on RHODES, Davion enforced 5 yards from the GS15 to the GS10 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Johnny Crawford III run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 11

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-11 ydsPPA -4.14

Graeson Underwood run for a loss of 11 yards to the GASO 22 Graeson Underwood fumbled, recovered by GASO Tyrell Davis

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 7 yds to the GASO 29

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Jalen White run for 7 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Davis Brin pass complete to Jalen White for 3 yds to the GASO 39

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.80

Jalen White run for 12 yds to the CIT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Jalen White run for 10 yds to the CIT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Davis Brin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.31

OJ Arnold run for 17 yds to the CIT 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 9 yds to the CIT 13

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Jalen White run for 9 yds to the CIT 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jalen White run for no gain to the CIT 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Davis Brin pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Davis Brin pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Michael Lantz 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Graeson Underwood run for no gain to the CIT 25

2nd & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +3.59

Cooper Wallace run for 35 yds to the GASO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Cooper Wallace run for 4 yds to the GASO 36

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

punt for 16 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 18

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Jalen White run for 13 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GASO 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.52

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 24 yds to the CIT 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 9 yds to the CIT 18

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 2 yds to the CIT 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 16 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(12:23) UNDERWOOD, Graeson pass short to the right incomplete intended for GRAVES-BILLIPS, Jay thrown to the CIT28, clock 12:20. PENALTY GS Personal Foul on WALKER, Isaac enforced 15 yards from the CIT25 to the CIT40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.85

Graeson Underwood run for 27 yds to the GASO 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Cooper Wallace run for 3 yds to the GASO 30

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Cooper Wallace run for 4 yds to the GASO 26

3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.45

Graeson Underwood sacked by Khadry Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the GASO 34

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

The Citadel Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the GASO 39

4th & 16Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 19 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the GASO 23

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -0.38

Davis Brin pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Ricky Conway run for a loss of 2 yards to the CIT 42

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Johnny Crawford III for 5 yds to the CIT 47

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Davis Brin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Davis Brin pass complete to Jaylon Barden for 6 yds to the GASO 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Davis Brin pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dominick Poole at the CIT 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Johnny Crawford III run for 1 yd to the CIT 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.24

Graeson Underwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIT 27

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 48 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for no gain to the GASO 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Davis Brin pass complete to Jalen White for 6 yds to the GASO 31

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.65

Jalen White run for 9 yds to the GASO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

The Citadel Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Melvin Ravenel) to the CIT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jalen White run for 3 yds to the CIT 42

2nd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.63

Davis Brin sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 7 yds to the CIT 43

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dominick Poole at the CIT 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Cooper Wallace run for 3 yds to the CIT 12

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.97

Cooper Wallace run for 23 yds to the CIT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

The Citadel Penalty, False Start (Cameron Moewe) to the CIT 30

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Graeson Underwood run for no gain to the CIT 30

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Ricky Conway run for 5 yds to the CIT 35

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Cooper Wallace run for 3 yds to the CIT 38

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Davis Brin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.78

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 20 yds to the CIT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.62

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 15 yds to the CIT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Davis Brin sacked by Chris Iverson and Maurice Bonneau Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the CIT 30

2nd & 11Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.94

OJ Arnold run for 30 yds Georgia Southern Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chandler Strong) to the CIT 38

2nd & 19Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for a loss of 1 yard to the CIT 39

3rd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Davis Brin pass complete to OJ Arnold for 9 yds to the CIT 30

4th & 11Field Goal Good+48 yds

Michael Lantz 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Johnny Crawford III run for no gain to the CIT 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Johnny Crawford III run for no gain to the CIT 25

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Johnny Crawford III run for 3 yds to the CIT 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Weil punt for 42 yds , returns for no gain to the CIT 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 6 yds to the GASO 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.93

JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 8 yds to the GASO 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Terrance Gibbs run for 3 yds to the CIT 49

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.12

Terrance Gibbs run for 7 yds to the CIT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

JC French pass complete to KD Dorsey for 8 yds to the CIT 34

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.03

David Mbadinga run for 12 yds to the CIT 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

JC French pass complete to DeAndre Buchannon for 7 yds to the CIT 15

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-7 ydsPPA -4.67

David Mbadinga run for a loss of 7 yards to the CIT 22 David Mbadinga fumbled, recovered by CIT Maurice Bonneau Jr.

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Varney Fahrnbullah run for 13 yds to the CIT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Hayden Johnson run for 4 yds to the CIT 39

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.22

Hayden Johnson run for 7 yds to the CIT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Varney Fahrnbullah run for 7 yds to the GASO 47

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.13

Hayden Johnson run for 3 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Varney Fahrnbullah run for 5 yds to the GASO 39

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Hayden Johnson run for 3 yds to the GASO 36

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.80

Hayden Johnson run for 5 yds to the GASO 31 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

The Citadel

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
59%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
60%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
82%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play