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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 3.5

Home Win Probability

App State 57%

Market (Bovada)

App State -22.5

Edge: Gardner-Webb +22.5 (19.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Gardner-Webb
01014024
App StateApp State
77171445

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-77-1014-1721-1728-2438-2445-24
App StateGardner-Webb

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASGARASGARASGARASGARASGARASGARGARASGARASGARASGARASGARASGARASGARMISS1026ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT38ydTD1577ydTD875ydPUNT31ydFG1644ydPUNT520ydPUNT34ydTD132ydEND67ydTD1165ydTD865ydTD575ydTD464ydPUNT3-1ydFG639ydTO10ydTD223ydTO1138ydPUNT3-3ydTO318ydTD961ydEND34yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Gardner-Webb and App State
StatisticGardner-WebbApp State
Passing30-4618-24
Pass Yards231247
Rush Yards134147
Total Yards365394
Turnovers30
3rd Down7-174-13
Penalties5-502-20
Possession28:1831:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Gardner-Webb
passing
Matthew Caldwell
30/46, 231 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Narii Gaither
10 CAR, 54 YDS
receiving
Jayden Brown
3 REC, 67 YDS, 1 TD
defense
App State
passing
Joey Aguilar
11/13, 174 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Nate Noel
24 CAR, 115 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kaedin Robinson
4 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Nate Noel run for 10 yds to the GWEB 42 for a 1ST down Appalachian State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jack Murphy) to the APP 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Ryan Burger pass complete to Nate Noel for 7 yds to the GWEB 45

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.09

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the GWEB 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the GWEB 41

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the GWEB 42

3rd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.66

Ryan Burger pass complete to Christan Horn for 24 yds to the GWEB 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Ryan Burger run for 12 yds to the GWEB 30

2nd & 22Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the GWEB 27

3rd & 19Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the GWEB 26

1st & 22Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the GWEB 27

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Michael Hughes 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Narii Gaither run for 2 yds to the GWEB 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Brennan McGuire for 1 yd to the GWEB 29

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete to Ephraim Floyd

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Austin Hendley punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 25

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ryan Burger pass complete to Dashaun Davis for no gain to the APP 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Maquel Haywood run for 4 yds to the APP 29

3rd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.46

Ryan Burger sacked by Ty French for a loss of 5 yards to the APP 24

4th & 11Punt+11 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 42 yds , Maleek Huggins returns for 11 yds to the GWEB 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Karim Page for 8 yds to the APP 47

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete to Ephraim Floyd

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete to Brennan McGuire

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Austin Hendley punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the APP 29

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the APP 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.23

Ryan Burger pass complete to Christan Horn for 4 yds to the APP 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ryan Burger pass incomplete to Christan Horn

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.40

Ryan Burger pass incomplete for a 1ST down Gardner-Webb Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Ty French) to the APP 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the GWEB 43

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ryan Burger pass incomplete to Christan Horn

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Maquel Haywood run for 5 yds to the GWEB 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Maquel Haywood run for 6 yds to the GWEB 32

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Ryan Burger run for 10 yds to the GWEB 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ryan Burger pass complete to Milan Tucker for 6 yds to the GWEB 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ryan Burger pass complete to Milan Tucker for 6 yds to the GWEB 16

2nd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Ryan Burger sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the GWEB 19

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Maquel Haywood run for 4 yds to the GWEB 15

4th & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.75

Maquel Haywood run for 3 yds to the GWEB 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Ryan Burger pass complete to Eli Wilson for 12 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Ephraim Floyd for 8 yds to the GWEB 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Ephraim Floyd for 4 yds to the GWEB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.57

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Jonathan Burns for 18 yds to the APP 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Karim Page for 8 yds to the APP 37

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY GAR False Start (Burns,Jonathan) 5 yards from APP37 to APP42. NO PLAY.

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Jonathan Burns for 14 yds to the APP 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Darius Hough for 5 yds to the APP 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.37

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Jonathan Burns for 15 yds to the APP 8 for a 1ST down

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.37

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Jonathan Burns for 15 yds to the APP 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Jayden Brown run for 8 yds for a TD (Jay Billingsley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the APP 32

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nate Noel run for no gain to the APP 32

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Burger,Ryan pass complete short right to Jackson,Makai for 4 yards to the APP36 (Ousley,Raequan) PENALTY APP Holding (Ramsey,Jayden) 10 yards from APP32 to APP22. NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the APP 26

3rd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the APP 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Maleek Huggins at the GWEB 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete to Maleek Huggins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Narii Gaither for 9 yds to the GWEB 46

3rd & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA +1.01

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Narii Gaither for 1 yd to the GWEB 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Brennan McGuire for 8 yds to the APP 45

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Narii Gaither run for 4 yds to the APP 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Narii Gaither for 1 yd to the APP 42

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete to Narii Gaither

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.56

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Brennan McGuire for 12 yds to the APP 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Brennan McGuire for 3 yds to the APP 27

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete to Jayden Brown

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jayden Brown run for 6 yds to the APP 21

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Brendan Jackson run for 3 yds to the APP 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete to Jonathan Burns

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Jayden Brown run for 1 yd to the APP 19

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete to Ephraim Floyd

4th & 11Field Goal Good+37 yds

Jay Billingsley 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Maquel Haywood run for 2 yds to the APP 23

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)+17 ydsPPA +2.21

Ryan Burger pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 17 yds TEAM fumbled, recovered by APP for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the APP 42

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the APP 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Ryan Burger pass incomplete to Christan Horn

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Maleek Huggins at the GWEB 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete to Brennan McGuire

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Narii Gaither for 4 yds to the GWEB 18

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.17

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Caleb Borders for no gain to the GWEB 18

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Austin Hendley punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GWEB 32

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 32 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 64 yds , Jayden Brown return for 21 yds to the GWEB 22

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY GAR Delay Of Game 5 yards from GAR22 to GAR17. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete to Karim Page

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Narii Gaither run for 4 yds to the GWEB 21

3rd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.79

Matthew Caldwell run for 12 yds to the GWEB 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Gaither,Narii rush left for 0 yards to the GAR33 (Collins,Shawn; Farrar,Derrell) PENALTY GAR Holding (Thompson,Gabe) 10 yards from GAR33 to GAR23. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jayden Brown run for 4 yds to the GWEB 27

2nd & 16Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.27

M. Caldwell takes a knee

3rd & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jayden Brown run for 4 yds to the GWEB 29

0th & 18End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Ephraim Floyd for 6 yds to the GWEB 41

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.37

Narii Gaither run for 14 yds to the APP 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete to Brennan McGuire

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Karim Page for 8 yds to the APP 37

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

Narii Gaither run for 3 yds to the APP 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Narii Gaither for 2 yds to the APP 36

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Brennan McGuire for 8 yds to the APP 28

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jayden Brown run for 2 yds to the APP 26

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.20

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Narii Gaither for 5 yds to the APP 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Narii Gaither run for 5 yds to the APP 16

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.56

Jayden Brown run for 16 yds for a TD (Jay Billingsley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 4 yds to the APP 39

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.72

Nate Noel run for 13 yds to the GWEB 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 11 yds to the GWEB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Eli Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the GWEB 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 3 yds to the GWEB 28

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.15

Joey Aguilar run for 2 yds to the GWEB 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 26 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Matthew Caldwell run for 1 yd to the GWEB 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Karim Page for 4 yds to the GWEB 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.12

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Jayden Brown for 23 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jayden Brown run for 6 yds to the APP 41

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.29

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Jayden Brown for 41 yds for a TD (Jay Billingsley KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Ian Sauter kickoff for 38 yds , Makai Jackson return for 9 yds to the APP 36

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the APP 44

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the GWEB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 6 yds to the GWEB 43

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.43

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 43 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Narii Gaither run for 1 yd to the GWEB 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete to Maleek Huggins

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete to Ephraim Floyd

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Austin Hendley punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 35

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Gardner-Webb Penalty, Targeting (15 Yards) to the GWEB 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 15 yds to the GWEB 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the GWEB 27

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Eli Wilson

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the GWEB 26

4th & 6Field Goal Good+43 yds

Michael Hughes 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Matthew Caldwell pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.47

Nate Noel run for 16 yds to the GWEB 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Nate Noel run for 7 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Narii Gaither run for 14 yds to the GWEB 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Narii Gaither run for 5 yds to the GWEB 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.06

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Narii Gaither for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Narii Gaither run for 4 yds to the APP 46

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Matthew Caldwell run for 2 yds to the APP 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Jonathan Burns for 4 yds to the APP 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Ephraim Floyd for no gain to the APP 40

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jayden Brown run for no gain to the APP 40

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Jayden Brown for 3 yds to the APP 37

4th & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -1.56

Matthew Caldwell pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Milan Tucker run for 11 yds to the APP 26

2nd & 21Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the APP 29

3rd & 18Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Miller Gibbs for 5 yds to the APP 34

4th & 13Punt+16 yds

Mitchell Lake punt for 39 yds , Maleek Huggins returns for 16 yds to the GWEB 43

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Matthew Caldwell run for 3 yds to the GWEB 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.35

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Donovan Jones for 8 yds to the APP 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -3.46

Donovan Jones run for 7 yds to the APP 39 Donovan Jones fumbled, recovered by APP Montez Kelley

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Maquel Haywood run for 7 yds to the APP 46

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Maquel Haywood run for 9 yds to the GWEB 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Maquel Haywood run for 4 yds to the GWEB 41

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Maquel Haywood run for 3 yds to the GWEB 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.37

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Michael Hetzel for 22 yds to the GWEB 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Joey Aguilar run for 6 yds to the GWEB 22

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Maquel Haywood run for 3 yds to the GWEB 19

3rd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.73

Joey Aguilar run for 12 yds to the GWEB 7

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.90

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 7 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nemo Squire run for 6 yds to the GWEB 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Gino English run for 1 yd to the GWEB 32

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

G. English takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Gardner-Webb

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
28 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
40%
10 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
3 plays