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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2023Week 3
NavyNavy
24
-Final
28
MemphisMemphis
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Memphis by 14.1

Home Win Probability

Memphis 82%

Market (Bovada)

Memphis -12

Edge: Memphis -12 (2.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NavyNavy
1407324
MemphisMemphis
777728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-1414-1421-2128-2128-24
MemphisNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMPUNT826ydTD1390ydTD175ydPUNT34ydTD677ydPUNT517ydTO317ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT929ydPUNT32ydDOWNS725ydTD856ydEND1-2ydTD747ydTD685ydMISS733ydPUNT34ydPUNT522ydPUNT38ydTD378ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-1ydFG727ydTO375ydTO423ydTO3-1ydDOWNS1041ydEND1-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and Memphis
StatisticNavyMemphis
Passing10-2023-35
Pass Yards133218
Rush Yards299190
Total Yards432408
Turnovers22
3rd Down8-164-12
Penalties2-103-26
Possession32:4927:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
Tai Lavatai
10/19, 133 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Alex Tecza
15 CAR, 163 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brandon Chatman
1 REC, 58 YDS
defense
Memphis
passing
Seth Henigan
23/35, 218 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Blake Watson
10 CAR, 169 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Blake Watson
6 REC, 68 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Jayden Umbarger for 4 yds to the NAVY 32

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Daba Fofana run for 4 yds to the NAVY 36

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.45

Amin Hassan run for 5 yds to the NAVY 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Alex Tecza run for 5 yds to the NAVY 46

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.79

Alex Tecza run for 5 yds to the MEM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the MEM 46

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tai Lavatai run for no gain to the MEM 46

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.19

Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 21 yds to the MEM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.84

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 10 yds to the MEM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the MEM 46

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.32

Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 10 yds to the NAVY 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Blake Watson run for 10 yds to the NAVY 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.98

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 14 yds to the NAVY 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Sutton Smith run for 1 yd to the NAVY 19

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Seth Henigan run for 1 yd to the NAVY 18

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 11 yds to the NAVY 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Blake Watson run for 7 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Alex Tecza run for 75 yds for a TD (Evan Warren KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Sutton Smith run for 4 yds to the MEM 26

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the NAVY 23

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.65

Daba Fofana run for 19 yds to the NAVY 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Daba Fofana run for 3 yds to the NAVY 45

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.51

Alex Tecza run for 9 yds to the MEM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +0.97

Alex Tecza run for 30 yds to the MEM 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Regis Velez for 16 yds for a TD (Evan Warren KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jevyon Ducker run for 2 yds to the MEM 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 11 yds to the MEM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Seth Henigan pass complete to Jevyon Ducker for 2 yds to the MEM 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 2 yds to the MEM 42

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the NAVY 20

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Daba Fofana run for 12 yds to the NAVY 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Daba Fofana run for 5 yds to the NAVY 37

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -1.59

Tai Lavatai run for no gain to the NAVY 37 Tai Lavatai fumbled, recovered by MEM CorMontae Hamilton

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Blake Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 38

2nd & 11Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.62

Roc Taylor run for a loss of 9 yards to the NAVY 47

3rd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 5 yds to the NAVY 42

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 37 yds, downed at the NAVY 5

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Alex Tecza run for 1 yd to the NAVY 6

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Alex Tecza run for 6 yds to the NAVY 12

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.48

Tai Lavatai run for 4 yds to the NAVY 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the NAVY 17

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.88

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Daba Fofana for 17 yds to the NAVY 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the NAVY 35

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Amin Hassan run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 34

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the MEM 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the NAVY 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the NAVY 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Camari Williams for 1 yd to the NAVY 34

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.62

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 13 yds to the NAVY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the NAVY 48

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Alex Tecza run for 6 yds to the MEM 46

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the MEM 44

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.66

Alex Tecza run for no gain to the MEM 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 7 yds to the NAVY 49

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 9 yds to the NAVY 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 6 yds to the NAVY 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 10 yds to the NAVY 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 5 yds to the NAVY 19

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Seth Henigan run for 7 yds to the NAVY 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 5 yds to the NAVY 7

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.46

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 7 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[NH] Kneel down by LAVATAI, Tai at NAV23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 9 yds to the NAVY 38

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Sutton Smith run for no gain to the NAVY 38

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.67

Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the NAVY 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 3 yds to the NAVY 32

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.03

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 31 yds to the NAVY 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

PENALTY MEM Unsportsmanlike Conduct on SCATES, Joe NAV Unsportsmanlike Conduct on LANE, Rayuan , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Seth Henigan run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Tai Lavatai run for 7 yds to the NAVY 22

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.24

Daba Fofana run for 5 yds to the NAVY 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+58 yds

Memphis Penalty, Face mask (58 yards) (DJ Bell) to the MEM 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds to the MEM 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the MEM 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Anton Hall Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Evan Warren KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Seth Henigan run for 12 yds to the MEM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.57

Seth Henigan sacked by Xavier McDonald for a loss of 8 yards to the MEM 39

2nd & 18Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.57

Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 23 yds to the NAVY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 4 yds to the NAVY 34

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Sutton Smith run for 2 yds to the NAVY 32

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Seth Morgan 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 6 yds to the NAVY 38

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.41

Alex Tecza run for a loss of 2 yards to the NAVY 36

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 5 yds to the MEM 25

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Blake Watson run for 9 yds to the MEM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Seth Henigan run for no gain to the MEM 34

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 8 yds to the MEM 42

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the NAVY 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Daba Fofana run for 1 yd to the NAVY 30

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Daba Fofana for 7 yds to the NAVY 37

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 22

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jevyon Ducker run for 1 yd to the NAVY 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Seth Henigan run for 3 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tai Lavatai run for 5 yds to the NAVY 30

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Daba Fofana run for 3 yds to the NAVY 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 62 yds, downed at the MEM 5

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jevyon Ducker run for 3 yds to the MEM 8

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Jevyon Ducker run for 1 yd to the MEM 9

3rd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.16

Seth Henigan sacked by Will Harbour and Landon Robinson for a loss of 5 yards to the MEM 4

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the MEM 45

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Blake Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 46

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brandon Chatman run for no gain to the MEM 46

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)+29 ydsPPA +3.17

Blake Horvath run for 29 yds to the MEM 17 Blake Horvath fumbled, recovered by NAVY for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Blake Horvath pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Blake Horvath run for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 19

3rd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Daba Fofana run for 1 yd to the MEM 18

4th & 11Field Goal Good+36 yds

Nathan Kirkwood 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Seth Henigan run for 5 yds to the MEM 30

2nd & 5Rush+69 ydsPPA +5.05

Blake Watson run for 69 yds to the NAVY 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -6.06

Seth Henigan run for 1 yd Seth Henigan fumbled, recovered by NAVY Justin Reed

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Blake Horvath run for 6 yds to the NAVY 26

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Blake Horvath run for 9 yds to the NAVY 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the NAVY 38

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -1.35

Blake Horvath run for 5 yds to the NAVY 43 Blake Horvath fumbled, recovered by MEM Jaylon Allen

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Blake Watson run for no gain to the NAVY 43

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Blake Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 44

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -1.43

Seth Henigan pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Blake Horvath run for 3 yds to the MEM 48

2nd & 7Penalty0 yds

LAVATAI, Tai pass deep to the right incomplete intended for UMBARGER, Jayden broken up by RUBIN, Greg at the MEM15. PENALTY NAV Holding on MCMAHON, Connor MEM Pass Interference on BELL, DJ , Offsetting penalties [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Alex Tecza run for 9 yds to the MEM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+3 yds

LAVATAI, Tai pass short to the right incomplete intended for TECZA, Alex thrown to the MEM35. PENALTY MEM Pass Interference on MARTIN, Chandler enforced at the spot of the foul for 3 yards to the MEM36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds to the MEM 34

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the MEM 31

3rd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Alex Tecza run for 12 yds to the MEM 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Nathan Kent for 6 yds to the MEM 13

3rd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.66

Tai Lavatai sacked by Josh Ellison for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 15

4th & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -3.50

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Jayden Umbarger for 5 yds to the MEM 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

[NHSG] Kneel down by HENIGAN, Seth at MEM6 (team loss of 4), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
34%
29 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
6 plays
36%
14 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
44%
27 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th