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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2023Week 13
NavyNavy
14
-Final
59
SMUSMU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

SMU by 22.6

Home Win Probability

SMU 90%

Market (Bovada)

SMU -20.5

Edge: SMU -20.5 (2.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 25, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NavyNavy
770014
SMUSMU
28247059

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-021-028-742-752-1459-14
SMUNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVNAVNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVTD567ydPUNT38ydTD580ydPUNT412ydTD778ydPUNT3-2ydTD467ydPUNT34ydTD11ydTD38ydPUNT3-6ydTD757ydPUNT3-4ydTD755ydTD275ydFG1061ydEND646ydTD1455ydPUNT30ydPUNT34ydDOWNS79ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT33ydPUNT37ydPUNT421ydPUNT417ydPUNT36ydEND823yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and SMU
StatisticNavySMU
Passing9-2518-29
Pass Yards71369
Rush Yards182118
Total Yards253487
Turnovers11
3rd Down2-155-13
Penalties7-703-25
Possession32:0427:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
Braxton Woodson
9/18, 71 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Braxton Woodson
18 CAR, 104 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Alex Tecza
3 REC, 34 YDS
defense
SMU
passing
Preston Stone
14/19, 322 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Tyler Lavine
7 CAR, 49 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Kelvontay Dixon
4 REC, 125 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.95

Preston Stone pass complete to RJ Maryland for 22 yds to the NAVY 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +0.96

Preston Stone pass complete to RJ Maryland for 35 yds to the NAVY 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler Lavine run for no gain to the NAVY 10

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Camar Wheaton run for 8 yds to the NAVY 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tyler Lavine run for 1 yd for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Alex Tecza run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 25

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Eli Heidenreich run for 7 yds to the NAVY 32

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the NAVY 34

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 66 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.48

Preston Stone pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 47 yds to the NAVY 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Camar Wheaton run for 4 yds to the NAVY 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.41

Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 15 yds to the NAVY 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Camar Wheaton run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 15

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.93

Preston Stone pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 15 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Eli Heidenreich run for 10 yds to the NAVY 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Eli Heidenreich run for 2 yds to the NAVY 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Xavier Arline pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Xavier Arline pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 61 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Preston Stone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 17

2nd & 15Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.51

Preston Stone pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 35 yds to the NAVY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Preston Stone pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 9 yds to the NAVY 39

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.29

Camar Wheaton run for 5 yds to the NAVY 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Camar Wheaton run for 7 yds to the NAVY 27

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Preston Stone pass incomplete

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.22

Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 27 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Xavier Arline run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 25

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Xavier Arline run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 24

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Xavier Arline pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.61

Preston Stone pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 37 yds to the NAVY 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Preston Stone run for 2 yds to the NAVY 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Preston Stone pass complete to RJ Maryland for 7 yds to the NAVY 21

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

SMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NAVY 26

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.46

Preston Stone pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 26 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Eli Heidenreich run for 4 yds to the NAVY 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Xavier Arline pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Xavier Arline pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 47 yds , returns for no gain to the SMU 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Daba Fofana run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Preston Stone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Camar Wheaton run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 28

3rd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Camar Wheaton run for 9 yds to the SMU 37

4th & 2Fumble Return Touchdown0 ydsPPA -7.24

Will Benton IV 0 Yd Fumble Return (Collin Rogers Kick)

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Xavier Arline run for a loss of 6 yards to the NAVY 19

2nd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Braxton Woodson run for no gain to the NAVY 19

3rd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Braxton Woodson run for 5 yds to the NAVY 24

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

Navy Penalty, Delay Of Game (Xavier Arline) to the NAVY 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Preston Stone pass complete to Camar Wheaton for 6 yds to the SMU 49

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.24

Camar Wheaton run for no gain to the SMU 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.22

Preston Stone pass complete to Romello Brinson for 13 yds to the NAVY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Preston Stone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.14

Tyler Lavine run for 11 yds to the NAVY 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyler Lavine run for 4 yds to the NAVY 23

2nd & 6Penalty0 yds

STONE, Preston pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SMITH, Key'Shawn thrown to the NAV0. PENALTY NAV Pass Interference on DUHART, Andrew enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the NAV9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Tyler Lavine run for 8 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Xavier Arline pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Amin Hassan run for 1 yd to the NAVY 26

3rd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.28

Xavier Arline sacked by Cameron Robertson for a loss of 5 yards to the NAVY 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Preston Stone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Roderick Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 44

3rd & 11Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.73

Preston Stone pass complete to Romello Brinson for 28 yds to the NAVY 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Tyler Lavine run for 6 yds to the NAVY 22

2nd & 4Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.42

Preston Stone sacked by Eavan Gibbons for a loss of 11 yards to the NAVY 33

3rd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.67

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 14 yds to the NAVY 19

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.31

Tyler Lavine run for 19 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Braxton Woodson pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 6 yds to the NAVY 31

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.74

Braxton Woodson run for 69 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 12 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Camar Wheaton run for 4 yds to the SMU 42

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Camar Wheaton run for 9 yds to the NAVY 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

JENNINGS, Kevin pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BRINSON, Romello thrown to the NAV7. PENALTY NAV Pass Interference on DUHART, Andrew enforced 15 yards to the NAV34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.30

Velton Gardner run for 13 yds to the NAVY 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Velton Gardner run for 7 yds to the NAVY 14

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Kevin Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 15

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Camar Wheaton run for 2 yds to the NAVY 13

4th & 2Field Goal Good+30 yds

Collin Rogers 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Eli Heidenreich run for 12 yds to the NAVY 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Braxton Woodson pass complete to Alex Tecza for 7 yds to the NAVY 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Braxton Woodson pass complete to Alex Tecza for 11 yds to the NAVY 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.22

Braxton Woodson pass complete to Alex Tecza for 16 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Braxton Woodson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Braxton Woodson pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Collin Rogers kickoff for 64 yds , Tyler Bradley return for no gain to the NAVY 12

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Braxton Woodson run for 1 yd to the NAVY 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.98

Braxton Woodson pass complete to Cody Howard for 12 yds to the NAVY 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Braxton Woodson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Braxton Woodson run for 1 yd to the NAVY 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Braxton Woodson pass incomplete

4th & 9Rush+24 ydsPPA +3.42

Landon Robinson run for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Braxton Woodson pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 10 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Braxton Woodson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the SMU 38

3rd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.95

Braxton Woodson run for 15 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

WOODSON, Braxton pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HOWARD, Cody thrown to the SMU0; QB hurried by MILLER, Jordan. PENALTY NAV Illegal Formation declined NAV Pass Interference on HOWARD, Cody enforced 15 yards to the SMU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 31Penalty+15 yds

SMU Penalty, Personal Foul (Alexander Kilgore) to the SMU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.26

Daba Fofana run for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 33

1st & 25Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.98

Braxton Woodson sacked by Cameron Robertson for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 44

2nd & 15Interception Return Touchdown+74 ydsPPA -9.98

Braxton Woodson pass intercepted Isaiah Nwokobia return for 74 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Braxton Woodson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Eli Heidenreich run for no gain to the NAVY 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Braxton Woodson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jake Bailey at the SMU 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Velton Gardner run for 3 yds to the SMU 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Alex Padilla pass complete to Adam Moore for 1 yd to the SMU 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Alex Padilla pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Braxton Woodson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Braxton Woodson run for 4 yds to the SMU 42

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Braxton Woodson run for 8 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Braxton Woodson run for 5 yds to the SMU 29

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Braxton Woodson run for no gain to the SMU 29

3rd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.76

Braxton Woodson sacked by Kobe Wilson and Je'lin Samuels for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 33

4th & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.70

Braxton Woodson sacked by Isaiah Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 37

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -2.05

run for a loss of 9 yards to the SMU 28 fumbled, recovered by SMU Alex Padilla [NHSG] SMU rush up the middle for a loss of 9 yards, fumbled at SMU37 , recovered by SMU PADILLA, Alex at the SMU28, returned 0 yards to the SMU28, End of Play.

2nd & 19Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the SMU 30

3rd & 17Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Velton Gardner run for 8 yds to the SMU 38

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Anton Hall Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 17

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.22

Braxton Woodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 16

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Braxton Woodson pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Keldric Luster run for 2 yds to the SMU 39

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Zane Minors run for 1 yd to the SMU 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Keldric Luster pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Anton Hall Jr. run for 7 yds to the NAVY 27

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.20

run for a loss of 4 yards to the NAVY 23 fumbled, recovered by NAVY Daba Fofana [NHSG] NAV rush up the middle for a loss of 4 yards, fumbled at NAV23 , recovered by NAV FOFANA, Daba at the NAV23, returned 0 yards to the NAV23 (ROBERSON JR., Kori).

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Braxton Woodson pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 4 yds to the NAVY 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Jake Bailey at the SMU 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.63

Keldric Luster pass complete to Jaxson Lavender for 20 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Zane Minors run for 1 yd to the SMU 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Keldric Luster pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Keldric Luster pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

punt for 52 yds , returns for no gain to the NAVY 7

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.34

Eli Heidenreich run for 10 yds to the NAVY 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Navy Penalty, False Start (Amin Hassan) to the NAVY 12

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyler Bradley run for 3 yds to the NAVY 15

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Logan Point run for 5 yds to the NAVY 20

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Braxton Woodson pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 4 yds to the NAVY 24

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Jake Bailey at the SMU 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Zane Minors run for 1 yd to the SMU 22

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Zane Minors run for 5 yds to the SMU 27

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zane Minors run for no gain to the SMU 27

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Eli Heidenreich run for 9 yds to the SMU 44

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Logan Point run for 1 yd to the SMU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Braxton Woodson run for 5 yds to the SMU 38

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Braxton Woodson run for 2 yds to the SMU 36

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Khalil Crawford run for 2 yds to the SMU 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.50

Braxton Woodson run for 2 yds to the SMU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Khalil Crawford run for no gain to the SMU 32

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Braxton Woodson run for 2 yds to the SMU 30

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
42%
26 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
11%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
14%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays

SMU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
29 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play