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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Memphis by 0.9

Home Win Probability

Memphis 51%

Market (Bovada)

Memphis -3.5

Edge: Boise State +3.5 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Boise StateBoise State
31401532
MemphisMemphis
01471435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-107-1714-1721-1728-1735-2535-32
MemphisBoise State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSMEMBSMEMBSMEMBSMEMBSMEMBSMEMBSMEMBSMEMBSBSMEMBSMEMBSMEMPUNT627ydPUNT38ydFG1035ydDOWNS945ydPUNT419ydPUNT616ydTD482ydPUNT512ydTD761ydTD475ydPUNT32ydTD866ydEND12ydPUNT412ydPUNT519ydPUNT534ydTD1173ydPUNT944ydTD588ydTD580ydTD1375ydTD775ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Boise State and Memphis
StatisticBoise StateMemphis
Passing23-3818-28
Pass Yards375269
Rush Yards144179
Total Yards519448
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-106-13
Penalties3-205-40
Possession32:4927:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Boise State
passing
Taylen Green
12/24, 200 YDS
rushing
Ashton Jeanty
23 CAR, 82 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Eric McAlister
5 REC, 98 YDS
defense
Memphis
passing
Seth Henigan
18/28, 269 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Blake Watson
19 CAR, 113 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Roc Taylor
5 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Taylen Green run for 8 yds to the BOIS 33

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.45

Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 2 yards to the BOIS 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.60

Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 17 yds to the BOIS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Taylen Green pass complete to Prince Strachan for 9 yds to the MEM 43

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Boise State Penalty, False Start (Ashton Jeanty) to the MEM 48

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Taylen Green pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 47 yds, downed at the MEM 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the MEM 4

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the MEM 7

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 2 yds to the MEM 9

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.33

Taylen Green pass complete to Matt Lauter for 11 yds to the MEM 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 9 yds to the MEM 17

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.14

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the MEM 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the MEM 6

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.30

Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the MEM 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the MEM 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Taylen Green pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Good+19 yds

Jonah Dalmas 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Blake Watson run for 17 yds to the MEM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Seth Henigan sacked by Ahmed Hassanein for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 41

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.04

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 12 yds to the BOIS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Blake Watson run for 10 yds to the BOIS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the BOIS 33

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sutton Smith run for 5 yds to the BOIS 28

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Sutton Smith run for no gain to the BOIS 28

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -3.13

Blake Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BOIS 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 19 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the BOIS 49

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Seth Henigan pass complete to Sutton Smith for 4 yds to the MEM 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 4 yds to the MEM 28

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Seth Henigan run for 5 yds to the MEM 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.73

Seth Henigan pass complete to Sutton Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the MEM 30

3rd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Seth Henigan pass complete to Sutton Smith for 6 yds to the MEM 36

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Stefan Cobbs at the BOIS 18

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Taylen Green run for 10 yds to the BOIS 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BOIS 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+59 ydsPPA +3.44

Taylen Green pass complete to Matt Lauter for 59 yds to the MEM 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.66

Blake Watson run for 11 yds to the MEM 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Seth Henigan sacked by Michael Callahan for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 15

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 8 yds to the MEM 23

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Memphis Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MEM 18

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Stefan Cobbs at the BOIS 39

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Taylen Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 38

2nd & 11Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.45

Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 37 yds to the MEM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the MEM 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Taylen Green pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty0 yds

GREEN, Taylen pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MCALISTER, Eric thrown to the MEM5. PENALTY MEM Pass Interference on BRUMFIELD, DeAgo enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the MEM9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the MEM 6

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 5 yds to the MEM 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +4.13

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 53 yds to the BOIS 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the BOIS 19

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.77

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 19 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

JEANTY, Ashton rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the BSU27 (SMITH, Cameron). PENALTY BSU Holding on LAUTER, Matt enforced 10 yards from the BSU25 to the BSU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 20Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.08

Taylen Green sacked by Chandler Martin for a loss of 2 yards to the BOIS 13

3rd & 22Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.14

Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 14 yds to the BOIS 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 58 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.72

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 19 yds to the BOIS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the BOIS 44

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Seth Henigan run for 6 yds to the BOIS 38

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Blake Watson run for no gain to the BOIS 38

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.78

Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the BOIS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.45

Seth Henigan run for 24 yds to the BOIS 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Seth Henigan run for 6 yds to the BOIS 5

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.34

Blake Watson run for 5 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 27

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Memphis Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the MEM 11

1st & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 16 yds to the MEM 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the MEM 28

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Seth Henigan run for no gain to the MEM 28

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 43 yds, downed at the BOIS 29

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the BOIS 38

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.52

Jambres Dubar run for 11 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 2 yards to the BOIS 47

2nd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Taylen Green pass complete to Shea Whiting for 1 yd to the BOIS 48

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Taylen Green pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 10

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.27

Blake Watson run for 22 yds to the MEM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 13 yds to the MEM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

HENIGAN, Seth pass to the right incomplete thrown to the MEM40. PENALTY MEM Holding on MCCLAIN, Terrance enforced 10 yards from the MEM45 to the MEM35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Seth Henigan pass complete to Jevyon Ducker for 9 yds to the MEM 44

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 10 yds to the BOIS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 2 yards to the BOIS 28

2nd & 12Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.78

Taylen Green run for 20 yds to the BOIS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.28

Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 20 yds to the MEM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the MEM 23

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.41

Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the MEM 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the MEM 12

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the MEM 9

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the MEM 7

4th & 1Blocked Field Goal Touchdown+80 ydsPPA -11.10

Geoffrey Cantin-Arku 80 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Tanner Gillis Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 8 yds to the BOIS 26

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.85

Taylen Green run for 11 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.69

Ashton Jeanty run for 20 yds to the MEM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.67

Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 3 yards to the MEM 43

3rd & 13Penalty+5 yds

GREEN, Taylen pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MCALISTER, Eric broken up by BRUMFIELD, DeAgo at the MEM15. PENALTY MEM Offsides on ALLEN, Jaylon enforced 5 yards from the MEM43 to the MEM38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Taylen Green pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 26 yds, downed at the MEM 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the MEM 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.27

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 24 yds to the MEM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the MEM 41

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +5.38

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 59 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.52

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 14 yds to the BOIS 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +3.53

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Billy Bowens for 52 yds to the MEM 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Boise State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MEM 15

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.83

Ashton Jeanty 15 Yd pass from Maddux Madsen (Maddux Madsen Pass to Stefan Cobbs for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 14 yds to the MEM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Seth Henigan run for 9 yds to the MEM 47

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Blake Watson run for 11 yds to the BOIS 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Seth Henigan run for 5 yds to the BOIS 37

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Blake Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 11 yds to the BOIS 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the BOIS 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.98

Blake Watson run for 21 yds to the BOIS 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Blake Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the BOIS 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Blake Watson run for 1 yd for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 8 yds to the BOIS 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 6 yds to the BOIS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 12 yds to the MEM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Billy Bowens for 5 yds to the MEM 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.13

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Billy Bowens for 32 yds to the MEM 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 5 yds to the MEM 7

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.46

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 7 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

[NHSG] Kneel down by HENIGAN, Seth at BSU49 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
31 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
83%
6 plays
67%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
25 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays