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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Memphis by 15.4

Home Win Probability

Arkansas State 11%

Market (Bovada)

Arkansas State +21

Edge: Arkansas State +21 (5.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MemphisMemphis
3217637
Arkansas StateArkansas State
03003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-100-173-243-313-37
Arkansas StateMemphis

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MEMASMEMASMEMASMEMASMEMASASMEMASASMEMASMEMASMEMASMEMASMEMASMEMPUNT34ydPUNT34ydPUNT37ydTO10ydFG1353ydTO660ydMISS977ydPUNT3-5ydTD944ydTD31ydPUNT68ydTD472ydFG1458ydPUNT6-7ydTD1054ydDOWNS745ydPUNT429ydPUNT726ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT39ydDOWNS1072ydPUNT736ydTO34ydTD424yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Memphis and Arkansas State
StatisticMemphisArkansas State
Passing21-2922-41
Pass Yards239166
Rush Yards15064
Total Yards389230
Turnovers04
3rd Down5-163-14
Penalties3-403-40
Possession35:2824:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Memphis
passing
Seth Henigan
21/29, 239 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Blake Watson
20 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Tauskie Dove
1 REC, 52 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Arkansas State
passing
JT Shrout
12/25, 79 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Ja'Quez Cross
9 CAR, 57 YDS
receiving
Corey Rucker
3 REC, 40 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 5 yds to the MEM 29

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.82

Blake Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 28

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ja'Quez Cross run for 4 yds to the ARST 43

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ja'Quez Cross run for no gain to the ARST 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Blake Watson run for 7 yds to the MEM 14

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.99

J.T. Shrout pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the MEM 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 8 yds to the MEM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Seth Henigan run for 5 yds to the MEM 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 3 yds to the MEM 36

3rd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.15

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 2 yds to the MEM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the MEM 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Seth Henigan pass complete to Sutton Smith for 3 yds to the MEM 47

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.00

Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the MEM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.17

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 3 yds to the ARST 49 for a 1ST down Arkansas State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Melique Straker) to the ARST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Sutton Smith run for 4 yds to the ARST 30

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ARST 29

4th & 5Field Goal Good+47 yds

Seth Morgan 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brian Snead run for 5 yds to the ARST 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.83

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Corey Rucker for 16 yds to the ARST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.18

Wyatt Begeal pass complete to J.T. Shrout for 24 yds to the MEM 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Zak Wallace run for 11 yds to the MEM 16 for a 1ST down

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -3.87

Brian Snead run for 7 yds to the MEM 12 Brian Snead fumbled, recovered by MEM Simeon Blair

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.38

Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 45 yds to the ARST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Sutton Smith run for no gain to the ARST 43

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Seth Henigan run for 5 yds to the ARST 38

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

HENIGAN, Seth pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BLANKUMSEE, DeMeer thrown to the ASU10. PENALTY ASU Pass Interference on SMITH, Eddie enforced 15 yards to the ASU23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jevyon Ducker run for no gain to the ARST 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.22

Seth Henigan pass complete to Sutton Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the ARST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Sutton Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARST 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Seth Henigan sacked by Tim Hardiman and Thurman Geathers for a loss of 1 yard to the ARST 11

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Seth Morgan 29 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.83

J.T. Shrout run for a loss of 5 yards to the ARST 15

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ARST 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 7 yds to the ARST 35

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.51

Blake Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARST 37

4th & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.15

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 8 yds to the ARST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.14

Seth Henigan sacked by Keyron Crawford for a loss of 4 yards to the ARST 33

2nd & 14Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.50

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 24 yds to the ARST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 7 yds to the ARST 2

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Blake Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARST 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 4 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Zak Wallace run for 1 yd to the ARST 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

3rd & 9Interception Return Touchdown+36 ydsPPA -6.91

DJ Bell 36 Yd Interception Return (Seth Morgan Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Ja'Quez Cross run for 3 yds to the ARST 26

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.56

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Miller McCrumby for 7 yds to the ARST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

J.T. Shrout run for no gain to the ARST 33

3rd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.33

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Zak Wallace for a loss of 2 yards to the ARST 31

4th & 12Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 41 yds, downed at the MEM 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 9 yds to the MEM 37

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the MEM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 6 yds to the MEM 48

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.17

Seth Henigan pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 52 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Zak Wallace run for 1 yd to the ARST 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 11 yds to the ARST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Zak Wallace run for 6 yds to the ARST 43

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.55

Zak Wallace run for 4 yds to the ARST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Zak Wallace for 1 yd to the ARST 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Corey Rucker for 6 yds to the MEM 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.53

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 7 yds to the MEM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.02

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Reagan Ealy for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 3 yds to the MEM 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.77

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 8 yds to the MEM 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.21

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 12 yds to the MEM 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+34 yds

Dominic Zvada 34 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Zak Wallace run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARST 8

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.88

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 11 yds to the ARST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-17 ydsPPA -0.19

J.T. Shrout sacked by Jarra Anderson for a loss of 17 yards to the ARST 2

4th & 27Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 52 yds, downed at the MEM 46

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Blake Watson run for 8 yds to the ARST 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.36

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 13 yds to the ARST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Blake Watson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARST 36

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Seth Henigan pass complete to Sutton Smith for 4 yds to the ARST 32

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.59

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 13 yds to the ARST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ARST 16

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the ARST 12

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ARST 10

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.77

Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the ARST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Seth Henigan run for 7 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Ja'Quez Cross run for 19 yds to the ARST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jaxon Dailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.39

Ja'Quez Cross run for 17 yds to the MEM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Ja'Quez Cross run for 6 yds to the MEM 33

2nd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.01

Jaxon Dailey pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jaxon Dailey pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 4 yds to the MEM 30

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.97

Zak Wallace run for no gain to the MEM 30

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Jevyon Ducker run for 22 yds to the ARST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 4 yds to the ARST 44

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Jevyon Ducker run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARST 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 4 yds to the ARST 41

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Courtney Jackson at the ARST 7

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Zak Wallace run for 3 yds to the ARST 10

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Jaxon Dailey pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 8 yds to the ARST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Zak Wallace run for no gain to the ARST 18

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.22

Jaxon Dailey pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 11 yds to the ARST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ja'Quez Cross run for 4 yds to the ARST 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jaxon Dailey pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaxon Dailey pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Courtney Jackson at the ARST 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the ARST 42

2nd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.80

Jaxon Dailey sacked by Derick Hunter Jr. and Andres Fox for a loss of 11 yards to the ARST 31

3rd & 19Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Jaxon Dailey pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 3 yds to the ARST 34

4th & 16Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the MEM 37

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Seth Henigan run for 7 yds to the MEM 44

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Blake Watson run for no gain to the MEM 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Courtney Jackson at the ARST 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.14

Jaxon Dailey pass complete to Corey Rucker for 18 yds to the ARST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Ja'Quez Cross run for 2 yds to the ARST 34

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Memphis Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Malik Feaster) to the MEM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Ja'Quez Cross run for 2 yds to the MEM 44

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

DAILEY, Jaxon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for RUCKER, Corey thrown to the MEM20. PENALTY MEM Pass Interference on BARNETT, Julian enforced 15 yards to the MEM29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zak Wallace run for 5 yds to the MEM 24

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Jaxon Dailey run for 6 yds to the MEM 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaxon Dailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jaxon Dailey pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 4 yds to the MEM 14

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jaxon Dailey pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.55

Jaxon Dailey pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.73

Blake Watson run for 13 yds to the MEM 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Sutton Smith run for 3 yds to the MEM 30

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Sutton Smith run for no gain to the MEM 30

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.40

Jevyon Ducker run for 13 yds to the MEM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Blake Watson run for no gain to the MEM 43

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the MEM 45

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Zak Wallace run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARST 19

2nd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.33

Jaxon Dailey sacked by Derick Hunter Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the ARST 13

3rd & 17Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Jaxon Dailey pass complete to Zak Wallace for 11 yds Zak Wallace fumbled, recovered by MEM An'Darius Coffey

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Ke'Travion Hargrove run for 9 yds to the ARST 15

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

CARTER, Tevin pass to the right complete for 15 yards to THOMAS, Destun caught at the ASU0 and advanced to the ASU0, TOUCHDOWN MEM, score nullified by penalty, clock 01:32 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MEM Holding on MCCLAIN, Terrance enforced 10 yards from the ASU15 to the ASU25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Ke'Travion Hargrove run for 1 yd to the ARST 24

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Ke'Travion Hargrove run for 7 yds to the ARST 17

4th & 3Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.37

Ke'Travion Hargrove run for 17 yds for a TD

Situational Analysis

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
28 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
4th
100%
3 plays

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
30 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play